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0 Transaction Analysis: Wieters Facts, Recalibrated by Bryan Grosnick
6 Tools of Ignorance: Cornered by Jeff Quinton
5 Transaction Analysis: Adam Eaton, Underrated No More by Jarrett Seidler, Adam McInturff, Mike Gianella and Matthew Trueblood
1 Transaction Analysis: Seattle Swag by Dustin Palmateer, Meg Rowley, Jared Wyllys and Kenny Ducey
10 Prospectus Feature: The Cy Young and the Unfair Advantage of Defense by Jonathan Judge
6 Playoff Prospectus: Clayton Kershaw, Proven Closer by Jarrett Seidler
2 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 5 Preview by Aaron Gleeman
3 Playoff Prospectus: Short-Rest Seesaw by Mauricio Rubio
0 Playoff Prospectus: Baker vs. Roberts by Craig Goldstein
0 Playoff Prospectus: Split Opportunities by Demetrius Bell
0 Playoff Prospectus: Not a Duel, But Dodgers Grab Game 1 by Ashley Varela
0 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 1 Previews by Mike Gianella
4 Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Dodgers by Craig Goldstein
0 Rubbing Mud: Trea Turner Saved Dusty Baker From Himself by Matthew Trueblood
6 Transaction Analysis: Heart, Soul, and Marginal Upgrades by Bryan Grosnick and Wilson Karaman
9 Banjo Hitter: Winter of Their Discontent by Aaron Gleeman
0 Transaction Analysis: Nats Pay for the Pitcher, Not the Velo by Bryan Grosnick, Christopher Crawford and J.P. Breen
1 Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Lucas Giolito by Doug Thorburn
0 What You Need to Know: Ambition Can Lead Only To Failure by Nicolas Stellini
0 What You Need to Know: All He Does Is Win, Win, Win by Ashley Varela
0 Raising Aces: Passing of the Cy by Doug Thorburn
2 What You Need to Know: Into the Wild by Nicolas Stellini
0 Pebble Hunting: Kershaw vs. Harper: The Mistakes by Sam Miller
0 What You Need to Know: Near-Max Effort by Daniel Rathman
4 The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 6 by Matt Sussman
3 Transaction Analysis: Escape From L.A. by Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski
5 Prospectus Feature: The Under-the-Radar Team Adjustments by Rob Mains
2 BP Unfiltered: Art Discovered, Lost, Found by Rob Mains
2 What You Need to Know: We Can Beat Rizzo, For Just One Day by Emma Baccellieri
1 Raising Aces: Why Max Scherzer? by Doug Thorburn
6 What You Need to Know: Max Scherzer Is Our Greatest Active Historic-Start Pitcher by Demetrius Bell
5 Transaction Analysis: The Tip of the Strasburg by Bryan Grosnick
13 Fifth Column: On A Rule Limiting Intentional Walks by Michael Baumann
6 What You Need to Know: The One With All the Home Runs by Ashley Varela
0 What You Need to Know: Not Tonight, Sweet Papelbon, Not Tonight by Nicolas Stellini
5 Life at the Margins: In Dusty They Trusty by Rian Watt
0 Raising Aces: Pre-Surgery Strasburg Is Finally Back by Doug Thorburn
0 Prospectus Feature: Your Fun, My Fun, Our Fun by Trevor Strunk
6 What You Need to Know: Early-Season Perfections Fall Apart by Emma Baccellieri
3 What You Need to Know: Psst: Jake Arrieta Has A 0.91 ERA Over His Past 169 Innings by Ashley Varela
7 Pebble Hunting: How You Tried To Beat PECOTA by Sam Miller
2 Transaction Analysis: Deep Cuts For The SuperFans by Bryan Grosnick
2 Life at the Margins: Greatness, Nearby by Rian Watt
1 Rumor Roundup: Someday Yet He'll Begin His Life Again by Ashley Varela
4 Fifth Column: Davey Lopes, But His Players Run Like Crazy by Michael Baumann
5 Winter Is Leaving by Brendan Gawlowski
1 Rumor Roundup: Arroyo's Hopes Alive, If Nats Can't Find A Better Man by Daniel Rathman
1 Rumor Roundup: The Sultriest Fifth-Starter Showdown? by Daniel Rathman
1 Rubbing Mud: Between Now and the Free Agent Superclass by Matthew Trueblood
9 Prospectus Feature: The Legal Dispute That's Costing the Nats Millions Won't End by Samuel Mann
Just throw it against the wall and see what sticks / Gotta write a hit / I think this is it / It's a hit.
Carl Crawford's tumultuous time in Tinsel Town comes to an end and Trea Turner gets the call. The teams that are doing things radically different than last year, and whether they mean anything.
Last week, Matt Trueblood wrote about
the biggest changes to team Playoff Odds since the start of the season. The five teams with the widest swings: The White Sox, Red Sox, Astros, Mariners, and Yankees. You can guess why. Three of them have been surprisingly good, and two of them have been surprisingly bad. Those teamwide surprises have been underpinned by individual surprises, like Jackie Bradley Jr. (good) and (not). Surprises all, but well-known surprises. If Donald Rumsfeld were writing for BP, he might call them known knowns. (He might call them that anyway. Or he might be too focused on getting you to Dallas Keuchel play solitaire on your smartphone to care.)
I’m looking for unknown knowns. These are teams that’ve changed in less obvious ways—i.e., not the ones you see when you peruse the standings each day—but are nonetheless interesting. I looked for sharp changes from 2015 compared to the 2016 season to date that have probably eluded headlines and highlight shows.
Of course, there are two ways a team can change. They can import a bunch of new players with new characteristics, or their existing personnel can change. I found a little of both in this list.
Read the full article... On the "lost art" of the two-out RBI.
On Saturday night’s national FOX broadcast of the Nationals-Marlins game, announcer
bemoaned what he called “the lost art of the two-out Cliff Floyd .” Had you ever heard of that? Me neither. So I decided to check it out. RBI Read the full article... Chase Anderson (almost) shuts down the Cubs, Scherzer vs. Syndergaard lives up to the billing, and Kershaw vs. Trout lives up to Kershaw.
The Tuesday Takeaway
Milwaukee’s pitching has offered little excitement this year (except, perhaps, excitement about the fact that the Reds exist, which allows the Brewers to be second to last for most pitching stats instead of the worst in baseball). The Cubs’ hitting, on the other hand, has offered excitement near nonstop. And because baseball is weird, when the two met Tuesday night, the excitement was all Milwaukee’s—though the Cubs did their best to spoil that up until the very end.
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Standout arms (for good or ill) from this week, including, duh, Max Scherzer. Also Aroldis Chapman (good) and Luis Severino and Derek Holland (ill).
20 Ks, y'all, 20 Ks. Also: Good for the Astros, Good for the Giants, Good for the Mariners.
The Nationals lock up their first generational, first-overall-pick player. Does it tell us anything about whether they'll do the same with Bryce Harper? A decade after Barry Bonds, a few days after Bryce Harper: On the search for a solution to what might or might not be a problem with overzealous intentional walkers.
A friend of mine is, for reasons passing understanding, a
fan, and she emailed me Monday morning, understandably upset about her team’s performance over the weekend. Among her grievances was that Washington Nationals , the exquisitely coiffed hitter of baseballs and swearer-at-of-umpires, drew three intentional walks and came to the plate seven times without putting a ball in play. Bryce Harper
So she suggested that MLB institute a rule against intentionally walking the same batter more than twice in the same game.
Read the full article... There were home runs of every flavor this weekend, and none more savory than Bartolo Colon's first tater
The Weekend Takeaway
We laud pitchers for passing certain milestones: completing their first career shutout, notching 200 strikeouts in a season, and if they’re lucky even crafting a no-hitter. The one they never forget, however, is their first home run.
Read the full article... The Royals storm back, Mike Trout amazes, the Reds' bullpen is the worst, and more.
It’s the bottom of the ninth in Kansas City. has called upon Dusty Baker to protect a 6-4 lead with Jonathan Papelbon , Alex Gordon and Salvador Perez due up. Papelbon leaves the bullpen with 358 career saves. He will not record his 359th. Omar Infante
Read the full article... Rethinking Dusty Baker, with the help of some Nationals.
Early Sunday evening, somewhere in the bowels of Nationals Park, the questions came flying at
thick and fast. Why did he double-switch Dusty Baker out of the game immediately after Harper's ninth-inning home run, and instead put Bryce Harper into the game, thus burning the Nationals' last position player? I mean, it meant that he had to let Chris Heisey a relief pitcher ( ) take an at-bat with two outs and runners on base in the bottom of the 15th inning, for crying out loud! Why, for that matter, did he leave Oliver Perez in the game for 114 pitches? And what the hell was Stephen Strasburg doing throwing 4 ⅓ innings in this game, anyway? Yusmeiro Petit
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