CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Vote in the Internet Baseball Awards for a chance at a free copy of Dollar Sign on the Muscle
Voting ends in 16 days

Articles Tagged Lance Lynn 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

09-10

comment icon

2

The Buyer's Guide: Lance Lynn
by
J.P. Breen

03-27

comment icon

4

The Darkhorses: Strikeouts
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-24

comment icon

11

The Darkhorses: Wins
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-10

comment icon

6

Five to Watch: National League Pitchers With Elevated BABIPs
by
Craig Goldstein

10-04

comment icon

2

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: Pirates vs. Cardinals
by
Ben Carsley

08-27

comment icon

12

Five to Watch: Positive Regression Candidates
by
Craig Goldstein

08-15

comment icon

0

What You Need to Know: Soriano Strikes Again
by
Daniel Rathman

07-01

comment icon

1

Pebble Hunting: Felix Hernandez, Lance Lynn, and a Peripherals Paradox
by
Sam Miller

05-07

comment icon

0

TINSTAAPP: TINSTAAPP Episode 2: Bailey v. Lynn
by
Paul Sporer and Doug Thorburn

01-17

comment icon

3

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 1/17/13
by
Paul Sporer

10-14

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game One Preview: Cardinals at Giants
by
Daniel Rathman

10-11

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four Recap: Nationals 2, Cardinals 1
by
R.J. Anderson

10-05

comment icon

11

Playoff Prospectus: National League Wild Card Game (UPDATED)
by
R.J. Anderson

05-29

comment icon

2

The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, May 29
by
Matthew Kory

10-25

comment icon

35

World Series Prospectus: Mixed-Up Confusion
by
Jay Jaffe

10-25

comment icon

15

BP Unfiltered: Some Unsolicited Advice for the Cardinals Coaches
by
Colin Wyers

10-23

comment icon

8

World Series Prospectus: Once, Twice, Three Times a Long Ball
by
Jay Jaffe

10-19

comment icon

23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

06-03

comment icon

2

Transaction Analysis Blog: Cards Call on Lynn, Cleto
by
R.J. Anderson

02-23

comment icon

33

Purpose Pitches: Wainwright Go Bye?
by
Christina Kahrl, Corey Dawkins and Marc Normandin

01-24

comment icon

13

Future Shock: The Rays' Golden Opportunity
by
Kevin Goldstein

01-21

comment icon

34

Future Shock: St. Louis Cardinals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

11-05

comment icon

20

GM for a Day: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Christina Kahrl

02-24

comment icon

14

Future Shock: Cardinals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

01-07

comment icon

9

Future Shock: Cardinals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

05-30

comment icon

0

UTK Wrap: Pitch Counts and Usage Patterns
by
Will Carroll

03-20

comment icon

0

Wait 'Til Next Year: College Weekend Preview
by
Bryan Smith

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 10, 2014 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Lance Lynn

2

J.P. Breen

Has the Cardinals righty truly become a fronline starter, or should owners look to dump him on someone who believes in his breakout?

With less than a month remaining in the 2014 season, we begin to shift our gaze toward the 2015 fantasy campaign. That’s not only because many leagues have moved beyond their trade deadlines, but also because it’s too difficult to project performance over a two- or three-week period of time. Too much fluctuation exists. Thus, the buy, hold, or sell discussion at the end of the piece will be geared toward the 2015 campaign while still providing some analysis in regards to the remaining three weeks.

September and October is when fantasy owners begin to reflect on the entire year and dish out accolades. While we’ll be talking about Fantasy MVPs and Fantasy Busts soon enough, the Most Underappreciated Player is regularly one of the more interesting distinctions discussed each autumn. In that vein, it seems right-hander Lance Lynn is deservedly getting some love as of late. He’s been overshadowed by Adam Wainwright and Michael Wacha this year—and even Shelby Miller more recently, to some extent—but he owns a sterling 2.80 ERA and has easily been a top-30 fantasy starter.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 27, 2014 6:00 am

The Darkhorses: Strikeouts

4

BP Fantasy Staff

The fantasy crew runs down the starters it expects to beat their PECOTA projections in punchouts.

One of the fun ways we all try to outsmart our opponents in fantasy is by searching for hidden value in players who, for one reason or another, we suspect have the ability to outpace their projections (and, relatedly, their draft cost). Our Darkhorses series features staff picks for players who could very well outpace their PECOTA projections for the year and provide the top overall production in one of the standard five-by-five categories. We’ve all picked one player currently projected by PECOTA to fall outside of the top 10 and one longer-shot player currently projected outside of the top 25. We’re taking a look at pitching this week, following our run on offense a week ago. To read the earlier editions in this series, click below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 24, 2014 6:00 am

The Darkhorses: Wins

11

BP Fantasy Staff

A look at the pitchers our fantasy crew believes can outperform their PECOTA projections in wins.

One of the fun ways we all try to outsmart our opponents in fantasy is by searching for hidden value in players who, for one reason or another, we suspect have the ability to outpace their projections (and, relatedly, their draft cost). Our Darkhorses series features staff picks for players who could very well outpace their PECOTA projections for the year and provide the top overall production in one of the standard 5x5 categories. We’ve all picked one player currently projected by PECOTA to fall outside of the top 10 and one longer-shot player currently projected outside of the top 25. We’re taking a look at pitching this week, following our run on offense a week ago. To read the earlier editions in this series, click below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 10, 2014 6:00 am

Five to Watch: National League Pitchers With Elevated BABIPs

6

Craig Goldstein

These five starters saw a lot of the balls hit against them land for hits, but was it bad luck or a sign of things to come?

A lot of the time, batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is used as a shorthand for luck, and while that can be the case, it’s not necessarily the case. Today I’m going to look at the top five BABIP pitchers in the National League with a minimum of 150 innings pitched to see what, if anything, connects them, and if that means there is hidden value in these players.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 4, 2013 6:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: Pirates vs. Cardinals

2

Ben Carsley

Facing a 1-0 hole, the Pirates ask their ace of the future to help them avoid three straight elimination games.

Pirates (Gerrit Cole) vs. Cardinals (Lance Lynn) – 1:00 p.m. EST
PECOTA Odds of Winning: Cardinals 50.6%. Pirates 49.4%


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

August 27, 2013 6:00 am

Five to Watch: Positive Regression Candidates

12

Craig Goldstein

A look at five scuffling pitchers whose luck might turn next year, and who could be fantasy bargains with better results.

When it comes to starting pitching, my philosophy has long been “it’s always available.” Even when it comes to deep/dynasty leagues where the talent is scarce, finding pitching depth isn’t as difficult as it might seem. With that in mind, we turn our spotlight to five pitchers who have struggled—to varying extents—in 2013, but who have the ability, history, and peripheral statistics to pique our interest. Note that, unsurprisingly, two of these pitchers appeared in the Starting Pitchers section of BP’s Mid-Season Outliers, which should be a good source if you’re looking for anyone beyond the five mentioned in this article.

Jeremy Hellickson, Rays
It’s been a rough season for pitchers who have made a habit of outperforming their FIP, and Hellickson has been chief among those types. He’s also been chief among those having a rough season, including last night’s putrid performance (2 2/3 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 1 K). The interesting part though, is that unlike some of the others listed, Hellickson is actually producing better peripherals than he ever has, so instead of just relying on past performance, we can say that he’s actively getting better.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

August 15, 2013 6:46 am

What You Need to Know: Soriano Strikes Again

0

Daniel Rathman

The Yankees' big trade deadline acquisition pays off with a pair of big days.

The Wednesday Takeaway
The Yankees acquired Alfonso Soriano from the Cubs on July 26, hoping that he could prod a dormant lineup into action. That did not happen right away. In the first 15 games of his second stay in the Bronx, Soriano batted just .193/.220/.368; he smacked three homers in 59 plate appearances, but also struck out 19 times and walked just twice.

Then the Angels came to town.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

How pitchers can throw more pitches inside the strike zone and walk more batters (and vice versa).

I remember once that there was an article (not written by me, but it might as well have been; I’ve certainly written a version of this article before) that looked at a batter’s increased walk rate and concluded that it was due to... not swinging at as many pitches outside the strike zone. Colin Wyers tweeted something in response that went something like, but not exactly like, this: “uh no doy.” I try to keep that tweet (or at least something like that tweet) in mind, because it’s easy to find explanations that are already embedded in that which you seek to explain. Baseball generally obeys its own physics. Player is struggling because his heat map looks awful. Fielder’s numbers are down because fielder isn’t making plays in front/in back/whatever of him. Pitcher is walking more batters because pitcher is throwing fewer pitches in the zone.

But what about when that last one isn’t true? There are 179 pitchers who threw at least 1,000 pitches last year, and have thrown at least 500 pitches this year. The correlation between year-to-year changes in zone rate and changes in unintentional-BB rate is fairly modest: about .4. That means there must be a lot to not walking batters other than throwing pitches in the strike zone.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Paul & Doug push the four-hour mark discussing nine different pitchers before they even get to the game of the week, Homer Bailey against Lance Lynn.

After nearly 20 minutes of intro, the guys discuss nine pitchers at length before getting into their exciting GotW between Bailey and Lynn in St. Louis. 

Rundown:

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 17, 2013 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 1/17/13

3

Paul Sporer

Converted relievers is the theme of this week's Keeper Reaper.

Today is another theme day at Keeper Reaper as we look over the relievers converted into starters last year and determine how worthy they are of being protected.

Chris Sale | Chicago White Sox
Shallow (30 keepers): No
Medium (60 keepers): No
Deep (90 keepers): Yes
AL-only (60 keepers): Yes
Super Deep (200 keepers): Yes






The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 14, 2012 6:59 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game One Preview: Cardinals at Giants

0

Daniel Rathman

The NLCS kicks off with a matchup of two starters who have been vulnerable to opposite-handed hitters.

The Giants clung to a 6-0 lead to win their Division Series with the Reds. The Cardinals overcame a 6-0 deficit to knock off the Nationals. Now, those two teams prepare to tangle in the NLCS, which begins tonight at AT&T Park. Here are the PECOTA odds and projected starting lineups for Game One:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

A lackluster series gets serious in the span of one (very long) at-bat.

Game Four between the Cardinals and Nationals gave the people what they wanted: a lengthy, dramatic, Hollywood-inspired at-bat that ended a postseason game with an exclamation point. Earlier in the day, Jay Bruce delivered the first half late in the Giants-Reds series, but failed to punctuate. Walk-off home runs are exciting regardless of the at-bat length; however, there’s just something magical about seeing a pitcher and hitter going at it for 10, 11, 12 pitches before reaching a conclusion. Jayson Werth and Lance Lynn did one better: they dueled for 13 pitches.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries