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August 20, 2012 5:00 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: Six Starters for the Desperate Owner


Derek Carty

Injuries and attrition have probably wiped out at least a portion of your rotation. Here are six pitchers with upside that are probably available.

As we pass the 75 percent mark of the 2012 season and approach the homestretch, the list of injured players only continues to grow.  Finding suitable replacements at this point in the year can be difficult, so I thought I’d look today at six pitchers who may be better than their ERAs indicate. For fantasy teams in need, no stone should be left unturned.  Whether you’re looking for permanent roster replacements or just spot-starters to pad your win and strikeout totals, these guys are all worth considering, especially when they have favorable match-ups.  Keep in mind that these players are best used in deeper leagues—don’t pass up Anibal Sanchez for Justin Germano just because he’s on my list—but some may at least warrant consideration even in medium-depth mixed leagues.

Marco Estrada | Milwaukee Brewers
Estrada has one of the largest differentials between his surface stats and peripherals in all of baseball, and that’s going to correct itself going forward.  He’s a fly-ball pitcher, but his strikeout rate remains excellent (8.7 K/9), and he’s made big strides with improving his control this season (1.9 BB/9).  He has a good offense supporting him for wins, and at just 5 percent owned in Yahoo! leagues, one could make a case that Estrada is most valuable unowned pitcher in fantasy baseball right now.

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Notebook wraps up the week with a look at the Pirates' young rotation, and the recent activity in Texas.

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Reputation and highlights, or data and analysis? The Rawlings' Gold Glove Awards reflect the former. Now we bring the latter into the discussion.

Pitcher: Kenny Rogers. Since 1999, The AL's Gold Glove Award for pitchers has gone to Rogers in even years and Mike Mussina in odd years. Rogers is a fine choice for the honor, with good numbers throughout his career. Rogers tied with Jake Westbrook in our rankings for the top spot in the AL, with six runs above replacement (RAR) and five above average (RAA). (For the rest of the article I'll say that as simply 6/5, with the runs above replacement first and the runs above average second, as I consider both of them when selecting the top player.) For his career, he's 60 and 41, which ranks 16th alltime in RAR and 10th in RAA. No complaints.

Catcher: Ivan Rodriguez. Rodriguez is not the catcher he used to be. He's reached the age, and the game count, where the toll on his body is cutting into his skills. After winning 10 Gold Gloves, he's getting the typical reputation coast that plagues this award. He has more RAA (175) than any catcher in history, and is third in RAR (492), behind two catchers who've played 400 more games than him. In 2004, though, Rodriguez threw out just 19 of 59 would-be base stealers, which edges out 2003's 20-of-60 for the worst mark of his career. He's now a fairly average catcher. I think the best choice would have been the Twins' Henry Blanco, who tops my list with a 38/14, has always been excellent in the field, but can't hit. Oakland's Damian Miller, second in the league with a 36/10 and a consistent history of such production, would also have been a good choice.

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Welcome all to the results of the Baseball Prospectus Mid-Season Awards. The points system is 10-7-5-3-1 for the MVP and Cy Young Awards, and 5-3-1 for the Rookie Awards. BP authors' picks, with all-too-clever comments, are included here, below the awards standings. Hitters: Ballots, Points (1st Place Votes), (Avg/OBP/SLG/RARP/VORP) Pitchers: Ballots, Points (1st Place Votes), (ERA, IP, SNWAR or ARP, VORP)

Welcome all to the results of the Baseball Prospectus Mid-Season Awards.

The points system is 10-7-5-3-1 for the MVP and Cy Young Awards, and 5-3-1 for the Rookie Awards. BP authors' picks, with all-too-clever comments, are included here, below the awards standings.

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January 16, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: The Wests


Baseball Prospectus

The Angels go on a spending spree. The Dodgers frustrate their fans. The A's wheel and deal. The Padres are bullish about 2004. Our tour of major league transactions continues with a visit out West.

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March 25, 1999 12:00 am

AL West Notebook


Jeff Bower

Chuck Finley, L
Tim Belcher, R
Steve Sparks, R
Ken Hill, R
Omar Olivares, R

Troy Percival, R
Rich DeLucia, R
Shigetoshi Hasegawa, R
Mark Petkovsek, R
Mike Magnante, L
Mike Holtz, L

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