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Articles Tagged John Jay 

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04-20

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4

Resident Fantasy Genius: Value Picks Paying Off
by
Derek Carty

10-19

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23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-27

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24

The Lineup Card: 17 Favorite Midseason Trades
by
Baseball Prospectus

05-26

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5

The BP Wayback Machine: How Do You Rate Relief?
by
Nate Silver

03-01

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27

Overthinking It: The Genuine Articles
by
Ben Lindbergh

02-25

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7

Fantasy Beat: Scoresheet Draft Prep, BP Kings, and You
by
Rob McQuown

10-27

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16

World Series Prospectus: Fall Classic Memories
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-25

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42

On the Beat: Playing from Behind
by
John Perrotto

08-03

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3

Fantasy Beat: Jon Jay and Scorching Line Drives
by
Craig Brown

01-25

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11

Prospectus Q&A: John Walsh
by
David Laurila

10-07

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6

You Could Look It Up: The Best-Worst Blue Jays versus the Best-Worst Pirates
by
Steven Goldman

04-05

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0

Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-26

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Transaction Analysis: American League Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

04-12

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0

Transaction of the Day: Roster Reviews of the Easts
by
Christina Kahrl

04-11

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0

BP Kings Update
by
Ben Murphy

04-01

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0

Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: March 13-18, 2007
by
Christina Kahrl

10-23

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0

World Series Prospectus: The I [Heart] New York Matchup
by
Jay Jaffe

10-09

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0

Completely Random Statistical Trivia
by
Keith Woolner

04-06

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Transaction Analysis: American League, March 30-April 4
by
Christina Kahrl

02-14

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Transaction Analysis: American League, December 15, 2005-February 13, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

09-01

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0

Crooked Numbers: In Reverse
by
James Click

07-21

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Transaction Analysis: July 14-19, 2005
by
Christina Kahrl

03-25

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Transaction Analysis: The Wests, etc.
by
Christina Kahrl

02-14

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Transaction Analysis: Offseason - The Easts
by
Christina Kahrl

01-06

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: How Do You Rate Relief?
by
Nate Silver

08-24

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Transaction Analysis: August 17-23, 2004
by
Christina Kahrl

08-10

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Transaction Analysis: August 3-8
by
Christina Kahrl

07-29

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The Claussen Pickle
by
Jay Jaffe

02-11

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Transaction Analysis: January 12-February 6, 2004
by
Christina Kahrl

01-14

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The Class of 2004
by
Jay Jaffe

04-09

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Transaction Analysis: March 25-April 6, 2003
by
Christina Kahrl

03-21

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0

PECOTA Does Fantasy
by
Nate Silver

03-21

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0

PECOTA Does Fantasy
by
Nate Silver

02-05

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Transaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The Wests
by
Christina Kahrl

01-25

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Transaction Analysis: The Easts
by
Christina Kahrl

11-26

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Prospectus Feature: 2002 HACKING MASS Results: All Players, By Name
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-02

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Transaction Analysis: July 30-31, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

07-19

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Transaction Analysis: June 25-July 14, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

03-18

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Transaction Analysis: March 6-13, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

12-10

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0

HACKING MASS Results
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-03

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Playoff Prospectus
by
Christina Kahrl

09-06

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Transaction Analysis: August 31-September 4, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

08-01

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Transaction Analysis: July 27-31, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

04-17

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Transaction Analysis: March 23-31, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

03-24

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Transaction Analysis: March 14-22, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

04-03

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Transaction Analysis: March 22-April 1
by
Christina Kahrl

11-10

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0

1997 Internet Baseball Awards™ Results
by
Greg Spira

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February 14, 2005 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Offseason - The Easts

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Christina Kahrl

TA is back with a look at what teams in the AL East and NL East did this winter.

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January 6, 2005 12:00 am

Lies, Damned Lies: How Do You Rate Relief?

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Nate Silver

Goose Gossage's failure to make it into Cooperstown got Nate thinking, how do you decide which relievers are Hall of Famers?

Truth be told, as much as I like Jay's work, I also think there is something to be said for gut-feel. A metric like JAWS tells you a lot about a guy's value, but it doesn't tell you quite as much about the shape of his career. JAWS applies what I would call the sausage method for assessing player value: you mush everything together into a nice, cylindrical package, add appropriate seasoning, and come out with what is hoped to be a tasty product. JAWS is, indeed, a very tasty sausage, and it's a heck of a lot more worthwhile than the spoiled cold cuts that most of the press is munching on. But it's still a sausage.

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August 24, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: August 17-23, 2004

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Christina Kahrl

The Angels' roster shuffling means more playing time for the deserving Jeff DaVanon. Earl Snyder and Cal Pickering finally get a fair shake. The Dodgers try to patch their bullpen with Elmer Dessens and Scott Stewart. The Pirates bring up some intriguing young arms. These and other happenings in today's Transaction Analysis.

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August 10, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: August 3-8

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Christina Kahrl

Bazooka Joe, McGyver, Easy-Bake Ovens and "The Perils of Pauline" all make appearances in Chris Kahrl's latest. There's some baseball, too.

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July 29, 2004 12:00 am

The Claussen Pickle

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Jay Jaffe

As the trading deadline approaches and the hype surrounding a potential Randy Johnson deal reaches a deafening crescendo, I decided to take a look at how well the Yankees have done in dealing young players. I'm not concerned with who they get in return except as a footnote, nor do I care whether they "won" a particular trade according to a value measure. Those scales can wait to be balanced for another day. The question is whether the Yanks have let another Buhner, another unproven product of the Yankee system, slip out the door. How well did the players they traded turn out?

Last summer's trade of pitcher Brandon Claussen to the Cincinnati Reds for third baseman Aaron Boone was a rare exception, for Claussen had recently tantalized Yankee fans with a stellar nationally-televised debut. The confident young lefty looked like the ideal antidote to the struggling, enigmatic Jeff Weaver, but the Yankees sent Claussen to the Reds in favor of upgrading their offense. The outcry among Yankee fans was vociferous, if more symbolic than anything else. Since the deluge of homegrown talent which fueled their championship run--Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, Jorge Posada, Andy Pettitte and Ramiro Mendoza--the Yankee farm system has produced very little, so the idea that a product of the Columbus Clippers might be worthy of joining that esteemed bunch was an attractive one.

Was the Claussen trade a good one for the Yankees? Boone cemented his spot in pinstriped lore with one October swing, though he spent the rest of his time confounding the Yanks and their fans. But the real answer to that question will take several years to unearth, as Claussen does or does not develop into a major-league caliber pitcher. After much delay, he's finally off and running, winning his first start as a Red on July 20.

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February 11, 2004 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: January 12-February 6, 2004

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Christina Kahrl

The Braves strike NRI gold with Russell Branyan. The Astros do what they need to do to compete in the NL Central. Everything you ever wanted to read about Eric Karros. The Padres address their chasm in center. These and other news, notes, and Kahrlisms in today's Transaction Analysis.

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January 14, 2004 12:00 am

The Class of 2004

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Jay Jaffe

The Baseball Writers of America's standards on what constitute a Hall of Fame pitcher are in a curious spot now, both when it comes to starters and relievers. Spoiled by a group of contemporaries who won 300 games from the mid-'60s to the mid-'80s (Tom Seaver, Steve Carlton, Gaylord Perry, Don Sutton, Nolan Ryan, Phil Niekro), the writers haven't elected a non-300-winning starter since Fergie Jenkins in 1991. That Perry, Sutton and Niekro took a combined 13 ballots to reach the Hall while Ryan waltzed in on his first ballot with the all-time highest percentage of votes is even more puzzling. Apparently what impresses the BBWAA can be summarized as "Just Wins, Baby"--which is bad news for every active pitcher this side of Roger Clemens and Greg Maddux. Of the 59 enshrined pitchers with major-league experience, only two of them--Hoyt Wilhelm and Rollie Fingers--are in Cooperstown for what they accomplished as relievers. While the standards for starters are somewhat easy to discern (if lately a bit unrealistic), the growing number of quality relievers on the ballot, the continuous evolution of the relief role, and the paucity of standards to measure them by present some interesting challenges to voters. If there's an area in which performance analysis has struggled mightily against mainstream baseball thought, it's in hammering home the concept that the pitcher doesn't have as much control over the outcome of ballgames--as reflected in his Won-Loss totals--or even individual at-bats--hits on balls in play--as he's generally given credit for. Good run support and good defense can make big winners of mediocre pitchers on good teams, and .500 pitchers of good hurlers on mediocre teams. As such, it's important to examine the things over which a pitcher has control and account for those he does not. Once again, the Davenport system rides to the rescue.

[Note: The research for this piece, and much of the writing, was done prior to the Hall of Fame voting results being announced.]

INTRODUCTION

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April 9, 2003 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: March 25-April 6, 2003

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Christina Kahrl

The Snakes bury John Patterson, the Red Sox sort through a batch of soft tossers, the Marlins vie for a 25-catcher roster, and the Devil Rays solve all their problems by grabbing Al Martin and Damion Easley.

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March 21, 2003 12:00 am

PECOTA Does Fantasy

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Nate Silver

Fresh off PECOTA's maiden voyage into rotoland, Nate Silver publishes the PECOTA-generated roto values used by the BP team at the recent Tout Wars National League draft. Hint: pay the premium for studs.

You can import these values into a spreadsheet by selecting them in your browser and copying them, pasting them into a text file (i.e. Notepad), and opening the new text file with your spreadsheet (i.e. Excel).

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March 21, 2003 12:00 am

PECOTA Does Fantasy

0

Nate Silver

After using PECOTA-generated roto values at the recent Tout Wars National League draft, Nate Silver runs the numbers to produce values for the AL. Hint: as in the NL, pay the premium for studs. And do everything you can to get Pedro.

You can import these values into a spreadsheet by selecting them in your browser and copying them, pasting them into a text file (i.e. Notepad), and opening the new text file with your spreadsheet (i.e. Excel).

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February 5, 2003 2:19 pm

Transaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The Wests

0

Christina Kahrl

Re-signed INF-R Benji Gil and DH-L Brad Fullmer to one-year contracts. Signed OF-R Eric Owens to a one-year contract, and LHP Rich Rodriguez, 2B-R Adam Riggs, and UT-R Oscar Salazar to minor league contracts. Avoided arbitration with 2B-L Adam Kennedy, INF-B Scott Spiezio, and LHPs Jarrod Washburn and Scott Schoeneweis. Claimed C-R Wil Nieves off of waivers (from the Padres).

IN THIS ISSUE

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Howdy gang, nothing like spending five hours typing up the index for this year's edition of Baseball Prospectus to make me desperately hungry to dive right into playing catch-up on real-time baseball news. Yes, Transaction Analysis is long overdue, and for that I apologize, having spent the intervening time working with our writing team and the incomparably enthusiastic Jonah Keri to get this year's book out the door. If you can forgive me that, you'll also have to forgive me this temporary break from format, as I run down the most-notable moves made over the last couple of months, going by divisional pairs (Easts, Centrals, and Wests) to get caught up and resume your regularly scheduled TA mayhem by next week.

Howdy gang, nothing like spending five hours typing up the index for this year's edition of Baseball Prospectus to make me desperately hungry to dive right into playing catch-up on real-time baseball news. Yes, Transaction Analysis is long overdue, and for that I apologize, having spent the intervening time working with our writing team and the incomparably enthusiastic Jonah Keri to get this year's book out the door. If you can forgive me that, you'll also have to forgive me this temporary break from format, as I run down the most-notable moves made over the last couple of months, going by divisional pairs (Easts, Centrals, and Wests) to get caught up and resume your regularly scheduled TA mayhem by next week.

Read the full article...

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