The outfield is pretty fun, as it has a thick variety and the bottom doesn’t completely open up and reveal a black void that sucks happiness and joy—looking at you, catchers. For example, check out the big graph on Steven Souza!
This is probably a good time to discuss variability as it pertains to PECOTA because I imagine you are probably wondering why Souza is so low here. Certain players are “preferred” by PECOTA for various reasons. In Souza’s case, his strong minor-league track record has us predicting a 20-20 season with borderline-elite counting stats. We the fantasy team would be shocked if he pulled this off, however and I personally believe his PECOTA projection is 90th percentile for him. You’re also probably going to ask about Yasmany Tomas, here’s his graph:
We just don’t have a PECOTA projection for him. It’s an issue with Cuban players specifically. There’s no Bid Graph here; it’ll get rolled in with the Starting Pitchers next week.
Here are the graphs:
You can see the category breakdown in the table below:
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