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09-27

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7

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 51: What the Rockies Knew About Ubaldo/The Eternal Torii Hunter/Declining Dan Haren
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-15

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2

BP Unfiltered: Managing New Stats
by
Rob McQuown

02-01

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14

Painting the Black: Players Out of Options
by
R.J. Anderson

07-21

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38

Transaction Action: ALtruisms
by
Christina Kahrl

04-06

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12

Transaction Action: AL Roster Cleanup
by
Christina Kahrl

03-01

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10

Camp Battles: NL West
by
Christina Kahrl

02-26

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10

Camp Battles: NL Central
by
Christina Kahrl

02-24

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13

Camp Battles: NL East
by
Christina Kahrl

02-23

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36

Fantasy Focus: Second Base Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-22

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1

No Pepper: Search Costs Versus Surplus
by
Tommy Bennett

02-05

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14

Transaction Action: AL Moves
by
Christina Kahrl

02-04

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30

Ahead in the Count: Revising Player Contract Valuation, Part 3
by
Matt Swartz

04-02

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11

Transaction Analysis: Senior Circuit Shuffling
by
Christina Kahrl

03-31

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18

Transaction Analysis: The All-A Edition
by
Christina Kahrl

03-02

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0

Transaction Analysis: NL Central NRI Review
by
Christina Kahrl

02-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: AL East NRI Review
by
Christina Kahrl

10-30

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Offseason Plans, AL East
by
Nate Silver

04-12

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0

Transaction of the Day: Roster Reviews of the Easts
by
Christina Kahrl

04-05

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0

Transaction of the Day: Roster Review of the Centrals
by
Christina Kahrl

04-03

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0

Transaction of the Day: Roster Reviews of the Wests
by
Christina Kahrl

01-24

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0

The BP Guide to Transaction Rules
by
Thomas Gorman

01-10

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0

The BP Guide to Transaction Rules
by
Thomas Gorman

04-05

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0

Prospectus Triple Play: Houston Astros, Milwaukee Brewers, Oakland Athletics
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-25

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0

Transaction Analysis: October 13-November 19
by
Christina Kahrl

06-16

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0

Available Options
by
Christian Ruzich

02-05

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0

Transaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The Wests
by
Christina Kahrl

03-21

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0

Transaction Analysis: March 14-18, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

11-11

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0

Transaction Analysis: October 6-November 11
by
Dave Pease

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Ben and Sam discuss the decline of Ubaldo Jimenez and whether the Rockies saw it coming when they sent him to Cleveland, then talk about the Angels' off-season plans for Torii Hunter and Dan Haren.

Ben and Sam discuss the decline of Ubaldo Jimenez and whether the Rockies saw it coming when they sent him to Cleveland, then talk about the Angels' off-season plans for Torii Hunter and Dan Haren.

Episode 51: "What the Rockies Knew About Ubaldo/The Eternal Torii Hunter/Declining Dan Haren"

Read the full article...

Managerial stats are now available for the 2010 and 2011 seasons, and player option information is now on the player cards.

It's been a long time coming, but managerial stats are now live for both the 2010 and 2011 seasons!

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The waiver wire awaits a number of players if they don't make the big-league roster.

Within a fortnight, pitchers and catchers will report for duty, thus marking the beginning of the spring and starting the countdown until the league-wide roster crunch. As difficult as picking the best 25 players can be, the occasionally arcane roster rules add even more complications to the equation. Options are the most notorious and popular forms of restrictions placed upon the teams. The goal is simple: to limit talent hoarding and to assist players in finding opportunities.

Despite the notoriety, options remain shrouded in mystery. Thomas Gorman’s primer from early 2006 remains an indispensable resource for those seeking deeper understanding. The casual observer should keep three rules of thumb in mind when thinking about options:

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Lima Time as a standard for evaluation, reinforcing the Red Sox, the Tigers slip by an Inge, and more.

Using a pitcher's rate of SNLVAR, Kazmir's season has been a disaster of massive proportions, one that rates about 4.8 on the Keough scale, something that for the moment suits my purposes for describing starting pitcher inadequacy, using Matt Keough's appalling 1982 season as a baseline for starting pitcher-related terrors visited upon a team's unhappy fans over a full season. This isn't really especially fair of me, in that Keough doesn't hold the single-season low for a starter with 30 starts in a campaign, but 1982 was a horrifying disappointment, and the man was beaten with a regularity that made me think that he was the drum, and the entire American League was Keith Moon.

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April 6, 2010 2:13 pm

Transaction Action: AL Roster Cleanup

12

Christina Kahrl

A rundown on all the Opening Day decisions in the junior circuit.

ANAHEIM ANGELS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Purchased the contract of 4C-R Robb Quinlan from Salt Lake (Triple-A); placed LHP Scott Kazmir on the 15-day DL (hamstring), retroactive to 3/31; placed RHP Anthony Ortega (triceps) and OF-S Reggie Willits (hamstring) on the 15-day DL, retroactive to 3/30; placed OF-R Chris Pettit on the 15-day DL (labrum), retroactive to 3/26; optioned C-R Ryan Budde and CF-R Peter Bourjos to Salt Lake. [4/3]
Designated C-R Ryan Budde for assignment. [4/5]

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March 1, 2010 3:27 am

Camp Battles: NL West

10

Christina Kahrl

Saving the West for last, a few exciting fights for position-playing roles, plus the usual mulling of aspiring fifth men.

To complete my perhaps overly terse-for me, at any rate-series review job battles for starting jobs in the majors, we now turn to the NL West. Admittedly, part of the exercise here for me was to make sure that I turn over to positions and considerations that, too often, do not comprise core considerations for Transaction Analysis: the guys who get punted from Triple-A and back again, the damned and doomed who need to adapt to a shuttle-born existence between the dubious glory of third lefty-dom, spot starting in the rotation because some high-maintenance thirtysomething needs skipping, or the outfielder who plays because somebody's hammy's barking or the like. That's the stuff that, admittedly, is relatively minor stuff, the endless churn that I can't help but find fascinating on one level, but also have to admit impacts a season, a team, or your fantasy squad very little, if at all. Or, as another way to put it, if you're concerned about the whereabouts of Doug Slaten, you're with me in the ranks of the few, the proud, the players in the deepest of leagues, or the folks who don't play Wii in their spare time.

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February 26, 2010 4:50 pm

Camp Battles: NL Central

10

Christina Kahrl

Everyone is trying to settle on a fifth starter in baseball's largest division.

Chicago Cubs: Rotation issues again, an ephemeral victory to be won at the keystone, and distributing outfield playing time.

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February 24, 2010 6:22 am

Camp Battles: NL East

13

Christina Kahrl

Some of the choices involved are generating noise, while others are merely noisome.

It's now time to turn to the National League's camp battles-and to perhaps also turn a Nelsonian blind eye to a good argument for why some of these combats are less significant than others-starting with the NL East. What's really at stake as opposed to effectively already set in stone?

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February 23, 2010 12:00 am

Fantasy Focus: Second Base Rankings

36

Marc Normandin

Kinsler and Utley lead the way as our fantasy expert looks at players at the keystone.

Yesterday we introduced the first of our fantasy rankings for 2010, using the new tiered system built from reader feedback from the past few months. Given it is still early, there are some additions we could implement-I'll do my best to retroactively adjust the older rankings via Unfiltered to compensate for those changes. For now, continue to give me feedback and we'll work in what we can.

If you missed the first base rankings, you can find them here. Now, here are the changes to this year's ranking system:

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Why mutual options in contracts aren't as pointless as they may seem.

Last week, Buster Olney reported that Russell Branyan had been signed by the Cleveland Indians to a one-year, $2-million deal that included up to $1 million in incentives and a $5-million mutual option for 2011. Two weeks ago, the Mariners signed Erik Bedard to a similar deal (one year, $1.5 million plus incentives with an $8-million mutual option for 2011). Over the years, many have wondered about the usefulness of mutual options. What are mutual options, and why would teams and players agree to them?

There are three ways an option can be structured: player, team, or mutual. Player options must be exercised by the player to take effect; team options must be exercised by the team. (For the interesting result that team options at the end of long-term contracts are exercised unpredictably, see Dinerstein 2007 (PDF)). Mutual options, however, must be exercised by both the player and the team to take effect.

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February 5, 2010 2:33 pm

Transaction Action: AL Moves

14

Christina Kahrl

Hudson finds a Northwest passage, the Jays have Gregg on their face, and cementing Justin Verlander in place in the Motor City.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Team Audit | DT Cards | PECOTA Cards | Depth Chart

Outrighted RHP Dennis Sarfate to Norfolk (Triple-A). [2/3]

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February 4, 2010 1:02 pm

Ahead in the Count: Revising Player Contract Valuation, Part 3

30

Matt Swartz

Evaluating single high-profile signings against more scatter-shot solutions to team needs.

In the first two parts of this series, I explained my new approach to contract valuations and whether MORP should be linear with respect to WARP. Basically, this entailed asking the question of whether Matt Holliday, perhaps a six-win player, could be just as easily replaced by signing two three-win players or three two-win players. The issue is roster space and playing time. The alternative argument to doing MORP linearly is that a team can sign Holliday and concentrate all six of those wins on one spot of the diamond, and then they could improve themselves more by filling their other openings with decent players as well.

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