Brandon McCarthy's breaker did different things last year, and so did Brandon McCarthy.
Brandon McCarthy had an interesting season in 2014. He began the year pitching for Arizona, and traditional stats—the 5.01 ERA—implied that he struggled. But his 3.82 FIP suggested his ERA wasn’t telling the whole story. Fast forward to McCarthy’s 90-inning tenure in New York, and analysts around baseball were coming up with explanations for why McCarthy was so improved. After all, he posted a 2.89 ERA in 14 starts while wearing pinstripes. McCarthy’s FIP with New York wasn’t all that much better than it was in the first half, though, as he posted a 3.22 FIP as a Yankee.
The interesting thing about McCarthy is that his peripherals suggest that some of these ups and downs are simply a function of factors beyond his control. After all, his FIPs over the past three seasons are 3.76, 3.75, and 3.55. Those are much more consistent than his ERAs over that same time period (which should surprise nobody), and they indicate that McCarthy is a pretty consistent pitcher, at least as far as the things he controls go.
The Royals add another aging bat, the Marlins hope a move to first keeps Morse healthy, the Rockies add bench depth, the Yankees keep some rotation depth, the Cubs and Orioles build pen depth, and a low-risk, but possibly not-so-high-reward arm, lands in San Diego.
How the Yankees and other teams are breaking the international signing system.
With the recent signing of 16-year-old Colombian outfielder Bryan Emery, the New York Yankees completed a Shermanesque raid of Baseball America’s international top prospects list, nabbing a staggering 10 out of the top 30 (and four of the top 10!) players available for the 2014-2015 signing period. And they did so while setting ablaze what’s left of Major League Baseball’s international spending rules, a system that was implemented when the CBA was redesigned in 2012 in part, however clumsily, to curb international spending and promote competitive balance.
Emery is, like most young international prospects, more project than finished product, with an expected big-league arrival time around the midpoint of Giancarlo’s Stanton’s 13-year contract extension, and that’s if everything goes right. As Ben Badler describes, “there’s breakout potential given the swing and tool package, but it may take him time for his game skills to catch up.”
More interesting than Emery, who was apparently targeted for the Padres prior to Josh Byrnes’ dismissal as general manager in June, is the Yankees’ international strategy in general, which essentially boils down to “sign everyone.” It’s a strategy New York has used in major-league free agency a time or two, but one they’ve generally neglected in the international realm, perhaps because major investments in young foreign talent take time to pay dividends, something that hasn’t always fit the Yankees’ win-now-at-all-costs blueprint.
Part of the goal of the 2012-2016 CBA was to limit spending on amateur players, with soft spending caps instituted in both the Rule 4 amateur draft and the international amateur market. While most general managers, scouts, and baseball executives (and anyone else with a say in the matter) opposed the spending restrictions, team owners generally welcomed the prospect of writing smaller checks to unproven talent. The players’ union, for all of its strength, is historically flimsy when the bargaining rights of non-union players are concerned.
Under the current rules, teams are assigned international signing bonus pools based on records in the previous season. In the 2014-2015 signing period, for instance, the international bonus pools range from just over $5 million (Houston Astros) on the high end to $1.87 million (St. Louis Cardinals) on the low end. Each team receives four slot values ranging from No. 1 to No. 120 plus a $700,000 base, allowing clubs to trade bonus pool dollars for other players or slot values. The Cubs and Braves, for example, recently completed a trade that netted the Braves an additional $800,000 in international bonus pool flexibility.
The question posed by, and hopefully answered in, this post is which relief pitcher had the best single season in recent history. The first hurdle to all of this is figuring out the best way to measure reliever performance. In the past I’ve hung my hat on either WPA (especially for closers) or RE24, because they capture the unique responsibilities of relief pitchers better than something like ERA or WARP.
The Yankees are looking at top setup men, the Panda might be moving soon, and Matt Joyce is available. Would his power be part of the package?
Yankees eyeing Jason Grilli as Plan B
After fanning 96 batters in 64 innings as the Yankees closer in 2014, David Robertson is in line for a hefty payday. Sources told WFAN beat reporter Sweeny Murti that the 29-year-old can expect to receive $13 million a year for either three or four years, for a total outlay of $39-52 million.
The Yankees still have holes to fill on their way back to contention, but they also have plenty of players who could be useful to your fantasy squad.
Coming off a disappointing 2013 season that saw them win just 85 games, the Yankees threw money around last offseason like it was about to hit its expiration date. Now, after another subpar campaign in 2014—winning one fewer game than the year prior—the question is will they or won’t they?
With no shortage of holes to fill (pretty much the whole infield and a few rotation spots) and very little coming by way of the farm system (we’ll get to that below), the Yankees may be forced to bring their payroll above any point in franchise history just to field a playoff-caliber roster. However, until that happens, we’re left examining a very expensive building with an unfinished façade.