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May 16, 2014 6:00 am

PECOTA Takes on Prospects

14

Andrew Koo

PECOTA tackles a position where the offensive bar is set significantly lower than it was in last week's installment.

Series introduction and methodology
Previous positions: Catcher | First Base

Here’s a chart of production by position in 2013:

Position

PA

TAv

WARP

1B

20581

.281

63.6

2B

20638

.261

63.0

Last week, I talked about the offense required from first basemen to offset their negative positional adjustment. This week, we explore second base, whose occupants hit 20 points of True Average worse last season but produced the same total WARP. This demonstrates the defensive gap we’re familiar with while also illustrating the low offensive bar for second basemen. One needed to produce a TAv of only .261 while playing average defense to be a “league average” second baseman last year (league-average TAv is always scaled to be .260). Gregor Blanco personified the league average hitter in 2013—and he had the 114th-best TAv out of 141 qualified batters.

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Reintroducing long-term projections and UPSIDE scores and welcoming PECOTA percentiles, diagnostics, and comparables to the player cards.

Baseball Prospectus is pleased to announce five new additions to the 2014 player cards, three which have been missing for a few years.

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