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01-26

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Rumor Roundup: Papelbon Not Proven Closer To Milwaukee
by
Chris Mosch

01-23

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3

Rumor Roundup: Everth Cabrera is a Wanted Man
by
Daniel Rathman

01-22

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2

Rumor Roundup: Jonathan Singleton Is Probably Not the Breakout Candidate You're Looking For
by
Chris Mosch

01-21

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6

Rumor Roundup: The World Is Drunk On Burke Badenhop Rumors
by
Daniel Rathman

01-20

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Rumor Roundup: Brew Crew Clues True?
by
Chris Mosch

01-19

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9

Rumor Roundup: Big Yields Shields
by
Daniel Rathman

01-16

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3

Rumor Roundup: Rangers Not Interested in Max Scherzer for Backup Catcher Search
by
Chris Mosch

01-15

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Rumor Roundup: What Do You and the Dodgers Have In Common?
by
Chris Mosch

01-14

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2

Rumor Roundup: One Of Alexi Ogando And Max Scherzer Likely To Sign Next Week
by
Daniel Rathman

01-13

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6

Rumor Roundup: Three Stories About NL West Teams Pursuing Pitching
by
Daniel Rathman

01-12

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Rumor Roundup: Tigers Talk Big About Scherzer
by
Daniel Rathman

01-09

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Rumor Roundup: Cardinals Like Their Rotation, Intent On Improving Their Rotation At Great Cost
by
Chris Mosch

01-08

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3

Rumor Roundup: Hot Mets Rumor: Nothing Is Likely To Occur
by
Chris Mosch

12-30

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11

Rumor Roundup: Blue Jays Interested in This Francisco Rodriguez Fun Fact
by
Daniel Rathman

12-29

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6

Rumor Roundup: Tigers Like Tiger, Tigers Say
by
Daniel Rathman

12-24

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2

Rumor Roundup: Marlins Not Really Interested In Having Exactly Three Outfielders On Their Roster
by
Chris Mosch

12-24

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5

Ninety Percent Mental: What's Really Behind Salary Inflation
by
Lewie Pollis

12-19

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Rumor Roundup: Kenta Maeda Will Not Be Appearing In This Feature (Beyond Today)
by
Daniel Rathman

12-16

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Rumor Roundup: It's Hard To Make Dan Haren Happy
by
Daniel Rathman

12-15

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Rumor Roundup: The Slugging Korean Shortstop, Or Perhaps Non-Slugging Third Baseman
by
Daniel Rathman

12-15

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9

Prospectus Feature: The Surprising Math Teams Use to Value a Compensation Pick
by
Jeff Quinton

12-12

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Rumor Roundup: Remember James Shields?
by
Daniel Rathman

12-11

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4

Rumor Roundup: Yoenis Cespedes Is Always Good, Fit
by
Daniel Rathman

12-10

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Rumor Roundup: A Dayton Moore-Atlanta Connection?
by
Daniel Rathman

12-09

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5

Transaction Analysis: Moss Gathered
by
R.J. Anderson, Craig Goldstein and Mauricio Rubio

12-08

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5

Rumor Roundup: Interested Teams Are Way In On Chen
by
Daniel Rathman

12-04

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19

Pitching Backward: Best. Reliever Season. Ever.
by
Jeff Long

12-04

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7

Rumor Roundup: The Inevitability of the Dodgers
by
Chris Mosch

12-03

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4

Rumor Roundup: The Fourth Year Is Always The Hardest
by
Chris Mosch

12-02

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16

An Agent's Take: Advice For The Teenaged Rumors Reporters
by
Joshua Kusnick

12-02

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4

Rumor Roundup: Lester's New Home Won't Be His New Home
by
Daniel Rathman

12-01

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Rumor Roundup: A Shark in Sox?
by
Daniel Rathman

11-26

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Rumor Roundup: The Ace Chase, the Rays' Face, and Some Chase Waste
by
Chris Mosch

11-25

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3

Rumor Roundup: Revenge is a Dish Best Served Immediately
by
Daniel Rathman

11-24

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3

Rumor Roundup: If Step One Is Making Betances Closer, What's Step Two?
by
Daniel Rathman

11-20

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Rumor Roundup: The Ideas That Dayton Moore Toys With
by
Chris Mosch

12-04

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 341: Hot Stovepocalypse
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-03

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Rumor Roundup: Re-Upping Ramirez
by
Daniel Rathman

11-27

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The Lineup Card: 8 Unfulfilled Rumors From Last Year's Hot Stove
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-12

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15

Overthinking It: Picking an Appropriate Cardinals Shortstop
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-08

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Rumor Roundup: Backup Planning
by
Daniel Rathman

11-04

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Rumor Roundup: Restarting the Rumor Mill
by
Daniel Rathman

09-03

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 278: Chris Cotillo on Breaking Trades Before Finishing High School
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-20

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Daily Roundup: Around the League: July 20, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

04-24

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5

Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 24, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

04-11

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6

Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 11, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

04-10

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Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 10, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

04-09

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Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 9, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

04-08

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Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 8, 2013
by
Clint Chisam

03-31

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Daily Roundup: Around the League: March 31, 2013
by
Clint Chisam and Joe Hamrahi

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January 8, 2015 6:00 am

Rumor Roundup: Hot Mets Rumor: Nothing Is Likely To Occur

3

Chris Mosch

The Mets could be set to go with what they've got at shortstop, while Ichiro Suzuki could be preparing to answer the age-old question, "what would Ichiro look like in a Marlins uniform?"

Mets expected to enter camp with Flores as starting shortstop

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Toronto has K-Rod and Japanese veteran shortstop Takashi Toritani on its radar, while Stephen Drew gets a token rumor.

Blue Jays, Padres interested in Takashi Toritani
While the spotlight for infielders across the Pacific has recently been on Korean shortstop Jung-ho Kang, for whom the Pirates won negotiating rights, a Japanese veteran might join him in the majors next year. According to Brendan Kennedy, who covers the Blue Jays for the Toronto Star, the club is one of two eyeing Toritani, a shortstop with the Hanshin Tigers.


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December 29, 2014 6:00 am

Rumor Roundup: Tigers Like Tiger, Tigers Say

6

Daniel Rathman

Detroit is comfortable with an in-house solution, the Giants are favorites to land Ben Zobrist (OR ARE THEY!?), and David Price is preparing to headline this space next winter.

Tigers might use internal options to round out bench
Among the items on the offseason shopping list for Tigers general manager Dave Dombrowski was at least one left-handed hitter to balance out a roster that skews heavily to the right.


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The Marlins might find a match between Dan Haren and an outfield-loaded SoCal team, while the two Phillies you'd actually want might not be as available as you'd actually like.

When it comes to formidable young outfield cores, there aren’t too many that can top the one assembled in Miami. Giancarlo Stanton just landed the largest contract in professional sports, while Christian Yelich and Marcell Ozuna have each just begun to tap into the tools that had prospect evaluators giddy as the pair climbed the minor-league ladder. Better yet, all three are under club control through the 2020 season and Stanton, who just turned 25 last month, is the oldest of the bunch.

The Marlins have their starting three locked up for the foreseeable future but at the moment the rest of their outfield cupboard is completely bare. With Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich the only outfielders currently listed on Miami’s 40-man roster, the only other players on the roster with any previous outfield experience are their starting corner infielders: Martin Prado and Michael Morse.

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December 24, 2014 6:00 am

Ninety Percent Mental: What's Really Behind Salary Inflation

5

Lewie Pollis

Are market forces causing salaries to go up, or is this just The Human Element?

Nary a year has gone by in recent memory in which I can’t remember people talking about the growth in player salaries. Every offseason, it seems, we expect the free agent market to explode. In years with weak free agent classes we anticipate that the low supply will drive up wages; when there are several premium players available we say that the high talent level will lubricate teams’ wallets, or something. Then, after we see a couple second- or third-tier free agents get significantly more than anyone had expected, there’s a fear that that year’s inflation will be even higher than we’d thought. It’s one of the many cyclical talking points in the community of baseball analysis (I say this with love).

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Also, Nori Aoki is wandering around with no clear direction or intent; the Rockies want pitching, if you can imagine; and the Red Sox are willing to give up Allen Craig, if you can imagine.

At least three teams still vying for Norichika Aoki
While other lower-tier free agent outfielders, like Nick Markakis and Alex Rios, have already come off the board, Aoki remains available, with multiple clubs hoping to bring him in. CBS Sports’ Jon Heyman says the Mariners, Orioles, and Reds are “among possibilities” for the left-handed hitter entering his fourth year in the United States.


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December 16, 2014 3:36 am

Rumor Roundup: It's Hard To Make Dan Haren Happy

1

Daniel Rathman

The Marlins might try to flip Dan Haren, but options are limited. Also, the Cubs aren't interested in Colby Rasmus, and Brad Penny is mentioned.

Marlins might flip Dan Haren
When Haren signed a one-year, $10 million deal with the Dodgers on November 25th, 2013, he made it clear that he only wanted to pitch in the Los Angeles area for the remainder of his major-league career. A player option worth $10 million vested when Haren reached 180 innings in 2014, giving him the right to stay with the Dodgers, which he (unsurprisingly) exercised before Halloween.


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Posting will begin soon for Jung-Ho Kang, Ian Desmond seems intent on testing free agency, and Mike Morse is mentioned for the Marlins.

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Why does the value a team places on a draft pick seem to change from situation to situation?

“The Yankees never made an offer to David Robertson; determined they’d rather sign Andrew Miller and get the draft pick [compensation] for Robertson.” – Buster Olney, via Twitter

All other factors equal, it is preferable to sign a free agent who is not attached to a qualifying offer than a free agent that is QO-attached. This is obvious. What is not obvious is by how much, or whether that “how much” is always constant from free agent to free agent for each team. First round pick protection, competitive window, payroll limit, state of one’s minor-league system, and upcoming draft class will all determine how each team costs (values) losing a draft pick. According to traditional financial, economic, whatever-you-want-to-call-it theory, weighing these factors all makes sense. But, according to traditional theory, each team would individually weigh the cost of giving up a draft pick equally across all QO-attached free agents. Example time:

Team X puts the cost of losing its first round pick at $8M. Absent the qualifying offer, Team X values Max Scherzer at six years, $150M and Ervin Santana at two years, $25M. Taking the cost of losing a first round pick into account, Team X should value Scherzer at 6 years, $142M and Santana at 2 years, $17M.

Cool, makes sense. Alas, mental accounting, which posits that “people spontaneously generate their own mental accounts, and where we place these boundaries subtly (but profoundly) influences financial decision making,” indicates that our traditional theories may be oversimplifying things here. Specifically, it notes that we create topical accounts, in that our decisions are altered by the context of the situation. Whereas most think it absurd to drive 15 minutes down the road to another car dealership to save $75 on a $25,000 car, many will stand in line for an hour in the middle of the night to save that same $75 on a $250 smart phone.

Question: What does this have to do with QO-attached free agents?

Answer: Given the use of topical accounts, we could hypothesize that if GMs categorize Scherzer as an impact player and Santana as a role player—and are less willing to give up a draft pick to get a mere role player—that teams might be either (i) undervaluing the cost of the QO when valuing top free agents (saving $75 on the car) and (ii) overvaluing the cost of the QO when valuing lower-end free agents (saving $75 on the smart phone).

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December 12, 2014 9:57 am

Rumor Roundup: Remember James Shields?

1

Daniel Rathman

Shields market might start getting busier, while Melky and the Mariners remain 730 days apart.

The Winter Meetings lit up the hot stove and kept it aflame, and it’s not even nearly out of fuel yet…

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December 11, 2014 6:00 am

Rumor Roundup: Yoenis Cespedes Is Always Good, Fit

4

Daniel Rathman

The Orioles are interested in Cespedes, the Twins are interested in the first name that should probably come to your mind, and the Rule 5 draft's script is leaking.

Orioles might be a “good fit” for Yoenis Cespedes
Somewhere, a member of the Cespedes Family BBQ duo is jumping for joy. According to WEEI’s Rob Bradford, the Orioles are interested in obtaining the Cuban outfielder from the Red Sox.


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December 10, 2014 5:59 am

Rumor Roundup: A Dayton Moore-Atlanta Connection?

1

Daniel Rathman

The Royals might be going after Upton, the A's might be going after somebody, and the Nationals are holding out for Odor.

Royals involved in various trade discussions
In the wake of his club’s march to the American League pennant, general manager Dayton Moore has been quiet in the first few weeks of the offseason. If reports from San Diego are any indication, however, that might soon change.


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