Peter Moylan can't catch a break, Denard Span gets into a car crash and emerges with a headache, Daric Barton and Miguel Cairo undergo shoulder surgery, Tim Hudson gets dehydrated, and Scott Atchison strains his groin.
Peter Moylan, ATL (Right shoulder torn labrum and rotator cuff) [AGL: 10 (93 DL), ATD: TBD (-.092 DL)] (Explanation) Moylan can’t seem to catch a break in 2011. After missing four months following surgery on a troublesome disc in his low back, his shoulder started to click on him during normal next day throwing after last Monday’s appearance. Clicking can be indicative of several different problems, ranging from swelling to full blown cartilage tears. However, over this past offseason, he underwent an MRI that revealed tearing in his rotator cuff and labrum.
A recent repeat MRI on Thursday revealed that the tearing has worsened and may require surgery. He will see noted surgeon Dr. James Andrews down in Birmingham for a second opinion, and it sounds like he will need surgery. Surgery will almost certainly put him out for most of the 2012 season, barring some unexpected good news. He doesn’t have to have surgery, but he is risking significantly more damage in his shoulder if he chooses to pursue the rehab route.
The tater trots for August 13: Uggla keeps it up and Blake Davis has a great story to tell.
Going through the home run list prior to timing the trots, it seemed like a pretty typical Saturday. A home run here and there, maybe two or three home runs in every other game or so. And then I got down to the Padres/Reds game, where eight home runs were hit - seven by Cincinnati! That ball was just flying out of Great American Ballpark yesterday afternoon, especially off the bats of Miguel Cairo and Ryan Hanigan, who had two home runs apiece. You just can't explain things sometimes.
Do early-season phenoms fade once the rest of the league learns to stop giving them pitches to hit?
Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.
In the last of his preseason "Hot Spots," Michael Street looks at the underappreciated 1B Billy Butler, the increasing flexibility of DH Hideki Matsui, and how Scott Rolen and Juan Francisco fit in to Cincinnati's 3B picture.
For this final preseason Hot Spots column, I’m focusing on underdrafted players, anticipating our shift to targeting undervalued players during the regular season. There’s no better place to start than Kansas City, whose offense is projected by BP to score 741 runs, fourth-worst in the AL, making fantasy owners overlook Royals players.
One who doesn’t deserve such a snub is Billy Butler, whose 32.3 VORP in 2009 was second-best on the team. He’ll need to reach his 80thPECOTA percentile to beat that VORP in 2010, but even his 50th percentile has fantasy value. Though he isn’t a slugger, Butler’s 14% strikeout rate and 8% walk rate from 2007-9 show his strong BA contributions. If he can recapture the patience he exhibited in 2008, when he had a career-best 12.9% K rate, Butler could hit .300 again in 2010; his 60th percentile would get him there, while also cresting .500 SLG.
Using roster spots on a young player not guaranteed a job can nevertheless provide value during the season.
In many deeper leagues, it's hard to find players on the waiver wire that are both skilled and getting playing time. In AL Tout Wars, a 12-team AL-only league, there are currently only 12 hitters on the waiver wire who have gotten an at-bat in the last 14 days, and two of those players have been sent back down. We're left to bid on the likes of German Duran, Miguel Cairo, Oscar Salazar, and a few backup catchers. Tout Wars doesn't allow owners to bid on minor leaguers as part of the free agent process, further tightening the available player pool. Whenever a team calls up a prospect that isn't already owned, a bidding war generally ensues in the next FAAB period, so long as the potential for playing time exists. Hence we've seen major battles for the services of Brandon Boggs and Jeff Larish, among others. It's not a pretty picture.