Christina challenged the stats crew to have something to say about bad outfield arms and the possibility of a Dodgers Gonzalez-Pierre-Ethier crew, so I thought I’d chime in with my first BP Unfiltered post.
I arbitrarily picked the ability to prevent runners on second from scoring on a single as a criterion for determining badness. For outfield trios seeing at least 30 singles with runners on second, the ones with the fewest runners prevented from scoring (stopping at third or being thrown out) relative to league average (denoted as R2_PREV, negative numbers indicate below average prevention) are:
League average was allowing 60% of runners on 2nd to score on a single.
YEAR TEA OUTFIELD B1R2 SCORED RATIO R2_PREV
2006 TBA Carl Crawford-Rocco Baldelli-Damon Hollins 32 26 .813 -6.8
2006 SFN Barry Bonds-Steve Finley-Randy Winn 49 36 .735 -6.6
2006 NYA Melky Cabrera-Johnny Damon-Bernie Williams 35 26 .743 -5.0
2006 WAS Alfonso Soriano-Marlon Byrd-Jose Guillen 44 31 .705 -4.6
2006 PIT Jason Bay-Jose Bautista-Craig Wilson 31 23 .742 -4.4
2006 LAN Andre Ethier-Kenny Lofton-J.D. Drew 46 32 .696 -4.4
2006 TBA Carl Crawford-Joey Gathright-Damon Hollins 40 27 .675 -3.0
2006 SLN So Taguchi-Jim Edmonds-Juan Encarnacion 49 32 .653 -2.6
2006 SFN Barry Bonds-Randy Winn-Moises Alou 38 25 .658 -2.2
Conversely, the best at preventing runners from scoring on a single were:
YEAR TEA OUTFIELD B1R2 SCORED RATIO R2_PREV
2006 TOR Reed Johnson-Vernon Wells-Alex Rios 71 29 .408 13.6
2006 DET Craig Monroe-Curtis Granderson-Magglio Ordonez 86 41 .477 10.6
2006 TOR Frank Catalanotto-Vernon Wells-Alex Rios 42 18 .429 7.2
2006 OAK Jay Payton-Mark Kotsay-Milton Bradley 48 22 .458 6.8
2006 SEA Raul Ibanez-Jeremy Reed-Ichiro Suzuki 65 33 .508 6.0
2006 CIN Adam Dunn-Ken Griffey Jr.-Austin Kearns 61 31 .508 5.6
2006 KCA Emil Brown-David DeJesus-Reggie Sanders 46 22 .478 5.6
2006 ANA Juan Rivera-Chone Figgins-Vladimir Guerrero 52 26 .500 5.2
2006 ATL Ryan Langerhans-Andruw Jones-Jeff Francoeur 110 61 .555 5.0
2006 COL Matt Holliday-Cory Sullivan-Brad Hawpe 106 59 .557 4.6
2006 BAL Jeff Conine-Corey Patterson-Nick Markakis 32 15 .469 4.2
2006 TBA Carl Crawford-Rocco Baldelli-Delmon Young 35 17 .486 4.0
2006 CHA Scott Podsednik-Brian Anderson-Jermaine Dye 61 33 .541 3.6
2006 MIN Lew Ford-Torii Hunter-Michael Cuddyer 31 16 .516 2.6
2006 ARI Luis Gonzalez-Jeff DaVanon-Shawn Green 34 18 .529 2.4
2006 BAL Brandon Fahey-Corey Patterson-Nick Markakis 34 18 .529 2.4
2006 SEA Raul Ibanez-Willie Bloomquist-Ichiro Suzuki 40 22 .550 2.0
2006 KCA David DeJesus-Joey Gathright-Shane Costa 30 16 .533 2.0
2006 OAK Bobby Kielty-Jay Payton-Milton Bradley 30 16 .533 2.0
None of this is park-adjusted, nor does it say how blame for failing to prevent runners from scoring should be allocated across the 3 outfielders. This is just showing how the unit as a whole performed.
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