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08-04

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2

BP Unfiltered: If David Eckstein Were a Storm Chaser...
by
R.J. Anderson

10-07

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18

Baseball ProGUESTus: Moneyball and Money Men
by
Kevin Baker

05-26

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20

Baseball ProGUESTus: Answers from a Sabermetrician, Part 2
by
Tom Tango

02-03

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17

The BP Wayback Machine: Baseball's Y2K1 Bugs
by
Gary Huckabay

12-31

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2

Prospectus Q&A: Best of Q&A 2010
by
David Laurila

07-29

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8

Transaction Action: Podzilla Washes Up in Malibu?
by
Christina Kahrl

05-28

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1

Ahead in the Count: Hometown Discounts
by
Matt Swartz

04-04

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3

Prospectus Q&A: Buck Showalter
by
David Laurila

03-29

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5

Prospectus Q&A: Logan White, Part 2
by
David Laurila

03-08

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48

Baseball Therapy: Going Streaking
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-07

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13

On the Beat: Weekend Update
by
John Perrotto

02-25

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46

Ahead in the Count: DIPS, BABIP and Common Sense
by
Matt Swartz

01-25

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63

Prospectus Roundtable: Analyzing RoboPitcher
by
Baseball Prospectus

06-21

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1

Prospectus Q&A: Matt DeSalvo
by
David Laurila

05-20

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4

Prospectus Q&A: Toby Harrah, Part 2
by
David Laurila

04-12

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5

Prospectus Q&A: Rob Deer
by
David Laurila

09-28

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0

Prospectus Q&A: Fernando Perez
by
David Laurila

05-29

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1

Prospectus Hit and Run: Take Me Out of the Hall Game
by
Jay Jaffe

03-07

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0

Future Shock: Keith Lieppman Interview, Part 1
by
Kevin Goldstein

08-09

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0

Bonds Responses
by
Baseball Prospectus

05-14

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0

The Week in Quotes: May 8-13
by
Alex Carnevale

05-04

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Defining a Market, Part Two
by
Nate Silver

01-29

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0

The Ledger Domain: Q&A with Branch Rickey III
by
Maury Brown

01-02

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0

The Year in Quotes
by
John Erhardt and Alex Carnevale

11-22

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0

Prospectus Today: Free Agents and Costly Voting
by
Joe Sheehan

06-20

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Transaction Analysis: June 16-19, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

06-13

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Prospectus Q&A: Dave Dombrowski
by
Jonah Keri

04-18

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Transaction Analysis: April 14-17
by
Christina Kahrl

09-21

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Prospectus Today: I (Heart) Baseball
by
Joe Sheehan

09-08

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Transaction Analysis: September 1-7
by
Christina Kahrl

08-26

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0

Transaction Analysis: August 19-25
by
Christina Kahrl

08-05

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Transaction Analysis: August 1-4
by
Christina Kahrl

07-21

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Transaction Analysis: July 14-19, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

06-15

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0

Is Small Ball Also Smart Ball?
by
Sean Ehrlich

06-07

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Prospectus Today: Surprise Team #3
by
Joe Sheehan

04-12

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Transaction Analysis: March 29-April 4, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

09-17

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Transaction Analysis: August 30-September 15
by
Christina Kahrl

07-29

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Transaction Analysis: July 27
by
Christina Kahrl

07-08

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Transaction Analysis: July 1-5
by
Christina Kahrl

05-07

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Prospectus Today: Webgate
by
Joe Sheehan

03-31

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Prospectus Q&A: Fred Claire
by
Jonah Keri

02-24

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Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IV
by
Baseball Prospectus

02-23

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Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part III
by
Baseball Prospectus

02-21

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Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part I
by
Baseball Prospectus

12-11

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Prospectus Q&A: Josh Lewin
by
Jonah Keri

03-04

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Under The Knife: A Day in the Life
by
Will Carroll

08-26

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0

The Daily Prospectus: Two Hours of Rambling
by
Gary Huckabay

08-26

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0

The Daily Prospectus: Two Hours of Rambling
by
Gary Huckabay

08-15

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0

The Zumsteg Plan
by
Derek Zumsteg

07-19

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Transaction Analysis: June 25-July 14, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

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September 17, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: August 30-September 15

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Christina Kahrl

Chris Kahrl has all the roster expansion and early-September movings and shakings in this supersized edition of Transaction Analysis.

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July 29, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: July 27

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Christina Kahrl

The Phillies lose their most effective reliever. The A's set Eric Karros free. The Twins bring up another prospect to torment. And a Curtis Pride sighting! All this news and much more in your Thursday Transaction Analysis.

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July 8, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: July 1-5

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Christina Kahrl

Bob Brenly's time with Arizona comes to an end. J.D's brother arrives in Atlanta. Boston's got too many bats for their bench. And Tampa Bay brings up a player worthy of a Hallmark special. All this and much more news from around baseball in your Thursday editon of Transaction Analysis.

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May 7, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: Webgate

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Joe Sheehan

I got more than a few e-mails yesterday about Webgate, MLB's plan to, as put by most people, desecrate the bases with a promotional graphic for the upcoming Spider-Man 2 movie. It's a moo point--"Friends" tribute--now, as MLB has backed away from the logoed bases in the face of overwhelming fan and media backlash. During the day that the plan was in place, I couldn't get worked up about it, in the same way that I couldn't get worked up about the ads that appeared on uniforms during the season-opening series in Japan. While I know that some people consider these things to be an affront, as well as an aesthetic nightmare, I consider neither to be the case. Certainly uniform and base ads are less intrusive in person than ballpark signage or between-innings advertising blasted at 110 decibels. For those watching at home, ads superimposed on the backstop on every pitch are clearly a greater incursion on the experience. If MLB could mine one more revenue source without detracting from the game--and six-by-six painted squares certainly pale in comparison to the profile of the other marketing messages being conveyed--then more power to them.

During the day that the plan was in place, I couldn't get worked up about it, in the same way that I couldn't get worked up about the ads that appeared on uniforms during the season-opening series in Japan. While I know that some people consider these things to be an affront, as well as an aesthetic nightmare, I consider neither to be the case. Certainly uniform and base ads are less intrusive in person than ballpark signage or between-innings advertising blasted at 110 decibels. For those watching at home, ads superimposed on the backstop on every pitch are clearly a greater incursion on the experience. If MLB could mine one more revenue source without detracting from the game--and six-by-six painted squares certainly pale in comparison to the profile of the other marketing messages being conveyed--then more power to them.

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After starting his baseball career as a beat writer, Fred Claire moved on to public relations with the Los Angeles Dodgers. He'd go on to spend 30 years in the Dodger organization, capped by his stint from 1987 to 1998 as general manager. Following 11 years as GM, including a 1988 World Series victory, newly-minted Fox ownership fired Claire soon after the landmark Mike Piazza trade of '98. Claire now works as a consultant for Performance Health Technologies of Boulder, Col., marketing a shoulder rehab device called SportsRac to pro athletes and weekend warriors. BP recently spoke to Claire about his career in Dodger Blue, the death of family ownership in the game, the Pedro Martinez trade, and the Dodger Way.

You can catch Fred Claire, along with BP's Joe Sheehan and Jonah Keri, and other guests, at the Barnes & Noble bookstore, 245 N. Glendale Ave. in Glendale, Calif., Thursday, April 1 at 7:30 p.m. We'll be talking baseball, Dodgers, Baseball Prospectus 2004 and Claire's new book, Fred Claire: My 30 Years in Dodger Blue, over pizza.

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February 24, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IV

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Baseball Prospectus

Let's compare J.J. Hardy and Bobby Crosby: Player Age EqBA/EqOBP/EqSLG Hardy 20 .240/.316/.380 Crosby 23 .273/.356/.490 Adjusted for park and league context, Crosby's numbers were much, much better. How to balance that against the age differential? I think the question becomes: How likely is it that Hardy will post a line of .273/.356/.490 or equivalent by the time that he's 23? It's possible, certainly, and it's also possible that he'll post a line even better than that. But I don't think that it's *probable*. That's a lot of improvement to make. PECOTA would put the possibility at somewhere around 25%, I'd think, and I think that's enough to render Crosby the stronger prospect.

Baseball Prospectus Top 40 Prospects Roundtables:
2003 Part II
2003 Part I
2001


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February 23, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part III

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Baseball Prospectus

Jeremy Reed had the best year of any player in the minors last year and has a very high probability of being an excellent player. I think a top-five ranking would be a just reward, and consistent with our emphasis on performance rather than tools. I absolutely do not understand why Reed would rank below Alexis Rios. He is Rios' equal in every attribute except for plate discipline, where he has a substantial advantage, and his PECOTA profile is considerably better. I don't think a couple of good weeks in Puerto Rico are enough to overcome that. Weeks is a stud and I think the objections to him are a bit overstated. I would like to get a scouting report or two on his defense, since his numbers were quite bad. I'm also not on board with the fear of ranking pitching prospects highly, though I'm sure there will be advocates for the opposite point of view. I think the *top* tier of pitching prospects is unusually good this year as compared with the top tier of hitting prospects, and I think we should make adjustments accordingly. If you want to get a bit more analytical about it, I don't think it's a matter of our overrating the risk associated with pitching prospects so much as it is our *underrating* the risk associated with offensive prospects, especially offensive prospects who have yet to reach Double-A. I like Marte a lot, and he has no real negatives, but placing him as high as #2 implies a scouting judgment of sorts; his numbers were good, but not overwhelming.

Baseball Prospectus Top 40 Prospects Roundtables:
2003 Part II
2003 Part I
2001


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February 21, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part I

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Baseball Prospectus

In preparing the annual top prospect list for Baseball Prospectus 2004, BP authors participated in the annual extended roundtable discussion of baseball's top prospects. The ranking and review process balanced translated statistics, scouting reports, and injury reports with the strong personal opinions of BP's finestall with the goal of putting together the "best damn prospect list the world has ever seen." In Part I today we'll listen in on the discussion of the top prospects among pitchers, catchers, first basemen and second basemen. Parts II through IV will run Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. We'll also unveil the final list Tuesday, with the Top 50 prospects (we've expanded from prior years' Top 40) revealed. Rany Jazayerli will be along to discuss the Top 50 list and the process that went into compiling it in Tuesday night's Chat.

Baseball Prospectus Top 40 Prospects Roundtables:
2003 Part II
2003 Part I
2001


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December 11, 2003 12:00 am

Prospectus Q&A: Josh Lewin

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Jonah Keri

Josh Lewin, 35, is a play-by-play announcer for Fox TVs Saturday Game of the Week and the television voice of the Texas Rangers. As an announcer, hes worked with legendary broadcasters Jon Miller in Baltimore, Harry Caray in Chicago, and Ernie Harwell in Detroit. Hes also a job-hunting survivor of the winter meetings. His first book, Getting in the Game: Inside Baseball's Winter Meetings, published by Brasseys, tells the tale of three go-getters seeking their first paying jobs in professional baseball at the 2002 meetings in Nashville's Opryland Hotel. With this year's event starting this weekend in New Orleans, BP chatted with Lewin about the challenge of baseball job-hunting, the scene at the winter meetings, and how he found his own broadcasting career.

Baseball Prospectus: What was your initial inspiration for writing the book?

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March 4, 2003 12:00 am

Under The Knife: A Day in the Life

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Will Carroll

The second most frequent question I get after "What the [bleep] is wrong with Nick Johnson?" is "How do you do what you do?" My friend Robert Herzog called me on my radio show last year and really grilled me. He's a friend now, but it was really an annoying question. At the time, my answer was "lots of phone calls and a lot of perseverance." True, yes, but not really the key to it. Becoming a baseball injury analyst was something of a wonderful accident of luck and timing. Under The Knife started as my answer to another injury analyst who gave incorrect information and answered a question with, "What do you expect for a hundred bucks?" I'd had just enough coffee in me that day to think that I could do better.

It took four years of working as a student athletic trainer on all sports, including baseball. It took medical training. It took the creativity to diagnose something from afar. It's at times like a giant puzzle; I get enough pieces to put things together, but I don't have the box cover to go off of and there are always pieces missing.

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August 26, 2002 10:01 am

The Daily Prospectus: Two Hours of Rambling

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Gary Huckabay

I recently sat down for lunch with a very old friend of mine with an affinity for baseball, finance, and philosophy. Lunch took about half an hour, and the ensuing conversation took about two hours. Since I've mentioned him before in this space, and he's fond of his privacy, we'll call him "Dave" for purposes of this column.

I recently sat down for lunch with a very old friend of mine with an affinity for baseball, finance, and philosophy. Lunch took about half an hour, and the ensuing conversation took about two hours. Since I've mentioned him before in this space, and he's fond of his privacy, we'll call him "Dave" for purposes of this column. (Approximately 70% of the guys I speak with on a regular basis are named Keith, Chris, Michael, or Dave. A much lower percentage is named Rany.)

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Obviously, this is paraphrased, but has been run by Dave to make sure everything's on the up and up as far as he's concerned. I hope you enjoy this edited transcript as much I as enjoyed the conversation. It's long, and it's rambling, so perhaps you should check it out in small bites.

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