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Join Jason Parks and Joe Hamrahi for a night of food, drinks, and draft analysis

Join Jason Parks, Joe Hamrahi, and other baseball friends and colleagues this Thursday, June 5th for a special Baseball Prospectus MLB Draft party at Foley's NYC. There will be plenty of food, drinks, #analysis and #want in a nice informal setting. Festivities should begin around 6:30 PM. Hope to see you there!


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BP Visits Arlington to kick off the 2014 ballpark tour

Baseball Prospectus and the Texas Rangers invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, April 12 at Globe Life Park.Thanks to the fine folks in the Rangers front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:

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The BP prospect team descends on Foley's to discuss the 2014 top 101 prospects

For those of you who will be in the New York area next weekend, Baseball Prospectus will be hosting a two hour event on Saturday, February 8 from 3:00 - 5:00 PM at Foley's Pub and Restaurant to discuss the 2014 top 101 prospect list.

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Back by popular demand, subscribe now and receive a free PDF copy of the 2013 Futures Guide

Due to the popularity of our special July promotion, we are excited to announce that, for the ENTIRE month of September, all those who sign up for one-year Premium subscribers (either a new subscription or renewal) will receive a free PDF and e-book copy of the 2013 Futures Guide by Jason Parks and the BP Prospect Team!

Baseball Prospectus is a collection of the game's finest analysts, committed to providing intelligent, high-caliber analysis of our favorite game in books, online, and on radio and television.

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Due to recent requests, we're now accepting sponsorships for the Fringe Average and Effective Wild podcasts

We've received many requests recently asking about ways to sponsor the Fringe Average podcast with Jason Parks and Mike Ferrin and the Effectively Wild podcast with Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller. So without further ado, here are our preset sponsorship plans. We can also attempt to tailor plans to special requests.

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April 10, 2013 5:00 am

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Chat Accountability 2013


Jason Parks

Looking back at last year's April answers.

As is customary, I recently returned from a lengthy spring training odyssey and sat down for a lengthy online chat, where hours rolled into hours and the questions flowed forth in a never-ending supply. Aside from the backfield games in March, the post-spring training chat is my favorite part of the process, a detox of sorts from the grind of camp. My latest installment ran a robust eight hours and featured over 300 answers, although at least a quarter of the responses were sententious at best and esoteric to a fault at worst. But when it comes to the baseball opinions, I tried to answer with thought and honesty, and I stand by the statements on their merits, without a hedge or a statesman-like wiggle to avoid accountability in the face of ignorance or mistake.

It’s easy to let your fingers do the work of your lips, spouting off rhymes without much reason in an environment where failed prophecies hide in the shadows and successful prognostications get to live on the mantle in the family room for all guests to admire. If you are going to champion your scouting wins, it’s equally important to stand next to your scouting loses, and I’d rather present a responsible product that I take ownership of than play politician in order to maintain a high-gloss on an expert badge this particular platform pins to my chest. I don’t mind being wrong. I expect to be wrong. But I want to learn from those mistakes and misjudgments, and I don’t find much comfort in the binary outcomes of the process.

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First episode of Fringe Average: A Baseball Prospectus podcast with Jason Parks & Mike Ferrin. The two answer email questions, talk about Major and Minor League Baseball, and occassionaly comment on popular culture.

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Chats, Book Tour, Stadium Stops

With the 2012 baseball season finally upon us, it's time to announce BP's full slate of interactive events...designed to bring you, our fans and readers, closer to all the action.

Beginning on May 5, we launch our 2012 ballpark tour in St. Petersburg, Florida with the Tampa Bay Rays. From there, the tour continues with confirmed stops in San Diego, New York, Anaheim, Arlington, Minnesota, Kansas City, and Houston. We've partnered with Major League Baseball teams across the country and other great organizations like the Negro League Baseball Museum, The Newberg Report, The Royalman Report, and Royals Authority to bring you a fabulous experience every step of the way. Each event includes a one to two hour pregame discussion and Q & A session with members of Baseball Prospectus, special guests, and baseball operations representatives. Additional activities will be planned for All-Star Sunday in Kansas City.

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Things you didn't know about Francisco Lindor: he can fly, heal the sick, and turn rocks into seven-layer cake.

Prospect #1: SS Francisco Lindor
Background with Player: My eyes; industry sources.
Who: Selected eighth overall in the 2011 draft, Lindor had enough heat on his name after pre-draft workouts that some in the industry thought Seattle would pop the young Puerto Rican with the second-overall pick. I’ve seen a lot of quality up-the-middle talent since I started down this prospect evaluation road, and rarely will a 17-year-old (now 18) shortstop showcase the type of skills to make you feel confident in their future major-league success. After watching Lindor in the Fall Instructional League, I have very little doubt that he will develop into a very good major leaguer, one that can play a premium defensive position while providing above-average offensive production. At the plate, Lindor can track balls from release point to target like a ten-year veteran, showing advanced recognition skills and an approach that should put him in favorable hitting environments. His hands and hips work very well, showing fluidity when they fire, and bringing his bat head into the zone quickly and efficiently. He shows contact ability and he drives through the ball with excellent extension; it’s easy to project a plus hit tool and at least solid-average power at maturity. In the field, Lindor is as precocious and instinctual as positional prince Jurickson Profar, showing easy actions, a very strong arm, and a preternatural feel for his craft. I’m slobbering all over Lindor without apology. I put a note in his locker after class. I hope he checks the box marked “yes.”

What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Lindor was a young high school draftee, turning 18-years-old after the 2011 season had already ended, so that youth will ride sidesaddle in the developmental process, both as a positive and negative. The downside to youth is inexperience, and all the praise that Lindor receives for this tools and his polish can’t change the reality of his limited existence. It’s likely that Lindor moves to full-season ball at some point in 2012, and the jump will represent the biggest challenge so far in Lindor’s brief career. Development is about failure and adjustment, and given the level of competition Lindor is likely to face, I think he could initially struggle, at least until he makes the necessary adjustments. This is a player that needs to see sharp breaking balls, that needs to see above-average velocity, that needs to face sequences and situations that you just can’t simulate with the same intensity on a practice field. Failure can be a good thing for young players, even if the exposure to failure is short-lived, as it most likely will be in the case of Lindor. I think he has a chance to be a star, and to be honest, I think he makes the necessary adjustments very quickly and emerges as a top tier prospect in the game before the year is out.

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Welcome all to the results of the Baseball Prospectus Mid-Season Awards. The points system is 10-7-5-3-1 for the MVP and Cy Young Awards, and 5-3-1 for the Rookie Awards. BP authors' picks, with all-too-clever comments, are included here, below the awards standings. Hitters: Ballots, Points (1st Place Votes), (Avg/OBP/SLG/RARP/VORP) Pitchers: Ballots, Points (1st Place Votes), (ERA, IP, SNWAR or ARP, VORP)

Welcome all to the results of the Baseball Prospectus Mid-Season Awards.

The points system is 10-7-5-3-1 for the MVP and Cy Young Awards, and 5-3-1 for the Rookie Awards. BP authors' picks, with all-too-clever comments, are included here, below the awards standings.

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Anyone else remember all of those predictions that this would be one of the most boring trading deadlines ever? Instead, we got one of the best. Take a deep breath, and let's dive into it:

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