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04-10

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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 9
by
Larry Granillo

08-28

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0

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 27
by
Larry Granillo

08-22

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3

Wezen-Ball: Paul O'Neill Promises Two Home Runs
by
Larry Granillo

04-15

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11

Inside The Park Blog: Wrigley vs. the Cell
by
Bradford Doolittle

04-13

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3

Inside The Park Blog: Robin Ventura, Ace Manager
by
Bradford Doolittle

04-12

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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 11
by
Larry Granillo

02-24

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9

The Stats Go Marching In: The Art of Handling the Pitching Staff
by
Max Marchi

12-08

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2

The BP Wayback Machine: Cardinals' Special Era Reaches a Crossroads
by
Bradford Doolittle

10-19

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23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-24

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2

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 23
by
Larry Granillo

09-07

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7

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL Post-Season Rotation Ramble
by
Jay Jaffe

08-18

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26

The Lineup Card: 11 Memorable Breakdowns, Antics, and Tirades
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-26

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8

Tater Trot Tracker: The Rare Inside-the-Park Grand Slam
by
Larry Granillo

06-27

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3

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 26
by
Larry Granillo

06-27

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7

On the Beat: Adrian as Advertised
by
John Perrotto

06-22

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Fantasy Beat: Opposite Field Power
by
Craig Brown

05-24

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5

Baseball ProGUESTus: Answers from a Sabermetrician, Part 1
by
Tom Tango

05-19

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4

The BP Wayback Machine: Baseball in 1864
by
Clay Davenport

04-22

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15

Baseball ProGUESTus: Baseball, Boyhood, and Bullpen Carts
by
Josh Wilker

03-02

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12

Spinning Yarn: How Accurate is PitchTrax?
by
Mike Fast

02-08

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15

The BP Broadside: Michael Young Feels the Junk Drawer's Pull
by
Steven Goldman

02-03

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3

Fantasy Focus: Shooting Blanks
by
Marc Normandin

12-31

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2

Prospectus Q&A: Best of Q&A 2010
by
David Laurila

12-24

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19

Future Shock: Florida Marlins Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-27

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16

World Series Prospectus: Fall Classic Memories
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-14

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8

Manufactured Runs: Just a Bit Outside
by
Colin Wyers

07-27

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9

Cracking the Pitch Sequence Code
by
Will Woods

07-14

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2

Prospectus Q&A: Chris Wertz
by
David Laurila

06-15

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Prospectus Q&A: Brian Fuentes
by
David Laurila

06-11

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9

Future Shock: Draft Wrap: AL East
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-01

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16

Expanded Horizons: Two Dogmas of Sabermetrics
by
Tommy Bennett

04-21

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20

Prospectus Hit and Run: Down But Hardly Out
by
Jay Jaffe

03-17

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Prospectus Q&A: Tom Goodwin
by
David Laurila

03-07

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3

Prospectus Q&A: Chaz Scoggins
by
David Laurila

03-02

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51

Fantasy Focus: Left Fielder Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-11

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14

You Could Look It Up: Three Joes and Some Other Guys Named Overbay
by
Steven Goldman

01-17

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17

On the Beat: Weekend Update
by
John Perrotto

11-13

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8

Prospectus Hit and Run: Digging the Long Ball
by
Jay Jaffe

11-08

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8

Prospectus Q&A: Kerry Wood
by
David Laurila

11-04

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12

Player Profile: Pedro Martinez
by
Marc Normandin

11-01

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11

Prospectus Today: Game Three Recap
by
Joe Sheehan

10-30

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13

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night to Remember
by
Jay Jaffe

10-23

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0

Player Profile: Robinson Cano
by
Marc Normandin

10-18

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5

Winter League Preview
by
Carlos J. Lugo

10-07

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Cardinals LDS
by
Jay Jaffe

07-01

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28

Prospectus Roundtable: Fluke or No Fluke?
by
Baseball Prospectus

06-22

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15

Prospectus Today: Bethpage Black
by
Joe Sheehan

05-17

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12

Prospectus Q&A: Jim Palmer
by
David Laurila

05-06

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11

Zumaya's Zooming
by
Ben Lindbergh

05-01

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7

Game Story
by
Christina Kahrl

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With the Fall Classic now upon us, the staff at Baseball Prospectus shares their most memorable World Series moments.

Every baseball fan has a special World Series memory, whether it's Willie Mays' catch, Bill Mazeroski's home run, Brooks Robinson's defense, Kirk Gibson's limp around the bases, or Derek Jeter becoming the first-ever Mr. November. With the World Series opening tonight at AT&T Park in San Francisco with the Giants facing the Texas Rangers, many of our writers, editors, and interns share their favorite memories of the Fall Classic.

Read the full article...

Another look at calling balls and strikes from home.

Prompted by some of the complaints about umpiring, last week I investigated why watching on television may not give an accurate picture of where the ball is actually going. The short version—the position of the camera has a distorting effect on the image, and when the brain reconstructs a three-dimensional view, it is fooled by those distortions. Some people were skeptical of my claims.

Now, as it happens, we have a ready source of data we can use to evaluate the question of observer positioning bias in scoring balls and strikes off of video cameras—the plate discipline stats published by Fangraphs. Those figures are calculated using data provided by Baseball Info Solutions, which uses “video scouts” to collect data off baseball broadcasts (the same telecasts that we see as fans). These video scouts have a representation of the batter, the plate, and the strike zone, and they map the perceived location of the pitch on that image. That data is then aggregated.

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Taking an in-depth look at a two-inning stint by Francisco Rodriguez in order to understand why he threw certain pitches.

What follows is a story of a pitcher who lost command of his fastball, and a hitter who approached him as if he could throw it to a teacup. The Mets were clinging to a 3-1 lead over the Giants on July 18 as their game entered the late innings at AT&T Park. After another eight-frame master class from Johan Santana, Mets manager Jerry Manuel called on Francisco Rodriguez to lock down a victory. It was a game the Mets desperately needed; they opened the second half of the season by scoring just four runs in their first three games, and if the week following this game is any indication, they aren’t good enough to waste Santana’s brilliance and still make a run at the postseason.

Now that we’ve set the scene, let’s think along with its principal players, and observe how Rodriguez and his opponents adapt—or fail to adapt—to the Mets closer’s uncharacteristic lack of a reliable fastball. We’ll follow K-Rod’s two innings in hopes of learning a thing or two about the mysterious art of pitch sequencing, and see how the information Rodriguez sends with each pitch of this outing may be more predictive of what he’ll throw next than simply relying on his overall tendencies.

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A historian looks at Willard Brown, the first African-American to play in a big-league game at Fenway Park.

Chris Wertz is a freelance baseball writer and historian living in New York City. He is a contributing author to the recently-released Pumpsie & Progress: The Red Sox, Race, and Redemption, by Bill Nowlin, which was published by Rounder Books.


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The Angels left-hander talks about the pressures of closing among a variety of subjects.

Brian Fuentes is a thinking man’s closer. The Angels left-hander has a deceptive delivery and underrated stuff, but above all he has a cerebral approach to the game. Originally drafted by Seattle, the 34-year-old Fuentes made a name for himself in Colorado, saving 111 games over a four-year stretch, before signing a free-agent contract with the Sons of Gene Autry prior to the 2009 season. Last year’s American League saves leader with 48, the laid-back and always-thoughtful Fuentes is a four-time All-Star.

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June 11, 2010 9:24 am

Future Shock: Draft Wrap: AL East

9

Kevin Goldstein

The Blue Jays had nine picks in the first three rounds but questions remain as to how well they re-stocked their farm system.

Baltimore Orioles
Day One Selections
3. Manny Machado, SS, Brito Private HS (FL)



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We will likely never have enough information to truly separate between the truths that are analytic and those that are synthetic workable.

In 1951, W.V.O. Quine published his landmark paper, “Two Dogmas of Empiricism.” His goal was to disprove a certain type of empiricism that was trendy among analytic philosophers in the early 20th century. That set of beliefs—logical positivism—sought to deny that any statement that was not empirically verifiable had any meaning whatsoever. What Quine showed was that the two eponymous beliefs, which he derisively called dogmas, were necessary to logical positivism but also false. That paper remains one of the most important works of 20th -century philosophy because it demonstrated the limits of a system of knowledge based only in observable fact and logic.

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April 21, 2010 11:14 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Down But Hardly Out

20

Jay Jaffe

Despite their slow start, the Red Sox can hardly be written off as contenders.

On Monday, while the rest of the country was somewhere between finishing its coffee and making plans for lunch, John Lackey and the Red Sox were pasted 8-2 by the Rays in a game that started just after 11 a.m. The victory completed the Rays' four-game sweep of the Sox at Fenway Park, the first time the upstarts from Tampa Bay had ever swept more than a two-game series there. The loss, Boston's fifth straight, plunged its record to 4-9. Down 6-2 to the Rangers going to the bottom of the fifth on Tuesday night, they appeared headed for their sixth straight defeat before a late rally served to remind that no lead in Fenway is ever safe; they won 7-6 on a walk-off hit by a guy added to the roster earlier in the day. Still, suffice it to say that New England hasn't seen this kind of panic since the Blizzard of 1978.

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March 17, 2010 11:29 am

Prospectus Q&A: Tom Goodwin

0

David Laurila

The Red Sox outfield and baserunning instructor reflects on his career as a ballplayer.

Tom Goodwin loves the running game. The erstwhile speedster stole 369 bases in his big-league career, four times topping the 50 mark in a season and once swiping 66. A first-round pick by the Dodgers in 1989, he played for six teams over parts of 14 seasons and now serves as a roving outfield and baserunning instructor in the Boston organization. Goodwin sat down with Baseball Prospectus late in the 2009 season in Lowell, Mass., where he was tutoring members of the Red Sox's short-season affiliate.

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Revisiting a conversation with the long-time official scorer in Boston.

Chaz Scoggins has been the primary official scorer at Fenway Park for over 30 years. A long-time sportswriter for The Lowell Sun and a former president of the Baseball Writers Association of America, Scoggins sat down for this interview in December 2004.

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March 2, 2010 11:21 am

Fantasy Focus: Left Fielder Rankings

51

Marc Normandin

Sorting out the premium producers at a premium offensive slot.

Left field is a very deep position-though there are just a few elite options, like any other position, the four- and three-star tiers are overflowing with quality, while the one-star tier has more to do with playing time constraints then a lack of ability. If most of those players had the plate appearances of a two- or three-star outfielder, they would most likely qualify as well. This list goes 57 deep As for the previous rankings in the series, check out first basemen, second basemen, third basemen, shortstops, and catchers. Now, here are the changes to this year's ranking system:

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The Washington Senators' history of first basemen makes one wonder if Lyle Overbay might have been an original Nat in a previous incarnation.

Lyle Overbay has never had an at-bat in the postseason. Some would say that this is not a coincidence, that a team operating with a de-powered first baseman is working under a handicap compared to those teams that carry hulking sluggers at the gateway. Yet, you can win a championship with Overbay. The Washington Senators did it three times.

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