Due to a 25-game suspension and a hamstring injury, Ruiz hasn't had much of an opportunity to demonstrate whether or not his 2012 power breakout is even remotely sustainable. He should have a chance soon, though. Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports that Ruiz hopes he'll be able to begin a rehab assignment next week, and then rejoin the Phillies on June 17.
The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.
Not a subscriber?
Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.
With All-Star selection around the corner, the BP staff fills out their ballots for who deserves to start in the Midsummer Classic.
It’s July, and that means another All-Star Game, one which—we might as well get this out of the way now—won’t be as exciting as those wonderful old All-Star Games when important things happened, like Ted Williams breaking his elbow and Dizzy Dean breaking a toe (Williams said he was never the same hitter; Dean destroyed his arm with altered mechanics) and Ray Fosse getting run over because damn it, Pete Rose just had to win an exhibition game.
(It is at times like these that I like to recall Mickey Mantle’s immortal words on the subject of Rose: “If I had played my career hitting singles like Pete, I’d wear a dress.”)
The Brewers' second baseman finally had a season worthy of his potential, but will he able to do it again?
Prior to the 2010 season, PECOTA had modest expectations for Brewers second baseman Rickie Weeks. We’re talking about a player who had missed considerable time over his previous five seasons due to myriad injuries, including but not limited to, his wrist, thumb and knee. It’s always a downer when a promising young player becomes more known for his medical history than his performance on the field, and Weeks' injuries most certainly played a role in what had been an underwhelming career through the 2009 season. Here were his totals through his first 482 games dating to when he had a cup of coffee as a 20-year-old, just months after he was drafted second overall in the 2003 draft: 2,069 PA, 77 2B, 20 3B, 60 HR, 182 RBI, 80 SB, 16 CS, and a .247/.351/.415 line.
Is this the year Rickie Weeks realizes his fantasy potential?
At one time, Rickie Weeks held fantasy upside that came with what we believed to be 20/20 potential. In his first few seasons he came close, but always hurt his fantasy value by hitting for a low average. That potential was further undermined by a series of wrist injuries that seemed to sap his power. He played in a career-high 129 games in 2008, but saw his lone post-season appearance cut short after tearing cartilage in his knee which required surgery. After rehabbing his knee, he reported for 2009 healthy and found himself off to a hot start where he hit .281 with five home runs with 15 RBI and 16 runs. It finally looked as though Weeks would fulfill that potential with a breakout season. Sadly, another wrist Injury short-circuited yet another summer. In bits and pieces through six seasons, Weeks owned a career line of .247/.351/.415 while the 80 steals and 60 home runs teased fantasy players with what ultimately amounted to unfulfilled potential.
Fortunately for Weeks’ owners, he's jumped headfirst into 2010 with another hot start. Through Saturday’s games, Weeks was hitting .324 with 3 HR, 12 RBI and 16 Runs. He has a .356 TAv and 6.1 WARP, placing him among the leaders in those categories and making him one of the more valuable fantasy players in the early going.
Jeremy Reed had the best year of any player in the minors last year and has a very high probability of being an excellent player. I think a top-five ranking would be a just reward, and consistent with our emphasis on performance rather than tools. I absolutely do not understand why Reed would rank below Alexis Rios. He is Rios' equal in every attribute except for plate discipline, where he has a substantial advantage, and his PECOTA profile is considerably better. I don't think a couple of good weeks in Puerto Rico are enough to overcome that. Weeks is a stud and I think the objections to him are a bit overstated. I would like to get a scouting report or two on his defense, since his numbers were quite bad. I'm also not on board with the fear of ranking pitching prospects highly, though I'm sure there will be advocates for the opposite point of view. I think the *top* tier of pitching prospects is unusually good this year as compared with the top tier of hitting prospects, and I think we should make adjustments accordingly. If you want to get a bit more analytical about it, I don't think it's a matter of our overrating the risk associated with pitching prospects so much as it is our *underrating* the risk associated with offensive prospects, especially offensive prospects who have yet to reach Double-A. I like Marte a lot, and he has no real negatives, but placing him as high as #2 implies a scouting judgment of sorts; his numbers were good, but not overwhelming.