CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Articles Tagged Sweet Spot For Wins 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

03-30

comment icon

3

The BP Wayback Machine: Defending Jeffrey
by
Nate Silver

09-28

comment icon

11

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy
by
Jay Jaffe

07-12

comment icon

7

Painting the Black: Mid-season Heroes and Goats, Part 1
by
R.J. Anderson

03-07

comment icon

10

Expanded Horizons: Jay Another Day
by
Tommy Bennett

04-22

comment icon

5

Ahead in the Count: Reintroducing MORP
by
Matt Swartz

04-01

comment icon

11

Transaction Action: Claim and Deal
by
Christina Kahrl

12-17

comment icon

23

Transaction Analysis: Threesome or Foursome?
by
Christina Kahrl

10-18

comment icon

5

Winter League Preview
by
Carlos J. Lugo

12-23

comment icon

0

Transaction of the Day: AL East
by
Christina Kahrl

04-15

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: Opening Day to April 14, 2007
by
Christina Kahrl

02-08

comment icon

0

When Is A Win Not A Win?
by
Neil deMause

08-02

comment icon

0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 2nd
by
Jay Jaffe

07-07

comment icon

0

Schrodinger's Bat: Thinking and Rethinking: Part 2
by
Dan Fox

06-28

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: June 22-26
by
Christina Kahrl

06-16

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: June 13-15, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

02-15

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: National League, December 15, 2005-February 11, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

02-14

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: American League, December 15, 2005-February 13, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

12-12

comment icon

0

The Class of 2006
by
Jay Jaffe

11-22

comment icon

0

Lies, Damned Lies: Defending Jeffrey
by
Nate Silver

07-27

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: July 20-25
by
Christina Kahrl

07-12

comment icon

0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of July 10, 2005
by
Jay Jaffe

02-14

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: Offseason - The Easts
by
Christina Kahrl

09-17

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: August 30-September 15
by
Christina Kahrl

07-14

comment icon

0

Mid-Season Baseball Awards
by
Ryan Wilkins

04-27

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: April 19-25, 2004
by
Christina Kahrl

02-17

comment icon

0

Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, Florida Marlins, New York Yankees, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego Padres
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-12

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: The Easts
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-27

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: August 19-24
by
Christina Kahrl

07-02

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: June 26-30, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

04-01

comment icon

0

National League Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-15

comment icon

0

Individual Ballots
by
Baseball Prospectus

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

Once upon a time, the Marlins were big sellers, not big buyers. Their reputation took years to recover from their last big sell-off, but are firesales sometimes justified?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

Nate tackled the question of when it makes sense to be a seller in the article reproduced below, which originally ran as a "Lies, Damned Lies" column on November 22, 2005.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 28, 2011 5:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy

11

Jay Jaffe

The playoff races have been de-zombified, and Team Entropy was on the prowl, looking for meaningful baseball going into the final game.

Welcome to Team Entropy! Grab a seat on the couch, and here, have a beer. You've been invited to this party because after almost exactly six months and 160 games of regular-season baseball, you've suspended the need to root for a specific team and are working for the greater good, more interested in maximizing the amount of end-of-season chaos the remaining schedule can produce. The amount of season, even, if it comes to a 163rd game—or two.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Reviewing the best and worst first-half position players on each team.

In the numerical sense, the halfway point of the season arrived about a week ago. However, the All-Star break marks the arbitrary end point of the first half, bringing a few days of festivities and vacations to the forefront. That period of inactivity in games that matter offers a window into the frozen stats for each team, allowing us to see who is leading the charge and who is failing the team so far. 

In order to determine who’s been naughty and who’s been nice, I’ll enlist the aid of the Wins Above Replacement metric. Next time, we’ll cover the pitchers, but for today, it’s all about the position players.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

March 7, 2011 9:00 am

Expanded Horizons: Jay Another Day

10

Tommy Bennett

Toronto fans wish the Blue Jay Way wouldn't be long, but can the team be blamed for bowing out of the ultra-competitive AL East?

How do GMs of 85-win teams usually go about their offseasons? Most folks, not just major-league front-office executives, smell blood in the water and position themselves for the kill. The natural—and here I mean to evoke the ruthlessness of the Serengeti—reaction to the just-missed-it is the try-try-again. I take this phenomenon to be the primary explanation of, among other things: the Buffalo Bills of the 1990s; William Jennings Bryan; and the modern popularity of golf.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 22, 2010 11:20 am

Ahead in the Count: Reintroducing MORP

5

Matt Swartz

Updating BP's metric measuring the monetary value of a player's production.

When the Marlins traded Miguel Cabrera to the Tigers after the 2007 season along with Dontrelle Willis for a handful of prospects, the familiar voices echoed with the following summary: "Baseball is a business." They talked about how the Marlins "could not afford" to keep those players as their salaries escalated, and would only be able to watch them walk away when they became free agents. That’s what they said, at least. Now, the same "they" are outraged that Forbes reported that the Marlins reported the highest profit of any team last season. Clearly, they infer, the Marlins can afford the talent, but choose not to.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 1, 2010 8:27 pm

Transaction Action: Claim and Deal

11

Christina Kahrl

Who'll go for Lugo, Garko briefly adrift, en-spirited defenses of the Tribe's rotation, and dogs that didn't bark.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Team Audit | DT Cards | PECOTA Cards | Depth Chart

Acquired INF-R Julio Lugo from the Cardinals for future considerations. [3/31]
Designated 1B-L Michael Aubrey for assignment; released C/UT-R Chad Moeller. [4/1]

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

December 17, 2009 9:23 pm

Transaction Analysis: Threesome or Foursome?

23

Christina Kahrl

Or was the Jays/Phillies/Mariners/A's swap-a-rama really just serial monogamy?

IN THIS ISSUE

American League
National League

OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
Return to Top

Signed LHP Cedrick Bowers, RHPs Matt Wright, Marcus McBeth, and Fernando Hernandez, and 1B-R Matt Whitney to minor-league contracts. [12/13]
Acquired OF-R Michael Taylor from the Blue Jays for 3B-L Brett Wallace. [12/16]

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 18, 2009 2:38 am

Winter League Preview

5

Carlos J. Lugo

A preview of the Dominican Winter League, taking a look at the teams, stadiums, managers, and players to watch for.

The "National Religion" came back on October 16th, as the Dominican League launched its 56th edition. Reliably praised as having the highest level of talent among the winter leagues, one should expect to watch another mix of highly ranked prospects, mid-level major leaguers, a few recognizable American players, veterans looking for another shot, and some major league stars between now and the end of the Caribbean Series in February. The league format has six teams playing a 50-game regular-season schedule, with the four best records advancing to a long 18-game round-robin playoff, and the two remaining best clubs play a best-of-nine final series to decide the league's champion. Without further ado, here's what this season will bring us:

Tigres del Licey (Licey Tigers)
Home: Santo Domingo
2008-09 record: 26-24, fourth place (tied) regular season; 12-6, first place round-robin; beat the Gigantes in the final series 5-0.
Ballpark: Estadio Quisqueya; strong pitcher's park, with a Park Factor of 92.




The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

December 23, 2007 12:00 am

Transaction of the Day: AL East

0

Christina Kahrl

The moves made in baseball's drama division get a dose of review.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 15, 2007 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Opening Day to April 14, 2007

0

Christina Kahrl

In a new regular slot, Christina runs through the roster turnover around the majors.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

February 8, 2007 12:00 am

When Is A Win Not A Win?

0

Neil deMause

The great Doug Pappas' signature calculation gets an upgrade that integrates Nate Silver's research.

So it is, to some degree, for Doug Pappas. Of all the many and varied things that Doug did in his too-short life, probably his best-known creation is Marginal Payroll/Marginal Wins, a measure designed, as he explained when he introduced it in the 2004 edition of the Baseball Prospectus annual, to "evaluate the efficiency of a club's front office by comparing its payroll and record to the performance it could expect to attain by fielding a roster of replacement-level players."

The idea was both simple and brilliant: Take the amount of money a team spent on payroll, subtract the minimum that it would take to field a 25-man team, then divide this by the team's wins, less the number of wins an all-minimum-wage team would be expected to rack up (calculated by Pappas as a .300 winning percentage.) It was a metric that would go on to inspire Michael Lewis' best-seller Moneyball (Lewis was impressed with how the Oakland A's under Billy Beane continually ranked at the top of the MP/MW charts), and become an annual feature of this Web site; since Doug's death, the annual MP/MW tabulations have been carried on by BP's Ben Murphy and Maury Brown.

Read the full article...

The more things change, the more they stay the same on Ye Olde Hit List, as Jay follows the streaking Tigers and sorts out the contender from pretender.

Read the full article...

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries