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Articles Tagged Ken Harvey 

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A look at how a sabermetrician would have viewed a memorable Saturday afternoon game at Wrigley Field nearly 26 years ago.

It started as an ordinary Saturday afternoon game between a third-place club and a fifth-place club—sure, there were NBC broadcasters there, but not the main announcing team of Vin Scully and Joe Garagiola.  They were in Atlanta calling the marquee matchup between Fernando Valenzuela and Pascual Perez, while this game featured a rookie starter looking for his first major-league win, and a nondescript veteran with a career 54-57 record.  Before it was over, however, one player would hit for the cycle, another would stroke a bases-loaded pinch-hit single in extra innings to win the game, and neither would be remembered as the game’s hero.  This Cubs/Cardinals tilt at Wrigley Field was one for the annals, and if you’ve ponied up the cash to log onto CompuServe to read this you probably want more detailed analysis than you’re likely to find in Monday's USA Today—and that’s what I’ll try to provide, along with some statistical tidbits from the recent cutting-edge work of “sabermetricians” Bill James, John Thorn, and Pete Palmer.

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Christina Kahrl has a special baseball Valentine just for you: a wrap-up of the American League's offseason transactions.

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June 24, 2005 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: June 14-22

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Christina Kahrl

Chris catches up with the roster moves of the last week, as a few first-place teams solve problems internally, and others start to feel the pinch from a lack of depth.

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May 26, 2005 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: May 10-24, 2005

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Christina Kahrl

The Angels work around injuries to some of their top talent, the Reds throw an organizational tantrum, and at the end of the day, there's always Jim Bowden, ready to make a move.

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May 9, 2005 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: April 26- May 4, 2005

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Christina Kahrl

The Red Sox are revamping their rotation on the fly as the Yankees do much the same with their lineup. Also, find out which team is down to just ten pitchers on the 25-man roster!

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Moorad v. Boras, the growth of Omar Infante, and the Royals rotation--all this and much more in today's Prospectus Triple Play

Arizona acquired Cruz from Tampa Bay on February 6th for HACKING MASS MVP Casey Fossum. The trade was a good one for the Diamondbacks, especially considering the alternative in center field, Luis Terrero, is probably better suited for the role of fourth outfielder. Cruz is coming off a season in which he hit 21 homers and walked 76 times in Tampa Bay. Last year was a dip from 2003's performance, when he hit 20 home runs and walked 102 times for San Francisco, and finished second behind Barry Bonds among Giants position players in terms of wins above replacement.

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August 24, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: August 17-23, 2004

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Christina Kahrl

The Angels' roster shuffling means more playing time for the deserving Jeff DaVanon. Earl Snyder and Cal Pickering finally get a fair shake. The Dodgers try to patch their bullpen with Elmer Dessens and Scott Stewart. The Pirates bring up some intriguing young arms. These and other happenings in today's Transaction Analysis.

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July 13, 2004 12:00 am

Divisional All-Star Teams

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Jim Baker

Tuesday night, 32 men from each league (selected by 64 separate and distinct methods), will battle it out for supremacy and the right to host the weekend World Series games and, in the process, get more traffic in bars with big screen televisions in the host city because people don't have go get up early the next morning to work the night after Games 1 and 6. What I think would be much more interesting would be a tournament featuring All-Star teams from the six different divisions. Knowing that this is a crazy idea (and having to belay the idea of them wearing uniforms identifying their divisional allegiance a la the Little League World Series), I have instead taken the liberty of selecting these six best-of teams. I've done it primarily using VORP, but with a touch of subjectivity thrown in here and there (but not too much, since analytical types such as we are, we're conditioned to breaking out in rashes whenever we get too subjective).

And yet, can you blame players for not bragging on their division? No, we can't, because we have never proven once and for all which division is the best. Sure, we can do it the obvious way, which is to calculate which division has the best records of all the teams therein against everyone outside the division. Here they are, through the All-Star break:

W L PCT. NLC 137 106 0.564 ALE 141 131 0.518 ALW 123 118 0.510 ALC 128 142 0.474 NLE 122 136 0.473 NLW 119 137 0.465

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June 9, 2004 12:00 am

Under The Knife: O Captain, My Captain

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Will Carroll

Derek Jeter seems to draw more emotional responses than anyone, whether through discussions of his defense or his place in the Pantheon. His recent struggles with his injured groin have taxed my inbox, but the injury is not worth the pixels; it's as simple as they come, a straightforward strain. Sure the injury is painful, and he'll miss a bit of time, but it's also predictable, treatable and healing. People seem to forget that even when they're emotional about a player, the rules of medicine still apply. Your captain will return, likely on Wednesday. The Cubs-Cards series is one of those great happenings, but without Sammy Sosa and Albert Pujols, fans aren't getting exactly what they expected. Both players will miss this series, but both are making progress. Pujols is seeing a reduction in the swelling of his hamstring, enough so that Tony La Russa had him available as a pinch-hitter, but only in an emergency. (Is a 17-inning game an emergency? I've never seen a game go this late into the UTK process as the Angels-Brewers epic.) Sosa was able to take batting practice, but remains a week away from returning to the lineup. His back is still tender, but there's been great improvement.

Let's get right into it...

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June 2, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: AL All-Star Ballot

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Joe Sheehan

First Base: Jason Giambi, Yankees. A few years ago, this was the toughest call in baseball, with five or six guys with legitimate claims on the vote. Now, it seems like all of those players have slipped a couple of notches, with the top remaining one, Jim Thome having moved to the National League. The top five first basemen in baseball, by VORP, are all in the NL. I went with Giambi over Carlos Delgado, Rafael Palmeiro and Frank Thomas, although it's a half-hearted choice. The guys having the best 2004 seasons, like Ken Harvey (not actually on the ballot) and Tino Martinez, just don't have the kind of track record that pulls my vote from the established greats. Palmeiro or Thomas would make a perfectly good choice as well. This position is a good example of why basing All-Star status on first-half stats is silly. By the end of the year--hell, maybe by the All-Star Game--Palmeiro and Delgado will probably be outperforming Harvey and Martinez. The shape of a season shouldn't dictate honors.

First Base: Jason Giambi, Yankees. A few years ago, this was the toughest call in baseball, with five or six guys with legitimate claims on the vote. Now, it seems like all of those players have slipped a couple of notches, with the top remaining one, Jim Thome having moved to the National League. The top five first basemen in baseball, by VORP, are all in the NL.

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April 27, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: April 19-25, 2004

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Christina Kahrl

Chad Tracy could help revive the struggling Snakes. Russell Branyan returns to the Indians. Torii Hunter's return creates a crowded situation with Lew Ford swining a hot bat for the Twins. Endy Chavez returns to cause night sweats among Expos fans. These and other news and notes in today's Transaction Analysis.

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