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03-22

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17

Fantasy Freestyle: ROI: Keeper League Edition
by
Mike Gianella

11-13

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37

Bizball: Ranking 10 MLB Relocation and Expansion Markets Shows Why Either is Difficult
by
Maury Brown

09-05

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6

Manufactured Runs: How Much Team Age Matters
by
Colin Wyers

02-29

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13

Prospectus Preview: AL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part Two
by
Steven Goldman and Ben Lindbergh

02-29

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12

Prospectus Preview: AL West 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Jason Parks and Jason Wojciechowski

02-22

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28

Prospectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Derek Carty and Michael Jong

02-20

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19

Prospectus Preview: AL East 2012 Preseason Preview
by
R.J. Anderson and Jason Collette

01-30

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20

The BP Broadside: Jorge Posada and the Third-String Yankees
by
Steven Goldman

01-18

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16

Heartburn Hardball: The Hawk and the Dragon
by
Jonathan Bernhardt

12-09

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23

Baseball ProGUESTus: Sunset in Flushing
by
Jonathan Bernhardt and Jarrett Seidler

11-08

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8

The BP Wayback Machine: When Good GMs Go Bad
by
Jonah Keri

10-20

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: The Importance of Being 1-0
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-06

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4

The BP Wayback Machine: Is the Best of Five the Worst of Series?
by
Mike Carminati

08-22

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41

Changing Speeds: Ethical Bandwagon Jumping
by
Ken Funck

08-04

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9

Divide and Conquer, AL East: Destination Delusion
by
Dustin Parkes

04-21

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10

Fantasy Beat: Team Tracker, PFM, Scoresheet, and You
by
Rob McQuown

04-12

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14

Transaction Analysis: Never Enough Pitching
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-14

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36

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway
by
Matt Swartz

03-10

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4

Overthinking It: A Review of Jonah Keri's The Extra 2%
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-04

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5

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Impact of World Series Starts (or How Much Was Jack Morris Really Worth?)
by
Sean Smith

02-25

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7

Fantasy Beat: Scoresheet Draft Prep, BP Kings, and You
by
Rob McQuown

02-22

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5

Checking the Numbers: Paying the Premium
by
Eric Seidman

02-21

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16

Baseball ProGUESTus: Scorecasting Review
by
Phil Birnbaum

11-16

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3

Prospectus Q&A: J.C. Bradbury, Part I
by
David Laurila

10-27

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16

World Series Prospectus: Fall Classic Memories
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-15

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0

Prospectus Q&A: Richard A. Johnson
by
David Laurila

09-16

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13

Changing Speeds: Half a Team, Half a Team, Half a Team Onward
by
Ken Funck

08-01

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9

Transaction Analysis: Deadline Day Outcomes in the NL
by
Christina Kahrl and Kevin Goldstein

07-23

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28

Ahead in the Count: Buyers and Sellers
by
Matt Swartz

07-13

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11

One-Hoppers: Bluster and Luster: George Steinbrenner (1930-2010)
by
Jay Jaffe

07-12

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6

Transaction Action: Shuffling Seniors
by
Christina Kahrl

07-02

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7

Transaction Action: Dealing and Decapitating
by
Christina Kahrl

06-30

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6

Transaction Action: Disorderly Conduct
by
Christina Kahrl

06-18

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5

Transaction Action: Waterloo's 195th Anniversary Edition
by
Christina Kahrl

06-04

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12

Ahead in the Count: No Turnover Standings Breakdown
by
Matt Swartz

03-22

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11

Transaction Action: Weekend Mayhem Edition
by
Christina Kahrl

03-16

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2

Transaction Action: Lefty-less and Zedliness
by
Christina Kahrl

03-15

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7

Transaction Action: Expanding and Contracting
by
Christina Kahrl

03-09

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4

Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Central Competitive Ecology
by
Jay Jaffe

02-23

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8

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL Central Competitive Ecology
by
Jay Jaffe

02-12

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18

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL East Competitive Ecology
by
Jay Jaffe

01-25

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63

Prospectus Roundtable: Analyzing RoboPitcher
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-20

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9

Transaction Action: International Arbitration Avoidance Day
by
Christina Kahrl

12-21

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36

Ahead in the Count: When Bad Teams Land Good Free Agents
by
Matt Swartz

12-17

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26

Ahead in the Count: Anatomy of a Blockbuster
by
Matt Swartz

12-06

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25

Prospectus Today: NL Shopping Lists
by
Joe Sheehan

11-23

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20

Transaction Action: Fill'er Up!
by
Christina Kahrl

11-17

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32

Ahead in the Count: How To Make Up a Good Trade Rumor
by
Matt Swartz

11-13

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8

Transaction Action: Action and Reaction
by
Christina Kahrl

11-01

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8

You Could Look It Up: He Should Have Picked Lee
by
Steven Goldman

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As three series head to Game Fives, we dig up an investigation of the five-game format's fairness.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

As we prepare for the three remaining Division Series to be decided, revisit Mike Carminati's case for switching to a longer series format, which originally ran on November 2, 2006.


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How to start rooting for a contender in mid-season without compromising your principles.

It’s late August, and if the team you root for is already out of contention, you’re not alone. According to our Playoff Odds Report, only 12 teams currently have even a 5 percent chance of making the postseason, meaning that fully 60 percent of teams are realistically playing out the string with more than a month to go. If you follow one of those teams and are the sort of fan who finds that having a heart-felt rooting interest greatly adds to your baseball enjoyment, what are you to do with the rest of the season? My recommendation is to become a bandwagon jumper, or more specifically, an Ethical Bandwagon Jumper (EBJ).

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August 4, 2011 9:00 am

Divide and Conquer, AL East: Destination Delusion

9

Dustin Parkes

Still holding out a sliver of hope for an AL East team other than the Yankees or Red Sox? Just follow these five simple steps to belief in a playoff berth.

True Story Number One: The Washington Generals have beaten the Harlem Globetrotters in six exhibition games since 1953. Over that span, they’ve lost more than 13,000 times to the Globetrotters, whose ostentatious brand of showboating makes Carlos Guillen look downright humble.

True Story Number Two: For the last eighteen years, at least one of the New York Yankees or the Boston Red Sox has represented the American League East in the MLB playoffs as either the division or Wild Card winner. In fourteen of those years, both clubs made the playoffs.

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April 21, 2011 9:39 am

Fantasy Beat: Team Tracker, PFM, Scoresheet, and You

10

Rob McQuown

Updates to the Team Tracker and the Player Forecast Manager make the tools more effective for managing your Scoresheet roster.

In-season Scoresheet team management probably gets rote for more owners, with good teams going on auto-pilot, perhaps with some injury adjustments, bullpen shuffling, home/road adjustments, and some “prefer to face” changes. Once such owners get into a system, there is little drama other than trades and drafts–mainly configuring the team for optimal playoff performance. For other teams, the drama is even less, as they are configured for future success, and failure to eke out a win here or there with managerial moves bothers them not at all. For the frantic few, however, every fraction of a percentage gained or lost could mean the difference between postseason glory and an early offseason.

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April 12, 2011 9:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Never Enough Pitching

14

Ben Lindbergh

An Angel gets his wings, Jeff Suppan proves that you can go home again, the Yankees keep scraping the bottom of the pitching barrel, and Manny Ramirez enters suspended animation.

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March 14, 2011 9:00 am

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway

36

Matt Swartz

In the Nationals' and Orioles' battle for the local fan base, the team that blinks first may stand to gain the most.

This past month, I moved back up I-95 from Washington to Philadelphia, where I’d spent all but the previous eighteen months of my life. There has been only one major-league franchise in the City of Brotherly Love since the Athletics forsook Philly in 1955, but as I discovered during my sojourn in the District, many baseball fans in the DC area have been torn between the Baltimore Orioles, for whom many of them grew up cheering, and the Washington Nationals, who emigrated from Montreal in 2005. Neither team has been good during their years of geographic coexistence, and the metropolitan area has not seen a playoff game since 1997, but both teams have slowly begun to develop the young talent necessary to compete. Although animosity stemming from Orioles owner Peter Angelos’ opposition to a Washington franchise has cost the O’s some fans, many in the DC area have yet to determine their allegiance.

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After going from worst to first, the Rays have hit hardcover, and Ben brings you the verdict.

Three years after PECOTA projected 88 wins for a Tampa Bay Rays club that had never before surpassed 70—only to see those expectations eclipsed by a team that went on to earn  97 victories and an American League pennant—the team's rise to relevance in baseball's most competitive division has received the full-length book treatment, courtesy of Jonah Keri's The Extra 2%: How Wall Street Strategies Took a Major League Baseball Team from Worst to First (available now at an online retailer or brick-and-mortar bookseller near you). Jonah is a friend—not to mention a former author of Baseball Prospectus—so if I'd had nothing nice to say about his book, I likely would've taken my mother's advice and said nothing rather than publish a negative review (not that I imagine my condemnation would have made much of a dent in sales). Fortunately, I was spared that decision, since The Extra 2% is consistently well-researched, informative, and entertaining, which should come as no surprise to regular readers of Keri's previous work or those intrigued by the tale of an underfunded team that could.

The book’s title refers to Rays owner Stuart Sternberg’s philosophy that rather than attempt to lap the field—an unrealistic goal, given the team’s financial realities and the challenge posed by sharing a division with baseball’s behemoths—he and his subordinates should merely seek to gain a 52-48 edge on the competition. Although the subtitle promises to explain  the team's success under its capable cadre of Wall Street-trained executives, a considerable portion of the text is devoted to recounting how the franchise first plumbed the depths of failure. The bulk of the book's first third examines how the franchise got itself into the hole that the regime fronted by Sternberg, Matt Silverman, and Andrew Friedman was forced to dig it out of after acquiring a majority stake in October 2005, so once you’ve completed the prologue, be prepared to wait a few chapters before being reintroduced to the principal characters behind the organization’s rebirth.

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When is a World Series start worth as much as a Hall of Famer's whole career?

Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.

Sean Smith is the owner of Baseballprojection.com and currently consults for a major-league ballclub.

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February 25, 2011 9:00 am

Fantasy Beat: Scoresheet Draft Prep, BP Kings, and You

7

Rob McQuown

Rob uses the recent direction of the BP Kings Scoresheet draft to discuss the value of outfielders and platoons.

 Making one pick every day and a half is, how shall I say, not exactly rollicking fun.

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February 22, 2011 9:00 am

Checking the Numbers: Paying the Premium

5

Eric Seidman

Exploring the insurance calculus of big-money deals.

The Blue Jays' signing of Jose Bautista last week set off a frenzy of analysis in which authors attempted to determine whether or not his projected performance would live up to the value of his new contract. This is a common analytical template, as it allows the writer to determine whether the deal was more beneficial to the team or the player. From the standpoint of the player, as long as the performance-to-currency translation is sound, the calculation generally works. However, there are factors beyond the reported salary that influence whether or not the deal benefited the team. One of these factors is disability insurance. Granted, the amounts of the insurance premiums paid to take out a policy on a player are not common knowledge, but it is important to understand that a team is likely to pay more than meets the eye, and that the insurance introduces a new level of risk.

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Our latest guest contributor tackles some of the popular new book's more controversial findings.

Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.

Phil Birnbaum is the editor of “By the Numbers,” the SABR Statistical Analysis publication. He blogs at sabermetricresearch.blogspot.com, where he has commented on Scorecasting in more detail.

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November 16, 2010 9:00 am

Prospectus Q&A: J.C. Bradbury, Part I

3

David Laurila

The baseball economist discusses market value, revenue sharing, and a player's value to various teams.

J.C. Bradbury is the author of The Baseball Economist and the newly-released Hot Stove Economics: Understanding Baseball’s Second Season. An associate professor at Kennesaw State University, Bradbury has a Ph.D. in economics from George Mason University.


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