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Articles Tagged Offense 

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06-25

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4

Release Points: Hey, Psst, Offense Might Be Creeping Up
by
Dan Rozenson

06-10

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5

Rubbing Mud: The Hollidays are Coming to an End in St. Louis
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-17

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22

Baseball Therapy: The Viability of Burying a Bad Bat
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-31

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17

Playoff Prospectus: World Series Game Six Recap (Cardinals Edition)
by
Ben Lindbergh

08-28

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35

Reworking WARP: The Overlooked Uncertainty of Offense
by
Colin Wyers

04-25

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6

Skewed Left: The New, Just-as-Good Joey Votto
by
Zachary Levine

12-20

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9

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 106: How Good is the Angels' Offense?/What We Think About the Yips/Does Pitcher Pace Matter?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-27

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8

Skewed Left: Year of the Right-Handed Hitter
by
Zachary Levine

08-17

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Setting the Stage for 2005: Steroids
by
Nate Silver

07-26

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4

BP Unfiltered: Mario Guerrero’s Scoring Problem
by
Geoff Young

04-16

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14

Prospectus Hit and Run: Land of 1,000 Runs
by
Jay Jaffe

04-12

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3

Prospectus Hit List: Get Your Phils
by
Tommy Bennett

10-06

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46

Prospectus Hit List: The Finale
by
Jay Jaffe

09-16

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13

Changing Speeds: Half a Team, Half a Team, Half a Team Onward
by
Ken Funck

08-06

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4

Manufactured Runs: Weight of the World
by
Colin Wyers

10-12

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3

Prospectus Hit List: Season Finale
by
Jay Jaffe

09-07

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9

Prospectus Today: Making a Run?
by
Joe Sheehan

07-17

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39

Prospectus Today: The Better Half
by
Joe Sheehan

07-02

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6

Transaction Analysis: NL West Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

06-05

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8

Wait 'Til Next Year: Super Regional Preview
by
Bryan Smith

05-28

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23

Wait 'Til Next Year: Regionals Preview
by
Bryan Smith

02-17

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8

Wait 'Til Next Year: The 2009 Pre-season Baseball Prospectus NCAA Top 25
by
Bryan Smith

09-05

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3

Prospectus Hit List: Bearing Down
by
Marc Normandin

07-25

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Penmanship
by
Marc Normandin

05-30

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Prospectus Hit List: Look for Lofton
by
Jay Jaffe

05-13

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0

Prospectus Today: Chillin' in the American League
by
William Burke and Joe Sheehan

05-02

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Overwhelmingly Neutral, Like Switzerland
by
Jay Jaffe

04-25

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Millstones and Milestones
by
Jay Jaffe

03-30

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Opening Day
by
Jay Jaffe

02-12

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Next Rung Down
by
Bryan Smith

02-05

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: Reviewing the '07 CWS Slate
by
Bryan Smith

11-21

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0

When Four Aces Don't Matter
by
Brandon Isleib

10-07

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Prospectus Hit List: Season Wrap-up
by
Jay Jaffe

07-13

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Friday the 13th Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

07-06

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Pinch-Hitter's Edition
by
Marc Normandin

04-24

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: The Cruelest Month
by
Nate Silver

08-29

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 28
by
Marc Normandin

07-25

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0

Prospectus Hit List: July 25
by
Marc Normandin

07-12

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of July 9
by
Jay Jaffe

07-12

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of July 10, 2005
by
Jay Jaffe

06-07

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Prospectus Hit List: Week of June 5, 2005
by
Jay Jaffe

05-18

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Week of May 15, 2005
by
Ben Murphy

05-11

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0

Prospectus Today: The Decline
by
Joe Sheehan

06-10

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: A Foolish Consistency
by
Nate Silver

10-01

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
by
Gary Huckabay

06-11

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0

Littleball
by
Mark Armour

03-30

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0

National League Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-24

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0

Olympic Prospectus
by
Derek Zumsteg

04-01

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0

National League Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-16

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Projected 1999 National League Standings
by
Baseball Prospectus

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June 25, 2015 6:00 am

Release Points: Hey, Psst, Offense Might Be Creeping Up

4

Dan Rozenson

The real question is why.

Are you ready for the "dead ball era" to be over? There's a chance we're going to see some more offense in the years to come.

Scoring is up across baseball this year. Not only that, but a number of pitcher-friendly trends have plateaued or even reversed themselves. For the first time in recent memory, strikeouts are decreasing in frequency, and home runs—and runs overall—are increasing for only the second time. Take a look below at first-half numbers from the last six seasons.

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That's a pun because this article is about Matt Holliday's injury and the possible end of the Cardinals' run of offense

From 2011 through 2013, four Cardinals qualified for the batting title with an OPS+ north of 120 each year. They were the first NL team since the 1975–77 Reds to manage that for three consecutive seasons. Impressively, too, they did so without perfect (or even significant) stability among that core of their lineup. In 2011, the four guys who met these criteria were Albert Pujols, Lance Berkman, Yadier Molina, and Matt Holliday. In 2012, five guys did it: Allen Craig, David Freese, Carlos Beltran, Holliday, and Molina. In 2013, there were five again: Beltran, Craig, Holliday, Molina, and Matt Carpenter.

After a down year for the entire offense in 2014, in which Holliday was the only qualifying hitter with at least a 120 OPS+, the 2015 Cardinals are back in the saddle. This time, the four qualifiers meeting our criteria are: Carpenter, Holliday, Jhonny Peralta, and Kolten Wong. For much of the last two weeks, Wong, Carpenter, Holliday, and Peralta have batted first through fourth in the Cardinals' batting order.

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March 17, 2014 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Viability of Burying a Bad Bat

22

Russell A. Carleton

Or, would the Yankees be better off starting Derek Jeter or Brendan Ryan at shortstop?

Team captain and 39-year-old farewell tour participant Derek Jeter is currently the starting shortstop for the New York Yankees. That is the way of things and has been since I was in high school. But the Yankees also have Brendan Ryan on their roster. Ryan is a noted defensive wizard while Jeter is [must…not…make…Jeter fielding joke]. However, Ryan “hit” only .197/.255/.273 last year in 349 plate appearances. Is there a case to be made for Ryan as the starting shortstop based on his defensive prowess? Keep in mind that the Yankees could bury Ryan in the batting order to limit his exposure, move the ever-under-appreciated Brett Gardner up to the two-spot, pinch hit for Ryan late in the game, and enjoy that sweet glove for eight innings a night. Is that enough to overtake De-rek Je-ter?

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St. Louis' slump, and some final musings on Mike Matheny.

The story of the Cardinals’ loss, both in Game Six and in the World Series as a whole, is simple: they didn’t hit, recording only a collective .224/.273/.299 line. And when you come right down to it, that’s not a very interesting story.

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How accurate can we be when comparing hitters' performance?

Previous Installments of Reworking WARP
The Series Ahead [8/21]

When I started working on a series about revising WARP, I didn’t expect to have much to say on the subject of offense. Measuring offense is probably the least controversial part of modern sabermetrics. So why start here? I have a few reasons:


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April 25, 2013 12:24 pm

Skewed Left: The New, Just-as-Good Joey Votto

6

Zachary Levine

Does it matter that Joey Votto isn't driving in runs?

Something is amiss with Joey Votto. Sure, he’s getting his walks, but as the Big Bat in the lineup paid to drive in runs, he’s struggling tremendously. He has just eight runs batted in—fewer than hardly noted run producers like Yuniesky Betancourt, Brett Gardner, Marlon Byrd and notoriously light-hitting teammate Zack Cozart. Clearly, with the overly passive Votto, there’s trouble in River City.

That’s one way to look at the first 22 games of the best player on the National League Central favorite Cincinnati Reds. Maybe how we would have evaluated him in 1980.

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Ben and Sam answer listener emails about the Angels' offense, the dreaded mental block known as the yips, and the impact of the time pitchers take between pitches.



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As a group, left-handed hitters have always hit better than righties. But are right-handers about to catch up?

It was right around when my MVP ballot got six names deep on the path to a most difficult 10 that I realized what was missing. Where on this list of the National League's best were my people?

Didn't you put Ryan Braun second? He's one of your people.

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Can statistics help us see the effects of steroid use?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

Can we detect the use of steroids statistically? Nate attempted one approach in the piece reprinted below, which was originally published on March 30, 2005.
 


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Yonder Alonso may not score many runs, but at least he's no Mario Guerrero.

Yonder Alonso is a slow man playing for a bad team. He has 86 hits this season and 27 runs scored, a ratio of 3.19 to 1. That's worst in MLB among batting title qualifiers.

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April 16, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Land of 1,000 Runs

14

Jay Jaffe

It's a folly to suggest that the 2012 Tigers--or any other team--will be able to score 1,000 runs.

During the first series of the season, the Tigers rolled up 26 runs while sweeping a three-game series from the Red Sox, after which Boston Globe columnist Nick Cafardo dropped an item in his Sunday notes column about the high-powered offense driven by Miguel Cabrera and newcomer Prince Fielder. "Some baseball people believe the Tigers could score close to 1,000 runs with these two hitting back to back," wrote Cafardo, never elaborating as to who those baseball people might be.

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April 12, 2011 10:10 am

Prospectus Hit List: Get Your Phils

3

Tommy Bennett

The expected NL East team starts out on top, but has taken an unexpected route to get there.

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