CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Articles Tagged Tactics 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

06-12

comment icon

1

Skewed Left: The Wisdom of Pinch-Hitting with Pitchers
by
Zachary Levine

10-09

comment icon

26

The Lineup Card: 8 Memorable Manager Decisions in the Playoffs
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-08

comment icon

27

Baseball Therapy: What My Four-Year-Old Taught Me About Bunting
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-21

comment icon

6

Baseball Therapy: Pitchouts and My Underage Gambling Problem
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-14

comment icon

17

Pebble Hunting: The Probably Pointless Pitchout
by
Sam Miller

10-17

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 64: Should Joe Girardi Have Pinch-Hit in Game Three?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-07

comment icon

7

The Stats Go Marching In: Four Questions for the Stretch Run
by
Max Marchi

05-26

comment icon

20

Baseball ProGUESTus: Answers from a Sabermetrician, Part 2
by
Tom Tango

03-08

comment icon

27

Fantasy Beat: The Art of Auction
by
Jason Collette

10-14

comment icon

17

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

10-05

comment icon

19

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

09-08

comment icon

2

Prospectus Perspective: Not Dead Yet
by
Christina Kahrl

08-16

comment icon

5

Prospectus Perspective: The Last of The Czars
by
Steven Goldman

10-28

comment icon

25

World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview
by
Jay Jaffe

10-07

comment icon

46

Prospectus Today: Closing Out and Waiting Around
by
Joe Sheehan

10-01

comment icon

20

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers
by
Jay Jaffe

05-14

comment icon

0

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Life and Times of Buzzie Bavasi, Part Two
by
Jay Jaffe

10-10

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview
by
Christina Kahrl

06-05

comment icon

0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-01

comment icon

0

You Could Look It Up: Why Baseball Is Obligated to Throw the Book at Delmon Young
by
Steven Goldman

11-29

comment icon

0

Smartball and Moneyball
by
Jeff Angus

04-25

comment icon

0

From The Mailbag: The Flat Earth Society, Win Expectancies, Running Wild, and Baseball Rhymin'
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-16

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Status Qua
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: The Politics of Glory
by
Joe Sheehan

05-23

comment icon

0

6-4-3: Looking for Advantages on the Ground
by
Gary Huckabay and Nate Silver

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

June 12, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: The Wisdom of Pinch-Hitting with Pitchers

1

Zachary Levine

An underused tactic that requires some courage.

You could say that the most Sergio Romo save of Sergio Romo’s 2014 season was his 17th, a wobbly six-batter adventure against the Cardinals in which he entered with a two-run lead and held on for a one-run victory in this sequence.

RHB Jhonny Peralta: Strikeout swinging (slider, slider, sinker, slider)
LHB Jon Jay: Infield single
RHB Peter Bourjos: Infield popup (slider, slider)
LHB Daniel Descalso: Walk
LHB Matt Carpenter: RBI single

RHB Shane Robinson Infield popup (slider, slider, slider, slider, slider)






The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

The staff recounts moves made by postseason skippers that stand out for the right or wrong reasons.

Read the full article...

Why bunting isn't as bad as you think.

My daughter completely schooled me this week. In the 2013 Baseball Prospectus Annual, I talked about how she, at the tender age of three, was a better sabermetrician than I, because she’s much more experimental about life than I am. She turned four a few months ago, so she’s not really young for her level any more, but she’s still better at this than I am. Last week, my wife and I were in the kitchen and my daughter was busily drawing a picture of… something. My wife mentioned that one of her friends had made a bunting (the kind that a baby wears) for her infant daughter. My daughter asked what a bunting was and my wife explained. As an afterthought, I tacked on, “and it’s a bad strategic play in baseball.” My daughter stopped drawing, looked over at me, and asked her favorite question, “Why?”

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

If it doesn't make sense to call for pitchouts, why do major-league managers keep doing it?

Last week, my colleague Sam Miller ran a few numbers on the pointless, yet poignant play that is the pitchout (a billion points to whomever catches that reference) and concluded that pitchouts are actually a net loser: they cost the defense/pitching team more in runs than they gain. Sure, individual pitchouts sometimes nab a would-be base stealer (and that's a good thing), but overall, managers guessed wrong so often that the expected payoff wasn't high enough to justify the strategy. Rule number one of strategic thinking is that just because you got lucky on a stupid bet, it doesn't negate the fact that it was a stupid bet.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

January 14, 2013 5:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Probably Pointless Pitchout

17

Sam Miller

Most pitchouts aren't very effective. Maybe managers should stop calling for them.

On Sept. 23, 2012, the Washington Nationals pitched out. “I could count the times on one hand that the Nats have pitched out this year,” said MASN broadcaster F.P. Santangelo. Hmmm.

I think I stopped paying much attention to pitchouts around 1987. I know they happen; if you’d asked me to guess, I’d have guessed there was one every two games, enough that I know they happen but don't really notice them. I know they work sometimes; if you’d asked me to guess, I’d have guessed the pitchout was timed correctly about half the time, and if you’d asked me to guess, I’d have guessed that in such cases the baserunner was out around three times out of four. If my guesses were correct, it would make the pitchout a tremendously valuable strategy, but one that, for obvious reasons, could be deployed only occasionally.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Ben and Sam discuss Joe Girardi's decision(s) not to pinch-hit for any of his left-handed hitters late in Game Three of the ALCS.

Ben and Sam discuss Joe Girardi's decision(s) not to pinch-hit for any of his left-handed hitters late in Game Three of the ALCS.

Episode 64: "Should Joe Girardi Have Pinch-Hit in Game Three?"

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 7, 2012 5:00 am

The Stats Go Marching In: Four Questions for the Stretch Run

7

Max Marchi

Some strategic questions have different answers in September than they do during the rest of the regular season.

During the first four or five months of the season, I don’t care which teams are playing, as long as there is at least one day game I can watch from my location six time zones ahead of the East Coast. But when September arrives, I often find myself looking at the schedule in disgust when I learn that the only game played at 1 PM features two teams already out of contention.

September also brings a different kind of baseball, as rosters expand and teams pull out all the stops to make the playoffs. Given the altered nature of the game in the final month of the regular season, the men in charge of pushing the buttons should know the answers to a few questions that either do not arise or are not really relevant earlier in the season. Let’s have a look at a few of them.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Tom Tango returns to address your second and final batch of questions from last week.

Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.

You asked, he answered. Below is the second and final batch of responses to the questions BP readers submitted for sabermetrician Tom Tango. All questions are presented in their original form.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 8, 2011 9:00 am

Fantasy Beat: The Art of Auction

27

Jason Collette

Auction keeper advice from Jason, with a little help from an ancient Chinese strategist.

Ever since I started playing fantasy baseball I have been involved in keeper leagues. My first league began in 1987 when I was a sophomore in high school: my friends and I started simulated leagues using Earl Weaver Baseball to play out our games. I maintain that Earl Weaver Baseball was light years ahead of its time, as you could input your own stats and customize your own ballparks. Rather than pick from the standard player pools as we all do these days, we picked our players from the Topps baseball cards that we had purchased that year. The only flaw in the game was its inability to handle extremely small sample sizes. For example, Carlos Garcia went 2-for-4 as a member of the 1990 Pittsburgh Pirates but I turned him into a pinch hitter extraordinaire as he safely got a hit fifty percent of the time I used him. The league flourished in my Computer Programming class during my sophomore year in 1988—despite the 5.25” floppy disk's confiscation one January following a Kent Hrbek homer around the Pesky Pole, an event that set off celebratory music  celebratory music in the lab.  

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 14, 2010 8:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees

17

Jay Jaffe

The Yankees look to get back to yet another World Series while the Rangers are in uncharted territory.

From 1996 through 1999, the Joe Torre-led Yankees and the Johnny Oates-piloted Rangers faced off in three American League Division Series, the first three times the latter franchise had ever reached the postseason. The Yankees won nine of those 10 games, holding the Rangers to a lone run apiece in their 1998 and 1999 sweeps. Times have changed, however, and while the Yankee machine has simply kept rolling, racking up four pennants and two world championships while missing the playoffs just once since their last meeting, the Rangers endured a dark decade before reemerging as AL West champions thanks to the shrewd deal making of general manager Jon Daniels and the fruits of their well-stocked farm system.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 5, 2010 11:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees

19

Jay Jaffe

The Twins and Yankees meet yet again in the first round of the postseason but Minnesota has home field advantage this time.

As they did last year as well as 2003 and 2004, the Twins run squarely into the Yankee juggernaut in the first round. Unlike those other three meetings, they have home field advantage this time around, as they won the AL Central going away thanks to a league-best 48-26 second-half record. The defending world champion Yankees, who held the majors' best record for most of the season, were forced to settle for the wild card due to a sluggish 13-17 showing against a very tough schedule in September and October. Despite the relative temperatures of the two clubs, it's important to remember that late-season records aren't predictive of October success—or failure.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 8, 2010 8:00 am

Prospectus Perspective: Not Dead Yet

2

Christina Kahrl

The Rangers, despite all their injury woes, have plenty of time to regroup and be dangerous in October.

Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory
Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries