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Articles Tagged September 

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09-21

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The BP Wayback Machine: Backing into the Playoffs
by
Jay Jaffe

09-07

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7

The Stats Go Marching In: Four Questions for the Stretch Run
by
Max Marchi

05-01

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Fantasy Beat: September Surges, April Struggles
by
Jason Collette

10-12

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2

Tater Trot Tracker: Victor Martinez's ALCS Home Run
by
Larry Granillo

09-29

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11

Kiss'Em Goodbye: Boston Red Sox
by
Steven Goldman, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

09-29

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18

One-Hoppers: The Team Entropy All-Stars
by
Jay Jaffe

09-28

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11

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy
by
Jay Jaffe

09-21

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9

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Incredibly Strange Races That Stopped Stagnating and Became Mixed-Up Zombies
by
Jay Jaffe

09-19

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5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Backing into the Playoffs
by
Jay Jaffe

08-29

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12

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The September Stretch
by
Michael Jong

08-26

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4

Fantasy Beat: The Impact of September Call-ups
by
Jason Collette

08-25

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12

The BP Wayback Machine: Blowing It
by
Nate Silver

03-01

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8

The BP Wayback Machine: Wild Card: A Fairy Tale
by
Nate Silver

10-05

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19

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

09-27

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1

Prospectus Hit and Run: Beasterly
by
Jay Jaffe

08-25

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42

On the Beat: Playing from Behind
by
John Perrotto

10-07

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Cardinals LDS
by
Jay Jaffe

05-22

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19

Checking the Numbers: Going Streaking
by
Eric Seidman

10-01

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20

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers
by
Jay Jaffe

09-28

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1

Prospectus Preview: Sunday's Games to Watch
by
Marc Normandin

09-27

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3

Prospectus Preview: Saturday's Games to Watch
by
Caleb Peiffer

09-17

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6

Prospectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to Watch
by
Caleb Peiffer

09-14

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Every Given Sunday: Don't Look at Us Now
by
John Perrotto

09-07

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8

Every Given Sunday: Scoops of all Sizes from Around the Major Leagues
by
John Perrotto

07-11

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Prospectus Matchups: Exiting Stage Left
by
Jim Baker

04-05

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Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

12-21

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Prospectus Matchups: The Mismatches
by
Jim Baker

09-29

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Prospectus Hit and Run: Coming Back Down
by
Jay Jaffe

09-27

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1

Lies, Damned Lies: Blowing It
by
Nate Silver

09-09

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The New Parity
by
Brandon Isleib

09-03

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Lies, Damned Lies: The Contenders' Rotations
by
Nate Silver

08-29

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Fantasy Focus: September Prospects
by
Kenn Ruby

10-11

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Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Preview
by
Jay Jaffe

09-26

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of September 26
by
Jay Jaffe

09-19

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of September 19th
by
Jay Jaffe

10-04

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of October 2
by
Jay Jaffe

09-27

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of September 25
by
Jay Jaffe

08-31

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Fantasy Focus: NL Call-Ups
by
Randy Hale

09-18

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Prospectus Today: A's Getting Cs
by
Joe Sheehan

09-17

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Prospectus Triple Play: Los Angeles Dodgers, Minnesota Twins, San Francisco Giants
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-17

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Lies, Damned Lies: Wild Card: A Fairy Tale
by
Nate Silver

03-05

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0

Let's Play Two!
by
Nate Silver

03-11

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The Marlin in Charge
by
Joe Sheehan

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Making the playoffs doesn't always mean finishing strong.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

A September swoon doesn't always preclude a playoff appearance. Jay Jaffe summarized the worst September performances by teams that made the postseason in the piece reprinted below, which was originally published as a "Prospectus Hit and Run" column on September 19, 2011.
 


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September 7, 2012 5:00 am

The Stats Go Marching In: Four Questions for the Stretch Run

7

Max Marchi

Some strategic questions have different answers in September than they do during the rest of the regular season.

During the first four or five months of the season, I don’t care which teams are playing, as long as there is at least one day game I can watch from my location six time zones ahead of the East Coast. But when September arrives, I often find myself looking at the schedule in disgust when I learn that the only game played at 1 PM features two teams already out of contention.

September also brings a different kind of baseball, as rosters expand and teams pull out all the stops to make the playoffs. Given the altered nature of the game in the final month of the regular season, the men in charge of pushing the buttons should know the answers to a few questions that either do not arise or are not really relevant earlier in the season. Let’s have a look at a few of them.

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May 1, 2012 3:00 am

Fantasy Beat: September Surges, April Struggles

0

Jason Collette

A look at the players many predicted breakouts for based on strong September performances

One of the most common fallacies in fantasy baseball is that hot Septembers are precursors to players performing well the following season. Ben Zobrist hit .321/.42/.732 in September of 2008 after doing nothing the previous five months before breaking out in 2009. Jose Bautista had OPS’s of 868, 691, 735, 606, and 503 before hitting 10 home runs in September, putting up a 944 OPS, and then breaking out in 2010. In 2010, Troy Tulowitzki had his coming out party in September, hitting 15 of his 27 home runs over the final month and parlaying it into a monster 2011 season.

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Victor Martinez had a very noticeably slow trot in Game 3 of the American League Championship Series. Here is his tater trot tracker information.

As we wait to see if Game 4 of the American League Championship Series can be played without a further rain delay tonight, a few thoughts on Victor Martinez's tortoise-like tater trot last night.

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September 29, 2011 2:33 pm

Kiss'Em Goodbye: Boston Red Sox

11

Steven Goldman, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

A stench will linger from Boston's collapse, but the Sox will be elite again in 2012

Kiss 'Em Goodbye is a series focusing on MLB teams as their postseason dreams fadewhether in September (or before), the league division series, league championship series or World Series. It combines a broad overview from Baseball Prospectus, a front-office take from former MLB GM Jim Bowden, a best- and worst-case scenario ZiPS projection for 2012 from Dan Szymborski and Kevin Goldstein's farm-system overview.

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A tribute to the players whose successes and failures made the season's final days so memorable.

In retrospect, I peaked too early. As memorable and riveting a night for baseball as Tuesday night was, with one barnburner and two other come-from-behind victories that collectively tied up both leagues' Wild Card races heading into the final day of the season, Wednesday was even moreso. My schedule and sanity didn't allow me to chronicle another night of quadro-entropic action in the same minute detail, but with a TV, a laptop, an iPad, and an iPhone, I caught all of the relevant action, including the Braves' agonizing 13-inning loss, the Red Sox ninth-inning collapse, and the Rays' amazing comeback from 7-0 against the Yankees with just six outs remaining (via Twitter and the #teamentropy hashtag, I caught a great deal fo the snark as well). The five or 10 minute span which saw Boston lose and Tampa Bay win may be the most shocking stretch of baseball I've witnessed since — we'll go easy on Bill Buckner and Sox fans — the Steve Bartman game.

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September 28, 2011 5:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy

11

Jay Jaffe

The playoff races have been de-zombified, and Team Entropy was on the prowl, looking for meaningful baseball going into the final game.

Welcome to Team Entropy! Grab a seat on the couch, and here, have a beer. You've been invited to this party because after almost exactly six months and 160 games of regular-season baseball, you've suspended the need to root for a specific team and are working for the greater good, more interested in maximizing the amount of end-of-season chaos the remaining schedule can produce. The amount of season, even, if it comes to a 163rd game—or two.

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It looked like there would be no hunts for playoff berths down the stretch, but a few teams are trying to spice things up.

Two weeks ago, I shoveled dirt on the 2011 playoff races and braced for a comparatively dull September full of little more than teams jockeying for position as fans and writers debated award candidates and the inevitable, interminable would-you-rather-face questions. Through the results of September 7, the day my article ran, our Playoff Odds report showed eight teams with at least a 90 percent chance of reaching the postseason, and three more between one and 10 percent. Based upon personnel, run differentials, schedules, and historical probabilities, there was roughly a 1-in-6 chance somebody would upset the applecart.

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September 19, 2011 9:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Backing into the Playoffs

5

Jay Jaffe

With the panic button on hold in Boston, here's a look at how poorly some teams have finished in September to still make October.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a playoff race after all. On Sunday in Boston, the Rays pounced on the Red Sox for six runs in the first five innings, taking advantage of Jarrod Saltalamacchia's inability to stop Tim Wakefield's knuckleball—the backstop was charged with four passed balls, and was party to a wild pitch as well—and won their third game in a pivotal four-game series. The win pulled Tampa Bay to two games behind Boston in the AL wild-card race with 10 games left to play. The odds are still heavily in the Sox’ favor because they play the Orioles seven times while the Rays play the Yankees seven times, but given that less than two weeks ago it appeared the playoff slate was all but sealed, even this much drama is a pleasant surprise—at least if you're not a New Englander.

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While the Braves and Phils are playoff-bound, the NL East's other three teams will use September to evaluate potential roster moves.

Last week, we looked at the immediate future of the playoff-bound Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies and their possible matchups in the first round. But the other three NL East teams are not going anywhere after September; they will be packing it up for the long winter months and awaiting the 2012 season. So what do these teams have to look forward to as they approach the last month of the 2011 season?

Florida Marlins: Hanley Ramirez and His Health
It is no secret that Ramirez's season has been a disaster. The highest-paid Marlin has had a 0.6 WARP season through 385 plate appearances, and he has missed playing time due to two separate DL stints for different injuries. Those two stints represent the first and second trips to the DL in Ramirez's brilliant career, though he did miss much of the last month of 2010 with soreness in his left elbow.


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August 26, 2011 11:16 am

Fantasy Beat: The Impact of September Call-ups

4

Jason Collette

What kind of impact can September call-ups have on your fantasy team, and who figures to make the biggest splash in 2011?

We are less than a week away from the most/least exciting day of the fantasy baseball season—roster expansion. On that magical day of September 1, Major League Baseball teams can expand their active roster by up to 15 players, giving chances to rookies and career minor leaguers to showcase their skills and audition for a spot on someone’s 2012 roster.  It also gives teams a chance to rest their everyday players as they put their roster into cruise control in order to rest up for a grueling post-season. 

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As we head for the season's home stretch, Nate reminds us that even comfortable leads late in the season aren't sure things.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

There's no such thing as a lock, as Nate discovered in his research on late-season collapses, which originally ran as a "Lies, Damned Lies" column on September 27, 2007.


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