Yes, the THR Spreadsheet is now available! (If you don’t see it, it’s in the top table there.) As promised, I got it out before February 15th, so early bird drafters … Happy Birthday!
Remember, the colors themselves are only part of the story. Each rating has a reason behind it and for that, you’ll need to read the Team Health Reports themselves. Those will start Monday and continue through February and March. Once teams open up their Spring Training Camps, Under The Knife will start up as well, coming in each Friday to update you on the injury situations around the league. UTK goes near-daily on Opening Day.
Gallardo kind of broke the system. His arm is fine, he looked good before and after the broken leg, and that's not the sort of thing that should recur. The question is what his workload should be before he gets too risky and PECOTA's projection for him isn't that high, so ...
Why not? One of the biggest fallacies you see in fantasy bsaeball is that if a player got injured he's likely to get injured again. The sample size (one season) is maximally small. You have to assess whether the player's problem is something systemtemic or accidental. In case of tearing an ACL while trying to field a blooper in front of the mound, I'd say accidental.
i have 3 questions...
1)am i correct in believing this data has not been integrated into PFM?
2)as this has been done for several years, are we able to now say that the average red player misses 20 games due to injury , the average yellow player miss misses 10 games, and green misses 5 or less games? obviously a red does not guarantee injury, but i am trying to get a handle on how the ratings would affect valuation of a player for fantasy baseball.
3) does the system account for the manager's past pitcher usage patterns (or to ask another way, is the red rating for volquez and cueto representative of their being managed by dusty baker, or only their age and 2008 usage?
Seattle has a red rotation! Yikes! Good thing they have depth. I expected both Peavy and Lincecum to be red, also. Who has the healthiest team, Milwaukee?
Interesting that you would have Ryan Zimmerman green, given his surgical repair to a small tear in the anterior labrum of his left shoulder. Yes, he came back effectively afterwards, but it would seem to me his very aggressive defensive play, featuring fully extended dives onto his glove side, would render him quite vulnerable to further incident.
wow. Only 3 Red Sox are "green." They have been aggressive of late gathering "low risk-high upside" types of folk. But many of those have that label due to injuries driving down price. If you've got a large collection of those (and high priced players - Ortiz, Drew, Beckett) with injury histories it's not hard to envision a perfect storm scenario for this squad (not saying it will happen, odds are they win 95 games, but you could see the domino effect happening).
I was pretty surprised about Daisuke. His ability to stay healthy and effective at the same time seems to be a result of a carefully designed workload. Even with the creativity of the Red Sox staff, I imagine this would warrant a yellow.
They weren't on the spreadsheet, but given the quantity and quality of free agents still out there, is it possible to get a rating on members of the '31st team'?
I him being a young catcher is the primary reason. Same rating for Wieters even though I can't find any history of him having previous injuries in college or minors.
will, can you make the spread sheet mac accessible? You can't blame a guy now days for not wanting to download outside programs. A .pdf version per chance?
They have to do with a players' injury risk. A green light means a player is relatively sure to be healthy (not withstanding freak accidents and so on), a red light means a player is an injury risk, and a yellow light is in between. If you do a search for previous years' Team Health Reports, you'll find a more involved explanation.
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Yovani Gallardo green?
Gallardo kind of broke the system. His arm is fine, he looked good before and after the broken leg, and that's not the sort of thing that should recur. The question is what his workload should be before he gets too risky and PECOTA's projection for him isn't that high, so ...
I thought Gallardo tore his ACL?
Why not? One of the biggest fallacies you see in fantasy bsaeball is that if a player got injured he's likely to get injured again. The sample size (one season) is maximally small. You have to assess whether the player's problem is something systemtemic or accidental. In case of tearing an ACL while trying to field a blooper in front of the mound, I'd say accidental.