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10-22

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Moonshot: The Royals, the Strike Zone, and an October Surprise
by
Robert Arthur

10-22

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Playoff Prospectus: The Other Royals: World Series Game 1
by
Sam Miller

10-21

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The View from the Loge Level: Managing to Win
by
Daron Sutton

10-21

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Pitching Backward: How To Get A Hit Off Madison Bumgarner
by
Jeff Long

10-21

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Pebble Hunting: An Illustrated Guide to the People of Kauffman Stadium
by
Sam Miller

10-21

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Baseball Therapy: The Truth About Butterflies
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-21

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Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Giants vs. Royals
by
Sam Miller

10-20

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Pebble Hunting: The Best Teams Should Make The World Series; A Defense of Bud Selig
by
Sam Miller

10-17

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22

An Agent's Take: The Losses You Never Get Over
by
Joshua Kusnick

10-17

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22

Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A Three-Act Triumph: NLCS Game 5
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

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Playoff Prospectus: The Unconventional Path: ALCS Game 4
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-16

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

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Playoff Prospectus: No Pitching and No Defense Make St. Louis (Almost) Go Home: NLCS Game 4
by
R.J. Anderson

10-15

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Four Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and R.J. Anderson

10-15

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Playoff Prospectus: Karmic Kickback: NLCS Game 3
by
Doug Thorburn

10-15

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Playoff Prospectus: Every Choice Ned Yost Must Make: ALCS Game 3
by
Sam Miller

10-14

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Playoff Prospectus: The Sad Reliever Rankings
by
Miles Wray

10-14

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Three Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

10-14

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8

Baseball Therapy: The Other Playoff Myths
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-13

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7

Playoff Prospectus: The Greatest Defensive Outfield In History: ALCS Game 2
by
Sam Miller

10-13

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11

Fox's Fresh Format
by
Harry Pavlidis

10-13

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6

Playoff Prospectus: It's a Very Very Mad World
by
R.J. Anderson

10-12

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-11

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Saturday Previews
by
Sam Miller and R.J. Anderson

10-11

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14

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Series Preview: Giants vs. Cardinals
by
R.J. Anderson

10-10

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Pitching Backward: The Not-So-Sudden Breakout of October's Best Lefty Reliever
by
Jeff Long

10-10

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14

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Series Preview: Royals vs. Orioles
by
Sam Miller

10-09

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39

Prospectus Feature: Check Out This Obnoxious Cardinals Fan
by
Brian Gunn

10-09

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21

The Lineup Card: Nine of the Worst Postseason Managerial Decisions
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-08

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BP Unfiltered: The Cardinals' Flickering Magic Lantern
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-08

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18

Playoff Prospectus: Mattingly's Missteps: NLDS Game Four
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-07

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Prospectus Feature: The Great Octoberness Rankings
by
Miles Wray

10-07

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Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: The Irony Of Ryu's Strong Start
by
Zachary Levine

10-07

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Baseball Therapy: The Cardinals Do Not Own Clayton Kershaw
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-06

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5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-06

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6

Playoff Prospectus: A Royal Shocker
by
J.P. Breen

10-06

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Playoff Prospectus: Quartet of Consequence: The Four Plays That Keyed An ALDS Sweep
by
R.J. Anderson

10-05

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game 3 Previews
by
R.J. Anderson and Sam Miller

10-04

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Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Recap: Orioles 7, Tigers 6
by
Jeff Quinton

10-04

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Playoff Prospectus: 20 Bad Josh Hamilton Swings: ALDS Game 2
by
Sam Miller

10-04

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Doug Thorburn and Sahadev Sharma

10-03

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Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Dodgers vs. Cardinals
by
Zachary Levine

10-03

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5

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants
by
Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

10-03

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Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Royals 3, Angels 2
by
Sam Miller

10-03

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Playoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma, Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella, Doug Thorburn and J.P. Breen

10-02

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15

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Orioles vs. Tigers
by
R.J. Anderson

10-02

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Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Angels vs. Royals
by
Sam Miller

10-01

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14

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Recap
by
Jeff Long

10-01

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Pebble Hunting: The '80' Pitches In This Year's Postseason
by
Sam Miller

10-01

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Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Mike Gianella

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After months of moving downward, the October strike zone is suddenly rising.

Everybody’s been writing about the strike zone recently, and that’s for good reason. The strike zone is evolving, and for the first time in the history of baseball, we have the technology to directly record that evolution. Mostly, the bottom of the strike zone is dropping, and that plays some role in shaping the current pitching-dominated era (although exactly how much of a role is a matter of some debate).

What’s most astonishing about the strike zone’s changing definition is the rapidity with which we are witnessing the results. Year after year, the strike zone falls, and this year has been no exception. In this recent article, Jon Roegele chronicles the most dramatic drop in the bottom of the strike zone yet: In the last year, the zone’s real estate has increased by 16 square inches. But even without a rigorous statistical analysis of the zone, you could feel the impact of the strike zone’s accelerating fall in the numerous strikeout records which have been broken, and in the historic seasons of Clayton Kershaw and other pitchers.

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Madison Bumgarner keeps building his legend, while the Royals' game got thoroughly botched.

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What a half-dozen big-league managers see as the most important skills for the job.

Here in the Loge Level the seat is quite pricey this week, as the end of the road on Hwy 2014 is within view. From our perch, with our colored mini towels waving in the air, we ponder....

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Searching for the weakness in Bumgarner's gameplan.

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Classifying the fans you'll see in the stands for the first two games of the World Series.

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Embrace the nervousness!

Tonight, the Kansas City Royals and the San Francisco Giants (who knew!) will square off in Game One of the 2014 World Series. I’m guessing that at least one of the 50 gentlemen on the two rosters will be a little nervous before the game starts. Maybe more than one. And surely, someone at a bar or on your couch or on a national telecast will opine on whether butterflies are currently flying in the stomach of just about every player that flashes across the screen. The World Series is amateur psychology’s finest hour.

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The Royals have the speed, the Giants have the skipper, and both teams have momentum in an unlikely World Series matchup.

On July 28th, the Giants were four games behind the Dodgers, the Royals were five behind the Tigers, and PECOTA put their combined odds of winning the World Series at 4 percent. Neither was a preseason favorite to win the division, neither won the division, neither won 90 games, neither has an MVP candidate or a Cy Young candidate. Neither team's manager will win manager of the year, and neither will be the favorite to win a division going into next year's season. They are a combined 16-2 against the postseason gantlet, and PECOTA puts their combined odds of winning the World Series at 100 percent.

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The commissioner's lasting legacy isn't randomness and meaningless. It's a more fair world.

For all the excitement of this postseason’s individual games, there is a fairly common sentiment out there that something sucks about a system so random that sub-par teams get to fluke their way to the World Series, thus stripping the season of its power to make sure the best teams are rewarded. Why play a long season and then reduce the championship to coin flips? Why continually expand postseason until every champ resembles Chris Moneymaker? Zachary Levine foretold this postseason in his epitaph for Bud Selig, written in August:

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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

An Agent's Take: The Losses You Never Get Over

22

Joshua Kusnick

Poaching is a big part of the agent business. Some especially sting and never stop.

What a postseason. What a year. I have one client playing on a postseason team, so that has been quite exciting to follow. Only one of my clients has ever won a ring before—Darren Ford. Such a strange concept to me. Ford has won one but Ted Williams, Ernie Banks, and Barry Bonds didn’t. It’s a huge honor and a numbing experience.

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The Giants play on, while Mike Matheny manages one that we'll never forget.

Baseball is boring. Baseball is slow. We need to speed up the pace of the game. The kids aren’t going to watch the games if this keeps up.

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October 16, 2014 12:52 am

Playoff Prospectus: The Unconventional Path: ALCS Game 4

4

Sahadev Sharma

The Royals have benefited from a touch of luck during their magical run to the World Series, but that doesn't change the fact that they're loaded with talent.

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October 16, 2014 12:52 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview

2

Mike Gianella

The Cardinals have their backs up against the wall facing the Giants ace, while their (possibly) ailing stud tries to extend their season one more game.

After the Cardinals took an early lead in Game Four of the NLCS, the Giants rallied and held on for a 6-4 win to take a commanding 3-1 advantage in the series. Here are the PECOTA odds and the matchups for Game Five of the NLCS.

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