CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Articles Tagged Roto 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

04-28

comment icon

0

TDGX Transactions: Week 5
by
J.J. Jansons

04-21

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: My Fantasy Investment Portfolio—Minor Leaguers I Own Across Multiple Leagues
by
Scooter Hotz

04-06

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: The PFM and The Model Portfolio
by
Mike Gianella

01-03

comment icon

10

Fantasy Content Preview
by
Mike Gianella

07-23

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers
by
J.P. Breen

11-14

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Podcast Transcription
by
Paul Sporer and Jason Collette

10-28

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 59 is Live!
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

10-11

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 58 is Live!
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

09-20

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 57 is live!
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

08-27

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 55 is Live
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

08-19

comment icon

5

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 54: Where Are You?
by
Jason Collette

08-02

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 53 is Live!
by
Jason Collette, Paul Sporer, Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

07-23

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 52 is Live
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

07-10

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 51 is (Finally) Live!
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

06-28

comment icon

1

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 50 is Live!
by
Jason Collette

06-20

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 49 is Live
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

06-13

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 48: Identity Thieves
by
Jason Collette

06-04

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 47: Made Up Names
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

05-29

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 46: We Have Music!
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

05-19

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 45: You Spin Me Round
by
Jason Collette

05-14

comment icon

1

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 44 is live
by
Jason Collette

05-05

comment icon

3

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 43: Poetic Justice
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

04-28

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 42: Stay Hot
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

04-21

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 41 Is Live
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

04-12

comment icon

3

BP Fantasy Podcast: Our Podcast Turns 40
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

04-07

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 39
by
Jason Collette and Paul Sporer

03-29

comment icon

0

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 38
by
Jason Collette, Paul Sporer, Paul Singman and Mike Gianella

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 28, 2017 6:00 am

TDGX Transactions: Week 5

0

J.J. Jansons

Injuries can pinch available slots for minor-league prospects, presenting owners with a dilemma.

The Dynasty Guru Experts League is a 20-team (40-man roster) 5x5 rotisserie dynasty league founded by BP managing editor Bret Sayre in 2014. It is intended to satisfy the deep-league needs of all, down to just the right amount of Alexi Amarista. We roster 23 starters (C/1B/2B/3B/SS/MI/CI, along with two additional utility hitters, five outfielders and nine pitchers). We also roster seven bench slots and have 10 spots designated for minor leaguers, although a quick scan of the league finds that most teams utilize a majority of their bench spots for additional prospects. That means that there are an additional 100-120 prospects that are rostered above the 200 spots reserved for them.

These write-ups are intended to pair nicely with Mike Gianella’s Expert FAAB Review, as we will look at each week’s TDGX free-agent acquisitions, as well as include thoughts on every major trade that occurs during the season. The yearly budget for free-agent transactions is $100, with $0 bids allowed for major leaguers and prospects.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

If Franklin Barreto and Francisco Mejia blossom, Scooter will score big-time.

This past week, I went through my fantasy investment portfolio for major leaguers across my seven leagues. This week, I’m going to walk through the minor-league side of my fantasy investment portfolio across my five leagues that allow minor leaguers.

Here’s a high-level rundown of the configuration of those five leagues:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 6, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The PFM and The Model Portfolio

3

Mike Gianella

Applying PFM valuations to the My Model Portfolio exercise and testing the results against mixed Tout Wars teams.

Every March, at least a few readers ask me “Why don’t you just use the PFM instead of your bids, Mike?”

Over the years, I have answered this question a few different ways. But today I thought I’d take a different approach. Inspired by a reader question last month, I decided to take the Player Forecast Manager's valuations for a 15-team mixed league and apply them to Baseball Prospectus’ My Model Portfolio exercise from March. As a reminder, this is what our authors did in that series.

In the “My Model Portfolio” series, the fantasy staff will create its own team within a $260 auction budget using Mike Gianella’s latest mixed-league Bid Limits for 2017. The scoring is 5x5 standard roto. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, 5 OF, 2 UTIL, and 9 P.

The Process
In this case, the process is simple. I took my mixed-league bids, took the valuations the PFM spit out for a 15-team league, and posted the results below. I started by using the 23 players who had the biggest differential between the PFM valuations and my bid limits, and kept adding players with less of a differential by position until I reached $260 in salary. As a reminder, every “winning” bid below equals my published bid limits plus one. One-dollar players on my team are those who were not listed in my bid limits.

The only change I made to this exercise is that I added a second catcher to the team and removed the second utility player, since my bids are designed to mirror the Tout Wars mixed-auction format. At the end of the season, I want to test this team not against the model portfolio teams but rather the mixed Tout Wars teams.

The Offense

Position

Player

Bid

PFM $

C

Gary Sanchez

25

$31.21

C

Brian McCann

10

$20.22

1B

Carlos Santana

15

$22.15

2B

Josh Harrison

5

$14.25

3B

Aledmys Diaz

7

$15.26

SS

Jose Reyes

6

$14.63

CI

Tommy Joseph

9

$15.43

MI

Devon Travis

3

$11.81

OF

Billy Hamilton

22

$28.54

OF

Andrew McCutchen

22

$28.78

OF

A.J. Pollock

19

$25.79

OF

Adam Jones

15

$27.21

OF

Kole Calhoun

8

$14.75

UT

Jacoby Ellsbury

8

$15.06

Total

174

$285.09


The PFM is far more conservative on the top players than I am, so there are no Mike Trouts on this squad. This goes against what Bret Sayre typically does in Tout Wars mixed, and the approach I tend to take in shallower auctions. Sanchez at $25 is the anchor for the team, but the PFM also is betting on a comeback from McCutchen and for Hamilton to finally achieve his potential.

This is a fairly risk-averse team. Where my bid limits are somewhat cautious with Joseph and Travis, the PFM believes that they’ll be solid contributors. Calhoun and Ellsbury are not the most exciting players, but the PFM thinks that they will at least contribute at the levels they did over the last few years.

The Pitching

Player

Bid

PFM $

Clayton Kershaw

42

$49.54

Dallas Keuchel

10

$17.15

John Lackey

10

$15.61

Jeff Samardzija

10

$15.79

Michael Pineda

6

$12.73

Michael Shoemaker

4

$9.48

Wei-Yin Chen

2

$9.69

Matt Andriese

1

$6.40

Mike Leake

1

$7.63

Total

86

$144.02

You can’t argue against purchasing Clayton Kershaw. While my bid limit sits at $42, it is admittedly a compromise with at least three separate goals: trying to spread money across a pitching staff, building in some risk because he is a pitcher, and also giving deference to Clayton Kershaw. I have no qualms with spending $50 or more on him in a mixed format.

The PFM spits out mostly veterans, which isn’t surprising. A former AL Cy Young winner, a reliable-yet-aging workhorse, and a solid arm who had one poor year with the White Sox back up Kershaw at $10 apiece. This is a very strong base for a pitching staff. With a pitching staff like this, my strategy typically would be to bottom out with one dollar starters and spend $77 on the entire staff.

The Prediction

This is the section of the model portfolio where our staff came up with predictions for their teams. For a league that doesn’t play out, going with a balanced team is a solid approach. Something the PFM cannot do that a human can is look for one-dollar fliers that the PFM puts below replacement level. Someone is going to get this year’s Aledmys Diaz—we just don’t know who that is yet.

I will revisit this team at the end of the regular season. Like any “test” of the PFM, it is far from perfect, but this is the goal of the PFM: to build a hypothetical team that is a successful fantasy franchise.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

A look ahead at the mountains of fantasy goodness coming your way between now and when you're on the clock for your first pick of the spring.

It is almost impossible to believe, but it is that time, when fantasy baseball enthusiasts start preparing in earnest for the upcoming season. Once again, Baseball Prospectus is here to provide the best wall-to-wall coverage in the industry. For the fourth year in a row, we're expanding our already exhaustive slate of articles to make sure that you're ready for your draft or auction. Whether you play in a shallow mixed league, a deep dynasty league, or nearly any format in between, we're here to make sure that you're ready to kick ass and take names on Draft Day.

If you're long-time reader, most of the features outlined below will be quite familiar. Feel free to skim this article, or skip it entirely if you're a particularly brave soul. Once again, we have expanded our fantasy staff, which will allow us to add a few new features as well as augment our already high level of existing coverage. Raising the bar gets tougher every year, but we believe that the new writers listed below are more than up to the challenge:

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 23, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers

3

J.P. Breen

These bullpen arms might not rack up saves, but they can help you pad other categories in Roto leagues.

In non-dynasty leagues, quality relievers who do not rack up saves are often overlooked. If employed correctly, though, they can be pseudo-saviors for two main types of squads: (1) teams who have an underperforming pitching staff and are striving to recover in specific categories in the second half of the season, and (2) leagues that have strict “games started” limits in order to keep teams from simply streaming starters all season.

Teams who have fallen behind in pitching categories can try to cobble together a trade or two, hoping to bolster their pitching staff for a second-half run. However, trades aren’t always possible. And even in the meantime, it can be useful to target specific relievers who can help in desired categories. This article will outline a few relievers who could be useful waiver-wire pickups to aid in WHIP/ERA or in strikeouts. I’m not including pitcher wins because that seems like a crapshoot.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Many have asked for the record for our podcast; someone was kind enough to do one for us.

Many of you all have asked about getting a podcast transcribed. We recently had someone reach out to us offering to do that so here's a link for Episode 35 when Doug Thorburn joined us to talk pitching. The podcast transcription is done by Rev.com . Check them out of you're looking for a service for your own personal or professional transcription needs.

Read the full article...

Jason and Paul discuss some of the World Series, Tim Lincecum's new deal, and interview the multi-champion Larry Schechter about his new book.

Jason and Paul discuss some of the World Series, Tim Lincecum's new deal, and interview the multi-champion Larry Schechter about his new book.

Our podcast RSS feed

Read the full article...

We are NOT shutting it down in the offseason like many other shows do. This is our favorite time of the year!

We talk playoffs, David Price's future, Paul humblebrags about being right on Clay Buchholz, some of our favorite hits and misses in predictions, and stop someone from making a bad trade for their team.

Our podcast RSS feed

Read the full article...

Celebrate Jason's birthday as he and Paul talk about hot bats and arms helping you in these final days and what 2014 may hold in store.

If you do not see an embedded player above this line, please refresh your screen

Our podcast RSS feed

Read the full article...

Matt Harvey's injury is not the end of the world...unless you are a Mets fan or own him on a competing fantasy team.

If you do not see an embedded player above this line, please refresh your screen

Our podcast RSS feed

Read the full article...

It's here & it's live!

If you do not see an embedded player above this line, please refresh your screen

Read the full article...

A trade deadline extravaganza with the entire fantasy staff

If you do not see an embedded player above this line, please refresh your screen

Read the full article...

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries