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Articles Tagged Jeromy Burnitz 

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02-21

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5

Western Front: Runs? We Don't Need No Stinkin' Runs!
by
Geoff Young

01-04

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11

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Class of 2012: The Catch-All
by
Jay Jaffe

06-26

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Prospectus Toolbox: A Secret Affair
by
Derek Jacques

05-02

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Fantasy Focus: Ty Wigginton
by
Jeff Erickson

02-03

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Prospectus Notebook: Tigers, Mets, Pirates
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-09

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The Week in Quotes: January 3-8
by
John Erhardt

12-16

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Prospectus Notebook: Cubs, Pirates
by
Baseball Prospectus

06-28

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Prospectus Game of the Week: Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox, 6/26/05
by
Jonah Keri

04-25

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Prospectus Game of the Week: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs, 4/24/05
by
Jonah Keri

03-24

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Prospectus Triple Play: Angels, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers
by
Andrew Baharlias

02-07

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The Week in Quotes: January 31-February 6
by
John Erhardt

02-02

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Prospectus Today: Sammy!
by
Joe Sheehan

01-13

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Prospectus Today: Still Searching
by
Joe Sheehan

01-04

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Blocking the Uppercut
by
Seth Samuels

11-02

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Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York Mets
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-13

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Rational Exuberance: Meet the Mets: A Decade Without a Plan
by
Jonah Keri

08-09

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Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York Mets
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-26

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Can Of Corn: 'Bag Man
by
Dayn Perry

01-28

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Can Of Corn: Rocky Mountain High
by
Dayn Perry

07-25

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Transaction Analysis: July 7-20
by
Christina Kahrl

07-16

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Dodgers Tap Henderson
by
Chaim Bloom and Clay Davenport

04-19

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6-4-3: Glittering Prizes and Endless Compromises
by
Gary Huckabay

09-06

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Brewing Up?
by
Stuart Shea

08-25

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Transaction Analysis: August 20-23
by
Christina Kahrl

07-21

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Transaction Analysis: July 17-19, 1999
by
Christina Kahrl

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January 13, 2005 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: Still Searching

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Joe Sheehan

The music is fading out, and these guys haven't found a chair yet.

While watching Sophia work her way through a stack of pamphlets on how to care for an idiot, I got thinking about what's left on the market. According to ESPN.com's Free Agent Tracker, there are 102 players available for the taking. This number is a bit inflated; it includes players who have retired, such as Edgar Martinez and Todd Zeile.

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January 4, 2005 12:00 am

Blocking the Uppercut

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Seth Samuels

Does an uppercut swing work? How about looking to just slap singles? Or are line drives the way to go?

To answer this question, I had to begin by setting up a model of projected player performance to accurately determine what a player's numbers would look like based on changes in GB/FB/LD rates. This model was inspired by the one used by John Burnson in the 2004 Baseball Forecaster, in order to predict batting average. We use a linear regression of the form: Outcome Type = (Batted Ball Type)*(a + b*(Power) + c*(Speed)). Using Retrosheet--the greatest thing in the world--data from 1990-92, we can obtain all outcomes for groundballs, flyballs, line drives, and pop-ups, as well as bunts. Possible outcomes for which I derived the equation were singles, doubles, triples, home runs, one out, double plays, and triple plays. Of course, there is some overlap, as hits sometimes still lead to outs, but that's not a big problem.

The next step was to create values for raw power and raw speed. Neither one is close to perfect, but both work well enough. For power I used HR/(.092*FB+.026*LD). This is a measure of how many home runs the player hit compared to how many a league average player would be expected to hit given the same number of flyballs and line drives. A value such as 1.22 would then mean his power was about 22% above league average. The equation for raw speed is of the form (3B/(2B+3B))/.11. I chose this measure instead of one involving stolen bases because stolen bases involve baserunning skills, which are a separate talent from raw speed. The average player gets triples on about 11% of non-HR extra-base hits, generally due to odd bounces and average speed. This equation, like the other, measures the player's raw speed relative to league average.

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Old-time Oriole relievers, the Colorado effect, and the Mets managerial choises--all this and more in today's Prospectus Triple Play.

The list was quite comprehensive, but in response to our request, reader Don Brady wrote in with one deserving Oriole he felt had been forgotten: Eddie Watt. Watt was a dominant bullpen arm for the Orioles of the late Sixties and early Seventies, finishing with an ERA above league average every year with the Birds except his first. 1969 may have been Watt's best season: at age 28, he racked up 16 saves and a 1.56 ERA. But Don still can't get Game Five of the '69 Series out of his head, when Watt, pitching in the eighth, gave up the go-ahead (and, as it turned out, Series-clinching) run to the Mets on two base hits by Cleon Jones and Ron Swoboda.

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August 13, 2004 12:00 am

Rational Exuberance: Meet the Mets: A Decade Without a Plan

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Jonah Keri

Jonah Keri breaks down the last 10 years of Mets history. Lots of ill-fated trades, questionable moves and blame to go around, but one man stands above the rest. Read on to find out who.

In jettsoning a big chunk of their future for the dishwater-dull duo of Victor Zambrano and Kris Benson, the Mets had found a way to prove yet again that they had no semblance of a plan. They're contending for the future. No, for this year. No, for somewhere in between.

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David Newhan is ready for his close-up, the Rockies are ready to make some choices, and the Mets are ready for 2005. Are you ready for today's Prospectus Triple Play?

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March 26, 2004 12:00 am

Can Of Corn: 'Bag Man

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Dayn Perry

I'm going to type "it's time to answer some reader mail" into AltaVista's Babelfish, translate it from English to German, from German to French and then from French back to English. Then, I'll take what comes out of the wash, translate it from English to French, French to German and then back to English. And we have: "it is a time, in order to answer to the station of the reader." This entertains me.

--J.O.

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January 28, 2004 12:00 am

Can Of Corn: Rocky Mountain High

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Dayn Perry

Sometimes I'm easily confused. Watching Jane Campion films makes me feel like a monkey trying to open a coconut. I'm puzzled as to how Napster hopes to achieve substantive market penetration without having Ratt's "Way Cool Junior" on its play list. Oh, and I'm also perplexed by what the Rockies are doing this winter--which is what this little piece of bandwidth is all about. I've never met Roockies GM Dan O'Dowd, but I know people who have. By all accounts, he's a heady, intellectually curious guy with an open mind. That's why his club's off-season machinations are especially troubling. The Rockies have--rightly, I think--perceived the NL West to be on a down cycle and, ergo, in a winnable condition. But how they've gone about positioning themselves as a contender makes no sense to me. To wit, Colorado has gone out and signed Jeromy Burnitz, Vinny Castilla, and Royce Clayton. What's more is that they apparently have starting jobs in mind for each member of this nefarious troika.

I've never met Roockies GM Dan O'Dowd, but I know people who have. By all accounts, he's a heady, intellectually curious guy with an open mind. That's why his club's off-season machinations are especially troubling. The Rockies have--rightly, I think--perceived the NL West to be on a down cycle and, ergo, in a winnable condition. But how they've gone about positioning themselves as a contender makes no sense to me.

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July 25, 2003 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: July 7-20

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Christina Kahrl

Bill Stoneman and Mike Scioscia get rewarded for 2002. The Indians and Rangers swap pitching prospect for hitting prospect. The Yankees grab Armando Benitez in a non-Sierran move. The Jays get a steal in Stewart-for-Kielty. These and other tidbits, plus a full array of Kahrlisms, in this edition of Transaction Analysis.

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July 16, 2003 12:00 am

Dodgers Tap Henderson

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Chaim Bloom and Clay Davenport

Rickey's back. The Dodgers are 49-44, three and a half games out of the Wild Card, but if their pitching were as bad as their offense they'd be the worst team in the majors. Paul Lo Duca (.307/.374/.438, .285 EqA) is having a good year, but when the All-Star catcher looks out at the rest of his team, he sees an offensive wasteland. At first base, Fred McGriff (.249/.318/.430, .261 EqA) was unimpressive before going on the DL. Up the middle, Alex Cora (.240/.281/.319, .213 EqA) and Cesar Izturis (.255/.290/.302, .210 EqA), who have gotten most of the playing time, are a combined black hole. Third baseman Adrian Beltre (.225/.286/.356, .227 EqA) has seen his star come crashing to earth after having once been one of the hottest prospects in the game. In the outfield, Shawn Green (.255/.317/.429, .262 EqA) is underachieving, and none of the combination of Mike Kinkade, Dave Roberts, Jolbert Cabrera, Chad Hermansen and Wilkin Ruan has been exceptional. Brian Jordan (.299/.372/.420, .282 EqA) had been the bets of the bunch, but a severe injury means his season and Dodger career are over. Faced with the option of buying or selling for the stretch run, the Dodgers made their move, trading for Jeromy Burnitz and plucking Rickey Henderson from Newark.

The Dodgers are 49-44, three and a half games out of the Wild Card, but if their pitching were as bad as their offense they'd be the worst team in the majors. Paul Lo Duca (.307/.374/.438, .285 EqA) is having a good year, but when the All-Star catcher looks out at the rest of his team, he sees an offensive wasteland. At first base, Fred McGriff (.249/.318/.430, .261 EqA) was unimpressive before going on the DL. Up the middle, Alex Cora (.240/.281/.319, .213 EqA) and Cesar Izturis (.255/.290/.302, .210 EqA), who have gotten most of the playing time, are a combined black hole. Third baseman Adrian Beltre (.225/.286/.356, .227 EqA) has seen his star come crashing to earth after having once been one of the hottest prospects in the game.

In the outfield, Shawn Green (.255/.317/.429, .262 EqA) is underachieving, and none of the combination of Mike Kinkade, Dave Roberts, Jolbert Cabrera, Chad Hermansen and Wilkin Ruan has been exceptional. Brian Jordan (.299/.372/.420, .282 EqA) had been the best of the bunch, but a severe injury means his season and Dodger career are over. Faced with the option of buying or selling for the stretch run, the Dodgers made their move, trading for Jeromy Burnitz and plucking Rickey Henderson from Newark.

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Some thoughts on Ichiro Suzuki and baseball's "inevitable" return to Washington, D.C.

I'd like to get to a couple of topics today, so let's jump in...

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September 6, 2001 12:00 am

Brewing Up?

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Stuart Shea

Thank God Dean Taylor doesn't go to Bob Nightengale for his baseball expertise.

Nightengale's musings aside, the Brewers' pitching isn't their problem. The problem is their lousy offense. Milwaukee ranks 11th in the NL in runs, and they deserve that lowly position. They really don't have more than one or two good players in the lineup. Jeromy Burnitz hits for power and gets on base, and Richie Sexson hits plenty of home runs.

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Placed RHP Rudy Seanez on the 15-day DL, retroactive to 8/21 (stress fracture/elbow); recalled RHP Dave Cortes from Richmond. [8/23]

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