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Articles Tagged Hot Stove 

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11-21

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10

Pebble Hunting: Hank Aaron's Hypothetical Fortune
by
Sam Miller

11-21

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0

Raising Aces: Free Agent Pitchers: The Top Tier
by
Doug Thorburn

11-20

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3

Rumor Roundup: The Ideas That Dayton Moore Toys With
by
Chris Mosch

11-20

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10

An Agent's Take: When the Smallest Transactions are the Biggest
by
Joshua Kusnick

11-13

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4

Hot Stove Scouting Report: Justin Masterson
by
Mark Anderson

11-11

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2

BP Unfiltered: Grading the 'MLB Executive' Predictions, 2012 and 2013
by
Sam Miller

11-05

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6

Pebble Hunting: Nelson Cruz is Same, Different
by
Sam Miller

11-04

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32

Painting the Black: The Free Agent 50
by
R.J. Anderson

11-04

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6

Prospectus Feature: The #Sources Season
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-03

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6

Hot Stove Scouting Report: Russell Martin
by
Chris Rodriguez

10-29

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Hot Stove Scouting Report: Victor Martinez
by
Tucker Blair

10-29

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Hot Stove Scouting Report: Pablo Sandoval
by
Ryan Parker

10-28

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1

Hot Stove Scouting Report: Hanley Ramirez
by
Ethan Purser

10-28

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8

Hot Stove Scouting Report: Jon Lester
by
Jeff Moore

12-05

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8

Ask the Industry
by
Zachary Levine

12-04

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 341: Hot Stovepocalypse
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-03

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0

Rumor Roundup: Re-Upping Ramirez
by
Daniel Rathman

12-03

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13

Transaction Analysis: Dombrowski's Puzzling Deal
by
Ben Lindbergh, Josh Herzenberg and Paul Sporer

11-27

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0

The Lineup Card: 8 Unfulfilled Rumors From Last Year's Hot Stove
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-25

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0

The Week in Quotes: November 18-24
by
Nick Bacarella and Chris Mosch

11-21

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1

Transaction Analysis: Four Teams Bet on Bouncebacks
by
Ben Lindbergh and Craig Goldstein

11-20

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: How to Make Up a Good Trade Rumor
by
Matt Swartz

11-05

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38

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents of 2013-2014
by
R.J. Anderson

12-07

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15

Overthinking It: Teams That Still Have Holes to Fill
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-13

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34

Out of Left Field: What $205 Million Buys on the Free Agent Market
by
Matthew Kory

11-06

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5

Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-05

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42

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents
by
R.J. Anderson

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November 21, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: Hank Aaron's Hypothetical Fortune

10

Sam Miller

Hank Aaron would be worth a billion dollars if he were playing today. What would he actually get?

The other day, as in not today, but any other day from the storage of prior human existence, Jeff Sullivan did a simple thing that turned out interesting: He took a bunch of guys like Giancarlo Stanton to see how much they would have been worth in the 13 years following their age-24 season. This was interesting for reasons having to do with Giancarlo Stanton’s outlook, which is why Jeff wrote it that day, but it was also interesting for sweet, sweet Fun Fact reasons. At the very, very top of the list was this:

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November 21, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Free Agent Pitchers: The Top Tier

0

Doug Thorburn

Significant money will be handed out to a trio of arms this offseason, so how their mechanics grade out is certainly of great interest.

There is a thick crop of free agent pitchers this offseason, including a trio of arms at the top of the class who will likely command nine-figure deals with commitments of at least five years apiece. Pitching mechanics take on greater importance in these cases, given the long-term timeframe and the heavy cost expenditure; the physical elements of the delivery play a role in a pitcher's ability to consistently execute his pitches, the reliability of his performance, his injury risk, and his long-term adaptability as stuff naturally wanes and these pitchers get further from their physical peak.

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November 20, 2014 6:00 am

Rumor Roundup: The Ideas That Dayton Moore Toys With

3

Chris Mosch

Where the Royals might look for offense, where Jon Lester will find enough suitors to start a bidding war, and why Dan Haren might retire.

Billy Butler is headed west for Oakland and Nori Aoki is reportedly seeking a three-year deal on the open market. For the Royals, this means that if they aren’t willing to pony up for the Japanese outfielder, they’ll find themselves with two bat-first positions to fill one year after finishing last in the American League in True Average.

CBS Sports’ Jon Heyman reported yesterday that with Butler in Kansas City’s rearview mirror, the club is expected to focus on Torii Hunter for the free outfield spot. Ervin Santana and Francisco Liriano are the reported targets on the starting pitcher market.

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The arduous job of sticking with a client through thin.

Jaye Chapman is a professional baseball player. I first scouted him while I was a student at FSU and he was a student at Chipola Junior College. Jaye was an Atlanta Braves draft-and-follow, back when those still existed. I had the pleasure of seeing him pitch against Lorenzo Cain and Michael Saunders at Tallahassee Community College in 2004; Jaye’s teammates on Chipola that day included Rene Tosoni, Tyler Flowers, and Mat Gamel. That’s six major leaguers on one junior college field.

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"Experienced somewhat mysterious drop in velocity in 2014 and if only temporary could result in a strong resurgence during the coming season."

Justin Masterson

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GMs, as we all know, are getting smarter. Are they?

Two years ago, Jerry Crasnick released his annual Polling of the Execs, in which a couple dozen GMs and GM-types ("general managers, assistant GMs, player personnel people and scouts") answered that ol' impossible request: Predict Baseball. It's one of my favorite columns of the offseason, giving us insight into the way that people on the inside think baseball works. I used the occasion to look back at those GM-types' success rate over the previous nine seasons, and found that they were hardly better than random chance at predicting whether a player would be good ("I saw (Kaz) Matsui four years ago, and I thought he was a better player than Ichiro,") or where a player was going to be signed or whether a player was going to be traded or to whom. Don't mistake that for lack of value; just acknowledge that what we're getting is a particular type of insight from these answers, if not necessary a particularly bankable forecast.

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November 5, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: Nelson Cruz is Same, Different

6

Sam Miller

Nelson Cruz wants what he wanted last year, and might get it, and might not.

Hello, old friend.

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Evaluations of the top 50 free agents available in the 2014-2015 offseason, with near-worthless predictions about where they'll land.

Another year, another top-50 list. Here are three things to remember while reading through the rankings: 1) international free agents were excluded on the principle that if I haven't seen them in some manner or another, then I don't feel comfortable ranking them; 2) "Randy" is a random number generator whose predictions were made by pairing integers with teams (e.g. the number 1 and the Angels); and 3) the list is ordered based on expected AAV with some other considerations (learned from past lists) factored in:

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Starting in November, we accept a different sort of journalism from our baseball writers. Should we?

Matthew Trueblood writes about baseball at Armside Run. You can reach him by email or on Twitter at @Arm_Side_Run.

There’s a great essay by Bart Giamatti, written just after the end of the 1977 season, called “The Green Fields of the Mind.” It’s both laconic and flowing, hopeful and somber. It perfectly captures a certain moment in the life cycle of a baseball fan, and it’s full of the warmth, pensiveness, and realism fans need in order to get through the winter in good spirits.

It belongs to another generation.

We no longer bemoan the absence of baseball all winter, the way we might have in 1977. Free agency was a new and ill-established phenomenon then; it’s now a winter-long event unto itself. The winter trade market is livelier, although fewer total trades are made because of all those free agents. Baseball no longer abandons us; it just turns uglier. The rhythm of the offseason is much more jagged than that of the season. The stories we read are less and less focused on the game itself as the winter drags on. It all becomes about who’s going where, and when, and for whom.

There’s a whole new set of jargon one must learn in order to follow the Hot Stove maneuvering. It lacks any of the charm of “painting the black” or “worm burner,” though. There’s no imagery in it, no blood flowing to it. During the offseason, reading about baseball is all about trying to parse the intentionally opaque language reporters use to describe their (invariably) anonymous sources on the latest rumor.

Anonymous. That’s the key word. It isn’t necessarily an evil word, for a reporter, but it sure is a vexing one. In all arenas of American journalism, anonymous sourcing is “much more universal than it was in the Sixties,” according to Dan Okrent, but the Society of Professional Journalists still takes caution and reticence as its official approach to the use of unnamed sources. The director of the Maine Center for Public Interest Reporting went a step further in a recent lecture, openly decrying the practice, and in particular, its proliferation in places where it feels unneeded.

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"In all likelihood he'll regress with the bat a little, but still bring extremely valuable defense and invaluable leadership to a team."

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"Martinez is currently one of the best designated hitters in baseball, with an adept approach and an elite hit tool."

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"Bat-to-ball skills might be some of the best in the league."

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