On the 22nd episode of the DFA podcast, R.J. and Bryan are joined by BP's Jarrett Seidler to talk about the biggest post-deadline deal (Jay Bruce to the Indians), the callups of Dominic Smith and Amed Rosario, and ... whatever the Mets' plan is for 2018!
It's another episode of the DFA podcast! Hosts Bryan Grosnick (Baseball Prospectus) and R.J. Anderson (CBS Sports), plus producer Shawn Brody (Beyond the Box Score, BP Mets), are talking about all the transactions and roster moves that make MLB go. From trades and signings to callups and disabled list stints, DFA is here to provide analysis and commentary on all things baseball.
What would Sandy Alderson do with Jay Bruce, Curtis Granderson, and Lucas Duda?
It’s that time of year. The time when grown men hug each other to say goodbye after five months together. It’s also the time when refresh buttons are mashed on Twitter trying to catch the news of whatever trade is about to happen. It’s all so exciting. And here at BP, we like to get into the spirit of the season, too. It’s become an annual tradition to play the BP Trade Game, where we put on disguises that make us look like general managers, and pretend to trade for someone.
Ben devotes more than 70 percent of his $260 budget to bats.
On Friday, March 21, Mike Gianella released Version Four of his mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff (and anyone else on the BP roster who wants to participate) will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:
David Wright and Jay Bruce anchor Alex's ideal Roto offense, while Felix Hernandez and Madison Bumgarner do the heavy lifting on the mound.
On Friday, Mike Gianella released his latest mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff (and anyone else on the BP roster who wants to participate) will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:
The senior-circuit bats might provide nice value on draft day.
Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs
Rizzo’s 2013 season boils down to a lack of singles. He notched 65 extra-base hits and generated a healthy 11 percent walk rate, but those types of things get mitigated in a big way fantasy-wise when you hit .233. His ADP is typically in the 100 range, and I think he can outperform that position this year. He has his issues with left-handed pitchers, but he also posted a .258 BABIP, which I think points to at least a bit of bad luck. If he gets the average in the .260 range, he makes a big jump in value considering the power potential. I think it’s a jump he can make considering the plate discipline and manageable 18.4 percent strikeout rate.
Rizzo is being judged off of what can only be described as a disappointing 2013, and that’s fair. But that assessment also creates an attractive value pick in the middle rounds of drafts.
Bryan Price's club boasts a three-headed rotation monster, a triple-digit-throwing closer, two lefty sluggers, and the fastest player in the game.
The 2013 season ended in brutal fashion for the Reds, as they lost the National League Wild Card Game to a division rival. The offseason wasn’t much better, as they saw one of their best hitters and most consistent pitchers (even if he is flatly average) leave town. They were replaced by internal options who have good upside, but have yet to prove themselves over the course of a full season. They’ll need to hit the ground running, as anything short of a return to the playoffs will be a disappointment in the Queen City.
The BP Prospect Team bring you advanced scouting reports for the 2013 playoffs.
Throughout the past two weeks, Jason Parks and the Baseball Prospectus prospect team have been writing detailed reports on key players to enhance your enjoyment of the MLB playoffs. Below is every published report in a single post.
Alex Cobb returns to rearm the Rays for the stretch run.
The Thursday Takeaway
For a while, it seemed as though the Rays might not miss a beat in the absence of Alex Cobb, their most reliable starting pitcher during the first two-and-a-half months of the regular season, who was struck in the head by a batted ball on June 15. From the following day through July 30, Tampa Bay led the American League with a 2.64 team ERA.
But as the adage goes, you can never have too much pitching. Matt Moore succumbed to elbow soreness after a rough start in the Bronx on July 28. Jeremy Hellickson, who stepped up when Cobb went down, has been shelled to the tune of nine runs in 7 2/3 innings over his first two August starts. And from the trade deadline through August 14, the Rays’ 5.38 club ERA was the second worst in the majors, ahead of only the Angels’, whose efforts on the mound were so brutal that even their beat writers got snarky.