The Giants and Nationals will play what feels like Game Four, while the Dodger will lean on a returning Ryu.
The Nationals were one out away from evening up the NLDS on Saturday night, but instead wound up on the wrong end of a historic, 18-inning affair, losing 2-1 to the Giants on a Brandon Belt home run. Now they try to become just the ninth team in postseason history to win a five0game series after losing the first two games. Here is a look at the PECOTA odds and projected lineups for Game Three of the NLDS.
The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.
Not a subscriber?
Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.
The Giants come away with the longest game in postseason history.
This is the kind of game recap that needs two recaps. There were two separate stories that took place during the course of this historic game, the longest postseason game by time and one of the two longest postseason games by innings played. The first story was about the great pitching duel between Jordan Zimmermann and Tim Hudson. The second story was about eight innings of bullpen mastery or offensive futility (depending upon your point of view) that ended with a Brandon Belt blast in the top of the 18th. Both stories were woven together and made possible by a Drew Storen blown save that perhaps should never have happened.
With the AL taking the day off, a pair of Game Two NLDS games gets center-stage on Saturday evening.
The Giants narrowly took Game One of this series, besting Stephen Strasburg with a heroic outing from Jake Peavy. The Nationals will try to get back on track behind the charge of Jordan Zimmermann, who's coming off of a 10-K no-hitter on the final day of the regular season, while the Giants send 39-year-old artist Tim Hudson to the mound with a chance to take a 2-0 advantage back to San Francisco.
The Giants snatch home-field advantage away from the Nats behind Jake Peavy and Joe Panik.
Friday's face-off in D.C. appeared to be a mismatch looking at the full-season numbers, with NL strikeout leader Stephen Strasburg pitted against the aging Jake Peavy. But Peavy has been very effective since the midseason trade that brought him to the orange and black, slashing his ERA by more than half when compared to his Boston performance and stifling walks as well as any other time in his career. Not to be outdone, Strasburg has pitched his best baseball over the past month, including three consecutive scoreless starts to finish the season.
The Nats bring a deep roster, a particularly talented rotation, and the NL's best record to face a team that has been an October juggernaut.
The Nationals come into the series with the National League's best record and boast an impressive rotation and deep lineup. They'll take on a Giants team that won't have it's ace until later in the series after Madison Bumgarner dominated in the Wild Card Game, helping San Franscisco advance to the NLDS. However, the Giants' offense has more pop than the teams they brought to October in the recent past and their manager has proven he can pull the right strings in the postseason.
The final day of the season has more drama than we were expecting; the Monday after the season, however, will have far less than we were hoping. That, plus a number of players who hit significant milestones.
Last year, the Marlins finished the regular season with a no-hitter by Henderson Alvarez. This year, with Jordan Zimmermann and the Nationals doing the honors, the shoe was on the other foot.
With Jason Parks leaving, the prospect team is rearranging, but remains more ambitious than ever.
Sometimes I forget how truly fortunate I am to work in baseball. I quit hearing the sound of the crack of the bat or the pop of the glove. I become numb to the smell of the freshly cut grass, the sound of the organ, and the roar of the crowd as the home team walks off with a win. Because, you see, not unlike many of you, my primary responsibility is to look ahead. My job is create the vision for a company and try to improve on what we have, build on what’s been developed, and help bring new and innovative content to an audience that demands it every day. So, yes, while I still get to a few dozen games a year, enjoy the warmth of Arizona after a long winter in New York, and watch countless games on MLB.TV, there are times when the game right now, at this instant, is not at the forefront of my mind.
But what I never, ever forget are the people I get to work with…the readers, the fans, the players, scouts, front offices, media colleagues, and of course, the staff here at Baseball Prospectus. When I first sat down to write this piece, my intention was to thank Jason Parks and introduce our transition plan for the BP prospect team. I will cover those topics shortly, but forgive me for a moment if I stray.
In the prospect world, we like to use the term helium for a player whose fictitious stock is rising fast, and perhaps no player in the minors had more helium this year than Dilson Herrera. His promotion to the majors serves as the culmination of an incredibly fast journey through three levels in the Mets system (and skipping over one).
Updates on Michael Taylor, Victor Arano, Daniel Norris, and others.
The Monday Morning Ten Pack is brought to you by Sidsgraphs.com. SidsGraphs specializes in memorabilia and game-used items from baseball's top prospects! Visit Sidsgraphs.com today or visit their retail store in the south suburbs of Chicago.
A look at Lucas Giolito in Lakewood brought back memories from 2012.
Lakewood is not what you expect when you think of minor-league towns. Just off a main road not far from a recently rebuilt Jersey Shore, Lakewood is not small town America. It’s overcrowded New Jersey, within commuting distance of our nation's biggest city, a place where it's go big or go home. It's not the kind of place you expect to see perspective-altering performances from 19-year-old kids in A-ball.