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0 Banjo Hitter: Mr. April by Aaron Gleeman
1 Rubbing Mud: Adam Wainwright Moving Side to Side by Matthew Trueblood
1 Looking Back on Tomorrow: Washington Nationals by Meg Rowley
2 Circle Change: Daniel Murphy Raises the Ghost of an Idea by Zach Crizer
0 Transaction Analysis: The Washington Three by Bryan Grosnick
0 Transaction Analysis: Wieters Facts, Recalibrated by Bryan Grosnick
6 Tools of Ignorance: Cornered by Jeff Quinton
5 Transaction Analysis: Adam Eaton, Underrated No More by Jarrett Seidler, Adam McInturff, Mike Gianella and Matthew Trueblood
1 Transaction Analysis: Seattle Swag by Dustin Palmateer, Meg Rowley, Jared Wyllys and Kenny Ducey
10 Prospectus Feature: The Cy Young and the Unfair Advantage of Defense by Jonathan Judge
6 Playoff Prospectus: Clayton Kershaw, Proven Closer by Jarrett Seidler
2 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 5 Preview by Aaron Gleeman
3 Playoff Prospectus: Short-Rest Seesaw by Mauricio Rubio
0 Playoff Prospectus: Baker vs. Roberts by Craig Goldstein
0 Playoff Prospectus: Split Opportunities by Demetrius Bell
0 Playoff Prospectus: Not a Duel, But Dodgers Grab Game 1 by Ashley Varela
0 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 1 Previews by Mike Gianella
4 Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Dodgers by Craig Goldstein
0 Rubbing Mud: Trea Turner Saved Dusty Baker From Himself by Matthew Trueblood
6 Transaction Analysis: Heart, Soul, and Marginal Upgrades by Bryan Grosnick and Wilson Karaman
9 Banjo Hitter: Winter of Their Discontent by Aaron Gleeman
0 Transaction Analysis: Nats Pay for the Pitcher, Not the Velo by Bryan Grosnick, Christopher Crawford and J.P. Breen
1 Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Lucas Giolito by Doug Thorburn
0 What You Need to Know: Ambition Can Lead Only To Failure by Nicolas Stellini
0 What You Need to Know: All He Does Is Win, Win, Win by Ashley Varela
0 Raising Aces: Passing of the Cy by Doug Thorburn
2 What You Need to Know: Into the Wild by Nicolas Stellini
0 Pebble Hunting: Kershaw vs. Harper: The Mistakes by Sam Miller
0 What You Need to Know: Near-Max Effort by Daniel Rathman
4 The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 6 by Matt Sussman
3 Transaction Analysis: Escape From L.A. by Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski
5 Prospectus Feature: The Under-the-Radar Team Adjustments by Rob Mains
2 BP Unfiltered: Art Discovered, Lost, Found by Rob Mains
2 What You Need to Know: We Can Beat Rizzo, For Just One Day by Emma Baccellieri
1 Raising Aces: Why Max Scherzer? by Doug Thorburn
6 What You Need to Know: Max Scherzer Is Our Greatest Active Historic-Start Pitcher by Demetrius Bell
5 Transaction Analysis: The Tip of the Strasburg by Bryan Grosnick
13 Fifth Column: On A Rule Limiting Intentional Walks by Michael Baumann
6 What You Need to Know: The One With All the Home Runs by Ashley Varela
0 What You Need to Know: Not Tonight, Sweet Papelbon, Not Tonight by Nicolas Stellini
5 Life at the Margins: In Dusty They Trusty by Rian Watt
0 Raising Aces: Pre-Surgery Strasburg Is Finally Back by Doug Thorburn
0 Prospectus Feature: Your Fun, My Fun, Our Fun by Trevor Strunk
6 What You Need to Know: Early-Season Perfections Fall Apart by Emma Baccellieri
3 What You Need to Know: Psst: Jake Arrieta Has A 0.91 ERA Over His Past 169 Innings by Ashley Varela
7 Pebble Hunting: How You Tried To Beat PECOTA by Sam Miller
2 Transaction Analysis: Deep Cuts For The SuperFans by Bryan Grosnick
2 Life at the Margins: Greatness, Nearby by Rian Watt
1 Rumor Roundup: Someday Yet He'll Begin His Life Again by Ashley Varela
4 Fifth Column: Davey Lopes, But His Players Run Like Crazy by Michael Baumann
Stephen Strasburg coasts to a record win, Ryon Healy gets his first big-league knock, and Santiago Casilla balks his way out of extra innings.
The Weekend Takeaway
For some, a return from the All-Star break is an opportunity to right the season, to rise in the standings, to prove that whatever setback or injury derailed the first half is eclipsed by the success of the second. For , it’s just an extension of the dominance he’s already exhibited this year. Stephen Strasburg Read the full article... Notable starts this week from Stephen Strasburg, Dallas Keuchel and Anthony DeSclafani
It’s a short week in the sense of taking notes, as the extended All-Star break left me with just a couple of days that bookended the time off from regular baseball. There was still plenty of intrigue, from one man’s quest for hardware to another man’s attempts to justify hardware already won, as well as a staff ace who missed the first couple months of the season. Let’s get to the notes.
Read the full article... Colon/Giolito is a dud, but the game is wildy satisfying nonetheless. Meanwhile, Glasnow debuts, Trout steals home, and the Cubs keep slouching toward San Diego.
The Thursday Takeaway
Every now and then, there is poetry in baseball. Often it involves . Wilmer Flores
Read the full article...
June in Clayton Kershaw's Zone 12 pitching. Scherzer threatens another signature start, the Dodgers dip toward .500, and Whit Merrifield is a thing.
The Monday Takeaway
Few pitchers are as unhittable at their best as is. The right-hander’s 20-strikeout game earlier this year can attest to that. And for a while on Monday, it seemed as though Scherzer might duplicate that effort against a Cubs lineup that looked helpless at the plate. Max Scherzer
Scherzer struck out the side in the first, two more in the second, and another trio in the third. With his high-80s breaker darting expertly at lefties’ back feet,
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Just throw it against the wall and see what sticks / Gotta write a hit / I think this is it / It's a hit.
Carl Crawford's tumultuous time in Tinsel Town comes to an end and Trea Turner gets the call. The teams that are doing things radically different than last year, and whether they mean anything.
Last week, Matt Trueblood wrote about
the biggest changes to team Playoff Odds since the start of the season. The five teams with the widest swings: The White Sox, Red Sox, Astros, Mariners, and Yankees. You can guess why. Three of them have been surprisingly good, and two of them have been surprisingly bad. Those teamwide surprises have been underpinned by individual surprises, like Jackie Bradley Jr. (good) and (not). Surprises all, but well-known surprises. If Donald Rumsfeld were writing for BP, he might call them known knowns. (He might call them that anyway. Or he might be too focused on getting you to Dallas Keuchel play solitaire on your smartphone to care.)
I’m looking for unknown knowns. These are teams that’ve changed in less obvious ways—i.e., not the ones you see when you peruse the standings each day—but are nonetheless interesting. I looked for sharp changes from 2015 compared to the 2016 season to date that have probably eluded headlines and highlight shows.
Of course, there are two ways a team can change. They can import a bunch of new players with new characteristics, or their existing personnel can change. I found a little of both in this list.
Read the full article... On the "lost art" of the two-out RBI.
On Saturday night’s national FOX broadcast of the Nationals-Marlins game, announcer
bemoaned what he called “the lost art of the two-out Cliff Floyd .” Had you ever heard of that? Me neither. So I decided to check it out. RBI Read the full article... Chase Anderson (almost) shuts down the Cubs, Scherzer vs. Syndergaard lives up to the billing, and Kershaw vs. Trout lives up to Kershaw.
The Tuesday Takeaway
Milwaukee’s pitching has offered little excitement this year (except, perhaps, excitement about the fact that the Reds exist, which allows the Brewers to be second to last for most pitching stats instead of the worst in baseball). The Cubs’ hitting, on the other hand, has offered excitement near nonstop. And because baseball is weird, when the two met Tuesday night, the excitement was all Milwaukee’s—though the Cubs did their best to spoil that up until the very end.
Read the full article...
Standout arms (for good or ill) from this week, including, duh, Max Scherzer. Also Aroldis Chapman (good) and Luis Severino and Derek Holland (ill).
20 Ks, y'all, 20 Ks. Also: Good for the Astros, Good for the Giants, Good for the Mariners.