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08-07

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: A Strategy Example From the Deadline
by
Jeff Quinton

07-31

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadlines and Systems of Thought
by
Jeff Quinton

07-30

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6

Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-21

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, Sellers
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

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14

Transaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are Selling
by
R.J. Anderson, Ron Shah, Jason Parks, Bret Sayre and Mauricio Rubio

07-04

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 485: Trading Within the Division
by
Ben Lindbergh and Russell A. Carleton

07-03

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52

The Lineup Card: Ten Trades That Made Our Childhoods
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-01

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 482: The Astros' Leaked Trade Talks
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-27

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 480: The David Price Trading Game
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-26

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 479: A Move Each Contender Should Make
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-19

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Paralysis
by
Jeff Quinton

05-14

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Growing the Pie
by
Jeff Quinton

05-07

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Negotiation Styles
by
Jeff Quinton

04-23

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: The Benefits of Early-Season Trade Talk
by
Jeff Quinton

04-09

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Buying Low, Letting Go, and the Disposition Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

03-24

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Is it Really All Currency?
by
Jeff Quinton

03-24

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Strategic Decisions
by
Wilson Karaman

01-24

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28

Overthinking It: Internet Commenters Try to Trade for David Price
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-05

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32

The Lineup Card: Seven Trade Ideas for the Winter Meetings
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-12

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15

Overthinking It: Picking an Appropriate Cardinals Shortstop
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-11

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3

Transaction Analysis: The Anti-Jeter Joins Jeter
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-10

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7

Painting the Black: Flipping the Birds
by
R.J. Anderson

09-03

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 278: Chris Cotillo on Breaking Trades Before Finishing High School
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-03

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5

Transaction Analysis: Breaking Down August's Buzzer-Beating Trades
by
Ben Lindbergh, Jason Cole, Nick J. Faleris and Chris Mellen

08-09

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2

Transaction Analysis: Rios in Texas
by
R.J. Anderson and Jason Cole

08-02

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2

BP Unfiltered: Reliever Value at the Deadline
by
Andrew Koo

08-01

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3

Overthinking It: Trade Deadline Takeaways
by
Ben Lindbergh

08-01

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 256: The Trade Deadline in Review
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-31

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7

BP Unfiltered: The 2013 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-31

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12

Baseball ProGUESTus: Trade WARP: Evaluating MLB General Managers
by
Tim Malone

07-30

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2

Transaction Analysis: The Tigers Fortify Their Bullpen
by
R.J. Anderson and Mark Anderson

07-29

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Dumping and Correctly Calculating Roster Value
by
Mike Gianella

07-29

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16

Pebble Hunting: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade For, Jake Peavy
by
Sam Miller

07-22

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0

Transaction Analysis: Texas Closes the Deal on Garza
by
Jason Parks and Jason Cole

07-09

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13

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Vetoes
by
Mike Gianella

07-09

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 239: Carlos Gomez and the NL MVP Race/The Cubs and Trading Recently Signed Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-05

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4

BP Unfiltered: Brian Sabean and Buying and Selling Before the Deadline
by
Ben Lindbergh

07-03

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4

Transaction Analysis: Of Baltimore and Bonus Slots
by
Sam Miller

06-03

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Is Dumping Early a Good Plan?
by
Mike Gianella

04-26

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 190: The Ike Davis Enigma/Trading Prospects Straight Up for Stanton
by
Ben Lindbergh and Will Woods

04-24

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5

Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 24, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

04-05

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2

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 175: Brian Roberts' Injury, Baserunners Passing Baserunners, and the Pros and Cons of Trade Speculation
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

03-31

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1

Daily Roundup: Around the League: March 31, 2013
by
Clint Chisam and Joe Hamrahi

01-17

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2

Skewed Left: Washington's Winning Way with Trades
by
Zachary Levine

01-07

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 113: Three Trade Rumors We Read This Weekend
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-22

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7

Overthinking It: The Winter's Quietest Contenders
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-14

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: When Good GMs Go Bad
by
Jonah Keri

12-04

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 94: The Perplexing Trade Value of R.A. Dickey and Billy Butler
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-20

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 86: Should the Commissioner Have the Ability to Overturn a Trade?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

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August 7, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: A Strategy Example From the Deadline

2

Jeff Quinton

Examining how the concepts about which Jeff writes can be applied to a real fantasy league scenario.

Less specifically, I type words. More specifically, I type words about the theories and concepts that surround fantasy baseball strategy. Every once in a while, it is worthwhile to zoom in a little, to take a look at an actual fantasy baseball example because it allows us to see how these concepts and theories can play out in our leagues. Consequently, I bring you a case study from my NL only keeper league (which also happens to be my favorite league). The trades and non-trades made by the top three teams in my league provide excellent studies on strategy, owner tendencies, competitive response, and trade markets as well as the interactions of all these concepts. Let us get cracking.

The League:
11 team, NL only, 5x5 roto, 15 major league keeper max, 4 minor league keeper max, 12 hitters/9 pitchers/1 utility slot.


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July 31, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadlines and Systems of Thought

2

Jeff Quinton

Helpful tips for making the most of your 11th-hour swaps.

Good whatever time of the day you are reading this; more importantly, good almost trading deadline. At this point, you are all familiar with my love of the work of Daniel Kahneman and Amost Tversky as well as my love of Kahneman’s very excellent Thinking, Fast and Slow. Up to this point, when my articles have involved their work, they have been regarding the thinking part rather than the fast and slow part. This has not been unintentional because in fantasy baseball we almost always have time to analyze every decision we make; thus, we almost always get to avoid thinking fast or System 1 thinking as Kahneman describes it. One of the exceptions to this particular “almost always” is your league’s trade deadline. In some leagues, there is a flurry of activity right before the deadline and thus a flurry of System 1 thinking.

This very moment seems like a great time to explain System 1 and System 2 thinking. Kahneman calls System 1, “the brain’s fast, automatic, intuitive approach” and System 2 “the mind’s slower, analytical mode, where reason dominates.” The former is great for making life more enjoyable by lowering the cognitive burden of living in such a complex world. In other words, System 1 is great for quickly and effortlessly making decisions of little consequence. When deciding which parking space you should park in or whether to go with Regular or 100% Colombian at Wawa (#regular4life), System 1 is the perfect system for the job. In fact, using System 2 for these types of decisions would be exhausting. That said, System 1 has many problems for navigating complex problems in that it is affected by biases, finds connections that do not exist, makes counterproductive associations, jumps to conclusions, and chooses the less cognitively difficult path instead of the optimal path. Conversely, System 2 is the better system for making important, difficult decisions. System 2 is not perfect for such instances, but it is the best we have and it is much better at overcoming many of the obstacles presented by System 1. The catch with System 2, however, is that it requires a certain amount of time.

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July 30, 2014 6:00 am

Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the Deadline

6

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

If one of your league-mates wants to buy high on any of these players, Ben and Craig would advice you to let him go.

Last week we brought you six players we’re buying in a dynasty format, so naturally, we thought it prudent to bring you another six-pack of players, this time focusing on who we’re selling, using the same long-term perspective.

Ben: Brock Holt, Everything, BOS
Brock Holt is a pretty decent baseball player. He can play both corner infield spots, both corner outfield spots and second base, and he can fake it in center or at short for a few games. He’s fast enough to be an occasional threat on the bases, he has a patient approach at the plate and he has the bat speed necessary to barrel up good velocity. There are lots of nice things you can say about Brock Holt (o/), and I think he’ll be a unique, valuable major leaguer for a long time.


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July 21, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers

10

Mike Gianella

A look at the moves buyers might make and the fantasy impact they'd have.

Two weeks ago, I looked at the potential sellers at the major league trade deadline. Today, I will take a look at potential buyers.

The same caveats from my last article apply. What I have compiled for our readers is a helpful, at-a-glance look at the potential trade market this month, particularly from the vantage point of teams that might be adding players. It is not meant to be an all-encompassing guide; it is possible some rumored targets are not listed below. Since this is a fantasy article, I will focus on fantasy impact but if you are a non-fantasy player and a Baseball Prospectus reader I hope this article proves useful to you as well.

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July 7, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, Sellers

2

Mike Gianella

A look at the moves sellers might make and the fantasy impact they'd have.

Unless you are in a very shallow mixed league, chances are excellent that the major league non-waiver trade deadline will have an impact on your fantasy league. Even if you don’t play fantasy baseball, the deadline is a fun time if you are a baseball fan, but ever since I started playing fantasy baseball, I feel like I pay extra attention to the rumor mill.

What I have compiled for our readers this week is a helpful, at-a-glance, one article look at the potential trade market this month, particularly from the viewpoint of players who might be on the move. Since this is a fantasy article, I will focus on fantasy impact, but if you are a non-fantasy player and a Baseball Prospectus reader, I hope that this article proves useful to you as well.

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The A's go all in, and the Cubs add to their prospect stockpile.



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Ben and Russell discuss whether trading David Price (or anyone else) to another team in the same division makes sense.

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The staff reminisces about barters that we still remember from when we were growing up.

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Ben and Sam discuss the significance of the Astros' leaked internal trade notes.

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Ben and Sam banter about the Astros, then discuss what a realistic return would be in a package for David Price.

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Ben and Sam banter about seeing no-hitters and team philosophies, then discuss potential solutions for each contender's biggest need.

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June 19, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Paralysis

3

Jeff Quinton

A look at ways to alleviate the fear that sometimes accompanies a seemingly fair trade proposal.

This article starts with a feeling. That feeling being the one you get when you contemplate a particular type of trade offer—a fair trade offer. You know the feeling I am talking about, I know you do. The exhilaration and excitement come first, but these feelings are quickly washed over by another, stronger feeling—fear. At this point, you are beyond the constructive weighing of pros and cons; your mind is simply racing with every conceivable negative outcome. Maybe your fears are like mine, and maybe they sometimes go something like this:

“This guy throws sliders 30 percent of the time and his mechanics aren’t great. Is he due for a DL stint?” “I know 32 is not that old, but he did play in 15 less games in 2013 than he did in 2012.” “Is his strikeout rate trending the wrong way?” “This guy’s true talent is better, but he has the same amount of homers that my guy has right now. Is it really an upgrade?” “I’m trading away current production for potential future production that might never be realized. This might end up looking really bad for me.” “Am I giving up too much with no guarantee that this will significantly improve my team?”

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