CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Articles Tagged Steals 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

05-28

comment icon

3

BP Unfiltered: The Most Unexpected Steals
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-22

comment icon

17

Fantasy Tier Rankings: Shortstops
by
Paul Singman

02-27

comment icon

12

Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Outfielders, Part One: 1-25
by
Josh Shepardson and Paul Singman

11-08

comment icon

22

Overthinking It: Why Nobody Gets Caught Stealing
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-22

comment icon

15

Raising Aces: A Slide Step in the Wrong Direction
by
Doug Thorburn

10-26

comment icon

16

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher
by
Michael Jong

07-29

comment icon

0

Fantasy Beat: Royalty Running Wild
by
Jason Collette

06-15

comment icon

11

Value Picks: Outfield
by
Rob McQuown

05-06

comment icon

4

Fantasy Beat: Stolen Bases and You in 2011
by
Jason Collette

03-22

comment icon

3

Fantasy Beat: Value Picks at Catcher, Second Base, and Shortstop
by
Michael Jong

01-26

comment icon

3

Fantasy Beat: Rankings Review: Center Field
by
Marc Normandin

07-08

comment icon

3

Fantasy Beat: Steal This Post - Revisited
by
Craig Brown

04-26

comment icon

2

Fantasy Beat: Weeks At A Time
by
Craig Brown

04-09

comment icon

1

Fantasy Focus: Stolen-base Redux
by
Marc Normandin

03-29

comment icon

0

Fantasy Beat: Steal This Post
by
Craig Brown

01-05

comment icon

35

Fantasy Focus: Center Field Rankings Review
by
Marc Normandin

12-31

comment icon

8

Prospectus Hit and Run: Hall of Fame Cases for Outfielders
by
Jay Jaffe

06-21

comment icon

37

Prospectus Idol Entry: When It Doesn't Pay To Steal
by
Brian Cartwright

04-03

comment icon

8

Fantasy Beat: Stealing Stolen Bases
by
Marc Normandin

03-03

comment icon

17

Fantasy Beat: Center Field
by
Marc Normandin

02-13

comment icon

22

Fantasy Beat: Second Base
by
Marc Normandin

07-19

comment icon

0

Fantasy Focus: Speed Never Slumps
by
Jeff Erickson

04-25

comment icon

0

Fantasy Focus: April Stolen Base Report
by
Jeff Erickson

03-05

comment icon

0

Fantasy Beat: The Infielders
by
Marc Normandin

02-27

comment icon

0

Fantasy Beat: Outfield Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-13

comment icon

0

Doctoring The Numbers: Mets, Rangers, and Orioles
by
Rany Jazayerli

12-20

comment icon

0

The Class of 2008
by
Jay Jaffe

08-30

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Jose Reyes
by
Joe Sheehan

05-27

comment icon

0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, NL Central
by
Bryan Smith

04-08

comment icon

0

Every Given Sunday
by
John Perrotto

03-29

comment icon

0

Schrodinger's Bat: The Price of Contentment
by
Dan Fox

03-22

comment icon

0

Schrodinger's Bat: Double Steals And More
by
Dan Fox

07-23

comment icon

0

Rogue's Gallery
by
Jim Baker

03-28

comment icon

0

The Daily Prospectus: Manager Tendencies
by
Steven Rubio

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

The steals they never saw coming.

Last week, David Ortiz stole third base for the first time in his career:

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 22, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Tier Rankings: Shortstops

17

Paul Singman

This position has an obvious one-two punch at the top, but there are plenty of counting-stat bargains available late in drafts.

Today we continue our positional tier rankings. Last offseason, Derek Carty tackled the tiers by himself; this spring, we've decided to attack them as a team. Players at each position will be divided into five tiers, represented by the number of stars.

Five-star players are the studs at their respective position. In general, they are the players that will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and they'll fetch auction bids in excess of $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be earl- round selections, and they're projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late round sleepers and roster placeholders. As was the case with our positional rankings series, the positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of the projected PECOTA values.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Ryan Braun and Mike Trout top a list that is teeming with high-upside talent.

The Baseball Prospectus fantasy team has been rolling out its positional rankings over the past couple of weeks, and will conclude the process next week. Each team member assigned to cover a position will create an initial top 15 (more for outfielders and starting pitchers) on his own. He will then send that list to the rest of the team for discussion, at which point we will debate the rankings, both in terms of each player's specific placement and the merits on which he was included in the top 15. This back-and-forth debate will yield the final list, which will be presented by the original author with notes on the pertinent players. We encourage you to bring your opinions into the fray using the comment section below.

Today, we continue the rankings with a look at our top 25 outfielders. Comments on the outfielders ranked 26-50 will follow on Friday.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Catchers can't throw anyone out anymore. Why is that, and should we be worried?

At the end of May, Rob Neyer wrote a piece about baseball’s ever-rising strikeout rate, which reached yet another new high this season. In that piece, he called Ernesto Frieri a canary in a coal mine—the coal mine, in this case, being the major leagues, and the toxic substance being strikeouts. Instead of keeling over in his cage, Frieri had started striking out everyone: when that piece was published, he’d struck out 23 batters in his previous 11 innings, without allowing a hit. For some, Frieri’s feat was just kind of cool. For Neyer, it was the latest reminder of a creeping strikeout menace that has already proved harmful to the health of the game. You can disagree with Neyer’s stance on the trend toward more strikeouts—Sam Miller and I did, on our podcast in September—but you can’t deny that the trend is there. Frieri is the face of it for Neyer; probably some other pitcher is the face of it for you.* It has many possible faces, which was precisely Neyer’s point. Ten years ago, there were 26 relievers who pitched at least 50 innings with at least as many strikeouts; this year, there were 61.

*The face of it for me was Jason Grilli, who struck out 1.5 batters per inning after striking out half a batter per inning six years ago.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

June 22, 2012 5:00 am

Raising Aces: A Slide Step in the Wrong Direction

15

Doug Thorburn

The slide step is intended to help pitchers, but would they be better off without it?

The classic Greek sabermetrician Plato said that necessity is the mother of invention.True to form, the slide step was borne from the need to suppress stolen bases at a time when the game was experiencing a record surge of thievery, but I submit that the strategy carries heavy costs that fail to outweigh the perceived benefits. The slide step invention is in dire need of an intervention.

The slide step is an artifact of the 1980s, a time when players such as Rickey Henderson and Vince Coleman were surpassing 100 stolen bases with regularity, terrorizing pitchers with constant distractions on the base paths. Since the Dead Ball Era, there have been 18 player-seasons that surpassed the 80-steal threshold, and 15 of those performances occurred in the 10-year stretch from 1979—1988. Henderson and Coleman were the last players to accomplish the feat, having tallied 174 steals between them in the '88 season, and were responsible for 10 of the 80-steal seasons between them, but the base-swiping explosion was hardly a two-man show (see accompanying chart). Today's top rogues of the base paths typically top out around 60 to 70 steals, with Jose Reyes' 78-steal tally of 2007 sticking out like a hitchhiker's thumb on the decade's SB leaderboard. For example, Michael Bourn has led the National League in stolen bases for three straight seasons, though his career-high is “just” 61 steals (accomplished twice). As Henderson told Harold Reynolds after the Mariner second baseman stole 60 bags in the 1987 season, “Rickey stole 60 at the break!”

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

October 26, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher

16

Michael Jong

Youth and speed dominate this week's Keeper Reaper list

Yet another week passes with more potential keeper names for The Keeper Reaper to examine. The season is winding down just as the offseason for keeper league owners is heating up. Here again are the format categories that we are considering, for reference:

Shallow (10-team mixed, 3 keepers): http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6431
Medium (12-team mixed, 4 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6430
Deep
 (15-team mixed, 6 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6432
NL-Only
 (12-team NL only, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6435
AL-Only
 (12-team AL only, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6434
Super Deep 
(20-team mixed, 10 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6433






The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 29, 2011 10:46 am

Fantasy Beat: Royalty Running Wild

0

Jason Collette

Jason looks at the baserunning philosophy of Royals manager Ned Yost and how it has benefited fantasy players.

Do you remember this quote from Spring Training?

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

June 15, 2011 9:00 am

Value Picks: Outfield

11

Rob McQuown

Rob returns from hiatus, says goodbye to one once-promising rookie, and says hello two newly-promising rookies.

So much has changed in the weeks since yours truly was last able to write about outfielder Value Picks.  Among players touted here so far, Alex Gordon is still doing well (though he's cooled off), and Mike Morse and Curtis Granderson have done great, as suggested.  Unfortunately, speedsters Peter Bourjos and Julio Borbon haven't lived up to expectations.  Maybe Nyjer Morgan will, if he can ever get enough playing time. 

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

May 6, 2011 9:00 am

Fantasy Beat: Stolen Bases and You in 2011

4

Jason Collette

Jason updates his earlier look at stolen base trends in the majors

Last month, I penned an article looking at early stolen base trends at the team level around the league. The inspiration? Poking fun at Royals manager Ned Yost for predicting the plodding Billy Butler was going to steal ten bases this season. Now that we have more data to play with, we can go back and revisit that data to see if those early trends are holding up (and which players are being affected by it).

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 22, 2011 9:00 am

Fantasy Beat: Value Picks at Catcher, Second Base, and Shortstop

3

Michael Jong

An update on the Mets' second-base situation, the Tigers need a replacement at the keystone, and the Royals have intriguing up-the-middle options.

Luis Hernandez, New York Mets

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 26, 2011 11:33 am

Fantasy Beat: Rankings Review: Center Field

3

Marc Normandin

A review of Marc's 2010 center field rankings.

This is a review of my 2010 center field rankings. This time around, not only will we use auction values for mixed leagues, but also the dollar value for AL- and NL-only leagues. These dollar values come from Graphical Player 2011, and I think these will do a good job illustrating how much I missed by on the players I missed, though, broken record style, the why is more important than the result when it comes to these rankings. All PECOTA projections, dollar values and statistics in the parentheses are from 2010.

Five Stars

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 8, 2010 10:11 am

Fantasy Beat: Steal This Post - Revisited

3

Craig Brown

A look back at three base stealing candidates who were identified as such in March.

As we near the end of the first half of the season, why not look back at some of the things I wrote during spring training?  Accountability is an important part of a process like this… Hopefully it can be entertaining as well.

So today’s entry looks back at an article I wrote about searching for steals guys at the end of a draft.  The guys profiled all had an ADP below 200 and provided what I thought to be good value if you were shopping for speed.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries