CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Articles Tagged Stolen Bases 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

05-19

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

04-22

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: The Art of the Steal
by
Mike Gianella

12-02

comment icon

2

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: A Deeper Dive
by
Greg Wellemeyer

12-01

comment icon

2

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: Over/Underachievers
by
George Bissell

11-30

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: The General Landscape
by
J.P. Breen

10-16

comment icon

3

Dynasty Dynamics: Searching for Steals in a Slower Era
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

06-15

comment icon

2

The Buyer's Guide: Billy Hamilton
by
J.P. Breen

06-05

comment icon

2

Rubbing Mud: Hustlin' [to Second Base]
by
Matthew Trueblood

05-29

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: Table-Setting Thieves
by
J.J. Jansons

04-16

comment icon

5

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

03-27

comment icon

7

The Darkhorses: Steals and Saves
by
BP Fantasy Staff

12-10

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: American League Speed Options on the Cheap
by
Keith Cromer

03-21

comment icon

4

The Darkhorses: Stolen Bases
by
BP Fantasy Staff

09-27

comment icon

3

Pebble Hunting: The Hypotheses That Require Revisiting
by
Sam Miller

09-19

comment icon

1

The Lineup Card: Nine of Our Favorite Base Stealers, Stolen Bases, and Caught Stealings
by
Baseball Prospectus

05-28

comment icon

3

BP Unfiltered: The Most Unexpected Steals
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-30

comment icon

3

Skewed Left: Explaining Chase Utley's Stolen Base Success
by
Zachary Levine

04-19

comment icon

36

Pebble Hunting: The Search for the Missing Steals
by
Sam Miller

04-11

comment icon

6

BP Unfiltered: Chris Young Goes Coco
by
R.J. Anderson

03-04

comment icon

22

Baseball Therapy: Of Dogs, Men, and Stolen Bases
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-08

comment icon

22

Overthinking It: Why Nobody Gets Caught Stealing
by
Ben Lindbergh

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

May 19, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases

2

J.P. Breen

A look at how the first-year skippers have utilized the running game to this point in the season.

New managers don’t matter too much in terms of fantasy baseball. They won’t magically improve starting rotations or increase their team’s respective power production. The one exception, though, can be on the base paths. In other words, it’s important to ask: Is a manager running more or less than his predecessor did?

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 22, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The Art of the Steal

2

Mike Gianella

Evidence that stolen bases are improperly valued in fantasy circles, and ideas on how to fix a steal-lacking squad via trade.

With the exception of saves, stolen bases are the category most likely to make people moan and groan in fantasy baseball. The value of the stolen base is disproportionate to what it is in real life, which generates a great deal of frustration when it comes to constructing teams in roto leagues. Some go as far to suggest that the solution is to play in a (shudder) points league.

Two common beliefs among fantasy players are that: 1) stolen bases are not all that valuable and 2) stolen bases can found easily on the free agent pool. In this article, I will examine both of these perceptions and see how well they hold up under scrutiny.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 2, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: A Deeper Dive

2

Greg Wellemeyer

A look at potential under-the-radar speed merchants for 2016.

You know the drill by now. We’re in the middle of our Fantasy Categorical Breakdown series and I’m here to polish off the stolen base category. J.P. Breen covered the league-wide drop in steals on Monday and George stole a couple of my guys gave you standard mixed league over- and under-achievers yesterday. Today we’ll cover deeper league performers. Off we go.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 1, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: Over/Underachievers

2

George Bissell

The speed demons worthy of a mixed-league investment in 2016.

As the Baseball Prospectus Fantasy Team boldly pushes forward in our Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns series, be sure to catch up with previous installments over the past couple of weeks. J.P. Breen kicked off our stolen-base series with a look at the league-wide decline in thefts, as only seven hitters eclipsed the 30-steal plateau this past season. Tomorrow, noted Mallex Smith enthusiast, Greg Wellemeyer will take a deep dive into the category at the next generation of speedsters that will pilfer our hearts and inhabit our dynasty rosters. Today’s article focuses on the mixed league relevant roadrunners, ranging from the games elites, to five intriguing names to watch, a rebound and regression candidate and finally a breakdown of the specialists capable of infusing your fantasy roster with the speed you covet in 2016.

The Gold Standards (Stolen base kings worth every last dollar in 2016)

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 30, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: The General Landscape

0

J.P. Breen

Why single-category SB studs might be most valuable than you think.

As the BP Fantasy Team boldly pushes forward in our Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns series, be sure to catch up with previous installments over the past couple of weeks. We’re providing a 10,000-foot view of each category—such as this article here—to go with a specific article on 2015 over/underachievers and another one targeted for deeper leagues. This series is tackling two birds with one stone: (1) breaking down individual player performances; and (2) re-calibrating the fantasy discussion by placing roster strategy at the center.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

October 16, 2015 6:00 am

Dynasty Dynamics: Searching for Steals in a Slower Era

3

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

Stolen bases are down across the league, so where can fantasy owners turn to find swipes for their squads?

There were 2,505 stolen bases last season. Sounds like a lot, right?

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

June 15, 2015 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Billy Hamilton

2

J.P. Breen

Is there reason to expect any offensive production besides steals from the Reds center fielder?

It’s an old adage in baseball that speed-centric players should keep the ball on the ground to best access the inherent advantage that speed provides a hitter. Plus-plus speed puts extreme pressure on the infield defense to quicken their fielding motions and their internal clocks, forcing miscues and free bases. Moreover, speed-centric players typically lack usable game power, so it’s a better strategy to put the baseball on the ground—either to find a hole or to leg-out an infield single—rather than hit a harmless flyball that completely negates the speed advantage.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

June 5, 2015 6:00 am

Rubbing Mud: Hustlin' [to Second Base]

2

Matthew Trueblood

Tyson Ross' weak point is exactly what you would expect it to be

Tyson Ross will make his 12th start of the 2015 season tonight in Cincinnati. Through his first 11, he has a 3.79 DRA, which pegs him as roughly league-average: He places 55th of 110 qualifying pitchers (50 or more innings pitched). He’s also made a surprising number of league-average individual appearances: the mean Game Score this season has been 52, and all 11 of Ross’s starts have resulted in Game Scores between 48 and 62.

Do you know how many other pitchers have started a season with a streak of 11 starts in which the Game Scores all fell into that range? None. Do you know how many times a pitcher has ever had 11 consecutive such starts? Never. In fact, even if you widen the parameters to include starts falling between a 45 Game Score and a 65, there have only been four streaks in MLB history longer than the one Ross takes into his face-off with the Reds:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

May 29, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Table-Setting Thieves

2

J.J. Jansons

Dynasty league owners should be taking notice of these leadoff hitters for their future stolen-base potential.

As power numbers have dwindled in recent years, dynasty owners have been focused on adding speed to their rosters in any way possible. Billy Hamilton stole 56 stolen bases in 2014 and finished as a top-50 contributor in virtually all formats, despite hitting .250 and compiling a sub-.300 on-base percentage. Hamilton’s 72 runs scored were not good enough to rank him in the top 60 hitters overall, so the vast majority of his value was tied to one category. Fantasy overlord Bret Sayre ranked Hamilton the 16th-best outfield dynasty commodity this winter, outlining the value that a top-flight base-stealer can add to a dynasty league roster.

As a dynasty owner, finding speed in the minors is often a tricky proposition. A prospect like Garin Cecchini can swipe 51 bases in Low-A ball in 2012 but fail to surpass 15 steals in a season as he’s moved up the latter due to the more advanced ability of pitchers and catchers to control the running game. That’s why it’s always important to listen to the great BP Prospect team to have them tell you who has elite speed and who is feasting on poor battery combinations in the lower minors.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 16, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases

5

J.P. Breen

A look at how the six new MLB skippers could impact players' fantasy values with their base-stealing philosophies.

A half-dozen teams have new managers in 2015. While that fact may have already crawled its way out of our collective consciousness in the first couple weeks of the year, new managers do have some impact on fantasy baseball production. Perhaps most directly, changes atop the totem pole in the dugout can lead to strategic differences on the base paths. In other words, the frequency with which a team runs on the basepaths can change with a new manager.

The Detroit Tigers are a prime example of this. In 2013 with Jim Leyland at the helm, the Tigers stole the fewest bases (35) in Major League Baseball. After Leyland retired and Brad Ausmus became skipper, the Tigers ran wild. Their 106 stolen bases a year ago ranked seventh in the league. Coming into Wednesday’s games, they had stolen the second-most bases in baseball. Different managers, different strategies.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 27, 2015 6:00 am

The Darkhorses: Steals and Saves

7

BP Fantasy Staff

Unlikely candidates to lead the league in these two fantasy categories.

Previous articles in this series:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 10, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: American League Speed Options on the Cheap

0

Keith Cromer

Don't overpay for steals! Instead, put these prolific thieves on your 2015 fantasy squad.

Having had the privilege of competing in the CBS Expert Leagues the past couple of years, I started my auction prep-work around this time each year, since those leagues typically auction in February. Along with my research on relievers, as I referenced in my Fantasy Freestyle article from last week, I also spend quite a bit of time trying to identify speed options that might be undervalued come draft day.

As I headed into the AL-Only 5x5 CBS Expert League auction this past year, I went in with a strategy to get either Miguel Cabrera or Mike Trout at my sheet prices, buy Masahiro Tanaka at my sheet price, fill out my MI with fantasy-producing starters, and then figure out the rest as I went along. Well, I got Cabrera and Tanaka early as well as some solid middle infielders, and then focused my energy on getting a couple of speed guys, so I would not have to chase stolen bases later in the auction and overpay. The way the dynamics of the auction room played out, I was able to sit back and grab Rajai Davis, Jarrod Dyson, and Craig Gentry for a combined $5. No, that is not a misprint… that was a $5 investment that resulted in 92 stolen bases and $53 in earnings, or a $48 ROI, and I ran away (no pun intended) with the steals category in the league. For some reason, I have found over the years that there is not a lot love for these “one-trick ponies” despite the value they provide. As such, I always target and snatch these fantasy gems.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries