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Articles Tagged Michael Bourn 

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06-05

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7

Sporer Report: Speed Killed
by
Paul Sporer

05-07

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Beware of the Tribe
by
Paul Sporer

04-15

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0

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 14
by
Larry Granillo

04-08

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0

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 7
by
Larry Granillo

03-25

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12

Fantasy Tier Rankings: American League Outfielders
by
Mike Gianella

02-12

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7

Transaction Analysis: He Not Busy Getting Bourn is Busy Dying
by
R.J. Anderson

12-27

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9

Overthinking It: Bourn to Be ... What?
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-06

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1

Skewed Left: How the Teams That Did Nothing in Nashville Did
by
Zachary Levine

11-13

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34

Out of Left Field: What $205 Million Buys on the Free Agent Market
by
Matthew Kory

11-05

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42

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents
by
R.J. Anderson

10-26

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17

Overthinking It: Predicting the First Offseason of Qualifying Offers
by
Ben Lindbergh

07-09

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2

BP Unfiltered: Erick Aybar Takes an Extra Base
by
R.J. Anderson

06-27

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0

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 26
by
Larry Granillo

05-23

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1

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 22
by
Larry Granillo

05-23

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4

What You Need to Know: Wednesday, May 23
by
Daniel Rathman

05-13

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0

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 12
by
Larry Granillo

04-13

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8

Value Picks: Outfielders for 4/13/12
by
Rob McQuown

01-24

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4

Painting the Black: New Rays and Double Plays
by
R.J. Anderson

12-09

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27

Prospectus Perspective: A Fresh Start for the Astros
by
Bradley Ankrom

11-01

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40

Future Shock: Astros Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-08

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18

Kiss'Em Goodbye: The Houston Astros
by
Ben Lindbergh, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

08-01

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2

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Trade Deadline Reflections
by
Michael Jong

07-31

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6

Transaction Analysis: Bourn to Run Tour Atlanta: Tickets Now Available UPDATED
by
R.J. Anderson and Kevin Goldstein

07-13

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3

Fantasy Beat: Tout Wars Mixed 1st Half Recap
by
Jason Collette

07-05

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1

Changing Speeds: Setting the Line--Mid-season Update
by
Ken Funck

05-26

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1

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 25
by
Larry Granillo

04-27

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4

Fantasy Beat: Running In Opposite Directions
by
Michael Jong

02-23

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32

Fantasy Focus: Center Fielder Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-05

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5

No Pepper: Other Outliers
by
Tommy Bennett

01-26

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3

Fantasy Beat: Rankings Review: Center Field
by
Marc Normandin

04-15

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24

Replacement-Level Killers
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-25

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0

Fantasy Focus: April Stolen Base Report
by
Jeff Erickson

04-24

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0

Under The Knife: Rehab Heroics
by
Will Carroll

11-08

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0

Transaction of the Day: The Lidge Deal, and a Re-signed Sock
by
Christina Kahrl

12-15

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0

Future Shock: Philadelphia Phillies Top Ten Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-13

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0

Transaction Analysis: September 5-11
by
Christina Kahrl

02-08

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes On Prospects, Part One
by
Nate Silver

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June 5, 2013 5:00 am

Sporer Report: Speed Killed

7

Paul Sporer

A league-wide decrease in stolen bases has left some fantasy owners, like Paul, scrambling for help in that category.

I’m not big on mantras. Catchphrases are way cooler. But if there is one mantra/axiom/adage/proverb I espoused this draft season, it was, “Focus on power, there is tons of speed available in smaller chunks.” In 2012, there were 1.33 steals per game. That was down slightly from 2011’s 1.35, but both were up markedly from the 1.22 that held steady from 2009 through 2010. In 2011-2012, there were about 300 more steals in the league than there were in 2009-2010. Plus, they were more evenly distributed.

The 2009 season saw Jacoby Ellsbury lead baseball with 70 stolen bases, and Juan Pierre was just two off of that mark when he led the majors the following year. Michael Bourn and Carl Crawford joined Ellsbury at the top with 61 and 60, respectively, in 2009, before dropping to a trio of 42s (Nyjer Morgan, B.J. Upton, and Matt Kemp). Pierre was the lone member of the 60-steal club in 2010, but Bourn (52) and Rajai Davis (50) were still great, followed by Carl Crawford and Brett Gardner at 47, and then another trio of 42s (Upton again, Ichiro, and Chone Figgins) bringing up the rear of the 40-plus club.

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May 7, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Beware of the Tribe

5

Paul Sporer

Given the Indians' early-season propensity to tattoo starters, fantasy owners should be wary of using pitchers that are facing them.

With the completion of Monday’s slate of games, we are officially one-sixth of the way through the season, as every team has played at least 28 games, or 17 percent of its allotted 162. Exactly half of the league has actually hit the one-fifth mark, having played 20 percent of its games, but the Twins and Royals finished off the first sixth of their seasons on Monday. We have also turned the calendar on the season’s first month, and the accumulation of data from that month is giving us some useful information.

For example, did you know that the Oakland Athletics lead all of baseball with 174 runs? They have 10 more runs than the Detroit Tigers and Colorado Rockies, who sit tied for second with 164 (because 174-10 = 164!). The A’s also have three more games played than the Tigers and two more than the Rockies. That doesn’t diminish their runs-scored achievement, but it does send them to the bottom of that trio when you look at runs per game: The Tigers have 5.47, the Rockies 5.29, and the A’s 5.27. Sitting eighth in total runs scored are the Cleveland Indians.

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The tater trots for April 14: Todd Helton's slows down in San Diego; Austin Jackson and Hunter Pence have a footrace.

A prediction for today's games: a home run will be hit by number 42.

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The tater trots from April 7: Will Middlebrooks' big game, a pretty walkoff from Dayan Viciedo.

The first weekend is in the books. Raise your hand if you had Will Middlebrooks with the first three-homer game of the season?

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March 25, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Tier Rankings: American League Outfielders

12

Mike Gianella

Mike Trout stands alone at the top, and two White Sox appear in the group of value picks.

Today we continue our positional tier rankings. Last offseason, Derek Carty tackled the tiers by himself; this spring, we've decided to attack them as a team. Players at each position will be divided into five tiers, represented by the number of stars.

Five-star players are the studs at their respective position. In general, they are the players that will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and they'll fetch auction bids in excess of $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be earl- round selections, and they're projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late round sleepers and roster placeholders. As was the case with our positional rankings series, the positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of the projected PECOTA values.

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February 12, 2013 5:00 am

Transaction Analysis: He Not Busy Getting Bourn is Busy Dying

7

R.J. Anderson

The Indians jump into the race by signing center fielder Michael Bourn.

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December 27, 2012 12:25 pm

Overthinking It: Bourn to Be ... What?

9

Ben Lindbergh

The market for Michael Bourn has been tepid, and there are few teams that provide a natural fit.

Michael Bourn turns 30 today, but barring a buzzer-beating offer, he won’t get the gift of a new contract until after his birthday. Bourn, the highest-ranked free agent remaining on the market, hasn’t attracted the widespread interest that he and agent Scott Boras had hoped for. Some teams may be concerned that the center fielder’s speed-based skill set could suffer once he loses a step; others might be reluctant or unwilling to forfeit the draft pick Bourn would cost them because of the qualifying offer he received from the Braves. Regardless of their reasons for looking elsewhere, several potential buyers for Bourn have already removed themselves from the running by making other moves: the Nationals, Phillies, Reds, and A’s have landed center fielders via trade, while the Giants and Braves have invested in other free agents, re-signing Angel Pagan and bringing in B.J. Upton, respectively.

It’s still too soon for Bourn to panic or consider seeking new representation. While it’s possible that he’ll have to settle for the so-called “pillow contract” that some Boras clients have had to swallow when their expected megadeals never materialized, Boras has often wangled the biggest possible payday by waiting until late in the offseason, when some teams are desperate for an upgrade and there are few attractive alternatives to his high-profile clients.

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Some teams stood pat at the winter meetings, but not all of them were better off for it.

You know how they told you if you didn’t get off your ass and do something in life you’d be a loser? Not true at the winter meetings, where many of life’s rules seem not to apply—things like laws of human sleep patterns and normal snack pricing structures. Here at the winter meetings, you can do nothing at all and still be a winner in our books.

We’ve seen writing all week about who won and who lost various transactions—see, go-getters can be losers too—but here’s a look at the teams and people who notably did nothing at all (or hadn’t as we went to press) and how their week went.

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If an expansion team with a Yankees budget wanted to build a team out of this year's free agents, what would it look like?

You can’t build a team around free agents, say the people who don’t think you can build a team around free agents. To them, the only way to build a team is through the draft, waiver claims and occasional trades. To paraphrase the great movie Waterboy (which is such a great movie that you can watch it for free on YouTube), “Free agents are the devil!” Well, maybe so if you’re living in the real world, but this is Baseball Prospectus where we can do anything we want provided it fits on a spreadsheet and won’t wake our parents upstairs.

Another thing some people like to say is that baseball teams aren’t just names on paper. They’re real people. Well, not here they aren’t, mister! Here players are one-dimensional entities devoid of emotion and everything else that won’t show up on our computer machines. In that spirit, I’m not only going to build a baseball team exclusively out of free agents, but I’m going to do it only on (virtual) paper. Eat that, straw men I just created!

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November 5, 2012 12:00 am

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents

42

R.J. Anderson

The names baseball will be obsessing over for the next three months.

With free agency beginning at just after midnight Eastern early Saturday, it’s time to look at this year’s class. Along with Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller, and others, we put together a list of the top 50 free agents available this winter. Some analysis and predictions are also included. You can quibble with the rankings (especially after a certain point) and many of the predictions, but this is meant to serve as a primer for the free-agent period.

1. Zack Greinke (Angels): Greinke may not consistently perform like an ace but he is a durable no. 2 starter with a deep arsenal, and an understanding of how to use it. After trading three top prospects at the deadline for Greinke and then having his club miss the postseason, Jerry Dipoto is in an unenviable position. Dipoto cannot recoup draft picks, which provides further incentive to re-sign Greinke. It seems Dipoto is heading down that path if recent payroll shearing is any indication.

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Teams will have more difficult decisions to make if they want free-agent compensation this year. Here's how it will likely go.

For the next several days, much of the baseball world will be watching the Tigers and Giants fight it out in the fall classic. But for the 28 teams whose seasons have already ended, the focus will be on what to do once the World Series is over and the winter’s work begins.

As soon as the Series ends, eligible players will become free agents. Under the new CBA, teams can still seek draft-pick compensation for departing free agents, but the old system of classifying free agents as “Type A” and “Type B” based on past performance has been abolished. Now, a team that wants to receive a compensatory pick at the end of the first round in the following year’s amateur draft has to make a “qualifying offer”: a one-year contract equal to the average of the top 125 salaries from the previous season (in this case, $13.3 million).

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The Angels shortstop serves as a good segue.

Few things in baseball are more fun to watch than clever baserunning. Therefore, Erick Aybar’s heads-up play on Saturday night deserves a mention.

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