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Articles Tagged Outfield 

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02-20

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20

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 120 Outfielders
by
Bret Sayre

02-19

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21

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Outfielders
by
Craig Goldstein

11-25

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38

Baseball Therapy: The Corner-Outfield Inefficiency
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-20

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23

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: NL Outfielders
by
Derek Carty

02-15

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26

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Minnesota Twins
by
Jason Parks

02-03

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35

Future Shock: Giants Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-01

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6

The BP Broadside: Heyward You Show the Braves the Way to the Playoffs?
by
Steven Goldman

04-27

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Prospectus Hit and Run: Return of the Up-the-Middlemen
by
Jay Jaffe

12-16

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15

Ahead in the Count: Home Runs, Fly Balls, and Popups
by
Matt Swartz

09-17

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13

Ahead in the Count: High BABIPs and True Skill Level
by
Matt Swartz

07-21

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38

Transaction Action: ALtruisms
by
Christina Kahrl

04-07

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4

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Outfield
by
Rob McQuown

03-31

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6

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Outfield
by
Rob McQuown

03-25

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26

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 3
by
Matt Swartz

03-24

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33

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 2
by
Matt Swartz

03-23

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26

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 1
by
Matt Swartz

03-17

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2

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Outfield
by
Rob McQuown

03-01

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10

Camp Battles: NL West
by
Christina Kahrl

02-16

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18

Camp Battles: AL East
by
Christina Kahrl

09-15

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17

Ahead in the Count: The BABIP Superstars
by
Matt Swartz

04-16

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20

Transaction Analysis: NL Roster Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

04-02

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11

Transaction Analysis: Senior Circuit Shuffling
by
Christina Kahrl

02-12

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3

Wait 'Til Next Year: College Knowledge
by
Bryan Smith

05-08

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Transaction Analysis: A Wee Quartet
by
Christina Kahrl

04-02

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Transaction Analysis: NL East Rosters Review
by
Christina Kahrl

02-21

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Schrodinger's Bat: Flashing Leather Down on the Farm
by
Dan Fox

02-14

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Schrodinger's Bat: Wrapping it Up
by
Dan Fox

01-08

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Transaction Analysis: Breaking in the New Year
by
Christina Kahrl

08-08

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Player Profile: Kelly Johnson
by
Marc Normandin

07-16

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Transaction Analysis: National League Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

06-12

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Transaction Analysis: National League Moves
by
Christina Kahrl

04-12

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Transaction of the Day: Roster Reviews of the Easts
by
Christina Kahrl

04-03

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Transaction of the Day: Roster Reviews of the Wests
by
Christina Kahrl

04-26

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Transaction Analysis: April 21-25
by
Christina Kahrl

07-21

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Transaction Analysis: July 14-19, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

07-15

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Transaction Analysis: July 8-14
by
Christina Kahrl

06-23

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You Could Look It Up: Infinity Edition #4
by
Steven Goldman

06-16

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Transaction Analysis: May 24-June 12, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

04-12

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Transaction Analysis: March 29-April 4, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

07-21

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Transaction Analysis: July 15-19
by
Christina Kahrl

06-21

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Prospectus Today: Petco Party
by
Joe Sheehan

08-27

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Transaction Analysis: August 19-24
by
Christina Kahrl

07-25

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Transaction Analysis: July 7-20
by
Christina Kahrl

04-24

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Breaking Balls: Impact of Outfield Defense
by
Derek Zumsteg

04-17

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Breaking Balls: Infield Defense
by
Derek Zumsteg

04-09

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Transaction Analysis: March 25-April 6, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

04-03

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Breaking Balls: A Closer Look at the Twins' Outfield Defense
by
Derek Zumsteg

03-27

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Breaking Balls: Fly Catching
by
Derek Zumsteg

05-22

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Transaction Analysis: May 16-19, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

05-13

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Transaction Analysis: April 30-May 11, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

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March 31, 2010 9:00 am

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Outfield

6

Rob McQuown

Rob McQuown analyzes the fallout of having a Heyward-sized bomb dropped into the Atlanta outfield, and also who will play in St. Louis and Washington.

With many thanks to Kevin Goldstein, we already have an idea how good Jason Heyward will be in 2010. The player who isn't being hurt by the Heyward decision is Melky Cabrera, assuming he keeps outhitting Nate McLouth. McLouth's struggles at the dish this spring have already dropped him in the batting order (Melky has been leading off). Poor Matt Diaz went on a fitness rampage last year, and had a 13/12 season (HR/SB) in just 425 PA, while continuing his career-long .300-plus batting. But he's hit only .276/.334/.387 in his career vs. righty pitchers (that's -46 in Scoresheet, due to his annihilation of lefties), limiting him to platoon duty. Expect Bobby Cox to keep using him in situations where he can thrive, at least, so his rate stats should again be excellent. This makes him a nice player to have in sim games such as Scoresheet or Strat-O-Matic, but frustrating for fantasy owners.

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March 25, 2010 6:06 am

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 3

26

Matt Swartz

There are reasons why E-BABIP's projections don't always agree with those of PECOTA.

In Part One of this series, I updated my model for projecting BABIP with new 2009 data, and in Part Two, I explained what makes BABIP Superstars and BABIP Trouble-Makers. In this final part, I will discuss some of the hitters where my Expected BABIP (E-BABIP) projections and PECOTA’s BABIP projections differ most, and discuss which number you might want to trust. PECOTA incorporates a lot of information that my model simply does not, but the batted-ball information can be particularly important for certain hitters, and those are the ones where you should place some faith in E-BABIP.

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March 24, 2010 12:11 pm

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 2

33

Matt Swartz

Who ranks among the best and worst in this seemingly unpredictable yet key metric?

In Part One of this series, I updated a model for projecting BABIP, continuing on my previous work from last year. I showed that BABIP can be predicted successfully by looking at batted-ball rates and BABIP on those individual batted-ball types.

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March 23, 2010 10:42 am

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 1

26

Matt Swartz

BABIP isn't as luck-driven as many suggest, not after you drill down into the numbers.

If you don’t put your bat on the ball, you’re not going to get a hit, and if you don’t hit the ball over the wall, someone might catch it. This series begins with what happens the rest of the time as I develop a model to predict a hitter’s Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP). In Part 2, I will explain some of the current BABIP superstars then some of the players where my system differs from PECOTA will be the topic of Part 3.

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March 17, 2010 10:20 am

Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Outfield

2

Rob McQuown

Rob McQuown tracks the shifting outfielders of the Cubs, Brewers, and Indians.

The big news in the Cubs outfield this spring isn't on the radar (or Heater's Radar Tracker) yet, and that's because former first-round pick Tyler Colvin is still a longshot to make the opening-day roster. PECOTA forecasts him hitting .231/.289/.400 if given playing time, which seems somewhat pessimistic, given his .300/.334/.524 performance at AA last year with a reasonable .328 BABIP. Manager Lou Piniella is tempted, however, since Xavier Nady won't be able to throw well enough to play the outfield until June.

That turns the outfield spotlight on Sam Fuld. Fuld is a good defensive centerfielder. He bats lefty with enough of a platoon advantage that he could probably survive as a platoon leadoff hitter (his career minor-league OBP is .370 and he's hit righties with a typical platoon split) and could almost certainly play frequently as fourth outfielder for a team overloaded with righty bats. Despite his age, he's risen through the minors at a good pace after making his professional debut in 2006 at high-A ball. Obviously, hitting .150 in spring training so far is undermining his chances to grab the available playing time.

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March 1, 2010 3:27 am

Camp Battles: NL West

10

Christina Kahrl

Saving the West for last, a few exciting fights for position-playing roles, plus the usual mulling of aspiring fifth men.

To complete my perhaps overly terse-for me, at any rate-series review job battles for starting jobs in the majors, we now turn to the NL West. Admittedly, part of the exercise here for me was to make sure that I turn over to positions and considerations that, too often, do not comprise core considerations for Transaction Analysis: the guys who get punted from Triple-A and back again, the damned and doomed who need to adapt to a shuttle-born existence between the dubious glory of third lefty-dom, spot starting in the rotation because some high-maintenance thirtysomething needs skipping, or the outfielder who plays because somebody's hammy's barking or the like. That's the stuff that, admittedly, is relatively minor stuff, the endless churn that I can't help but find fascinating on one level, but also have to admit impacts a season, a team, or your fantasy squad very little, if at all. Or, as another way to put it, if you're concerned about the whereabouts of Doug Slaten, you're with me in the ranks of the few, the proud, the players in the deepest of leagues, or the folks who don't play Wii in their spare time.

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February 16, 2010 12:55 am

Camp Battles: AL East

18

Christina Kahrl

Will the Yankees put both Joba and Phil in the bullpen?; what will the Red Sox do with Mike Lowell?; and other spring questions.

Outright job battles in spring training might not seem quite so common or epic these days, but a number of interesting fights loom as camps open. Several of them figure to be zero-sum contests, where it's not just a question of who gets the slightly larger share of the playing time, but who gets the job outright. Since big elements here are the organization's valuation of the player's present and future as well as how much they've invested in employing him, with camp performance playing an inevitable if sometimes overstated part, some of these battles are less obvious than others. While I usually end up talking a bit too much about benches and bullpens and spare parts on the transactions beat, here are the job fights I know I'll find interesting in the weeks to come, starting with the AL East:

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September 15, 2009 2:24 pm

Ahead in the Count: The BABIP Superstars

17

Matt Swartz

Projecting who's reliably good at getting happy outcomes on balls in play.

It is well known that pitchers have little control over Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP), and that an easy way to know a pitcher is due to improve or regress is to look at his BABIP and see whether it is significantly different than the league average of about .300. If he has surrendered hits on balls in play at a rate significantly above .300, he is probably going to see that come down, and if his BABIP is significantly below .300, he is probably going to return from whatever depths. It is also well known that hitters have more control over their BABIP, but not that much; a starting position player will hit about 500 balls in play per season, meaning that the standard deviation of his yearly BABIP is probably about .020, meaning that much of observed differences in hitter BABIP are fleeting, as one-third of players' BABIP marks belie their true skill level by .020 points or more. Even still, there are many hitters who consistently put up high BABIP rates.

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April 16, 2009 12:00 pm

Transaction Analysis: NL Roster Roundup

20

Christina Kahrl

An all-around catching up that covers all the in-season action.

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April 2, 2009 7:16 pm

Transaction Analysis: Senior Circuit Shuffling

11

Christina Kahrl

Filling in the blanks and changing the names as the final roster decisions roll in.

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February 12, 2009 1:43 pm

Wait 'Til Next Year: College Knowledge

3

Bryan Smith

Jump into an evaluation of the top programs in the country as Bryan ranks the NCAA Top 25.

This spring, while I continue to search for new ways to cover college baseball, I will nevertheless do one traditional exercise for anyone on this beat by ranking the national landscape to provide you with my own top 25 list. Yet, as I spent the offseason searching for the best schools to fill out the list and the best way to organize them, I began to see a few clear separations. More than specific rankings, there are what I see as relatively clear-cut tiers. Six programs stood out as the cream of the crop, 12 more are schools that are just a break or two away from contention, and after that initial 18 the final seven that make up my list are interchangeable with the bevy of near-misses that I'm sure will gain consideration or make it onto the list at some point during the season.

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May 8, 2008 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: A Wee Quartet

0

Christina Kahrl

Inadequate patching of lineup holes in the AL Central, and a minor but quite sensible addition in Atlanta.

Nothing major, so consider this my version of a notes column, where I flit from one little switch to another.

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