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07-27

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Getting Ready for the Trade Deadline
by
Mike Gianella

06-16

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Fighting The Last War
by
Scooter Hotz

06-15

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: The Pitching Landscape Has Changed
by
Mike Gianella

06-12

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1

Skewed Left: The Wisdom of Pinch-Hitting with Pitchers
by
Zachary Levine

10-09

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26

The Lineup Card: 8 Memorable Manager Decisions in the Playoffs
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-08

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27

Baseball Therapy: What My Four-Year-Old Taught Me About Bunting
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-21

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6

Baseball Therapy: Pitchouts and My Underage Gambling Problem
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-14

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17

Pebble Hunting: The Probably Pointless Pitchout
by
Sam Miller

10-17

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 64: Should Joe Girardi Have Pinch-Hit in Game Three?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-07

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7

The Stats Go Marching In: Four Questions for the Stretch Run
by
Max Marchi

05-26

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20

Baseball ProGUESTus: Answers from a Sabermetrician, Part 2
by
Tom Tango

03-08

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27

Fantasy Beat: The Art of Auction
by
Jason Collette

10-14

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17

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

10-05

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19

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

09-08

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2

Prospectus Perspective: Not Dead Yet
by
Christina Kahrl

08-16

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5

Prospectus Perspective: The Last of The Czars
by
Steven Goldman

10-28

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25

World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview
by
Jay Jaffe

10-07

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46

Prospectus Today: Closing Out and Waiting Around
by
Joe Sheehan

10-01

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20

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers
by
Jay Jaffe

05-14

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Life and Times of Buzzie Bavasi, Part Two
by
Jay Jaffe

10-10

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0

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview
by
Christina Kahrl

06-05

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-01

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0

You Could Look It Up: Why Baseball Is Obligated to Throw the Book at Delmon Young
by
Steven Goldman

11-29

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Smartball and Moneyball
by
Jeff Angus

04-25

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From The Mailbag: The Flat Earth Society, Win Expectancies, Running Wild, and Baseball Rhymin'
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-16

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Prospectus Today: Status Qua
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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Prospectus Today: The Politics of Glory
by
Joe Sheehan

05-23

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6-4-3: Looking for Advantages on the Ground
by
Gary Huckabay and Nate Silver

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October 14, 2010 8:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees

17

Jay Jaffe

The Yankees look to get back to yet another World Series while the Rangers are in uncharted territory.

From 1996 through 1999, the Joe Torre-led Yankees and the Johnny Oates-piloted Rangers faced off in three American League Division Series, the first three times the latter franchise had ever reached the postseason. The Yankees won nine of those 10 games, holding the Rangers to a lone run apiece in their 1998 and 1999 sweeps. Times have changed, however, and while the Yankee machine has simply kept rolling, racking up four pennants and two world championships while missing the playoffs just once since their last meeting, the Rangers endured a dark decade before reemerging as AL West champions thanks to the shrewd deal making of general manager Jon Daniels and the fruits of their well-stocked farm system.

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October 5, 2010 11:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees

19

Jay Jaffe

The Twins and Yankees meet yet again in the first round of the postseason but Minnesota has home field advantage this time.

As they did last year as well as 2003 and 2004, the Twins run squarely into the Yankee juggernaut in the first round. Unlike those other three meetings, they have home field advantage this time around, as they won the AL Central going away thanks to a league-best 48-26 second-half record. The defending world champion Yankees, who held the majors' best record for most of the season, were forced to settle for the wild card due to a sluggish 13-17 showing against a very tough schedule in September and October. Despite the relative temperatures of the two clubs, it's important to remember that late-season records aren't predictive of October success—or failure.

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September 8, 2010 8:00 am

Prospectus Perspective: Not Dead Yet

2

Christina Kahrl

The Rangers, despite all their injury woes, have plenty of time to regroup and be dangerous in October.

Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory
Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat


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August 16, 2010 12:30 pm

Prospectus Perspective: The Last of The Czars

5

Steven Goldman

Except for iron-fisted Buck Showalter, the newly hired managers are really no different than the men they replaced.

Just when you were convinced that managing was a thoroughly debased profession, along comes Buck Showalter. Five clubs have changed managers in the course of this season (Arizona, Baltimore, Florida, Kansas City, and Seattle), which wouldn’t have been a shocking number from the 1960s through the 1980s, but is high for the current era. Back in the 1920s, Giants manager John McGraw said, “With my team I am an absolute czar. My men know it. I order plays and they obey. If they don't, I fine them.” Did Don Wakamatsu look like the czar of anything to you? For that matter, does Jerry Manuel?

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October 28, 2009 1:11 am

World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview

25

Jay Jaffe

Will the Phillies establish a mini-dynasty, or will the Yankees add to their crowded trophy case with another title?

A year ago, the Phillies broke a 28-year-old title drought by winning the World Series, defeating the upstart Rays in five games. After winning 93 games in the regular season and tidily dispatching both the Rockies and the Dodgers in the first two rounds, they're back to defend their crown with a cast that's largely the same, save for summer acquisition Cliff Lee. They're the first NL team to repeat as pennant winners since the 1995-1996 Braves, and if they win the World Series, they'll be they first senior circuit club to do so since the 1975-1976 Reds.

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October 7, 2008 1:13 pm

Prospectus Today: Closing Out and Waiting Around

46

Joe Sheehan

The LDS round ends early again, leaving us with a few days without baseball to ponder what just happened to give us baseball's final four.

The four teams that advanced to the League Championship Series are probably the top two teams in the AL, and two of the top three playoff teams in the NL. We can debate the Dodgers; relative standing in the NL as a whole, complicated by the fact that their playoff lineup is nothing like anything they used during the season, but I don't think anyone would argue that they're a better team than the Brewers at the moment.

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Will the lefty-mashing Brewers match up well with Philly, or will Phillies firepower and a strong pen make all the difference?

Less than three weeks ago, the Brewers came to Philadelphia holding a four-game lead in the wild-card race and carrying the league's second-best record despite a slump that had seen them lose seven of 10 to open September. By the end of the four-game set, the two teams were tied for the wild card. It was the start of a finishing kick in which the Phillies went 13-3, breezing past the Mets to claim their second division title in a row.

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The glory of the Dodgers in the '60s, followed by an inglorious Padres period and putting the Angels on the map.

Part One, for those who missed it last week.

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Two different approaches at the plate, and two stacked rotations. Christina has the most in-depth preview of the Athletics-Tigers series you'll find anywhere.

Okay, so it's Cinderella with some serious mojo versus the Moneyball-Meets-John Jaha Memorial Edition A's, and everyone's fascinated because it's another delightfully Yankee- and Red Sox-free American League Championship Series involving real ballclubs and stories more interesting than who gets Connecticut.

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June 5, 2006 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany closes out his epic series, identifying the new inefficiency in the market before tomorrow's Rule 4 draft.

Well, there's no reason to think that change suddenly ground to a halt in 1999, and the data from a decade ago may hold little bearing on the decisions that will be made next Tuesday.

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Steven chimes in on the Delmon Young fiasco, looking to history for a bit of guidance.

That Labor Day at Toledo, Derr was calling the plays at first base. The Mudhens had been leading the pennant race, but were in the midst of a losing streak that had dropped them out of first place; tempers were running short. When Derr called a Mudhen out on a close play at first base, Stengel came running out to argue. Whatever he said--use your imagination--it got him thumbed from the game. That was standard operating procedure. What happened next was new. Stengel didn't leave the field. He turned towards the stands and began conducting them like a band leader, exhorting them. Writing about it a few days later, John Kieran of the New York Times said,

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November 29, 2005 12:00 am

Smartball and Moneyball

0

Jeff Angus

Jeff Angus takes a look at how the White Sox' closer usage pattern stacks up against more dominant patterns, and has some illuminating insight into the 2005 Champions' brand of baseball.

The 2005 World Championship Chicago White Sox got the rap of being a "hustle-ball" or "anti-Moneyball" team.

False. One of the pillars of their success was the ability to deliver on an innovation that's best known as the failed child of Bill James and Theo Epstein: The "Closer by Committee." How Chisox General Manager Ken Williams and Manager Ozzie Guillen delivered value from the discredited concept is enlightening, and, because of the team's championship, it's something that's likely (though not certain) to be imitated. As with most competitive tools, it wasn't invented from scratch, but diffused--in this case, from the other side of Chicago.

CLOSER BY SAVE MEETS CLOSER BY COMMITTEE

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