Which was Todd and which was Doug? An eternally relevant survey.
Doug Jones' no. 4 comp on Baseball-Reference is Todd Jones. Or maybe Todd Jones' no. 4 comp on Baseball Reference is Doug Jones. I have never kept those two apart, and I continue to not keep those two apart, and so I asked my compatriots at Baseball Prospectus to answer this question:
Things are getting interesting, so let's talk about the odds.
Chipper Jones is not a .400 hitter. However, that doesn’t mean that he won’t hit .400. What we have on our hands is a classic case of the irresistible force against the immovable object. On the one hand, it’s exceptionally unlikely that a player who has hit .310 over a 15-year major league career suddenly woke up one morning at 35 years old and became a .400 hitter. Jones is seeing the ball exceptionally well, and apart from frequent problems with injury, he has aged relatively gracefully. He’s also undoubtedly squeezed a few lucky hits in between the shortstop and the second baseman, and had a few Texas Leaguers drop in.
If the Cubs try to move their anemic corner outfielder before the deadline, what kind of player will they be shopping?
Due to his massive platoon split and inconsistent defense, Jacque Jones has never been an appealing option at any of the outfield positions. In 2006 he managed to have himself a decent year for the Cubs, belting 27 home runs while hitting .285/.334/.499 in 578 plate appearances. Whatever baseball deities he pleased last season seem to have turned on him in the present. He is now hitting a sub-replacement level .227/.288/.319 with a .214 EqA. Jones has had his poor seasons, but never this poor. What's behind this drop in offense, and is it going to stick?
James tackles the divide between the way the mainstream media values relievers, and the way more advanced metrics do.
In his discussion of the likely NL MVP race shaping up, Joe Sheehan pointed out that if you look at the most prominent contenders--Derrek Lee, Albert Pujols, and Andruw Jones--Lee distances himself from the field in WARP by a vast margin. Looking at the traditional stats, Lee leads the league in batting average, Jones leads in home runs and RBI, and Pujols is second, third and second in those categories, respectively. It's easy to see why those three would be the favorites headed into the final month of the season.
The Braves' bench looks ugly. The Dodgers make some nifty deals. The Mets inexplicably hand starting jobs to Tyler Yates and Scott Erickson. The Rangers unload Einar Diaz on the Expos. These and other happenings in today's Transaction Analysis.
The Braves strike NRI gold with Russell Branyan. The Astros do what they need to do to compete in the NL Central. Everything you ever wanted to read about Eric Karros. The Padres address their chasm in center. These and other news, notes, and Kahrlisms in today's Transaction Analysis.
Welcome to Baseball Prospectus' predictions for 1998. We'll go division by
division and each of our staff members will tell you what they think about the
races. Remember, there's a reason we don't print this stuff in the book; there
is no good way we know of to predict what a team will do before the season
begins. Consider these teamwide WFGs, take them with a grain of salt, and