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Articles Tagged Keith Hernandez 

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09-05

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7

The Platoon Advantage: Shaving an Icon
by
Michael Bates

03-13

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4

Western Front: Better Than Doug Mientkiewicz
by
Geoff Young

10-26

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40

The Lineup Card: 13 Bad Players Who Are (or Were) Still Fun to Watch and Root For
by
Baseball Prospectus

05-26

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5

The BP Wayback Machine: How Do You Rate Relief?
by
Nate Silver

03-17

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11

Transaction Analysis: Senior Circuit Shuffling
by
Christina Kahrl

07-26

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Transaction Analysis: American League Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

05-07

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0

Transaction Analysis: April 29-May 6, 2007
by
Christina Kahrl

04-01

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Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

02-27

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Prospectus Today: Gold Gloves in February
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Future Shock: Where Did the Tigers and the Athletics Come From?
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-11

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Prospectus Today: LCS, Day One
by
Joe Sheehan

10-05

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Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Two
by
Joe Sheehan

08-08

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Prospectus Today: Putting $78 Million to Work
by
Joe Sheehan

03-30

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Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-08

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0

Crooked Numbers: The Bull in the Pen
by
James Click

08-15

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Prospectus Today: The King?
by
Joe Sheehan

04-12

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Transaction Analysis: March 29-April 4, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

03-31

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0

Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-06

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Lies, Damned Lies: How Do You Rate Relief?
by
Nate Silver

05-27

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Lies, Damned Lies: Southpaw Stories, Part I
by
Nate Silver

02-21

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Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part I
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-16

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Transaction Analysis: The Wests
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-06

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The Class of 2004
by
Jay Jaffe

12-11

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Live from the (Mock) Winter Meetings
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-28

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Internet Baseball Awards
by
Ryan Wilkins

06-07

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Transaction Analysis: May 27-June 5, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

04-09

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Transaction Analysis: March 25-April 6, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

03-27

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Transaction Analysis: March 20-24, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

02-05

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Transaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The Wests
by
Christina Kahrl

05-21

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Analyzing PAP (Part One)
by
Keith Woolner

12-10

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HACKING MASS Results
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-01

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National League Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

12-18

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From The Mailbag: The Hall Of Fame
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-01

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Transaction Analysis: July 27-31, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

11-20

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1999 Internet Baseball Awards Results
by
Greg Spira

07-31

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Transaction Analysis: July 26-29, 1999
by
Christina Kahrl

04-16

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Projected 1999 National League Standings
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-22

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Transaction Analysis: March 8-21
by
Christina Kahrl

04-01

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Projected 1998 National League Standings
by
Baseball Prospectus

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August 8, 2006 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: Putting $78 Million to Work

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Joe Sheehan

Joe looks closer at two sets of recent transactions: the Wright-Reyes contracts in NY, and the Livan Hernandez trade.

OK, I don't know what the other nominees in the category might be, but I also don't think it matters. The Mets' twin signings of Jose Reyes and David Wright are as solid an investment as any baseball team has made in recent years. The two deals lock up a champiosnhip-caliber core through the players' peaks while avoiding a hefty investment in post-peak seasons, and they do so at reasonable, perhaps even bargain prices.

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BP staffers work their magic and offer their predictions for the American League this season.

When BP welcomes new contributors, we like to test them right away--usually by demanding that they take out their crystal ball. Yes, it's time to wrap up the off-season by predicting what things will look like at the conclusion of the 2006 season.

In part one of this two-part series, we focus on the American League, concentrating on the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year). Tomorrow we'll conclude with the National League predictions, along with the staff picks for the World Series representatives.

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September 8, 2005 12:00 am

Crooked Numbers: The Bull in the Pen

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James Click

James tackles the divide between the way the mainstream media values relievers, and the way more advanced metrics do.

In his discussion of the likely NL MVP race shaping up, Joe Sheehan pointed out that if you look at the most prominent contenders--Derrek Lee, Albert Pujols, and Andruw Jones--Lee distances himself from the field in WARP by a vast margin. Looking at the traditional stats, Lee leads the league in batting average, Jones leads in home runs and RBI, and Pujols is second, third and second in those categories, respectively. It's easy to see why those three would be the favorites headed into the final month of the season.

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August 15, 2005 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: The King?

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Joe Sheehan

Felix Hernandez has a terrific nickname and the adoration of thousands just weeks into his MLB career.

Two starts into his major-league career, 50 starts as a professional, barely old enough to vote in the U.S., certainly not old enough to buy alcohol here…and yet Felix Hernandez has been branded royalty. That's not bad for someone who started the 2004 season in the California League.

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April 12, 2005 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: March 29-April 4, 2005

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Christina Kahrl

Early-season moves have featured their share of funkiness, writes Chris Kahrl.

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Twelve BP authors kick off the new season with their 2005 AL predictions.

Our authors, august worthies every one, wrap up the offseason with their predictions for 2005. Come Sunday, we will no longer need the future tense, as we'll have actual baseball to discuss.

In part one of this two-part series, we focus on the American League, concentrating on the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year). Tomorrow we'll conclude with the National League predictions, along with the staff picks for the World Series representatives.

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January 6, 2005 12:00 am

Lies, Damned Lies: How Do You Rate Relief?

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Nate Silver

Goose Gossage's failure to make it into Cooperstown got Nate thinking, how do you decide which relievers are Hall of Famers?

Truth be told, as much as I like Jay's work, I also think there is something to be said for gut-feel. A metric like JAWS tells you a lot about a guy's value, but it doesn't tell you quite as much about the shape of his career. JAWS applies what I would call the sausage method for assessing player value: you mush everything together into a nice, cylindrical package, add appropriate seasoning, and come out with what is hoped to be a tasty product. JAWS is, indeed, a very tasty sausage, and it's a heck of a lot more worthwhile than the spoiled cold cuts that most of the press is munching on. But it's still a sausage.

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May 27, 2004 12:00 am

Lies, Damned Lies: Southpaw Stories, Part I

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Nate Silver

Two months ago, the Oakland Athletics signed Eric Chavez to a six-year, $66 million contract extension that will keep him with the club through 2010. Despite some head-scratching from the public, there are good reasons behind why Billy Beane campaigned to do for Chavez what he hadn't done for former MVP shortstop Miguel Tejada. Unlike Tejada, Chavez is a player whose skills, like his fine defense and his ever-improving plate discipline, are likely to be undervalued by the market. On top of which, Chavez has continued to demonstrate growth season after season, and PECOTA thinks that he's a very safe bet going forward. It is no secret, however, that Chavez has a tragic flaw: he can't hit left-handed pitching. From 2001-2003, Chavez managed a stellar line of .306/.375/.579 against right-handers, but a Mathenian .229/.278/.395 against southpaws. The A's, recognizing his defensive value and perhaps hoping that repetition would breed improvement, continued to start him anyway, in spite of a rotating array of viable platoon alternatives. This year, indeed, has brought about a turnaround--Chavez is crushing lefties so far on the season (.288/.373/.561), while performing well below his career averages against righties (.214/.358/.398). Whether there's any rationale for the change other than sample size, I'm not certain (I don't get to see the West Coast teams play as often as I'd like to). What is clear, however, is that if such a change becomes permanent--if Chavez learns how to hit left-handed pitching at the age of 26--it would be a relatively unprecedented development. In most cases, a platoon split for a left-handed hitter is something like a finger print or a dental record: it remains a readily identifiable and more or less unchanging part of his profile throughout the different stages of his playing life. A left-handed hitter with a big platoon split early in his career is, in all likelihood, going to have a big platoon split later in his career.

It is no secret, however, that Chavez has a tragic flaw: he can't hit left-handed pitching. From 2001-2003, Chavez managed a stellar line of .306/.375/.579 against right-handers, but a Mathenian .229/.278/.395 against southpaws. The A's, recognizing his defensive value and perhaps hoping that repetition would breed improvement, continued to start him anyway, in spite of a rotating array of viable platoon alternatives.

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February 21, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part I

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Baseball Prospectus

In preparing the annual top prospect list for Baseball Prospectus 2004, BP authors participated in the annual extended roundtable discussion of baseball's top prospects. The ranking and review process balanced translated statistics, scouting reports, and injury reports with the strong personal opinions of BP's finest…all with the goal of putting together the "best damn prospect list the world has ever seen." In Part I today we'll listen in on the discussion of the top prospects among pitchers, catchers, first basemen and second basemen. Parts II through IV will run Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. We'll also unveil the final list Tuesday, with the Top 50 prospects (we've expanded from prior years' Top 40) revealed. Rany Jazayerli will be along to discuss the Top 50 list and the process that went into compiling it in Tuesday night's Chat.

Baseball Prospectus Top 40 Prospects Roundtables:
2003 Part II
2003 Part I
2001


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January 16, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: The Wests

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Baseball Prospectus

The Angels go on a spending spree. The Dodgers frustrate their fans. The A's wheel and deal. The Padres are bullish about 2004. Our tour of major league transactions continues with a visit out West.

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January 6, 2004 12:00 am

The Class of 2004

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Jay Jaffe

With the 2004 STATLG-L Hall of Fame balloting now in the books, and the results of the BBWAA voting slated to be released this afternoon, there are few topics more prominent in baseball fans' minds than "Which players will make it to Cooperstown in 2004?" And rightfully so. Enshrinement in the Baseball Hall of Fame is the highest honor a former-player can receive, and most fans are protective of that: a fact that has spurned countless heated debates over the years--rational, objective, and otherwise. With that being said, I thought it would interesting to see what some of Baseball Prospectus' newly updated measures of player evaluation had to say on the topic. For the uninitiated, BP's Davenport Translated Player Cards measure a player's value above replacement level for offense, defense, and pitching while adjusting for context--park effects, level of offense, era, length of season, and in Clay's own words, "the distortions caused by not having to face your own team's defense." The Davenport Cards offer the most sophisticated statistical summaries available; if you can adjust for it, it's in there. The basic currencies of the Davenport system, whether it's offense, defense, or pitching, are runs and wins, more specifically, runs above replacement level and wins above replacement level.

With the 2004 STATLG-L Hall of Fame balloting now in the books, and the results of the BBWAA voting slated to be released this afternoon, few topics are more prominent in baseball fans' minds than "Which players will make it to Cooperstown in 2004?"

And rightfully so. Enshrinement in the Baseball Hall of Fame is the highest honor a former-player can receive, and most fans are protective of that: a fact that has spurned countless heated debates over the years--rational, objective, and otherwise.

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Following up on yesterday's article, here is the definitive list of every transaction made at last weekend's Mock Winter Meetings in Chicago. The list of moves includes a blockbuster trade for Mark Teixeira, cheap contracts for Trot Nixon and Juan Gonzalez, and a surprise new home for Vladimir Guerrero.

AL WEST

ANAHEIM

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