With two of the Outcomes off this week, Ben chats with Bret Sayre about his first season playing Scoresheet.
This week in the podcast:
Jared and Ian are off on their adventure through the southeast, so Ben is exposed as the weakest link. Fortunately, Bret Sayre stops by to bail us out and talk through his first Scoresheet season so far, his biggest draft regrets, thoughts on his team composition, and the stretch run as he pushes to make the playoffs. We go into detail on his rotation, bullpen, and lineup to give an example of the way you might approach the playoffs, if, you know, your team is actually that good. Take the good with the bad this week and know that next week, we should return to form.
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The Outcomes get ready for Scoresheet playoff season and answer reader/listener questions.
This week in the podcast:
The Outcomes get ready for Scoresheet playoff season. They take reader questions, decide whether to dump a contender, and then discuss budding superstar Tsuyoshi Wada. Then, the Outcomes describe what they look for in a playoff contender—strangely, no one ever suggests "a good team"—and compare building a playoff roster to setting weekly lineups. Finally, they take you through the best things they saw this week, featuring cyborg houseware, the vengeance of Erik Kratz, and the true feeling of anger and resignation that comes only after being forced to listen to Sean Casey and Billy Ripken for three hours. Playoff fever! It's probably not contagious!
The Outcomes recommend pickups for the stretch run, discuss the upcoming supplemental draft, and tour the nation's capital.
Shane Greene (61% available):
Greene has been solid through a handful of starts for the Yankees and seems to be getting regular chances the rest of the way. Allowing an ERA under 3.00, he’s probably due for some regression, but even if his run prevention catches up to his peripherals, he’ll still be a helpful guy to have around for the rest of the year.
The Outcomes suggest some players to trade for and trade away in advance of the Scoresheet deadline.
With the MLB trade deadline behind us and the Scoresheet trade deadline fast approaching, now’s a good time to talk trades. Well, any time is a good time good to talk trades, but that’s particularly the case now. Below we list some trade targets and players to move, along with our reasoning. Keep in mind the quirks of the Scoresheet playoffs: you are looking for players who will get playing time in September, but performance to date is banked value.
The Outcomes present the most frequently added prospects and big leaguers, draft players they expected to be traded, and more.
We are pleased to bring back one of our highest value-added services: regularly scraping the rosters of all the teams in all the Scoresheet leagues. This data allows us to look at all sorts of things related to what percent of players are owned or available in leagues, as well as which players were picked up most often in recent supplemental drafts. Using this data we put together a couple of tables below, but we’d love to hear any suggestions or requests on what you’d like to see us do with the information, so please feel free to send an email or leave a comment.
This first list shows the most-added prospects (yet to hit the bigs) from the most recent supplement draft.
From the Astros draft saga to the Scoresheet mistakes, the Outcomes devote this week's podcast to what's gone wrong.
This week on the podcast, we tackled topics concerning failure. We did our part to run in circles around the Astros draft saga and also answered some reader questions. We also spent some time considering and discussing our collective failures as Scoresheet owners in 2014. One of the things we’d like to do is setup a framework for analyzing teams that underperform, in order to identify potential improvements, patterns of mistakes, or other ways that we could have done better on draft day.
The first step is to gather information and data, including the draft day valuations, the real life MLB performance of players to date, and the Scoresheet performance of players to date. The Baseball Prospectus Team Tracker is a helpful tool to get this information, and the remainder can be found on the Scoresheet league pages. Be careful when analyzing team-level results, especially if you’ve made personnel changes (i.e. traded away short term value), because they may not be indicative of mistakes you made on draft day, but the aftermath of going Full Rebuild (tm?).
The Outcomes discuss the Home Run Derby, answer reader questions, and chat about various Scoresheet topics.
In this week’s podcast:
In this week’s podcast, the Three True Outcomes are down to Two True Outcomes, and without Ian chaos reigns supreme. Reader questions are answered. Some of them even helpfully! We talk about trading pitching for hitting, catcher keepers in the NL, and the Scoresheet rules on rookie eligibility. Because everything is better in a draft, we draft the Home Run Derby contestants, which is only made more exciting by the fact that you know who won. You remember who won the Home Run Derby, right? Finally, after wading through some real life baseball topics, we end up talking a little bit more about Scoresheet trade ethics.
And we’d love to hear any good stories you have about horrible rebuilding teams, so send them our way.
The Outcomes help you craft your swapping strategy in Scoresheet formats.
Most continuing Scoresheet leagues allow owners to be engaged throughout the year, regardless of their place in the standings, as opposed to many roto leagues, which find rebuilding teams trading away their one or two unkeepable studs for draft picks and then counting down the days until next year. The key advantages Scoresheet has here over most other forms of fantasy are the lack of a maximum roster size and the constant struggle to avoid Triple-A Player. In Scoresheet, a contender can always scavenge some sort of useful piece from a rebuilding team, even if it is a backup-to-the-backup middle infielder or an 11th starting pitcher to be stashed on the taxi squad in case of emergency.
Which leads to this week’s subject: maximizing value in midseason trades between contending and rebuilding teams.
The Scoresheet veteran offers tips on running a league successfully and talks about the preseason mock draft, the tournament of champions, and more.
This week, we were fortunate enough to get a chance to talk with Brian Dewberry-Jones. If you’ve played Scoresheet for any significant amount of time, you’ve most likely run across Brian, either as a leaguemate, a commissioner, or as the guy who runs the preseason mock draft and end-of-season tournament. And he’s also the person who decides how the orphan teams draft their teams. Brian obviously has years of Scoresheet experience in a whole host of capacities, so we learned a ton. He was also kind enough to write up a few good rules of thumb for running a league, which we are happy to share:
Keeping tabs on the hottest pickups in Scoresheet, plus answers to listener questions and a recap of the May Supplemental Draft.
In Scoresheet, it’s often best to keep abreast of what your competition is doing—and not just in your own league. The Scoresheet universe is filled with thousands of players, each bringing their own knowledge to the game. We’ve built a way to (unofficially) harness that knowledge in order to more accurately determine player availability in existing leagues. Using this tool, we can tell you that Doug Fister is the player on more Scoresheet teams than anyone else, which is fun trivia. By having it active over time, we’ve developed a better understanding of owner strategy.
The lists below are one breakdown of that understanding. We’ve used our tool to find out which players were added in the most leagues. Doing so gets you names such as Eduardo Escobar and Brandon League, who were the players picked up in the most AL and NL leagues, respectively. Since they are now owned in the majority of leagues, however, this may not be immediately actionable info. However, once you limit the list to players still available in more than half of the leagues, we can better see which players are currently “trending,” and who may still be available in your format. You can use this column to learn the wisdom of the crowds, or to trade away these players and bet against the masses.
The Outcomes interview Scoresheet veteran Nate Stephens about implementing an auction format.
We know that running a Scoresheet team isn’t for everyone. Many baseball fans and even hardcore fantasy players are perfectly content with a traditional fantasy format, where you don’t need to keep track of the Mets’ middle relievers to nearly the same degree. But for some who stumble across this format, with its labyrinthine draft and rich simulation engine, it feels like the perfect fit. Of course, there’s the occasional person, who when faced with the same constraints, may remark, “I wish there was something even more complicated.” Dear reader, these are their stories.
Scoresheet’s private leagues have many variants of play. This week, our Scoresheet podcast team interviewed Nate Stephens. Not only is Nate a longtime Scoresheet owner, a former contributor to Rotoworld and current participant in the Scoresheet Talk and annual Mock Draft forums, and a general mensch, he is also the co-founder of a couple of leagues that use an auction format. The concept was born from a Scoresheet league that used to conduct a live auction, which ended up taking about a day and a half. As fun as that can be, it’s hard to carve out enough time in many players’ schedule to devote to a player-by-player auction that accommodates Scoresheet’s unusually deep rosters. A new system was built and refined over time.
The Outcomes help you identify players worth acquiring, answer listener emails, and offer start-sit advice for next week.
Now that we’ve progressed past the point in the season where most owners’ initial reluctance to tinker with their teams has melted away, it is time to begin searching for value in the trade market. As we looked for specific players to target, we identified four general themes which may prove profitable, if properly exploited.
A first step in identifying players who are likely to increase in value could be to sort a list of players by BABIP. There’s no need to sell out for the metric, but hitters with an absurdly low BABIP have a good chance to positively regress, just like pitchers with a ridiculously high BABIP, and owners who only focus on traditional statistics may simply chalk these players up as being broken.