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1 Transaction Analysis: Big Sexy's Last Call by Aaron Gleeman
3 Rubbing Mud: Lower is Better for Berrios by Matthew Trueblood
2 Banjo Hitter: Minnesota's Mess by Aaron Gleeman
0 Rubbing Mud: No Free Strikes by Matthew Trueblood
4 Rubbing Mud: The Rise of the Rover and the Fall of Dozier by Matthew Trueblood
22 Baseball Prospectus Announcement by Bret Sayre
1 Rubbing Mud: One At-Bat, Turned Inside Out by Matthew Trueblood
3 Banjo Hitter: The First 162: Max Kepler by Aaron Gleeman
13 Prospectus Feature: The Ervin Santana Disagreement by Jonathan Judge
2 Transaction Analysis: Have Gloves, Will Travel by Bryan Grosnick
1 Rubbing Mud: The Muscle Memory of Bunting by Matthew Trueblood
2 Prospectus Feature: It Finally Clicks for Aaron Hicks by David Brown
7 Banjo Hitter: The First 162: Byron Buxton by Aaron Gleeman
2 Looking Back on Tomorrow: Minnesota Twins by Aaron Gleeman
4 Banjo Hitter: Sticking at Shortstop by Aaron Gleeman
4 Short Relief: Tales of Cubs Fans, Extroverts, and 1987 Topps by Nathan Bishop, Jason Wojciechowski and Patrick Dubuque
2 Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Hitters by Aaron Gleeman
10 Banjo Hitter: PECOTA and the Twins, Sitting in a Tree by Aaron Gleeman
0 BP Job Postings: Minnesota Twins Advance Scouting Intern by BP Staff
3 Rubbing Mud: Miguel Sano Through PECOTA's Eyes by Matthew Trueblood
1 Rubbing Mud: Dozier and the Doyers by Matthew Trueblood
0 Transaction Analysis: Going Back To Cali by Aaron Gleeman
2 Best of BP 2016: The Fall of the Ryan Empire by Aaron Gleeman
3 Transaction Analysis: Twins Pay For Stolen Strikes by Aaron Gleeman
5 Banjo Hitter: The Derek Falvey Era by Aaron Gleeman
3 Banjo Hitter: Baseball's Unlikeliest Slugger? by Aaron Gleeman
2 Transaction Analysis: Twins, Angels Make Seller-To-Seller Swap by Aaron Gleeman, Meg Rowley, Christopher Crawford and Wilson Karaman
0 Transaction Analysis: Not Abad Trade by Aaron Gleeman and Will Haines
2 Transaction Analysis: Nunez's Career-Year Moves to San Francisco by Aaron Gleeman and Adam McInturff
2 Banjo Hitter: Miguel Sano Is a Strikeout Pioneer by Aaron Gleeman
5 Banjo Hitter: Twin Killing by Aaron Gleeman
2 Banjo Hitter: Where These Terrible Twins Go From Here by Aaron Gleeman
4 Banjo Hitter: The Out-of-Nowhere All-Stars by Aaron Gleeman
0 Team Chemistry: Explaining the DRA-Beaters by John Choiniere
0 Team Chemistry: The Outsized Importance of a Joe Mauer Cold Streak by John Choiniere
4 Prospectus Feature: Buxton's Back, and Not Busted Yet by Aaron Gleeman
2 Prospectus Feature: Joe Nathan's Got One Thing To Prove by Aaron Gleeman
3 Rubbing Mud: So You Want to Fire Your General Manager by Matthew Trueblood
11 Prospectus Feature: So Long, Jose Berrios; See You Soon? by Aaron Gleeman
8 Transaction Analysis: Fredi, Blame, Fired by Aaron Gleeman, Wilson Karaman and Matthew Trueblood
5 What You Need to Know: Jose Berrios: Not An Instant Ace by Daniel Rathman
10 Prospectus Feature: The Fall of the Ryan Empire by Aaron Gleeman
1 Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Jose Berrios by Doug Thorburn
26 Rubbing Mud: Joe Mauer and Me by Matthew Trueblood
0 What You Need to Know: Nobody Is 0-21, Yet by Nicolas Stellini
7 Prospectus Feature: Can the Twins Sweep ROY Voting, Still Lose? by Bryan Grosnick
0 Rumor Roundup: Who Will Save The Phillies' 55ish Wins This Year? by Emma Baccellieri
13 Outta Left Field: The Remarkable Buxton Projection by Dustin Palmateer
4 Winter Is Leaving by Matthew Trueblood
6 Prospectus Feature: The Way-Too-Early Baseball Awards Breakdown by Bryan Grosnick
Byron Buxton's first 162 games have been filled with bad offense, good defense, and missed expectations.
It wasn’t supposed to go like this for
. Byron Buxton
Read the full article...
Minnesota has a new front office and a friendly PECOTA projection, but are Buxton and Sano ready to be stars? How many top-ranked shortstop prospects actually go on to play shortstop in the majors?
Last weekend the Twins announced that their top prospect
, the fifth overall pick in the 2014 draft, would cease playing exclusively shortstop and begin spending some time at second base as well. Positional versatility is not a bad thing, but Gordon’s draft stock was based on the belief that he was a shortstop, period, so the fact that there’s uncertainty about his ability to stick there before he even got to Double-A is discouraging. As a rail-thin 21-year-old with a poor walk rate and just five home runs in 293 games as a pro, Gordon will likely need to have significant defensive value to be a big-league asset. Nick Gordon
Gordon’s older brother,
, was also a top prospect as a shortstop who later moved to second base. Dee, who cracked BP’s top 101 prospects list in 2010 and 2011, remained a shortstop long enough to log 147 major-league starts there in 2011-2013, but then shifted to second base full time in 2014 and hasn’t played shortstop since. When talk of little brother Nick possibly moving off shortstop got louder a couple weeks ago, Dee spoke up, Dee Gordon telling Mike Berardino of the St. Paul Pioneer Press: “I’m not their front office, but my brother is a shortstop and it’s going to be tough for him to play second.” Read the full article...
Nathan explores the psyche of a young Cubs fan-to-be, Jason drafts Trevor May and discovers alienation, and the gang votes on their favorite Topps cards of the 80s.
February 21, 2017 6:00 am
Which young hitters does PECOTA see as having breakout potential in 2017?
“Breakout” can mean different things to different people. It can mean a prospect or untested young big leaguer establishing himself as a valuable regular. It can mean a relative unknown becoming an impact player. It can mean a well-known star making the leap to full-blown superstar, perhaps even following up a “breakout” one year with an even bigger “breakout” the next. Your own definition may vary, but in
’s case “breakout” is all about out-performing track records. PECOTA
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February 16, 2017 6:00 am
PECOTA projects Minnesota to improve by an MLB-high 21 games. How?
Every year around this time Baseball Prospectus releases the
full slate of PECOTA projections for players and teams. And every year around this time those projections upset a handful of fan bases that feel disrespected or overlooked by the numbers that were crunched. Some fan bases are briefly annoyed and then brush it off, while others—and especially those like the Orioles and Royals who’ve been through this same dance with several times before—take serious offense. Such is the life of a system designed to predict (or at least project) the future. PECOTA
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February 11, 2017 9:50 am
The Minnesota Twins are seeking an MLB Advance Scouting Intern for the 2017 season.
Major League Advance Scouting Internship
Job Function: Read the full article...
February 10, 2017 6:00 am
PECOTA loves Miguel Sano, but that might be because it doesn't know any better.
You are perfectly entitled to be optimistic about
. That’s the most important thing to say. Sano was a huge prospect when he signed out of the Dominican Republic. Everyone believed he would eventually hit for enormous power, retain some thick-bodied athleticism, and generally display a natural gift for baseball that would help him overcome his considerable deficiencies. That remains a possible outcome, and indeed the fact that he’s risen all the way through the minors and played a bit more than a year’s worth of big-league games while making unbelievably hard contact has only boosted the odds of that. Miguel Sano
Read the full article... Brian Dozier is still in Minnesota, but maybe the Dodgers and the Twins were right to balk at a deal.
Last week I attended SportCon, a day-long convention on analytics in sports put on by an organization called MinneAnalytics. There were six seminar sessions throughout the day at the enclosed downtown campus of St. Thomas University in Minneapolis. I was sitting in an auditorium/lecture hall early in the afternoon, waiting for new Twins chief baseball officer Derek Falvey to walk in for a panel on how teams use analytical information in coaching and advance scouting, when Ken Rosenthal’s
Twitter feed told me what business Falvey had concluded prior to making the short trip from Target Field to the conference: The Dodgers and Twins had reached a semi-official impasse, and was (however flimsily) assured of remaining in Minnesota for a while. Brian Dozier
That "news" is sorry succor for the news-starved fans of the baseball offseason and it rippled through the room like word that the keg has run dry at a wedding reception. If the convention were at Loyola Marymount instead of St. Thomas, it’s fair to guess that the tone would have been the same. Twins fans have wanted this deal for most of the winter. Dodgers fans have approached it cautiously, hugging their prospects tightly but with a measure of anticipation, too. Neither front office will endear themselves to large swaths of their fan base by walking away from the bargaining table. The Twins are still likely to be a losing team in 2017 and the aggressive rebuild Falvey and general manager Thad Levine have hinted at seems on hold until Dozier is dealt.
Read the full article...
Trevor Plouffe finds a new home in Oakland and his former team adds veteran depth.
December 30, 2016 6:00 am
Can anybody in 2016 identify what the Twins are good at?
With the year winding to a close, Baseball Prospectus is revisiting some of our favorite articles of the year. This was originally published on May 17, 2016.
Twins general manager
is a Well-Respected Baseball Man™. Terry Ryan Read the full article...
November 23, 2016 6:00 am
Minnesota landed its top free agent target, pitch-framing master Jason Castro.