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06-27

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2

Free Agent Watch: Week 13
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

06-27

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6

In A Pickle: The Unlikeliest MVP candidates
by
Jason Wojciechowski

06-20

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3

Free Agent Watch: Week 12
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

06-04

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9

The Stash List: The Mystery of Super Two Status
by
Bret Sayre

05-31

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4

In A Pickle: The Bunts That Lead to Big Things
by
Jason Wojciechowski

05-28

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12

The Stash List: Don Mattingly's Post-Realism
by
Bret Sayre

05-28

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8

Minor League Update: Games of May 24-27
by
Zach Mortimer

05-24

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: The Myths of Minor-League Strikeouts
by
Bret Sayre

05-24

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Nine
by
Paul Sporer

05-10

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Seven
by
Paul Sporer

05-08

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Ask the Experts
by
Mike Gianella

05-07

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14

Overthinking It: Evaluating Early-Season Experiments
by
Ben Lindbergh

05-06

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21

The Stash List: Pitchers Versus Position Players
by
Bret Sayre

05-03

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12

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Six
by
Paul Sporer

05-02

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Ten Bold Predictions Based on April’s Small Samples
by
Bret Sayre

04-30

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15

Dissecting the Draft: Introduction
by
Nick J. Faleris

04-29

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23

Bizball: Baseball's Marketing Problem Isn't Easy to Fix
by
Maury Brown

04-29

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10

The Stash List: Seeing What You Want to See
by
Bret Sayre

04-26

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5

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Five
by
Paul Sporer

04-23

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4

BP Unfiltered: Should Players Get Preventative Appendectomies?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-22

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46

The Stash List: First Edition
by
Bret Sayre

04-17

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17

Fantasy Freestyle: Beware of Young Catchers
by
Paul Sporer

04-15

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11

Minor League Update: Games of April 12-14
by
Zach Mortimer

04-12

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5

Fantasy Mailbag: Be Patient with Struggling Blue Jays
by
BP Fantasy Staff

04-12

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14

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Three
by
Paul Sporer

04-11

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Should We Start Pitchers Making Their Major-League Debuts?
by
Bret Sayre

04-08

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10

Minor League Update: Games of April 5-April 7
by
Zach Mortimer

04-04

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9

In A Pickle: Can You Buy What You Can't See?
by
Jason Wojciechowski

04-03

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Preaching Patience With April Struggles
by
Paul Sporer

03-29

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8

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week One
by
Paul Sporer

03-28

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: Twenty Endgame Targets in Various Formats
by
Bret Sayre

03-26

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19

Fantasy Tier Rankings: American League Starting Pitchers
by
Paul Sporer

03-25

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6

BP Unfiltered: My Tout Wars Team
by
Jason Collette

03-25

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12

Minor League Update: Games of March 22-24
by
Zach Mortimer

03-21

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20

Fantasy Tier Rankings: Third Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

03-20

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31

Fantasy Tier Rankings: Second Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

03-18

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4

Five to Watch: The Top Prospect Edition
by
Bret Sayre

03-05

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5

Wezen-Ball: When Cuba Stomped the Orioles
by
Larry Granillo

03-02

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2

BP Unfiltered: Sloan Q&A: Harry Pavlidis On f/x Tracking Data
by
Zachary Levine and Harry Pavlidis

02-27

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12

Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Outfielders, Part One: 1-25
by
Josh Shepardson and Paul Singman

02-21

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20

In A Pickle: All-Stars Are Not All Stars
by
Jason Wojciechowski

02-20

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4

Five to Watch: Impact Arms With Unclear Roles
by
Paul Sporer

02-19

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3

Wezen-Ball: Century City
by
Larry Granillo

02-15

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10

Pitcher Profile: Milwaukee's Rotation Brew
by
Harry Pavlidis

02-15

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18

Fantasy Freestyle: Mike Trout and Regression Obsession
by
Mike Gianella

02-15

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7

Five to Watch: American League Hitters
by
Bret Sayre

02-12

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6

Wezen-Ball: The Night Pete Rose Broke the Record
by
Larry Granillo

01-30

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5

Wezen-Ball: The 1948 World Series, Game1: A Radio Diary
by
Larry Granillo

01-22

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8

Minor League Update: Potential Impact Rookies (NL EAST)
by
Jason Martinez

01-19

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4

Wezen-Ball: Earl Weaver & Stan Musial, Together
by
Larry Granillo

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June 27, 2013 5:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 13

2

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

Astros righty Jordan Lyles could be a sneaky option for those in need of rotation help, and he's among the featured players on this week's list.

12-TEAM MIXED

Raul Ibanez, OF, Seattle Mariners

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June 27, 2013 5:00 am

In A Pickle: The Unlikeliest MVP candidates

6

Jason Wojciechowski

Looking at the players who should be in the MVP conversation who have never been in the MVP conversation.

A thing I do is steal from my betters. Two of my betters, Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller, spent some time a few months ago on Effectively Wild discussing the idea of unlikely MVPs. Now that we're halfway through the season, let's pick that up and bring in a quasi-formal definition that will get us a pool of interesting players to look at. What follows are the top five players by WARP in each league who have never received an MVP vote and (here's where some squish comes in) who are not very recently megaprospects. (The latter may be displeasing to some, especially Orioles fans, but if the point is "genuine surprise," then it would be weird to include Manny Machado, who was, after all, a no. 3 overall pick—that's the spot of Paul Molitor and Robin Yount and Matt Williams and Lonnie Smith. There's no pick from which you are "supposed" to get an MVP, but there are picks from which you are less surprised when you wind up with one.)

Alternating by league, then, from "bottom" to top:

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June 20, 2013 5:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 12

3

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

Padres second baseman Logan Forsythe, one of this week's recommended pickups, makes for an intriguing option at a very shallow position.

12-Team Mixed

Jason Kubel, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks

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June 4, 2013 5:00 am

The Stash List: The Mystery of Super Two Status

9

Bret Sayre

Wil Myers, Zack Wheeler, and other top prospects might soon graduate from the list, as the projected Super Two cutoff could pass before the end of the week.

For all of the talk about Super Two status, as it relates to calling up prospects, there is still a ton of uncertainty about what this means in a tangible manner. Putting it simply, when a player finishes a season between two and three years of service time, he can qualify for an extra year of arbitration if he is within the top 22 percent of players in that range. This means that whether a player called up this season will qualify for Super Two status will not be known until after the 2015 season. Essentially, teams are just guessing (in an educated manner) what that deadline will be three years down the road.

Since this is going to be the second year of the new CBA, which moved the cut off from 17 percent to 22 percent, we only have one year of data to go off of in order to get an idea of the timing mechanism. On June 8, 2010, Stephen Strasburg and Giancarlo Stanton both made their major-league debuts and have accumulated service time every day since. Both superstars missed the Super Two cut-off by about a week of service time (they each had 2.118 years and the cutoff was 2.139 years). Which means that if the 2015 cutoff is the same as the one from 2012, guys like Wil Myers and Zack Wheeler could come up tomorrow without their teams having to worry about that pesky extra year of arbitration eligibility.

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May 31, 2013 11:13 am

In A Pickle: The Bunts That Lead to Big Things

4

Jason Wojciechowski

Some bunts are followed by big innings, believe it or not.

When nerds (your humble narrator included!) argue about bunting, they often rely on a metaphor that's barely a metaphor but is really a way of comparing baseball to other sports. In basketball and football and hockey and rugby and lacrosse and sometimes ultimate frisbee, there is a clock, an explicit timekeeping device used to mark the end of the match (or segment of the match) and how near it draws. If the score on the pitch is 13 to 2 and the hard time cap of 40 minutes is just 90 seconds away, well, it's physically impossible to score that many points in that little time, even for Reggie Miller. Baseball, by contrast, has no clock, only outs. If you have fewer runs than the other team once you use up your 27 outs, you lose. Outs are thus analogized to time, with the idea being that intentionally taking precious units off the clock is not a winning gambit.

The metaphor alludes to the infinitude of baseball, the idea that there's nothing in the rules preventing a game from happening to the end of time in a different way than in timed sports. In basketball, a game could have infinite overtimes, but there's something about the clock starting over every five minutes that feels distinct from the infinite baseball game—I think it's the visual image of an endlessly tied basketball game, where the clock loops back to five minutes again at the completion of each overtime, that makes it feel finite, just a circle that we can hold in our hands and our minds, not a line (score) extending out past our contemplation the way a baseball game does.

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May 28, 2013 5:00 am

The Stash List: Don Mattingly's Post-Realism

12

Bret Sayre

The Dodgers skipper may be excited about the minor-league production of his organization's top prospects, but neither ranks among Bret's top 25.

I would be remiss not to talk about this past week’s strangest story, at least as far as potential call-ups from the minor leagues are concerned. On Wednesday, Don Mattingly said that the Dodgers had “internal conversations” about calling up top prospects Yasiel Puig and Joc Pederson from Double-A Chattanooga.

The way I see it, there are a few different plausible ways this could have gone down. The first is that Mattingly forgot that these two prospects were outfielders and thought they could shore up the Dodgers’ tenuous (that’s being kind) infield situation. The second is that Mattingly brought their names up as a joke to lighten the mood after another Dodgers loss, and then poked a few holes in his Andre Ethier voodoo doll before muttering something under his breath about grit. The final option is that after watching Juan Uribe, Nick Punto, Luis Cruz, and Dee Gordon play for the last eight weeks, he’s just given up on the idea of a traditional infield and instead wanted to go with a five-man outfield.

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May 28, 2013 12:15 am

Minor League Update: Games of May 24-27

8

Zach Mortimer

Zach catches you up on all of the farm-system happenings of the Memorial Day weekend.

Games of Friday, May 24

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May 24, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The Myths of Minor-League Strikeouts

7

Bret Sayre

Bret explains why high minor-league strikeout rates don't always portend low batting averages when a player reaches the majors.

It gets talked about a lot; we are living through a golden age of strikeouts in baseball. And there are plenty of potential reasons for this, which are thrown out during the discussion. Some say that it’s just a talent surge on the pitching side of the equation that will correct itself during the next cycle. Some say it’s an overall lack of a two-strike mentality among hitters in the game today. Some say the sabermetric movement has reduced the fear and shame associated with striking out. Some say it’s sunscreen.

Regardless of what the true reasoning is (though it’s likely a combination of all of the above and more), we are where we are at the major-league level. But what does that mean for minor-league strikeout rates? Are contact rates in the minors decreasing at the same level that we see across the highest level of the game? The answer is that it depends how advanced the league is.

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May 24, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Nine

10

Paul Sporer

Rough matchups could leave AL-only leaguers scrambling this week, but the NL has a deeper slate of usable starters.

Welcome to the Weekly Pitching Planner. Each week I will cover the pitchers are who slated to make two starts and help you decide who you should start and who you should sit. Sometimes guys will be in the “consider” where they might have one good start, but a second tough one and then your league settings might determine whether or not you should go forward with him. The pitchers will be split by league then by categories:

Auto-Starts – These are your surefire fantasy aces. You paid a handsome sum for them either with an early draft pick or high dollar auction bid so you’re starting them anywhere, anytime. Guys can emerge onto or fall off of this list as the season evolves. There won’t be many – if any – notes associated with these groupings each week. We are starting them automatically so why do I need to expound on how awesome they are and will be in the coming week?

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May 10, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Seven

10

Paul Sporer

Paul offers advice on which two-start pitchers to start and which ones to sit in your fantasy leagues next week.

Welcome to the Weekly Pitching Planner. Each week I will cover the pitchers are who slated to make two starts and help you decide who you should start and who you should sit. Sometimes guys will be in the “consider” where they might have one good start, but a second tough one and then your league settings might determine whether or not you should go forward with him. The pitchers will be split by league then by categories:

Auto-Starts – These are your surefire fantasy aces. You paid a handsome sum for them either with an early draft pick or high dollar auction bid so you’re starting them anywhere, anytime. Guys can emerge onto or fall off of this list as the season evolves. There won’t be many – if any – notes associated with these groupings each week. We are starting them automatically so why do I need to expound on how awesome they are and will be in the coming week?

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May 8, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Ask the Experts

8

Mike Gianella

Mike explains how to utilize experts' advice to become the best fantasy player you can be.

In Kurt Vonnegut’s Hocus Pocus, Eugene Debs Hartke spends the latter half of the novel teaching inmates in a prison in upstate New York. While he was able to teach some of his students successfully, some were merely interested in using Hartke as a walking encyclopedia.

(some of the inmates) used me as an ambulatory Guinness Book of World Records, asking me who the oldest person in the world was, the richest one, the woman who had had the most babies, and so on.

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May 7, 2013 11:27 am

Overthinking It: Evaluating Early-Season Experiments

14

Ben Lindbergh

On five players attempting to do new things this season, and whether those things have worked.

Four teams asked five players to do things this season that they’d never done prior to 2013. This article is about how well those things have worked for the first six weeks, and whether they can continue.

1. Shin-Soo Choo: start in center field
It’s not that Choo has turned into a superb center fielder. That was never the plan. Starting Choo in center, a position he hadn’t played at all since 2009 and hadn’t played regularly since 2002 (as a 19-year-old in A-ball), was always going to be an exercise in extreme double-entry bookkeeping: Would the runs his bat added outnumber the runs his glove gave up? So far, the answer is an easy “yes.” Choo’s .347 TAv ranks 10th among players with at least 100 plate appearances, and he’s second only to Miguel Cabrera in VORP.


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