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6 Playoff Prospectus: Clayton Kershaw, Proven Closer by Jarrett Seidler
2 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 5 Preview by Aaron Gleeman
3 Playoff Prospectus: Short-Rest Seesaw by Mauricio Rubio
0 Playoff Prospectus: Baker vs. Roberts by Craig Goldstein
0 Playoff Prospectus: Split Opportunities by Demetrius Bell
0 Playoff Prospectus: Not a Duel, But Dodgers Grab Game 1 by Ashley Varela
0 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 1 Previews by Mike Gianella
4 Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Dodgers by Craig Goldstein
0 Rubbing Mud: Trea Turner Saved Dusty Baker From Himself by Matthew Trueblood
6 Transaction Analysis: Heart, Soul, and Marginal Upgrades by Bryan Grosnick and Wilson Karaman
9 Banjo Hitter: Winter of Their Discontent by Aaron Gleeman
0 Transaction Analysis: Nats Pay for the Pitcher, Not the Velo by Bryan Grosnick, Christopher Crawford and J.P. Breen
1 Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Lucas Giolito by Doug Thorburn
0 What You Need to Know: Ambition Can Lead Only To Failure by Nicolas Stellini
0 What You Need to Know: All He Does Is Win, Win, Win by Ashley Varela
0 Raising Aces: Passing of the Cy by Doug Thorburn
2 What You Need to Know: Into the Wild by Nicolas Stellini
0 Pebble Hunting: Kershaw vs. Harper: The Mistakes by Sam Miller
0 What You Need to Know: Near-Max Effort by Daniel Rathman
4 The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 6 by Matt Sussman
3 Transaction Analysis: Escape From L.A. by Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski
5 Prospectus Feature: The Under-the-Radar Team Adjustments by Rob Mains
2 BP Unfiltered: Art Discovered, Lost, Found by Rob Mains
2 What You Need to Know: We Can Beat Rizzo, For Just One Day by Emma Baccellieri
1 Raising Aces: Why Max Scherzer? by Doug Thorburn
6 What You Need to Know: Max Scherzer Is Our Greatest Active Historic-Start Pitcher by Demetrius Bell
5 Transaction Analysis: The Tip of the Strasburg by Bryan Grosnick
13 Fifth Column: On A Rule Limiting Intentional Walks by Michael Baumann
6 What You Need to Know: The One With All the Home Runs by Ashley Varela
0 What You Need to Know: Not Tonight, Sweet Papelbon, Not Tonight by Nicolas Stellini
5 Life at the Margins: In Dusty They Trusty by Rian Watt
0 Raising Aces: Pre-Surgery Strasburg Is Finally Back by Doug Thorburn
0 Prospectus Feature: Your Fun, My Fun, Our Fun by Trevor Strunk
6 What You Need to Know: Early-Season Perfections Fall Apart by Emma Baccellieri
3 What You Need to Know: Psst: Jake Arrieta Has A 0.91 ERA Over His Past 169 Innings by Ashley Varela
7 Pebble Hunting: How You Tried To Beat PECOTA by Sam Miller
2 Transaction Analysis: Deep Cuts For The SuperFans by Bryan Grosnick
2 Life at the Margins: Greatness, Nearby by Rian Watt
1 Rumor Roundup: Someday Yet He'll Begin His Life Again by Ashley Varela
4 Fifth Column: Davey Lopes, But His Players Run Like Crazy by Michael Baumann
5 Winter Is Leaving by Brendan Gawlowski
1 Rumor Roundup: Arroyo's Hopes Alive, If Nats Can't Find A Better Man by Daniel Rathman
1 Rumor Roundup: The Sultriest Fifth-Starter Showdown? by Daniel Rathman
1 Rubbing Mud: Between Now and the Free Agent Superclass by Matthew Trueblood
9 Prospectus Feature: The Legal Dispute That's Costing the Nats Millions Won't End by Samuel Mann
8 Transaction Analysis: Jays, Storen Each Get Relief by Bryan Grosnick and J.P. Breen
2 Best of BP 2015: Post-Moneyball's Clubability by Meg Rowley
11 Players Prefer Presentation: Uh-Oh: On Dusty Baker by Meg Rowley
6 Baseball Therapy: Fiddlesticks, Yeah! by Russell A. Carleton
2 Rubbing Mud: Opposite Ways on the B-W Parkway by Matthew Trueblood
Modern bullpen usage be damned, Dave Roberts was determined to use his best pitchers in Game 5 and the Dodgers are moving on.
wasn’t going home without using his best pitchers. And because he used them, he isn’t going home. Dave Roberts Read the full article...
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October 13, 2016 6:00 am
Rich Hill vs. Max Scherzer, in Washington.
One game, for all the marbles and a seven-game date with the Cubs. Washington turns to $210 million ace and former
winner Cy Young . Los Angeles turns to ... Max Scherzer . Rich Hill
Clayton Kershaw as human and the Dodgers' bullpen imploded, but Los Angeles still forced a Game 5.
had a decision to make. The Dodgers found themselves in a win-or-go-home Game 4 and Dave Roberts had given a poor, three-inning effort in Game 3 which burned a total of seven bullpen arms. Kenta Maeda , the talented but still raw rookie lefty was slated to start Game 4, but Roberts took a gamble and decided to start Julio Urias on short rest. Clayton Kershaw Read the full article... Washington grabbed a 2-1 series lead as the two managers handled Game 3 much differently.
The final score hardly told the full story, and yet it was far more representative of the game as a whole. A four-run ninth turned what was a tense, belabored slog into a laugher. The Dodgers got off to a quick start, as for the third straight game their starting pitcher struck out
in his first at-bat and, for the third straight game, Trea Turner drove in a run in his first at-bat. It was downhill from there, though, as the Nationals worked counts, driving Corey Seager ’s pitch count up. Kenta Maeda Read the full article... Washington evened the NLDS at 1-1 thanks to Los Angeles repeatedly failing with the bases loaded.
As Game 2 between the Nationals and Dodgers got underway Sunday, it would’ve been reasonable to believe that Los Angeles was feeling good about themselves and their chances of going back to the West Coast with a 2-0 lead. After all, they’d managed to snatch a victory in Game 1 when the Battle of the Aces fizzled into a bullpen duel. So, it didn’t come as much of a surprise when the Dodgers stormed out of the blocks early against
and Washington. Tanner Roark Read the full article... Clayton Kershaw vs. Max Scherzer didn't quite live up to the hype.
Don’t call it a pitchers' duel.
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October 7, 2016 10:33 am
Clayton Kershaw vs. Max Scherzer in Washington and Johnny Cueto vs. Jon Lester in Chicago.
On Wednesday night, the Giants did what they have done in every even year of Barack Obama’s presidency: win a do-or-die game in the playoffs. Now, the Giants head to Wrigley Field with the unenviable task of trying to knock off the 103-win Cubs.
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October 7, 2016 6:00 am
The battle of the best rookies in the NL kicks off in DC.
The battle for coastal supremacy will pit the two best rookies in the National League against each other, not to mention two of the best pitchers in the game right now. It’s hard to fathom that so many storylines could fit in one series and not focus on
, and yet he was neither the most dynamic ( Bryce Harper ) nor the best ( Trea Turner ) player on his team this year. The Dodgers needed every ounce of their depth to arrive in the playoffs, burning through [checks notes] 41 starting pitchers this season. Hey, it was plausible for a minute, right? Fine, whatever. Let’s be real, this is a contest to decide who can lose to the Best Team In Baseball Cubs or the Even Year Bullsh*t Giants, anyway, right? Daniel Murphy The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
September 2, 2016 6:02 am
The Nationals' newest star isn't just great--he's the exact right kind of great for his manager's liking.
You wouldn’t know it by their 17-11 August record, nor by their 100 percent Playoff Odds, but this has been a bit of a turbulent season (again) for the talented Nationals. They’ve gotten some very good luck—like Brandon Phillips blocking a trade to Washington this winter, forcing the team to move on and sign ; like Daniel Murphy suddenly becoming the star-caliber catcher for which first the Twins, then the Nationals had waited so long—but also some bad breaks, like Wilson Ramos ’s continued injury problems, and Stephen Strasburg ’s (possibly injury-driven) two-month hiatus from Harperness. They’ve had to rebuild their bullpen on the fly, and navigate some odd early-season decisions by Bryce Harper . Dusty Baker
Read the full article...
Chooch is switching coasts, Desmond Jennings is moving on, David Freese is staying put, and Scrabble goes to Washington. The long-term deals signed last winter have turned into one of the ugliest in recent memory, from the teams' perspectives.
If you look back at the biggest multi-year contracts signed by free agents every offseason, the rate of teams at some point wishing they could get out of the deal tends to be high. On the most basic level, there’s simply a lot of room for a nine-figure investment in a baseball player to go wrong, particularly when the player is usually on the wrong side of 30 years old and coming off a stretch of good performance that makes for a natural regression candidate. Beyond that, the notion of a “winner’s curse” is at work, in that any team bidding enough to secure a high-end free agent likely did so by paying a premium. And, of course, players sign deals when they're in their prime. They end them when they're old, but still getting paid like they're not.
None of which is to suggest that handing out $100 million-plus deals to free agents is always a bad idea, but rather that for the contract to be a good idea the team has to get tremendous value in the early years. There’s a tacit understanding that, for instance, a six-year, $150 million signing will not provide the team with as much value in Year 5 and Year 6 as it does in Year 1 and Year 2, but the team lives with the later years of the contract in order to get the early years. Another way of looking at it is that, if things
don’t go well in those early years of a big long-term contract, the whole signing may turn very, very ugly. Read the full article...
The Nationals get Mark Melancon, a reliever who has been as good as Aroldis Chapman.