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Articles Tagged Run Differential 

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05-06

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5

Baseball Therapy: Is Oakland's Run Differential for Real?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-18

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 44: Sizing Up the Giants' Starters/Rooting for Run Differential
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-05

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22

Sobsequy: The Postmodern Orioles
by
Adam Sobsey

09-04

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 34: Making Sense of the Orioles and MLB's Blackout Policy
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-27

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27

Baseball Therapy: One-Run Winners: Good or Lucky?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-24

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0

What You Need to Know: Thursday, May 24
by
Daniel Rathman

12-21

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36

Spinning Yarn: Hit-and-Run Success is No Accident
by
Mike Fast

10-19

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23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-26

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3

Divide and Conquer, NL West: Bochy Wins the Close Ones
by
Geoff Young

01-19

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41

Manufactured Runs: The Twilight of the Gods
by
Colin Wyers

09-23

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8

Prospectus Hit List: NL: Getting Sorted
by
Jay Jaffe

04-22

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6

Prospectus Hit List: Epic Flights and Epic Fights
by
Jay Jaffe

12-31

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155

Prospectus Today: Retrospective on Runs and Records
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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3

Prospectus Hit List: Season Finale
by
Jay Jaffe

07-26

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18

Checking the Numbers: Defining Declining Expectations
by
Eric Seidman

07-03

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24

Prospectus Hit List: Beating the Holiday Traffic
by
Jay Jaffe

05-29

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10

Prospectus Hit List: Going Places
by
Marc Normandin

05-08

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12

Prospectus Hit List: The Banny Man and the Manny Ban
by
Jay Jaffe

05-01

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12

Prospectus Hit List: Back to Earth
by
Jay Jaffe

09-18

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10

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Underachievers
by
Jay Jaffe

09-12

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Top to Bottom
by
Jay Jaffe

08-28

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Prelude to the Great Unplugging
by
Jay Jaffe

06-27

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Further Adventures in Interleague Mayhem
by
Jay Jaffe

06-26

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0

Prospectus Today: Shopping Season
by
Joe Sheehan

06-21

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0

Can Of Corn: Grading A's
by
Dayn Perry

06-09

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0

Prospectus Today: Brave New Problems
by
Joe Sheehan

05-12

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0

Prospectus Today: Miracle in Miami?
by
Joe Sheehan

04-11

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Small-Sample Theater
by
Jay Jaffe

11-01

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Dis and Data
by
Jay Jaffe

10-12

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Indians versus Red Sox
by
Jay Jaffe

08-16

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0

Prospectus Today: The Snakes' Progress
by
Joe Sheehan

07-20

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0

Prospectus Today: Upstairs Downstairs Out West
by
Joe Sheehan

07-13

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Friday the 13th Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

07-06

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Pinch-Hitter's Edition
by
Marc Normandin

06-22

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Hurting Hurlers
by
Jay Jaffe

06-15

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Prospectus Hit List: June Swoons and Happier Tunes
by
Jay Jaffe

05-31

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Look Sharp
by
Nate Silver

05-17

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Organized Common Sense
by
Dan Fox

05-04

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0

Prospectus Hit List: One Month Down
by
Jay Jaffe

03-08

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Using Your Leverage
by
Dan Fox

12-19

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0

Prospectus Today: Looking Back
by
Joe Sheehan

10-06

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0

Prospectus Matchups: October Musings
by
Jim Baker

07-25

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0

Prospectus Hit List: July 25
by
Marc Normandin

07-18

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0

Prospectus Hit List
by
Jay Jaffe

07-12

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of July 9
by
Jay Jaffe

06-21

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0

Prospectus Today: Best in the West
by
Joe Sheehan

06-16

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0

Prospectus Notebook: Royals, Twins
by
Baseball Prospectus

05-02

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of April 30
by
Jay Jaffe

04-06

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Wins and the Quantum
by
Dan Fox

02-03

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Prospectus Matchups: Windy City Revisited
by
Jim Baker

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How early in the season can we start to trust run differential?

As of the moment that I write this, the best run differential in baseball is owned by…the Oakland A’s. Raise your hand if you saw that coming. Also, please raise your hand if—since I mentioned the A’s, you can work the word “moneyball” into this paragraph. I’ve run out of ways to do it.

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Ben and Sam discuss the Giants' starting rotation and decide what it would take to trust Barry Zito, then talk about how they decide which teams to root for.

Ben and Sam discuss the Giants' starting rotation and decide what it would take to trust Barry Zito, then talk about how they decide which teams to root for. 

Episode 44: "Sizing Up the Giants' Starters/Rooting for Run Differential"

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September 5, 2012 5:00 am

Sobsequy: The Postmodern Orioles

22

Adam Sobsey

How Dan Duquette is offsetting run differential with roster differential.

The Tides have tied the [International League] record for most players used in a season (74) and most starting pitchers used (20).—Norfolk Tides Media Notes, August 24, 2012
 

The above detail caught my eye in the press box before the Tides took on the Durham Bulls a couple of weeks ago. I appreciated the record numbers for their sheer size, but it’s easy, down here in the isolation of the minor leagues, to lose sight of what they really mean in the only context that counts.


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Ben and Sam discuss two baseball mysteries: the Orioles' success in 2012, and MLB's blackout policy.

Ben and Sam discuss two baseball mysteries: the Orioles' success in 2012, and MLB's blackout policy.

Episode 34: "Making Sense of the Orioles and MLB's Blackout Policy"

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This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

August 27, 2012 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: One-Run Winners: Good or Lucky?

27

Russell A. Carleton

Do teams like the Orioles that excel in one-run games do so out of skill, or have they just gotten lucky?

A few weeks ago, the topic for the BP Lineup Card was "Unanswered questions for the second half." I noted that at the time, the Cardinals were several games behind both the Pirates and the Reds in the NL Central standings, despite the fact that they had a better Pythagorean record than either. In theory, the Cardinals should have been atop the NL Central.

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The Tampa Bay Rays have managed to stay in second place in the AL East despite the second-smallest run differential in the division.

The Wednesday Takeaway
Remember when the Rangers seemed like a juggernaut after starting the season with 17 wins in their first 23 games? Well, 23 days later, Ron Washington’s team is now tied with the Rays for the second-best record in the American League at 27-18, tied in the loss column with the 25-18 Indians, and a game behind the 28-17 Orioles. Since the end of April, the Orioles have gone 14-8, the Indians 13-9, the Rays 12-10, and the Rangers 10-12—including a just-completed 6-7 run while facing the Angels, Royals, Athletics, Astros, and Mariners.

Think that’s confusing? Then try to figure out the American League East.


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The hit-and-run is much maligned as a small-ball tactic, but it's a surprisingly successful strategy.

In this game you never know enough.”—Dale Mitchell

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Sizing up every facet of each contender in this season's Fall Classic.

The Breakdown

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When offense is difficult to come by, the Giants stand tall, but how do they stack up against history?

When the Giants lost to Dodgers southpaw Clayton Kershaw, 1-0 last Wednesday, it was an unusual occurrence for the defending champs. No, not getting blanked by Kershaw; he is a great pitcher, and that will happen. It’s unusual that the Giants lost a one-run game. Even after falling to Kershaw, they are 27-13 in such contests this year (all statistics are through games of July 24), which helps explain why the team is doing so well (59-43 vs. 53-49 Pythagorean record) despite a pedestrian run differential. Their record in one-run games is tops in the big leagues, besting Philadelphia's 17-9.

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What are closers really saving?

Let’s talk about the power of myth. A myth, simply put, is a story that is meant either to explain why something is, or to tell us how something ought to be. (Strictly speaking, myths are religious in nature, but we’re going to go ahead and stretch the word just a bit here.) It’s a story that teaches us something—a parable, if you will. But it starts off with a story.

Baseball, I think, lends itself particularly well to stories. And I have a fondness for baseball stories. Consider, for instance, this game between the Red Sox and the Devil Rays back in ’04, the second game of a late-April double-header. It wasn’t a particularly dramatic game, I’ll grant you that. The Sox scored seven runs in the first inning, and the D-Rays never seriously threatened after that. Still, a seasoned baseball fan can go over the box score and construct a story from it. It’s something you pick up with practice.

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The East race gets separation as the Phillies sweep the Braves as we take a look around the Senior Circuit.

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April 22, 2010 12:15 pm

Prospectus Hit List: Epic Flights and Epic Fights

6

Jay Jaffe

A 20-inning exercise doesn't keep the Cards from flying solo in the first division from among the Central's six squads.

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