The Giants didn't play their best five games, but it was good enough to beat a very good Cincinnati team to advance to the NLCS.
If you put enough gas in your spaceship and just keep flying, you’ll eventually get to a planet that looks just like this one. There’s a guy just like you and one just like me, and every letter the guy like you is reading was written exactly like the letters that I am actually writing. The only difference is that, on the other planet, Hideki Matsui was looking for a changeup, but Pedro Martinez threw him a fastball, and Matsui took it for a called strike three. The Red Sox kept their three-run lead. And it took eight years before Grady Little was ultimately scapegoated for a Boston loss and pushed out.
The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.
Not a subscriber?
Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.
The Reds lost the pitcher but won the battle. Now will they win the war?
From game one to game 162, the Reds rotation stayed perfectly intact. The only time a sixth man started was in August, when Todd Redmond was called up for a day to work the second game of a doubleheader. That durability turned a rotation that was merely pretty good into a huge asset.
Cain gets about as good a draw as a pitcher can possibly get this week, facing what are perhaps baseball’s two worst offenses. The only thing that would make this better is if he were facing them at home.
After completing a three-game sweep of the Nationals in D.C., the Yankees are starting to look like the real Bronx Bombers.
The Weekend Takeaway
The Yankees and Nationals both came into this weekend’s series at Nationals Park on six-game winning streaks. But after Danny Espinosa grounded out to end Sunday’s finale, New York was on cloud nine and Washington was three in the hole.
Though the Dodgers have one more win than the Yankees and four more than the Nationals, by most measures, the teams that squared off in the nation’s capital this past weekend were the two best in baseball right now. After a month and a half of lurking in the background and struggling to find a rhythm, Joe Girardi’s squad has resoundingly announced its presence with the recent surge.
Matt Cain just threw a perfect game. Surely that means something going forward, right?
Since 1990, 10 pitchers have thrown perfect games. The nine who aren't Matt Cain combined to throw 56 2/3 innings in their next starts, with a combined 57 hits allowed, 40 runs allowed, 35 earned runs allowed, 17 walks allowed. That's 8.2 baserunners per start, a 1.31 WHIP, and a 5.56 ERA.
We generally don't expect top athletes to choke, but that doesn't mean they don't get just as nervous as you would.
There was a brief period in my life when I was afraid to drive. I had had a near accident on I-5 when I, inexplicably, could not find the brake pedal and had to veer off the freeway at full speed. After that, I drove in dread of missing the pedal again. I tried to visualize myself braking, but even in the visions the nervous part of my brain took over and my visualized foot would just flail dumbly and unsuccessfully. This is what we call choking. A bit of nerves made me unable to perform a basic function. The level of stress it took to cause me to choke was: the threat of having to slow down a car. It did not take a lot of stress to cause me to choke.
We take it for granted that baseball players won’t choke, except in the extremely rare cases when they do. We are aware of those cases, and those cases make sports a little bit unpredictable and exciting, but mostly we take it for granted that they won’t choke. We take it so for granted that we have repurposed the word to describe merely failing in a big situation, which has nothing to do with choking. In a competition between two athletes, after all, one must fail. There’s nothing psychological about it. If you say Alex Rodriguez chokes in big situations, you mean he pops out. You don’t mean he forgets how to swing and holds the bat upside down.
Matt Cain tied Sandy Koufax for the most Ks in a Perfect Game with 14. But did he face a better lineup?
Matt Cain’s 14 strikeout perfect game tied the great Sandy Koufax for the most strikeouts in a perfecto. Whether it is the fact that the Giants won 10-0 (highest margin of victory ever in a perfect game) compared to Koufax’s 1-0 win or just the general nostalgia for past superstars, there is some belief that Koufax’s gem was still “better.” Whether in support of Koufax’s as the best perfect game or not, several comments have been thrown around with regards to quality of Cain’s opponent., some even outright dismissing the feat because it came against the Astros.
Matt Cain's perfect game was one of the best outings ever.
The Wednesday Takeaway
One of the most storied franchises in baseball history, the Giants, have had their share of outstanding pitchers since the team was established in 1883. From Christy Mathewson to Juan Marichal to Tim Lincecum, there have been Cy Young awards, World Series gems, and no-hitters. But—thanks in part to Juan Uribe’s untimely fielding error in Jonathan Sanchez’s 2009 no-no—in more than 128 years of play, no Giant had ever thrown a perfect game.
Matt Cain changed all of that on Wednesday night, 107 years to the day of Mathewson’s no-hitter on June 13, 1905. He faced 27 Astros and sent all of them back to the dugout, 14 of them on strikeouts, half of which were the result of batters frozen by fastballs. Perhaps most impressive: not a single Houston hitter was able to work a 2-0 count.
What do Bruce Bochy, Xavier Nady, Brandon Belt, Tim Lincecum, Barry Zito, Matt Cain, Mike Krukow, and Mark Grant have in common?
Nady, Bochy, Belt
My wife and I drove from San Diego to Emeryville last weekend to make an appearance at the final stop on the BP2012 book tour. The event was a blast because, really, what beats hanging out with friends, talking about baseball? Watching a game, I suppose. Or playing. If we'd had people sign waivers, maybe we could have gotten a wiffle ball game going. But probably not.
I had prepared trivia questions in case we ran out of things to discuss. We didn't, but since I've already written the questions, here are their answers. They all have a Bay Area theme:
Matt Cain, Cliff Lee, and Bartolo Colon ruled the mound on Wednesday night.
The Wednesday Takeaway
If you went to bed early last night, you missed a duel for the ages in San Francisco and a remarkable stretch of consistency from a pitcher who, just months ago, was seemingly left for dead.
Given the lack of thump in the Phillies’ and Giants’ lineups, the matchup of Cliff Lee and Matt Cain was likely to produce a low-scoring contest. What no one could have predicted, though, is that they would combine for 19 scoreless innings—10 by Lee, nine by Cain—and work so efficiently that the 11-inning game was over in just two hours and 27 minutes. It’s a shame Cowboy Joe West wasn’t behind the plate last night, because he would have been proud.
This week's mailbag takes a look at Hall of Famers who were picked in later rounds of the draft, home team winning percentage in extra innings, and Matt Cain's one-hitter.
Welcome to the latest installment of the Baseball Prospectus Research Mailbag. This week, we’ll tackle Hall of Famers being selected in later rounds of the draft, the home team’s winning percentage in extra-inning contests, and the quirks of Matt Cain’s one-hitter against the Pirates last Friday. As always, if there’s a question you would like to see answered in a future mailbag, please feel free to send it in via email or through the “Contact Author” form (please remember to include your full name and hometown with your question).
George Brett and Mike Schmidt went back-to-back with the 29th and 30th picks of the 1971 draft. Have there been any other cases of two Hall of Famers being picked back-to-back in the draft? Also, what’s the latest a Hall of Fame player has gone in the draft?