CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Articles Tagged Wild Card 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

10-07

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Recap
by
R.J. Anderson

10-06

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Kenny Ducey

04-03

comment icon

0

Pre-Season Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-30

comment icon

13

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Preview
by
R.J. Anderson

10-01

comment icon

1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 297: NL Wild Card Game Preview/Adam J. Morris on the Rangers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

10-01

comment icon

13

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-30

comment icon

7

What You Need to Know: A Wild Final Weekend
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

09-27

comment icon

0

What You Need to Know: A Bronx Goodbye
by
Daniel Rathman

09-23

comment icon

3

What You Need to Know: The Weekend's Playoff Developments
by
Daniel Rathman

09-19

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 290: The Rays' Under-the-Radar Move/Hot AL Wild Card Talk
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-18

comment icon

9

What You Need to Know: Nothing Quiet on the Wild Card Front
by
Daniel Rathman

10-10

comment icon

0

BP Announcements: Wednesday Division Series Roundtable HERE
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-06

comment icon

9

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Recap: Orioles 5, Rangers 1
by
Derek Carty

10-05

comment icon

0

BP Announcements: Friday Wild Card Roundtable HERE
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-05

comment icon

7

Overthinking It: Baltimore's Best Bet to Beat Texas
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-01

comment icon

8

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 53: Is the Second Wild Card Working?/Explaining Mainstream Screeds Against Advanced Stats
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-21

comment icon

18

Baseball Therapy: Wild-Card Game Theory
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-21

comment icon

0

The BP Wayback Machine: Backing into the Playoffs
by
Jay Jaffe

09-19

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 45: What the Wild Card Games Could Look Like/Miguel Cabrera and the Triple Crown
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-20

comment icon

3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 24: The Rays Are Rolling/Assessing the Angels' Strange Season
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-13

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 19: Scraping Ice
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-01

comment icon

4

Sobsequy: What We Learned About the Deadline
by
Adam Sobsey

03-05

comment icon

7

Bizball: Baseball Cashes in with Expanded Playoffs
by
Maury Brown

10-06

comment icon

4

The BP Wayback Machine: Is the Best of Five the Worst of Series?
by
Mike Carminati

09-19

comment icon

5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Backing into the Playoffs
by
Jay Jaffe

09-01

comment icon

2

Manufactured Runs: Raising the Stakes
by
Colin Wyers

04-27

comment icon

18

Ahead in the Count: Expanded Playoffs, Expanded Salaries
by
Matt Swartz

03-01

comment icon

8

The BP Wayback Machine: Wild Card: A Fairy Tale
by
Nate Silver

02-22

comment icon

26

The Payoff Pitch: Two, Three, Many Wild Cards!
by
Neil deMause

11-09

comment icon

0

Predictatron Recap
by
Ben Murphy

11-02

comment icon

0

Is the Best of Five the Worst of Series?
by
Mike Carminati

09-12

comment icon

0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of September 10
by
Jay Jaffe

07-11

comment icon

0

Predictatron Pontification
by
Ben Murphy

09-21

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: The Wild Card
by
Joe Sheehan

09-10

comment icon

0

Prospectus Matchups: Wilding
by
Jim Baker

08-17

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Not Wild About It
by
Joe Sheehan

09-17

comment icon

0

Lies, Damned Lies: Wild Card: A Fairy Tale
by
Nate Silver

09-10

comment icon

0

Everything You Always Wanted to Know about Playoff Tiebreakers but Were Afraid to Ask
by
Christian Ruzich

07-10

comment icon

0

Prospectus Triple Play: Arizona Diamondbacks, Kansas City Royals, Philadelphia Phillies
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-28

comment icon

0

Prospectus Feature: Expanding the Playoffs: Drawing Guidance from the NBA
by
Jeff Bower

08-08

comment icon

0

Prospectus Feature: Breaking Balls: Unbalanced
by
Derek Zumsteg

03-31

comment icon

0

American League Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-12

comment icon

0

Projected 1999 American League Standings
by
Baseball Prospectus

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 19, 2011 9:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Backing into the Playoffs

5

Jay Jaffe

With the panic button on hold in Boston, here's a look at how poorly some teams have finished in September to still make October.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a playoff race after all. On Sunday in Boston, the Rays pounced on the Red Sox for six runs in the first five innings, taking advantage of Jarrod Saltalamacchia's inability to stop Tim Wakefield's knuckleball—the backstop was charged with four passed balls, and was party to a wild pitch as well—and won their third game in a pivotal four-game series. The win pulled Tampa Bay to two games behind Boston in the AL wild-card race with 10 games left to play. The odds are still heavily in the Sox’ favor because they play the Orioles seven times while the Rays play the Yankees seven times, but given that less than two weeks ago it appeared the playoff slate was all but sealed, even this much drama is a pleasant surprise—at least if you're not a New Englander.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 1, 2011 12:00 pm

Manufactured Runs: Raising the Stakes

2

Colin Wyers

Settling the debate about whether the Wild Card makes the stretch run more or less exciting, and evaluating the effects of adding another one.

As October gets closer and closer, baseball fans have some shopworn sentiments to trot out:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Team owners should think twice before approving an expanded playoff structure, since it might be only the players who'll profit.

Bud Selig recently admitted that owners and players are likely to reach an agreement to add two teams to the post-season schedule for 2012, allowing an extra wild-card match-up of one or three games to precede the divisional round. This measure may seem like it would result in extra cash for owners—in fact, that has been widely cited as the reason for its inception—but perhaps counterintuitively, it will likely fatten players’ wallets far more.

Read the full article...

What does a voice from BP's past have to say about the prospect of a second wild card?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

We've offered a number of more contemporary takes on the matter, but with the prospect of a second wild card looming, let's flash back to what Nate had to say on the subject in an article that originally ran as a "Lies, Damned Lies" column on September 17, 2003.

Read the full article...

Could Bud Selig's plan to cram in more playoff teams have a silver lining?

Somewhere among the piles of spiral-bound notebooks stacked in my closet lies a short-lived diary titled "The Last Pennant Race." It recounts the day-by-day events of the last two months of the 1993 Yankees season, of which pretty much all I can remember is, first, that the Yankees managed to tie the eventual champion Blue Jays for first place roughly three dozen times, but never managed to take the lead on their own, and second, that in one late-season game, Don Mattingly, presaging the Jeffrey Maier incident by three years, got credit for a key home run despite it being caught by a fan leaning so far into the field of play that he could have shaken hands with the second baseman.

I chose the diary's title not because I was pessimistic about the Yankees' future—after ten years of Andy Hawkins and Torey Lovullo, I could see as well as anyone that players like Bernie Williams and Paul O'Neill were headed for bigger things—but because I knew that the term "pennant race" would never again have the same meaning. That's because it had already been announced that 1993 was the final season under the old four-division system; henceforth, the leagues were to be split in six, and wild cards would be born. (Thanks to the player strike that would wipe out the 1994 postseason, they were not actually baptized until the following season.)

Read the full article...

November 9, 2006 12:00 am

Predictatron Recap

0

Ben Murphy

BP's newest contest is taken down by a Twins fan.

Just as I did last year, I'm here to follow up the HACKING MASS Wrap with a look at this year's Predictatron results. This is the second year we've done the Predictatron contest, and it continues to be popular, for obvious reasons--trying to predict the order of finish and teams' eventual records is one of the oldest hobbies of baseball fans.

For those that haven't had the pleasure to compete, Predictatron is the annual contest at Baseball Prospectus where entrants can win $500 by predicting the total wins for each of the 30 major league teams, and the results of the playoffs. Basic scoring is set up so that everyone starts with 1000 points, and you lose points for every win you are off for each team; you can win points back with the playoffs. There are also a few wrinkles, like the Mortal Lock, so I'd encourage everyone to read the full rules.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

November 2, 2006 12:00 am

Is the Best of Five the Worst of Series?

0

Mike Carminati

Major changes to the MLB playoff format should carry weight with the commissioner. Here's why.

Even though they comprise just a quarter of the playoff teams each year, we have not had a World Series without a wild card since 2001. Since the wild-card experiment began in 1994 there have been seven World Series out of 12 with at least one wild card, and one with two (2002, San Francisco and Anaheim). Wild-card teams have won four of the 12 World Series.

The odds that a given wild card would win a Series are one out of four. The odds that at least one World Series team got in via the wild card are seven out of sixteen and that both were wild cards is one out of sixteen. All of these numbers have been exceeded, and when you consider that the wild card cannot have the home-field advantage in either of the first two rounds, the results are even more improbable.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

The surging Indians turn it on when it doesn't count in the strongest division in baseball, while former Red Sox prospects turn it on across the country in this week's Hit List.

Read the full article...

With the season at the halfway point, Ben Murphy has a look at how people made their Predictatron picks.

Before delving deeper, some of you might find it helpful to read up on these statistical terms (thanks to Wikipedia):

Read the full article...

You either love the wild card or you hate it. But has anyone ever really looked at it?

The thing is, neither side has any idea what it's talking about. While I can point to specific examples of the wild card killing divisional races, MLB can point to, say, this year's National League wild-card race as an example of the concept creating interest where there would otherwise be none. Those are just examples, offered up in support of an argument, as the saying goes, rather than illumination. It's a visceral argument, not a rational one.

Read the full article...

September 10, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Matchups: Wilding

0

Jim Baker

Despite the perception that they're coming in through the back door, wild-card teams have both been comparable to their division-winning counterparts and had comparable success in the postseason in the ten years since they were created.

There are five teams scrambling for the National League wild-card spot. This match-up features two of them. The first time the Marlins prevailed in the playoffs (1997) there were a lot of cries of aesthetic foul because they were the first wild-card team to go all the way, which seemed pretty cheap at the time. What was rarely mentioned is that they had the second-best record in the league that year, 92-70.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

August 17, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: Not Wild About It

0

Joe Sheehan

The wild-card races have reached a boiling point, but there's something being lost in the steam. Joe Sheehan points out the missing elements in today's column.

I appreciate that the wild-card races look like they're going to be interesting, what with three teams in each league bunched like baby chicks huddled under their mother's wing. (At the close of play Sunday, there were actually three-team ties for first in each race.) I just don't think we realize what we're missing.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>