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Articles Tagged Rule 4 Draft 

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How would the first round of the 2010 draft go down with the benefit of hindsight?

It's been just over four years since the 2010 draft, and we've gotten a good look at how that crop of highly touted amateurs has has performed in the pros. To see how much perceptions of those players have changed, we decided to do the draft over again, just as we did with the 2013 draft, the 2012 draft, and the 2011 draft. We assigned 32 picks to BP authors and re-drafted from scratch, selecting only from the pool of players who were drafted and signed in 2010 and ignoring team need. Here's how the first-round redraft shook out.

1:1 Washington Nationals
Actual Selection: Bryce Harper, OF
Draft Position Change: None
Explanation: I think there is a real case for Chris Sale at no. 1 (and I imagine there'd be one for Harvey if he wasn't hurt), but I have to stick with the chalk here. I remain firmly in the camp that sees Harper as an emerging superstar. His start hasn't been as fast as Mike Trout's, but holding anyone to that kind of standard is absolutely insane. The numbers Harper has put up at these ages are also historic, just not as monstrous. —Paul Sporer





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How would the first round of the 2011 draft go down with the benefit of hindsight?

It's been just over three years since the deep 2011 draft, and we've gotten a good look at how that crop of highly touted amateurs has has performed in the pros. To see how much perceptions of those players have changed, we decided to do the draft over again, just as we did with the 2013 draft and the 2012 draft. We assigned 32 picks to BP authors and re-drafted from scratch, selecting only from the pool of players who were drafted and signed in 2011 and ignoring team need. Here's how the first-round redraft shook out.

1:1 Pittsburgh Pirates
Actual Selection: Gerrit Cole, RHP
Re-Draft Selection: Jose Fernandez, SP, Miami Marlins (2011 no. 14 pick)
Draft Position Change: +13
Explanation: Fernandez's arsenal is downright nasty, and his pitchability is as advanced as his rapid ascent to the majors would suggest. There are always concerns about rehab from Tommy John surgery, but given his makeup I'd expect him to return to form and be one of the best arms in baseball into the next decade. —Chris Mellen





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Ben and Sam talk to Nick J. Faleris about the way the amateur draft works, the top talents available, and what we might see in the first round.

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A look at which teams have had the most hits and misses in recent drafts.

What you'd probably like to know during amateur draft week is which teams will get the most production out of the 2014 draft. Unfortunately, that's a question that we won't be able to answer for a while. So as a substitute, would you accept an examination of which teams have drafted the most (and best) major leaguers in recent years? As part of BP's partnership with Fox Sports, I attempted to answer that question (and others) in an article up today at the Fox Sports MLB page. Here's a teaser:

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How good are teams at predicting player performance in the draft?

Next week is going to be a big one for all 30 teams in Major League Baseball. It’s draft week! The Rule 4 Draft (which is the fancy name for the amateur draft) will take place from June 5th through June 7th. There will be pageantry (which is a fancy name for people trying to make a boring administrative event into a less-boring administrative event). There will be Hall of Famers representing teams. And the end result of a year of hard work by your favorite team’s scouting staff will come to fruition in the form of 30 teams making a bunch of wild guesses.

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