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December 11, 2006 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: Winter Meetings Review


Joe Sheehan

Back from Orlando--an experience in itself--Joe looks back on the week that was.

Today, I'm running my winter meetings wrap-up, a piece that was originally intended for Friday publication. That it's running today is by design, not by sloth. I was working on this stuff late Thursday night when I became disenchanted with the article, and with my analysis in general, and shelved it for a couple of days.

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July 15-21, 2002

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May 24, 2002 11:17 am

Transaction Analysis: May 20-22, 2002


Christina Kahrl

Nevertheless, in the wake of the most bizarre deal we've seen in a very long time, I couldn't help myself; I peeked around. Now, I have a lot of respect for Rob Neyer, and for Rob's work. As a fellow product of the analysis revolution of the '80s, I suspect we share a basic philosophy of trying to inject some element of quantitative analysis to provide better qualitative commentary. That said, I think any attempt to quantitatively assess the trade of Jeremy Giambi--regardless of your opinion of Win Shares and their utility--ignores two basic problems.

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I just finished reading your article about umpires and stolen-base percentage. I just want to point out one factor that you did not consider in your article which throws all your statistics out the window. You did not mention whether they made the right call or not. If Chuck Meriwether called out 41 of 55 base stealers and he was correct on every one of them, then there is no bias. It would be better for you to look at which umpires make the correct call as opposed to those who don't get the call right as much.

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