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05-29

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20

Sporer Report: Trading Tips
by
Paul Sporer

05-24

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: The Myths of Minor-League Strikeouts
by
Bret Sayre

05-07

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14

Overthinking It: Evaluating Early-Season Experiments
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-30

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5

Wezen-Ball: The 1948 World Series, Game1: A Radio Diary
by
Larry Granillo

08-14

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0

Wezen-Ball: The Giants' Shark Killer
by
Larry Granillo

08-10

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1

BP Podcast: Episode 101: Let's Just Not Even Try
by
Kevin Goldstein

07-23

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2

Wezen-Ball: Review: "Bottom of the Ninth: An Animated Graphic Novel"
by
Larry Granillo

07-10

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26

Wezen-Ball: A Really, Really Fast Ball
by
Larry Granillo

04-13

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0

Wezen-Ball: Fenway Illustrated, circa 1946
by
Larry Granillo

02-27

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4

BP Unfiltered: The Artist is Moneymovie
by
Max Marchi

02-23

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9

Preseason Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 2/23/12
by
Mike Petriello

02-22

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28

Prospectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Derek Carty and Michael Jong

02-10

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14

The Stats Go Marching In: What Are the Rays Expecting from Jose Molina?
by
Max Marchi

01-30

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20

The BP Broadside: Jorge Posada and the Third-String Yankees
by
Steven Goldman

01-10

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4

Baseball ProGUESTus: 27 Outs, 140 Characters: Fandom in the Time of Twitter
by
Maiya Gessling

12-22

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4

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 12/22/11
by
Mike Petriello

12-15

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11

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 12/15/11
by
Mike Petriello

12-15

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15

Transaction Analysis: In with the New
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-05

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26

BP Unfiltered: Overdue Justice: Cooperstown Finds Room for Santo
by
Jay Jaffe

09-08

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39

Resident Fantasy Genius: The Infield Fly Rules
by
Derek Carty

09-06

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0

Resident Fantasy Genius: Prospect Impact
by
Derek Carty

09-01

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4

Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/1/11
by
Mike Petriello

08-18

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7

Value Picks: Relievers for 8-18-11
by
Mike Petriello

08-04

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11

Wezen-Ball: Analyzing "Six-Man Baseball"
by
Larry Granillo

08-03

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36

The Lineup Card: 12 Favorite Baseball Songs that are NOT by The Baseball Project
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-08

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0

Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 7/8/11
by
Bill Baer

06-24

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1

Value Picks: Starting Pitchers
by
Bill Baer

06-02

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16

Fantasy Beat: Too Early to Count Out
by
Derek Carty

05-26

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3

Transaction Analysis: Return of the Prodigal Sluggers
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-28

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2

Spitballing: Undefeated Angel
by
Jeremy Greenhouse

04-27

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9

Spinning Yarn: A Soria Subject
by
Mike Fast

03-25

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19

Future Shock: Prospect Preview: AL East
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-28

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14

Prospectus Hit and Run: Duke Snider, 1926-2011
by
Jay Jaffe

02-16

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6

Purpose Pitches: AL NRIs to Watch
by
Christina Kahrl

02-15

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35

Prospectus Hit List: Winning the Winter, NL Edition
by
Tommy Bennett

01-17

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0

Ahead in the Count: Situational Pitching
by
Matt Swartz

12-01

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8

Prospectus Perspective: Short Shrift?
by
Christina Kahrl

11-17

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34

Future Shock: Baltimore Orioles Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-23

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7

BP Unfiltered: The ALCS Outcome
by
Christina Kahrl

10-04

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0

The Week in Quotes: September 27-October 3
by
Alex Carnevale

08-11

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6

On the Beat: Recapturing The Magic
by
John Perrotto

08-05

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3

Overthinking It: Anatomy of a Trade Deadline
by
Ben Lindbergh

08-04

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5

On the Beat: A Nice Change of Pace
by
John Perrotto

07-22

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6

Overthinking It: Ringing Them Up at Wrigley
by
Ben Lindbergh

05-25

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6

Changing Speeds: Bounceback Pitchers
by
Ken Funck

05-07

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7

Prospectus Q&A: Dave Baldwin
by
David Laurila

04-28

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5

Prospectus Q&A: Chris Davis
by
David Laurila

03-25

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4

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Relief Pitchers
by
Lee Panas

03-22

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11

Transaction Action: Weekend Mayhem Edition
by
Christina Kahrl

03-04

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9

Transaction Analysis: F-Lop'ping Around
by
Christina Kahrl

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A comprehensive look at catcher defense by BP's latest addition reveals that the Rays may be getting plenty of bang for their buck from their new backstop.

For more about Max, see his introductory post here.


At the end of the 2011 season, the Tampa Bay Rays declined catcher Kelly Shoppach’s $3.2 million option for 2012, setting him free to explore the market for his services. On November 28th, they signed Jose Molina as his replacement for one year and $1.8 million.


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Team all-stars by WARP string-where would the pennants stop? Plus, some of the best and worst songs of 1987.

Jorge Posada and the Third-String Yankees
I was asked on the radio last week where Jorge Posada ranked as a Hall of Fame candidate. I responded that he was the third-best catcher in Yankees history in career value, which proved to be a good, not-quite-off-the-top-of-of-my head guess (when someone asks you to rank the presidents, you can play it lose as long as you start with George Washington and not Warren Harding, but when it comes to ballplayers you have to know your Berra-Dickey do-re-mi). I became curious as to just how good the third-best team in a team’s history might be. Part of the fun of following baseball is making lists, and this seemed to be a good excuse to make one.

If we ranked each position by career WARP, how far down would we have to go before we reached a team that wouldn’t win the pennant every year? Would Jorge still get his share of rings?


Read the full article...

Twitter's built-in online community has made being a baseball fan even more rewarding.

Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.

Maiya Gessling is the co-founder and co-author of Snow Woulda Had It, an SF Giants blog. She's currently in college, where she takes Japanese classes and gets rained on a lot. She has a twitter, @maiyasplash, full of baseball and Doctor Who. 

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December 22, 2011 6:57 pm

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 12/22/11

4

Mike Petriello

Buchholz, Wandy, Chacin, and Bumgarner get the Keeper Reaper treatment this week

It’s been a big week for starting pitchers, as Texas won the Yu Darvish sweepstakes and Cincinnati picked up Mat Latos for a package including Edison Volquez. I’ve touched on the latter two pitchers recently, so I won’t repeat myself.  As for Darvish, he’s not really eligible for this series since I doubt there are too many leagues where he’s already owned and eligible to be kept. Kevin Goldstein has a fine rundown of what the future might hold for Darvish in Texas hereand here, and Derek Carty has one here.

Clay Buchholz | Boston Red Sox
Sh
allow: NO
Medium:
NO
Deep: NO
AL-only:
 YES
Super Deep:
YES 






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December 15, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 12/15/11

11

Mike Petriello

Top free agent signees C.J. Wilson and Mark Buehrle head up this week's crop of Keeper Reaper targets

It’s been a big week for starting pitching movement, as two of the top arms have found new homes via free agency, while the market for Edwin Jackson is surprisingly quiet. As we await the announcement on which team put in the high bid for Yu Darvish, let’s start by checking in on C.J. Wilson and Mark Buehrle heading to opposite coasts before getting back to some reader requests.

C.J. Wilson | Los Angeles Angels
Sh
allow: NO
Medium:
BORDERLINE
Deep: YES
AL-only:
 YES
Super Deep: 
YES






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The Twins replace Michael Cuddyer with Josh Willingham, the Cardinals bring back Rafael Furcal, the Red Sox add two bench players, the Diamondbacks sign Takashi Saito, the Phillies board the D-Train, and the Giants re-sign Guillermo Mota.

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A year after his passing, the stellar Cubs third baseman was elected to the Hall of Fame.

One of the creepier truths of the music industry is that death is a good career move. The attention surrounding the passing of an artist brings new attention to his or her body of work, offering not only a chance for critical reassessment but also commercial gain — at least for whomever is left behind to enjoy its benefits. Such a parallel may be the most charitable way to assess what happened to Ron Santo, who one year and two days after his passing, and 37 years after the end of his career was finally elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame via the Golden Era ballot, whose voting results were announced on Monday morning at the Winter Meetings in Dallas.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 8, 2011 1:06 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: The Infield Fly Rules

39

Derek Carty

Which pitchers prey on infield flies? Is inducing popups a repeatable skill?

Yesterday, Jason Collette penned an article about infield flies that ties in with a discussion I’ve been having over the past few weeks with one of my former writers at The Hardball Times Fantasy, Jeff Gross, and one of his readers, Alex Hambrick. Additionally, BP readers JoshC77 and kcshankd wondered in the comments section of Jason’s article whether the ability to induce infield flies was a repeatable skill for pitchers. Today, I thought I’d try to answer that question and present some of the research I’ve conducted in my conversations with Jeff and Alex.

Earlier this year, I wrote an article entitled “When Pitchers' Stats Stabilize,” in which I looked at how “stable” (or how “repeatable,” in terms of being a “skill”) a number of stats were—infield flies among them. In the article, I found that infield fly balls, as a rate of total batted balls, took roughly 0.6 years to “stabilize.” In other words, this initial research suggested that infield fly-ball rate was indeed a very repeatable skill. But in my discussions with Alex, I’ve come to suspect this may not necessarily be true—or at least not in the way my previous research suggests.

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September 6, 2011 5:00 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: Prospect Impact

0

Derek Carty

Which September callups are the most likely to have a positive fantasy impact?

Nearly a week into September, most of the players who will receive callups have already received them, and we’ve begun to see how playing time will be doled out. While Jason Collette recently showed us that September callups don’t usually have a big impact, there are some who might be able to help out a fantasy team in need, especially in AL- and NL-only leagues.

Stephen Strasburg | WAS | SP
Strasburg is the exception to Jason’s rule, if ever there was one (though, to be fair, Strasburg isn’t really a September callup; he’s coming off the DL). Back from Tommy John surgery, Strasburg makes his 2011 debut today in a great matchup against the Dodgers. His minor-league rehab starts have been excellent, and he should be picked up in all but the shallowest of leagues. He’ll be a true impact player the rest of the way.


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September 1, 2011 9:00 am

Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/1/11

4

Mike Petriello

Homer Bailey and Randy Wells join VP this week as Doug Fister and Javy Vazquez graduate.

It’s that special time of the year: fantasy baseball playoffs. Personally, in my two main leagues, I have a first-place bye in one (thank you, Jose Bautista, Jered Weaver, and Justin Verlander) and was in the basement in the other (thank you, Carl Crawford, Adam Dunn, Buster Posey, and Jason Heyward).  Hopefully you’re still in the playoff hunt because this is the time when every decision is magnified.
 


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August 18, 2011 10:31 pm

Value Picks: Relievers for 8-18-11

7

Mike Petriello

With murky situations in Chicago and San Fran, Chris Sale and Jeremy Affeldt join VP this week.

Joining the party
Chris Sale, White Sox (Yahoo! 25%, ESPN 12%, CBS 20%)

In few places has the dichotomy between fantasy baseball and “real” baseball been laid out more clearly than when Chicago manager Ozzie Guillen spoke to the Chicago Sun-Times last weekend:



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Breaking down the pluses and minuses of a "six-man baseball" game, a game explained in a 1939 issue of "Popular Mechanics".

I don't think I'm stretching anything to say that most baseball fans know what it's like to play a game of baseball with too few people. Depending on just how many kids were available, we might play a game with no third baseman and only two outfielders or, if players were really limited, we'd have only one player in the outfield and rely on ghostrunners to run the bases. It wouldn't be unheard of to make all of rightfield off limits as well. You make do with what you have, right?

Along those same lines comes a version of baseball that I've never seen before. It was featured in the December 1939 issue of Popular Mechanics and was invented by Stephen Epler to allow smaller groups of players to play games quicker. Epler had, five years previously, invented a game called "six-man football" so, naturally, he also came up with "six-man baseball". From the magazine:

Read the full article...

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