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For the earlier editions in this series, click below:

I broke these down into three different graphs, left field, center field, and right field. These are ordered by where PECOTA’s book version thinks these players will play. The outfield in general has a big upper tier, which is a function of how rapidly the bottom falls out when you get to the bottoms of the position. Let’s take a look at each graph

Again, these graphs are based on the PECOTA book projections, but we’ll soon have a more reader-friendly interface that will present you with more options (including interchangeable stats for those of you in leagues with different stat layouts).

It’s refreshing to see CF host the two best players at the position. Trout is clearly the top player here and I toyed with the idea of making a sixth tier just to highlight his upper extremes. The book has him at 38 stolen bases and 24 HRs and a .394 OBP. McCutchen has neither the SBs nor the power potential but he’s an elite all-around player and it’s reflected with the bars here.

Bryce Harper has a real chance at joining the five-star-tier guys when we do this next season. Ryan Braun’s 2014 can go a lot of ways, though I think the book was too pessimistic with his projections. I would put Matt Kemp in that same boat. I think it’s understandable to be conservative with both of these players but I would target both of these players.

Hamilton is going to be a hot player to track through 2014 for one reason or another. If he plays every day he’s going to steal 70 bases. Similarly Puig will be watched closely in 2014. I think he will be targeted aggressively in upcoming drafts but I think a three-star-tier ranking is appropriate here. He has to prove it over a full season.

PECOTA is optimistic about B.J. Upton’s ability to bounce back in 2014, which comes with a low average still but pretty good counting stats. I think Alejandro De Aza’s playing time took a hit with Eaton’s arrival, so adjust accordingly. Bourjos is a health risk, which is why his numbers don’t project so well.

For the curious, here are the tier breakdowns:

HR

Tier 1

18+

Tier 2

13-17

Tier 3

8-12

Tier 4

3-7

Tier 5

0-2

RS

Tier 1

64+

Tier 2

51-63

Tier 3

38-50

Tier 4

25-37

Tier 5

0-24

RBI

Tier 1

65+

Tier 2

49-64

Tier 3

35-48

Tier 4

21-34

Tier 5

0-20

SB

Tier 1

17+

Tier 2

11-'16

Tier 3

5-10

Tier 4

1-5

Tier 5

0

AVG

Tier 1

277+

Tier 2

263-276

Tier 3

249-262

Tier 4

234-248

Tier 5

233-

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kenraty
2/21
Is Adam Eaton an omission by design or inadvertent?
MRubio52
2/21
Design, there are a host of guys, Aramis Ramirez is another example, that I wanted to spend time on apart from the positions. It'll all be updated at the end.
MRubio52
2/21
CarGo will be added tonight.
apaterson
2/21
If this is from a fantasy perspective, then Choo should be listed as a CF. He'll have eligibility in all fantasy leagues this year.
MRubio52
2/21
I'll flip him out when I add CarGo, thanks.
faztradamus
2/21
Thank You! Thank You! Thank You! Breaking down by LF/CF/RF is super helpful as all but two of the seven dynasty leagues I am in use them over OF.
ander521
2/21
Quote "Again, these graphs are based on the PECOTA book projections, but we’ll soon have a more reader-friendly interface that will present you with more options (including interchangeable stats for those of you in leagues with different stat layouts)" WOW!!!! Was thinking of doing this myself, since I love the graphics you have put together (In fact you have inspired me to think about presenting data at work in new and different ways).
MRubio52
2/22
That's awesome, I hope it goes well.
NightmareRec0n
2/21
Would it be fair to say Matt Kemp = Justin Upton + injury risk? They are very similar low contact power/speed guys.
MRubio52
2/22
I think Kemp has higher potential in terms of average at this point, and Upton has more power potential moving forward. It's close though.
MRubio52
2/22
CARGO has been added.
MylesHandley
2/24
Centerfield picture is broken for me.
jasonFWL
2/26
Are you going to do pitchers too... i find the visual very helpful?
MRubio52
2/26
Yes, I'm working on it now, expect it Friday.
scifi451
2/26
The center field image is broken for me as well.
LarsJohanson
2/26
Still broken for me.
MRubio52
2/26
will fix tonight, sorry about that.
LarsJohanson
2/27
Thanks for the update
dancini
2/26
The CF page will not load for some reason on all of my devices