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Articles Tagged Will Myers 

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05-28

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8

Minor League Update: Games of May 24-27
by
Zach Mortimer

05-13

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7

Minor League Update: Games of May 10-12
by
Zach Mortimer

05-06

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18

Minor League Update: Games of May 2-May 5
by
Zach Mortimer

05-16

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3

Future Shock: Finding Power
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-02

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19

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Kansas City Royals
by
Jason Parks

11-21

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36

Future Shock: Royals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

08-16

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27

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Positional Primacy: Right Field
by
Jason Parks

03-25

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0

Divide and Conquer, NL Central: The Starting Block
by
Larry Granillo

02-02

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26

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong with the Royals' Top Five?
by
Jason Parks

11-19

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62

Future Shock: Kansas City Royals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-02

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15

Seidnotes: A Streak of Myers
by
Eric Seidman

08-06

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30

Ahead in the Count: The 2010 Trade Deadline
by
Matt Swartz

06-11

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3

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting Pitchers
by
Bill Baer

06-04

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10

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting Pitchers
by
Bill Baer

12-07

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35

Future Shock: Twins Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

12-01

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35

Future Shock: Royals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-23

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10

Under The Knife: Making a Run for the Border
by
Will Carroll

09-21

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19

Under The Knife: Milestone Madness?
by
Will Carroll

07-21

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18

Under The Knife: Toeing the Line
by
Will Carroll

06-17

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12

Future Shock: AL Draft Wrap
by
Kevin Goldstein

05-29

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27

Under The Knife: The Undiscovered Recovery
by
Will Carroll

05-28

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39

Under The Knife: Star Search
by
Will Carroll

10-03

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On the Beat: Game Two Report, Brewers versus Phillies
by
John Perrotto

10-01

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20

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers
by
Jay Jaffe

07-23

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0

Prospectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to Watch
by
Caleb Peiffer

05-02

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0

UTK Wrap: Major Meltdowns
by
Will Carroll

04-28

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Under The Knife: Quick Work and Gray Braves
by
Will Carroll

03-31

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Prospectus Preview: Opening Day's Games to Watch
by
Caleb Peiffer

02-10

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Every Given Sunday: National League Questions
by
John Perrotto

07-06

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0

Future Shock: Risers and Fallers, American League
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-29

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0

Under The Knife: Almost Halfway
by
Will Carroll

05-30

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0

Under The Knife: Fast and Furious
by
Will Carroll

02-10

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0

Transaction Analysis: NL West and NL Catchup
by
Christina Kahrl

10-09

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0

Completely Random Statistical Trivia
by
Keith Woolner

06-22

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Future Shock: Midpoint American League Report
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-14

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Transaction Analysis: American League, December 15, 2005-February 13, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

12-14

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Transaction Analysis: December 7-13
by
Christina Kahrl

10-13

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Prospectus Notebook: Angels, Phillies
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-08

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Transaction Analysis: September 1-7
by
Christina Kahrl

05-09

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Transaction Analysis: April 26- May 4, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

05-02

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Fantasy Focus: Fantasy Trends--The Easts
by
Erik Siegrist

04-12

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Transaction Analysis: March 29-April 4, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

11-09

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Prospectus Triple Play: Chicago White Sox, Oakland Athletics, Philadelphia Phillies
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-23

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World Series Prospectus: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox
by
Dayn Perry

05-06

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0

Breaking Balls: Sixteen Innings of Bliss
by
Derek Zumsteg

05-01

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Transaction Analysis: April 26-29
by
Christina Kahrl

02-11

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Transaction Analysis: January 12-February 6, 2004
by
Christina Kahrl

09-12

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Prospectus Triple Play: Montreal Expos, San Francisco Giants, Toronto Blue Jays
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-09

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Transaction Analysis: March 25-April 6, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

02-05

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Transaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The Wests
by
Christina Kahrl

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July 23, 2008 12:00 am

Prospectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to Watch

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Caleb Peiffer

Last chance to attend a two-fer at Yankee and Shea Stadiums, and big power clashes in the NL East and Central.

Today's Full Slate of Games

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Some serious star power winds up on the DL for the Yankees, Braves, and Rockies.

Philip Hughes (60 DXL/$2.31 million)
At this time yesterday, there was a lot of question about the validity of Hughes' injury. The odd timing-he's fine, and then suddenly he's not?-led many to wonder, including me. The problem is this is my area and I'm supposed to know, and Hughes wasn't faking anything and the Yankees weren't playing a roster shell game. Instead, he's got a stress fracture of his ninth rib on his right (pitching) side. Wonder how something like this gets missed? Check out this MRI and see if you see it. Here's an X-ray, which is usually clearer; while this is at the fifth, not the ninth you can see that even something easy like a traumatic fracture isn't clear. Hughes' injury was a stress fracture, a small break that results from the strains of activity rather than an incident, and it's very painful. Hughes is likely to miss at least two months with recovery and then rebuilding his stamina. The pain that he played through would explain his poor start, but he'll have to come back and pitch well for it to be that simple. So, Mr. Hughes, my apologies and best wishes in your recovery.


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April 28, 2008 12:00 am

Under The Knife: Quick Work and Gray Braves

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Will Carroll

Thank goodness for Stan Conte, the Braves deal with aches and pains, and Jorge Posada's shoulder is worse than initially thought.

Chipper Jones (3 DXL)
John Smoltz (7 DXL)
The Braves understand that one of the risks involved with older, injury-prone players is that they're going to need to go to their backups. The team has them in place, but they'd hoped they wouldn't have to use them quite yet; it's one thing to have Plan B in place, and quite another to put Plan B in the rotation or in place of your hottest hitter. Smoltz is no stranger to shoulder problems, but normally they've been coming towards the end of seasons, which would make fatigue a contributing factor. With these latest problems coming so early in the season, we have to hope that fatigue isn't the issue, but at this stage, it doesn't seem like the Braves really know what's involved. Sources tell me that the soreness is in a "lower area" than what had him on the DL at the start of the year. They'll wait for the shoulder to calm down before further examination, an indication that there's an inflammatory process going on. He'll miss a start and could hit the DL after a scheduled examination on Tuesday. The Braves will also be without Jones until at least Tuesday; he described the back spasms he experienced over the weekend as a "sledgehammer in the back." That doesn't sound good, but Jones tends to heal quickly and come back at normal capacity. His small injuries-quad, back, foot-are already adding up, but Jones is hitting through all of them, so assess your level of risk tolerance. Bobby Cox is used to this.



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It's Opening Day, and BP has a preview of the game to watch at every time slot on what should be a national holiday.

Today's Full Slate of Games, at MLB.com

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February 10, 2008 12:00 am

Every Given Sunday: National League Questions

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John Perrotto

The pressing questions facing each NL squad this spring are revealed, while Nolan Ryan rejoins the Rangers, and the Mets show their humility.

Spring Training is nigh, as pitchers and catchers start reporting on Wednesday, and keep trickling into camp throughout Florida and Arizona as the week progresses. Last week, we took a look at the key question facing each American League team in spring training. This week, let's take a look at the key question each National League team faces:

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July 6, 2007 12:00 am

Future Shock: Risers and Fallers, American League

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Kevin Goldstein

Which systems are making progress, and which are sliding? At the midway mark, Kevin has updates on what's going on down on the farm.

As we approach the All-Star break, now is a good time to assess where each team's minor league system stands. With the shorter season, we're a little bit past the halfway mark. Here's who is moving up, moving down, and maybe moving into the No. 1 position when I compile each team's Top 10 Prospects in the offseason. Today, we start with the American League.

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June 29, 2007 12:00 am

Under The Knife: Almost Halfway

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Will Carroll

The latest on Reggie Willits, Rich Harden, Randy Johnson, Tom Gordon, Reed Johnson, and Yovani Gallardo.

As we near the midpoint of both the year and the season, we get to that stage where the numbers become a little more meaningful. In this niche of the baseball world, we're hard at work poring over the DL data that's collected behind the scenes, looking for patterns and explanations. We'll have much more on this as we head into the All-Star Break, but what's clear is that there are no easy answers here. There's no one thing, like the weather, the new stretching program, or whatever snowclone of "the oblique strain is the new black" is in play for 2007. We aren't yet to the stage in medhead-style performance analysis to where we even have rules or phrases like "OBP is life." We just have piles of data, collected by hand and swimming in a database. There's gold in there somewhere.

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May 30, 2007 12:00 am

Under The Knife: Fast and Furious

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Will Carroll

The two stalwarts in Atlanta deal with lingering injuries, while the Twins take it slow with their shelved franchise player.

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February 10, 2007 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: NL West and NL Catchup

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Christina Kahrl

Christina recaps a winter's worth of moves in the NL West, and catches up on the rest of the recent happenings in the senior circuit.

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Keith checks in with all kinds of fun facts from the completed season.

\nMathematically, leverage is based on the win expectancy work done by Keith Woolner in BP 2005, and is defined as the change in the probability of winning the game from scoring (or allowing) one additional run in the current game situation divided by the change in probability from scoring\n(or allowing) one run at the start of the game.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_18 = 'Adjusted Pitcher Wins. Thorn and Palmers method for calculating a starters value in wins. Included for comparison with SNVA. APW values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_19 = 'Support Neutral Lineup-adjusted Value Added (SNVA adjusted for the MLVr of batters faced) per game pitched.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_20 = 'The number of double play opportunities (defined as less than two outs with runner(s) on first, first and second, or first second and third).'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_21 = 'The percentage of double play opportunities turned into actual double plays by a pitcher or hitter.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_22 = 'Winning percentage. For teams, Win% is determined by dividing wins by games played. For pitchers, Win% is determined by dividing wins by total decisions. '; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_23 = 'Expected winning percentage for the pitcher, based on how often\na pitcher with the same innings pitched and runs allowed in each individual\ngame earned a win or loss historically in the modern era (1972-present).'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_24 = 'Attrition Rate is the percent chance that a hitters plate appearances or a pitchers opposing batters faced will decrease by at least 50% relative to his Baseline playing time forecast. Although it is generally a good indicator of the risk of injury, Attrition Rate will also capture seasons in which his playing time decreases due to poor performance or managerial decisions. '; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_25 = 'Batting average (hitters) or batting average allowed (pitchers).'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_26 = 'Average number of pitches per start.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_27 = 'Average Pitcher Abuse Points per game started.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_28 = 'Singles or singles allowed.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_29 = 'Batting average; hits divided by at-bats.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_30 = 'Percentage of pitches thrown for balls.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_31 = 'The Baseline forecast, although it does not appear here, is a crucial intermediate step in creating a players forecast. The Baseline developed based on the players previous three seasons of performance. Both major league and (translated) minor league performances are considered.

The Baseline forecast is also significant in that it attempts to remove luck from a forecast line. For example, a player who hit .310, but with a poor batting eye and unimpressive speed indicators, is probably not really a .310 hitter. Its more likely that hes a .290 hitter who had a few balls bounce his way, and the Baseline attempts to correct for this.

\nSimilarly, a pitcher with an unusually low EqHR9 rate, but a high flyball rate, is likely to have achieved the low EqHR9 partly as a result of luck. In addition, the Baseline corrects for large disparities between a pitchers ERA and his PERA, and an unusually high or low hit rate on balls in play, which are highly subject to luck. '; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_32 = 'Approximate number of batting outs made while playing this position.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_33 = 'Batting average; hits divided by at-bats. In PECOTA, Batting Average is one of five primary production metrics used in identifying a hitters comparables. It is defined as H/AB. '; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_34 = 'Bases on Balls, or bases on balls allowed.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_35 = 'Bases on balls allowed per 9 innings pitched.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_36 = 'Batters faced pitching.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_37 = 'Balks. Not recorded 1876-1880.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_38 = 'Batting Runs Above Replacement. The number of runs better than a hitter with a .230 EQA and the same number of outs; EQR - 5 * OUT * .230^2.5.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_39 = 'Batting runs above a replacement at the same position. A replacement position player is one with an EQA equal to (230/260) times the average EqA for that position.'; xxxpxxxxx1160407218_40 = 'Breakout Rate is the percent chance that a hitters EqR/27 or a pitchers EqERA will improve by at least 20% relative to the weighted average of his EqR/27 in his three previous seasons of performance. High breakout rates are indicative of upside risk.

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June 22, 2006 12:00 am

Future Shock: Midpoint American League Report

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Kevin Goldstein

The minor league season is half over, and Kevin runs through the American League with an eye on the end-of-the-year rankings.

The minor league regular season is over at the end of August, which means we've reached the halfway mark. Let's take a look at whose stock has risen and fallen, who the candidates are to be each team's top prospect in my postseason rankings, and what unresolved questions need to be answered as we officially move into summer.

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Christina Kahrl has a special baseball Valentine just for you: a wrap-up of the American League's offseason transactions.

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