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Articles Tagged Trade Deadline 

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07-28

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3

Prospectus Feature: To Be Young (Is To Be Traded Unexpectedly)
by
Trevor Strunk

07-28

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6

The GM Trade Game!
by
Ben Carsley and BP Staff

07-27

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0

Cold Takes: Stuck With Him
by
Patrick Dubuque

07-27

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4

Pitching Backward: Valuing Relievers, in July and Otherwise
by
Jeff Long

07-26

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Transaction Analysis: Made For Joaquin
by
Bryan Grosnick

07-24

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BP Milwaukee
by
Nicholas Zettel

07-24

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BP South Side
by
James Fegan

07-23

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BP South Side
by
James Fegan

07-22

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14

The GM Trade Game!
by
Sam Miller and BP Staff

07-22

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1

Prospectus Feature: Good Deal?
by
Trevor Strunk

07-21

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Prospectus Feature: The Players Who Are Just Dying To Be Traded
by
Aaron Gleeman

07-21

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4

Rubbing Mud: Why the Yankees Should Sell Hard
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-20

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5

Two-Strike Approach: How Good Is Cleveland?
by
Cat Garcia

07-17

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6

Rubbing Mud: Another Look At Doyle, Smoltz, Andersen, Bagwell
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-14

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2

Prospectus Feature: Where These Terrible Twins Go From Here
by
Aaron Gleeman

07-11

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1

Rubbing Mud: Four Rays Pitchers and a Trade Deadline
by
Matthew Trueblood

06-26

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BP Bronx
by
Nicolas Stellini

06-18

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BP Milwaukee
by
Seth Victor

08-05

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2

The Quinton: Fantasy Trade Deadline Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

07-31

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Transaction Analysis: Relievers, Left and Right
by
R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford, Matthew Trueblood, Jeff Long, Dustin Palmateer and Kate Morrison

07-31

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0

BP Unfiltered: The 2015 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-30

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0

The Quinton: Fantasy Trade Deadline Guide
by
Jeff Quinton

07-24

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1

What You Need to Know: July 24th, 2015
by
Daniel Rathman

07-21

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4

Closer Report: Trade Deadline Edition (Week 17)
by
Matt Collins

06-25

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3

Painting the Black: #HugWatch2015
by
R.J. Anderson

08-02

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19

Trade Deadline
by
Sam Miller and Tim Collins

07-31

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4

BP Unfiltered: The 2014 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread
by
BP Staff

07-31

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadlines and Systems of Thought
by
Jeff Quinton

07-30

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10

The Lineup Card: Nine Last-Minute Trades
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-30

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6

Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-24

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7

Painting the Black: The Selling-the-Closer Myth
by
R.J. Anderson

07-22

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 497: The Trade Deadline Desperation Index
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-07

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, Sellers
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

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15

Transaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are Selling
by
R.J. Anderson, Ron Shah, Jason Parks, Bret Sayre and Mauricio Rubio

06-30

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22

Painting the Black: The Trade Deadline Preview
by
R.J. Anderson

06-27

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37

Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David Price
by
Ben Lindbergh and Baseball Prospectus

06-27

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 480: The David Price Trading Game
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-26

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 479: A Move Each Contender Should Make
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-26

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6

The Lineup Card: Eight Things Contenders Need
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-02

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2

BP Unfiltered: Reliever Value at the Deadline
by
Andrew Koo

08-01

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3

Overthinking It: Trade Deadline Takeaways
by
Ben Lindbergh

08-01

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7

Skewed Left: The Last Time the Phillies Considered Selling
by
Zachary Levine

08-01

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 256: The Trade Deadline in Review
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-01

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3

Transaction Analysis: Astros Distributed Elsewhere
by
Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jason Parks

08-01

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0

Transaction Analysis: Padres Trade for Ian Kennedy
by
R.J. Anderson

08-01

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8

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: The Top Ten Prospects Traded at the Deadline
by
Jason Parks

07-31

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7

BP Unfiltered: The 2013 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-31

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17

The Great Trade Game
by
Paul Sporer

07-31

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12

Baseball ProGUESTus: Trade WARP: Evaluating MLB General Managers
by
Tim Malone

07-31

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11

Transaction Analysis: Breaking Down the Three-Team Trade
by
Ben Lindbergh

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The Indians head into the trade deadline in first place, but are they really capable of running with the best teams in this year's playoffs?

In 1999, the world was anticipating the Y2K bug, Rachel and Ross had just (accidentally) married, and Enema of the State and The Slim Shady LP were selling millions of records against the backdrop of Napster’s ascent.

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History tells us the story of two lopsided trades, but History ignores some nuance--and some lessons for this trade deadline.

There are lots of cautionary tales about trading prospects for pitchers in the heat of a pennant race. Some belong specifically to certain fan bases or regions; most also belong specifically to one or another generation. There’s the deal that sent Derek Lowe and Jason Varitek to the Red Sox in exchange for Heathcliff Slocumb, and the one that sent Grady Sizemore, Cliff Lee, and Brandon Phillips to the Indians in exchange for Bartolo Colon. More recently, there was Scott Kazmir for Victor Zambrano, and more recently still, there was Wilson Ramos for Matt Capps. There are tons of these, and because of that possessiveness each fan base and generation feels toward its favorites, you’re probably wondering why your personal highlight wasn’t among the ones I just rattled off.

I want to talk, though, about two of the highest-profile versions of this fable in history. As it happened, they occurred just three years apart, and almost 30 years ago. They’re the ones you probably conjured quickest, when you read the first sentence, even if they’re not the ones with which you identify most closely. Here they are:

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The Twins are uncharacteristically vowing to be sellers this July. Makes it easier to say 'so long' when these are the parts you have to sell.

The first half was a mess for the Twins.

Offseason optimism that followed last year’s surprising climb over .500 gave way to a 0-9 start, and any notion of contending for the division title (or even a wild card spot) all but vanished by the end of April. Their record is an AL-worst 32-56, which just narrowly avoids the worst mark through 88 games in team history and makes a fifth 90-loss season in the past six years inevitable. Pitching continues to be a disaster, as the Twins have again allowed the league’s most runs after ranking dead last in ERA from 2011-2015, and the young lineup that was supposed to be a strength has instead scored the league’s 10th-most runs.

There’s no saving this season, and the stink of 95-100 losses would make it difficult to believe in the Twins’ ability to bounce back as contenders next year, which would be Year Seven of a rebuilding process that started with a collapse in 2011. However, the second half is crucial for the Twins as they try to figure out exactly where the franchise is headed and whether longtime but increasingly ineffective general manager Terry Ryan should be the one leading them there. There are a dozen veterans who conceivably could be moved by the trade deadline, and at least as many prospects who need roster spots and playing time to be evaluated for 2017 and beyond.

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The one thing right about the Rays right now is their rotation. Time to trade some of it?

I guess the good news in Tampa Bay is that, after drafting 13th or later in each of the last eight Junes, they’re looking at a top-five pick in 2017. Other than that, the news is grim. The AL East keeps getting tougher, really. The Red Sox will feel the pain of the penalties levied by MLB in the wake of their bonus-bundling bungle, but they still have a strong farm system (including close to the best single prospect in baseball) in support of a very talented team, and a whole bunch of money. The Yankees have been disciplined lately, though not as aggressive about rebuilding as some would prefer, and if they’re poorly positioned this year and next, they make up for it by being very well positioned for just about every foreseeable season thereafter. The Orioles keep surprising people, which, hey, that could end anytime, but we’re in Year Five of the at-least-respectable Dan Duquette Orioles Era. And then there are the Blue Jays, whose future is a bit uncertain but who have been downright dominant for long stretches over the past two years. When last the Rays snuck up on the division, they had two giants to slay. Maybe they helped cut those giants down to size, but they’re now facing twice as many serious opponents.

That’s not to say that competition is the Rays’ only problem. Their Opening Day payroll, just south of $67 million this year, has been essentially flat since 2009. In 2011, right before the current CBA took effect and made the Draft much harder to manipulate, the team had 10 of the first 60 Draft picks. To even approximate the aggressive use of those picks they envisioned, though, they had to cut their spending by nearly 40 percent from the previous year. The spike in national TV revenues over the last few years and the windfall the league just made by selling off a slice of MLB Advanced Media make the failure to raise payroll a tough one to explain, but if we assume ownership will continue to constrain the baseball operations element this way, then we can also assume it will be tough for the Rays to keep up with the rest of the league for a while—maybe until they’re in a more viable big-league environment.

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June 26, 2016 6:00 am

BP Bronx

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Nicolas Stellini

The trade deadline is approaching and the Yankees aren't getting any meaningful clarity.

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June 18, 2016 6:00 am

BP Milwaukee

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Seth Victor

What once seemed like a disaster of an extension has been redeemed lately.

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August 5, 2015 6:00 am

The Quinton: Fantasy Trade Deadline Takeaways

2

Jeff Quinton

Lessons Jeff learned over the past week.

Having just wrapped up my AL- and NL-only keeper-league trade deadlines last weekend, I have some takeaways to help us navigate future trade deadlines. The first is regarding the importance of growing and knowing trade routes when we are faced with limited time. The next is using strategic trends to predict the behavior of our leaguemates. The last is actually regarding FAAB bidding in keeper leagues following the MLB trade deadlines (when players switch leagues and thus become available).

Limited Time, Pop-up Markets, and Trade Routes

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The Twins, Blue Jays, and many others stock their bullpens for the stretch run.



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Here's where you can find all of this year's trade deadline coverage in one spot.

At Baseball Prospectus, we'll be bringing you analysis of every trade and transaction up through Friday's 4 p.m. (ET) non-waiver trade deadline. Check back here for the latest links to our coverage, in chronological order.

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July 30, 2015 6:00 am

The Quinton: Fantasy Trade Deadline Guide

0

Jeff Quinton

Strategy, process, and decision-making help for your deadline dealing.

The real baseball trade deadline approaches. The trade deadline in many fantasy baseball leagues also approaches. It is a wonderful time of the year. To celebrate, we will take a look at some of the strategic and behavioral decision-making factors that we should be considering this time of year. Some of these factors will be old friends, while others will be new acquaintances. We will be going more for breadth than depth here.

League Norms and the Default Effect

We are looking at the intersection of two behaviors here, so buckle up. A norm in many a league is for teams to wait to trade until the trade deadline. A less extreme norm is for teams in the middle of the pack to wait until the traded deadline to decide whether to be buyers or sellers. This is often a powerful norm because it provides owners with (i) an easy route for risk aversion and (ii) a nice default option. These decisions are hard, and the default effect tells us that when we are faced with complex or weighty decisions, we rely more on defaults. In this case, many teams will avoid making moves until the trade deadline.

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July 24, 2015 6:00 am

What You Need to Know: July 24th, 2015

1

Daniel Rathman

A few pitchers make strong trade-deadline auditions, Kershaw flirts with perfection, and much more.

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July 21, 2015 6:00 am

Closer Report: Trade Deadline Edition (Week 17)

4

Matt Collins

Examining the ninth-inning impact of possible deadline trades involving relievers.

Because of the All-Star break, there wasn’t much closer news this week. Instead of rehashing the same story lines of the last few weeks, I’m taking a different approach to the Closer Report this time around. With the trade deadline rapidly approaching, and many closers rumored to be available, I’ll take a quick look at each of the potential movers, and all of the fantasy ramifications from possible deals. We’ll be back to our regularly scheduled programming next week.

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