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1 Transaction Analysis: The Slow Death of Hope by Bryan Grosnick
0 DFA Podcast: Ep. 29: A (Longer) Pirate's Life For Me by Bryan Grosnick, R.J. Anderson and Shawn Brody
0 DFA Podcast: Ep. 28: The Eye Test by Bryan Grosnick, R.J. Anderson and Shawn Brody
1 The Call-Up: Jack Flaherty by Jarrett Seidler and Wilson Karaman
0 Transaction Analysis: When Average Is Better Than Average by Bryan Grosnick
1 Rubbing Mud: How the Pendulum Swings by Matthew Trueblood
0 The Call-Up: Harrison Bader by Mark Anderson and George Bissell
0 Circle Change: The Fate of the Unknown All-Star by Zach Crizer
0 Short Relief: Small Blessings of Baseball by Nathan Bishop, Patrick Dubuque and David Temple
0 Rubbing Mud: What We Talk About When We Talk About Launch Angle by Matthew Trueblood
7 Banjo Hitter: Albert Pujols, From 0 to 600 by Aaron Gleeman
1 Transaction Analysis: Big City, Georgia by Bryan Grosnick and Wilson Karaman
7 Rubbing Mud: What Ozzie Smith Thinks Can (and Can't) Make Baseball Better by Matthew Trueblood
9 Let It Eat: Who Is Responsible for Joe Kelly Has Great Stuff? by Ben Carsley
1 Rubbing Mud: Adam Wainwright Moving Side to Side by Matthew Trueblood
1 Short Relief: Marvel's New Series, a White Sox Story, and Baseball Seeking Elbow by David Temple, Zack Moser and Kate Preusser
6 Short Relief: Sunday Night Vespers, Parking, and Greinke Thinking by Nathan Bishop, James Fegan and Jason Wojciechowski
1 Looking Back on Tomorrow: St. Louis Cardinals by Jeff Quinton
2 Transaction Analysis: The Three Types of Extension by Bryan Grosnick
6 Short Relief: Disputing Crash, Remembering Bonderman, and Forgetting Pham by Zack Moser, David Temple and James Fegan
6 Rubbing Mud: Carlos Martinez, Tunnels, and PECOTA by Matthew Trueblood
4 Rubbing Mud: Yadier Molina Through PECOTA's Eyes by Matthew Trueblood
1 Flu-Like Symptoms: Counting Cardinals by Rob Mains
10 Transaction Analysis: Daddy Long Legs Hops From Chicago to St. Louis by Matthew Trueblood
0 Transaction Analysis: Holliday in New York by Kenny Ducey
26 Transaction Analysis: Atlanta's Old-Fashioned Rebuild by Matthew Trueblood
2 Prospect Profile: Magneuris Sierra by Ryan Davis
0 The Call-Up: Luke Weaver by Christopher Crawford and George Bissell
2 The Call-Up: Alex Reyes by Christopher Crawford and George Bissell
1 What You Need to Know: Hey Switch, Turn It Over and Hit It by Emma Baccellieri
0 Transaction Analysis: Cardinals Add Duke to Bullpen by James Fegan and Christopher Crawford
0 Raising Aces: Warm It Up, Chris by Doug Thorburn
0 What You Need to Know: Ambition Can Lead Only To Failure by Nicolas Stellini
0 Player Profile: The Cardinals' Sleeper Prospects by Ryan Davis
0 BP Unfiltered: Hope Springs Eternal, Shouldn't by Rob Mains
1 Two-Strike Approach: Aledmys Diaz and the Value of Development by Cat Garcia
0 Transaction Analysis: The St. Louis Outfield Shuffle by Grant Jones, Christopher Crawford and Bryan Grosnick
2 Raising Aces: Two Very Different Greinke Masterpieces by Doug Thorburn
2 What You Need to Know: What Is A Catch, And What Does It Matter? by Emma Baccellieri
3 Transaction Analysis: Escape From L.A. by Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski
0 Raising Aces: Instant Gratification by Doug Thorburn
0 Transaction Analysis: Just A Guy(s) by Bryan Grosnick
9 Prospectus Feature: Wainwright's Curve Takes A Turn For the Worse by Ryan Davis
0 What You Need to Know: Nomar Mazara Makes Five Of Us Look Smart by Daniel Rathman
21 Life at the Margins: Why St. Louisians Pursed Their Lips And Yelled Boooooo by Rian Watt
7 Winter Is Coming by Brendan Gawlowski
0 Rumor Roundup: Angels Out Of Their Depth by Demetrius Bell
2 Baseball Therapy: Let's Figure Out What a Scouting Department's Entire Product is Worth by Russell A. Carleton
12 Rubbing Mud: Why Do So Many Baseball Men Say Bad Things About Jason Heyward? by Matthew Trueblood
1 Rumor Roundup: Is Yovani Gallardo Worth the 13th Pick? by Daniel Rathman
Maybe The Wizard has some magical ways to make baseball more appealing.
Everything in baseball divides itself into threes. There are three strikes in an out, three outs in an inning, three fundamental dimensions of the game (offense, pitching, and fielding), and three broad constituencies who constantly fight for control of the game, both on and off the field: owners, players, and fans.
Of late, though, each of those triads have become a bit problematic. The rate at which those three strikes get racked up has skyrocketed, and that trend is only increasing. The three outs per inning are taking a bit too long to accrue, not because outs have actually become harder to get, but because the action that begets those outs is unfolding more slowly. The game is spinning on an increasingly bipolar axis, as hitters and pitchers take center stage and defense becomes a smaller piece of the puzzle.
Read the full article... Might as well lean into the wind, right?
If you’ve ever been on Baseball Twitter, or really any part of Baseball Internet, you’re familiar with
’s Great Stuff™. Joe Kelly It’s been memed. It’s been looked at seriously. It’s allowed certain former BP Local site managers to get away with extreme abuse of editorial privilege. Any time Joe Kelly appears in a game the Great Stuffs start rolling in, from tweeters and commenters and Kelly’s colleagues in equal measure.
But just where did the saga of Joe Kelly Has Great Stuff begin, and how did we get to where we are now? Who is primarily responsible for the meme? These are the types of questions we’ve all been asking. These are the kinds of questions to which you deserve the answers.
Read the full article... In the middle of his start, a struggling Adam Wainwright began switching sides of the pitching rubber.
The Cardinals’ season is off to a disastrous start. On Monday night, they got shelled by the Nationals, falling to 2-5. Things are going wrong everywhere, from a generally anemic offense to a bullpen that looks (surprisingly) like one of the NL’s worst. They also haven’t gotten many good innings from their starting pitchers, and on Monday night
got knocked around by a good Washington offense. He left after facing three batters in the fifth inning, but without retiring any of them and with four Nationals runs already on the board. Adam Wainwright
If anything, the outing was worse than that brief summary sounds. For most of the night, Wainwright was unable to command his curveball to the third-base side of home plate, and unable to command his cutter to the first-base side. He struggled to create the angles that would allow him to miss bats, especially against the Nationals’ excellent left-handed hitters:
, Adam Eaton , Bryce Harper , Daniel Murphy , and Stephen Drew . Matt Wieters Read the full article...
Featuring Hot Dog Man, The Talking Heads, and Stephen Piscotty's Pain.
Crying and baseball, Allen Iverson, Braves spokesperson, and Zack Greinke vs. Madison Bumgarner.
Devil Magic, against the wind.
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March 23, 2017 6:00 am
Carlos Martinez, Tim Anderson, and Kevin Kiermaier sign long-term deals, for different reasons.
Zack takes on one of baseball's favorite cliches, while David and Tommy Pham cling stubbornly to their souls.
February 22, 2017 6:00 am
Taking a deep dive into the Cardinals right-hander's repertoire, sequencing, tunnels, and overall approach.
In one sense, Cardinals right-hander
is an easy pitcher to understand. He can touch 100 miles per hour with his fastball. He throws both a four-seamer and a sinker, has a slider and a changeup to go with them, and all four pitches could be counted as above average. He’s fiercely competitive and a great athlete. Carlos Martinez was a bigger guy than Martinez at a time when everyone else on the field was smaller. Gibson had only two dominant pitches, and rarely even bothered with others. He’s also a Hall of Famer. Still, it’s really hard not to compare Martinez to Gibson. Bob Gibson
In another sense, though, there’s a whole lot we don’t know about Martinez. No, that’s not true. We know a ton about Martinez, far more than we would have known 10 years ago. Yet, we would have been much more confident in our assessments of Martinez then than we are now. Sometimes, even valuable new information only makes the essential truth about something feel further beyond our reach.
Read the full article... Are the Cardinals and their long-sturdy catcher starting to show some cracks?
All winter, Isaac Bennett (whose work
you’ve seen at BP Wrigleyville) and I have carried on baseball talk via Google Hangouts. We agree on more things than not, which is something neither of us can say about most of the other people with whom we get to consistently converse about this kind of stuff, so the conversations are usually easy. Two things divide us pretty sharply, though, at least at the moment. They are:
Read the full article...
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February 6, 2017 6:00 am
How the NL's fifth-worst offense in 2015 became its third-best offense in 2016.
The 2016 Cardinals were a disappointing team. The year before, they’d been the first team since the 2011 Phillies to win 100 games. Their loss to the Cubs in the Divisional Series stung, but it was the team’s fifth straight trip to the postseason. With a strong pitching staff—the team’s 2.94
was the majors' lowest in 27 years and the first team ERA under 3.00 since the 1989 Dodgers—and a farm system that produced a seemingly endless supply of new talent, they seemed poised to remain a playoff contender, if not fend off the fast-charging Cubs. ERA
We know what happened next. As the stat-heads predicted, the team’s
(3.50, fifth in the league) and FIP (4.11, sixth) presaged 2016 better than the sparkly ERA, as the Redbirds compiled a 4.08 ERA that ranked seventh in the league. That decline in pitching pretty much summed up the story of the season, as the team finished with an 86-76 record, one game behind the Mets for the second Wild Card. DRA The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
December 10, 2016 6:00 am
Dexter Fowler stays in the NL Central, signing a five-year, $82.5 million deal with the Cardinals.